Internet in the 21Internet in the 21stst Century CenturyISOC LuxembourgISOC Luxembourg

Vint Cerf

SVP Architecture & Technology

WorldCom

July 4, 2002

The largest network

of networks in the world.

Uses TCP/IP protocols and packet switching .

Runs on any communi-

cations substrate.

What is the Internet?What is the Internet?

Some Key DatesSome Key Dates

1966 – MERIT Founded Sept 1, 1969 – 1st ARPANET node installed at

UCLA Sept 10, 1973 – First paper on Internet design

(Vint Cerf, Bob Kahn) Nov 22, 1977 – First 3 network demonstration

(PRNET, SATNET, ARPANET)… MATNET Spring 1981 - Strategic C3

Demonstration/CSNET Jan 1, 1983 – Internet Roll Out

More Key DatesMore Key Dates

1986 – NSFNET (MCI, IBM, MERIT => Advanced Network & Services)

Summer 1989 – First Commercial Link (MCI Mail/Internet); UUNET, PSINET, CERFNET; WWW – Tim Berners-Lee

1990 – ARPANET retired 1992 – MOSAIC; Internet Society Founded 1994 – Netscape Communications Navigator 1995 – NSFNET retired; vBNS (MCI); Microsoft

release of Internet Explorer

Open Access ArchitectureOpen Access Architecture(the geeks will inherit the earth)(the geeks will inherit the earth)

Roberts 1969: Telcos ignore ARPANET Kahn 1972: Open Protocol Architecture Cerf/Kahn 1974: layered access (starting at

IP layer!) FCC: Computer I, II, III 1983: NCP -> TCP/IP conversion Cerf 1988: commercial access Comm Act 1996: open access to UNE

Internet - Global StatisticsInternet - Global Statistics

22.5 Million Hosts

(Bellcore June 1997)

190+ IP countries

(VC est. June 1997)

50 Million Users

(NUA Jul 1997)

115 Million Servers

(NW/TC Jan 2001)

218/246 IP countries

(NW Jan 2000)

513 Million Users

(NUA Aug 2001)

(approx. 1.3 Billion Telephone Terminations)

Users on the Internet – Aug 2001Users on the Internet – Aug 2001

CAN/US - 180.68M Europe - 154.63M Asia/Pac - 143.99M Latin Am - 25.33M Africa - 4.15M Mid-east - 4.65M

--------------------------- Total - 513.41 M

CAN/US

Europe

Asia/Pac

Latin Am

Africa

Mid East

(Source www.nua.ie)(Source www.nua.ie)

Internet User TrendsInternet User Trends

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

Year

Use

rs (

Mill

ions

)

Source: Nua Internet Surveys + vgc projections

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

1600000

198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006

hosts mobiles?

Global Internet Hosts (000s) 1989-2006Global Internet Hosts (000s) 1989-2006

513 Million users

Source: Cerf, based on www.nw.com, Jun 2000 + LM EricssonSource: Cerf, based on www.nw.com, Jun 2000 + LM Ericsson

Internet and MultiMediaInternet and MultiMedia

Internet multicast “video” (MPEG, RN...), telephony and “radio” (MP3, RN, …)

Transport of Internet traffic on cable, direct broadcast satellite, radio and broadcast TV

DSL, Cable modems, Gigabit Ethernet, MMDS, … (isdn)…

Real-time quality of service support, VOIP, Internet-enabled Call Centers

Handwriting and voice recognition.

Net-based Speech RecognitionNet-based Speech Recognition

Any speech-carrying medium (telephone, Internet, VPN) can carry commands to a speech “processor” on the net.

Speech recognizer can “command” any device on the net

Or deliver commands to any online service

UMASS Web server on a chipUMASS Web server on a chipborn born 10 AM, 14 July 1999

TCP/IP code itself fits in about 256 bytes (12-bit)

PIC 12C509A, running at 4MHz

24LC256 i2c EEPROM HTTP 1.0 and RFC

1122 compliant eternity.cs.umass.edu:

9080/index0.html

Internet Enabled Appliances Internet Enabled Appliances

Electrolux ScreenFridge Previewed, Feb. 99

Domotechnica Trade Show, Cologne, Germany

FEATURES Email & video mail Surf the Web TV/radio receiver Digital cookbook Product information & tips Surveillance camera

IP Enabled Picture FrameIP Enabled Picture Frame

Ceiva Digital Picture Frame

Features Plug & Play 640 x 480 VGA JPEG Image Format Storage: 20 photos/250

on-line

WWW.CEIVA.COM

SIP TelephonySIP Telephony

Session Initiation Protocol Telephones

Cisco Systems, Pingtel, etc.

“email” addressing ENUM:

1.1.9.3.0.6.5.3.0.7.1.e164.arpa = sip:vinton.g.cerf@wcom.com

Internet-enabled DevicesInternet-enabled Devices Programmable – Java, Python, etc. Information appliances

WebTV, Palm-Pilot, Nokia 9000,Sony, Nintendo, Sega games (video conf)

Refrigerator (and the bathroom scales) Automobiles (Japan, [Netherlands]) Internet-enabled wine corks Internet-enabled socks

Next Generation InternetNext Generation Internet

IPv6 - 128 bits of addressing Theoretically hosts IPSEC Significant transition effort needed IANA officially announced IPv6

allocations on July 14, 1999

1010 3838

Internet Society ChaptersInternet Society Chapters

A critical resource for our motto: “Internet is for Everyone”

Social and cultural opportunities on the Net (cf. Luxembourg art gallery visit)

Policy development and information exchange

Fostering business interests and the general public’s use of Internet including education.

Policy IssuesPolicy Issues

Privacy/Security (EC, US, other…) Cryptography and export Trademarks, Domain Names, Copyright Regulatory Framework and convergence

(TV, Radio, Telephony) Taxation, Liability and Dispute Resolution Censorship/Voluntary Filtering Digital Signatures/Certificate issuance

Future look. .

Interplanetary Internet:Interplanetary Internet:“InterPlaNet”“InterPlaNet”

Planetary internets Interplanetary Gateways Interplanetary Channel Protocol

“bundles” encapsulated in CCSDS link .earth.sol.int, .mars.sol.int

Functional Layers of Protocol Interplanetary Network and Information

Systems Directorate (old DSN) Project supports Mars mission plans

Cerf’s slides and other Cerf’s slides and other Internet information can be Internet information can be found at:found at:

www.wcom.com/cerfsupwww.isoc.org/internetlivinginternet.comwww.gip.orgwww.ipnsig.orgwww.ipv6forum.comwww.ipv6forum.com