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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS. MIPIM 2011 Cannes. GLOBAL TRENDS. “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander. Mar 2011. Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Mar 2011
MIPIM 2011 Cannes
Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President
GLOBALGLOBAL TRENDSTRENDS
“It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it”Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander
Key Points
1. The World• World of Contrasts• Urban World• Mobile world• Refuge Blocks• Global players• Global issues /Crisis• Global Imbalances
2. Global Trends• Mobility• Digital Era• Identity –Culture
3. Lessons ?• Innovate. Integrate.Inspire
Global Trends
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
A World of Contrasts
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Sao Paulo, Brazil
•North – Old and Rich•South – Young and Poor•South 90% < 25 years old
Jodhpur, India
Rich/poorKnowledgeDigital fracture
•Brain drain/Mobility•Competing Cities
Digital fracture
•6,5 billions population•5,2 billions mobiles•4,5 billions radios•3,5 billions tv•1,6 billion computers•0,5 b Facebook
An Urban World
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
The World•2007 : > 50% urban population•Monster or sustainable cities ?• + 3 b people in South Cities by 2050•500 000 slum dwellers /month
Sao Paulo, Brazil
An Urban World
Population m•Tokyo 35.2•Jakarta 22,0•Bombay 21,2•Delhi 21,0•Manila 20,8•New York 20,6•Sao Paulo 20,2•Seoul 19,9•Mexico 18,7•Shanghai 18.4•Cairo 17,3
GUP b €•Tokyo 1 191 •New York 1 133•Los Angeles 639•Paris 460•Chicago 460•Londres 452•Osaka-Kobe 341•Mexico 315•Philadelphia 312•Washington 299
A World of mobility
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
•6 % The world Population – 2008•2020 : 15% of EU population from Africa•Delocalisation v/s immigration •Climate refugees•Mass tourism•Retired living 2 summers•Expats for Creative cities
Nomades , Mali
A Mobile WorldPeople – Ideas - Goods
A World of refuge blocks
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
DiversityRegionalisation
•By Region•By Culture•By Trade•By Geopolitics
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Emerging nations•BRICS + CIVETS•2008 : FDI 65 000 billions US$
Networks PowerMultinationalsWorld FinanceCivil SocietyNGOs
A World of Global Players
Global Entreprises•Exxon – BP – Toyota - Nokia•Vectors of norms
New kind of economyNew kind of economybased on networksbased on networks
•New principlesNew principles•New ways of creating valuesNew ways of creating values
A World of Global Issues and Crisis
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Climate ChangeCultural DiversityEconomic CrisisFood crisisLand ownership
CO2 Emissions tons/person•Qatar 48.3•Bahrein 27.0•Emirates 25.9•Koweit 25.7•Luxembourg 23.6
Climate refugeesBangladesh Abandoned city
Texas, USA
Global TrendsTechnological progressTechnological progressGlobal imbalancesGlobal imbalancesHealth and PandemiasHealth and PandemiasIncreasing MobilityIncreasing MobilityEnvironment DeclineEnvironment DeclineIdentity v/s GlobalisatioIdentity v/s Globalisation
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Specific Trends for the TradeAsymmetrical MarketSustainability OpportunitiesRetired population marketMass TourismCultural projects
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Louvre Abu DhabiLouvre Abu Dhabi
Global Trends : MOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - GoodsMOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - Goods
MobilityMobilityAir TravelAir TravelIntermodal containerIntermodal containerCyberspaceCyberspaceGlobal hubsGlobal hubs
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Choking citiesJakarta – Up to 10h/dayIndia - $6b/year
Bogota TransMilenio 400km by 2012Curitiba – 1100 km : 2m pax
2015: 600 m living 2 summers
2020: 1,6 b tourists 2010: $ 460 b remittance - 230 m people
HNI : with nomad tools
•Urban mobility •Management models•MIT + Singapore
Digital EraDigital EraDeath of distance?Death of distance?Mobility acceleratorMobility acceleratorNew organisation of spaceNew organisation of space
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
•Increased productivity/efficiency•Online database•Health identifier•Distance learning•Exchange accelerator•Mobile meteo for farmers in Africa•Internet / Facebook revolution•Wikileaks : Big brother II
Global Trends : DIGITAL ERADIGITAL ERA
Identity - CultureIdentity - Culture
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
March 2011March 2011•Rio carnivalRio carnival•Francophony dayFrancophony day•Haiku – World Poetry DayHaiku – World Poetry Day
Global Trends : IDENTITY - CULTUREIDENTITY - CULTURE
Bilbao
Singapore –National Art Gallery
Hybrid/Fusion = InnovationHybrid/Fusion = Innovation
Lessons ?
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Thin
k o
utsi
de t
he
box
Thin
k o
utsi
de t
he
box
New ModelNew Model•Connecting mobilities, affinities, identities, languages•Understanding a globalized, integrated, collaborative world •Sharing new mobility (knowledge/resources) •Designing necessity into beauty
Shi SheiGratias
ObrigadoMerci
SpasibaThank youShoukran
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Gaëtan Siew Imm P President