International (UN?) Decade of Ocean Science and Sustainable

Development

Dr Vladimir Ryabinin (IOC of UNESCO)

WMO, Geneva

24 October 2017

The 2030 Agenda and SDG 14

1. Poverty

2. Food

3. Health

6. Water

7. Energy

8. Industry

11. Cities

13. Climate

1. Pollution

2. Ecosystems

3. Acidification

4. 6. b. Fishing

5. Protected Areas

6. Resources: SIDS & LDCs

a. Science capacity

c. UNCLOS

Pollution and waste

(Environmental Health

Perspectives, Feb 2015)

Condition of fish stocks

(Courtesy FAO, 2008)

Ocean Hazards: Tsunami

(Tohoku, 2011)

(Guadeloupe)

Ocean-driven hazards:

Hurricane Irma, the Caribbean

(Photos: The Telegraph)

Ocean observations

make it possible to better

predict the track and

intensity of tropical

cyclones

Climate change and other anthropogenic changes: sea-level,

tropical cyclones, coastal megacity subsidence, & urbanization

(Source: LEGOS)

(Source: DELTARES)

(Source: NASA) (Source: UN)

Earth System Perspective

Consult this publication on line at ht tp://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264251724-en.

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The Ocean Economy in 2030

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The Ocean Economy in 2030

Contents

Chapter 1. An overview of the ocean economy: Assessments and recommendations

Part I. Global trends and macro-factors influencing the ocean economy

Chapter 2. Global trends and uncertainties to 2030/2060

Chapter 3. Expected changes to the ocean environment: Impacts on the ocean economy

Part II. Crit ical factors influencing the emerging ocean-based industries

Chapter 4. Science, technology and innovation in tomorrow’s ocean economy

Chapter 5. International maritime regulation and emerging ocean-based industries

Chapter 6. Measuring the global economic contribution of ocean-based industries

Part III. Perspectives on and projections of the future of the ocean economy

Chapter 7. Growth prospects, challenges and uncertainties for selected ocean industries

Chapter 8. Ocean industries to 2030

Chapter 9. Towards integrated ocean management

ISBN 978-92-64-25171-7

92 2016 02 1

Near-term growth:

Shipping, shipbuilding and repair,

port activity, marine aquaculture,

offshore wind, and marine tourism

Later:

Renewable energy, biotechnology,

and carbon capture and storage

Less strong growth in the future:

Oil and gas, capture fisheries

Ocean Economy in 2030 (OECD, 2016)

Blue Economy

Deep-Sea genetic Resources, Marine Pharmacology

Properties of

marine-born

medications:

Antibacterial

Anti-inflammatory

Neuroprotective

Antiparasitic

Antiviral

Anticancer

Analgesic

Antimicrobial

Antimalarial

Immunomodulating and

Immunostimulating Resistance to antibiotics

Cancer

Alzheimer disease (Harshad Malve, 2016)

An urgent need for scientific solutions

Poor knowledge on

cumulative stressors

(climate

change/pollution/habitat

)

Only 5% of the

seafloor mapped in

high resolution

160 million square

km of deep sea,

mostly unexplored

Little capacity to

predict impacts of

ocean acidification

Up to a million of

marine species yet

to be discovered

Carbon balance?

Future sea level?

Energy for tropical cyclones?

Fate of ocean ecosystems?

Ocean-related predictability

???

Discoveries:

Twilight zone

Pan et al. 2012

How ‘big’ is our ocean science?

UN Ocean Conference – New Level of Awareness and Commitment - New York, 5 to 9 June 2017

- Co-hosted by Fiji and Sweden

- Call for Action, c.a. 1400 commitments including c.a. 500 of scientific nature

- First ideas in early 2016 - Brainstorming - IOC Executive Council - Concept and Proposal - Voluntary commitment - Resolution XXXIX.1 IOC-29 - Submission to UNGA72

Beneficiaries of new ocean knowledge?

UN Processes

SDG

implementation,

Fisheries

management,

SAMOA Pathway,

BBNJ agreement,

World Ocean

Assessment,

IPCC, IPBES…

Civil Society

Awareness raising,

ocean literacy,

citizens engagement

Users/providers of

Marine Technology

Exchange mechanism for

marine technology,

capacity development,

R& D investment

Science community

Collaborative science

networks, access to

data, capacity

development

Scientific Knowledge

Governments

support policy, SDG ,

Blue Economy,

EEZ management,

climate change strategy

Private Sector

Blue Economy, investment

opportunities, efficiency

Some Desired Outcomes

• Cumulative stressors – reverse heath impacts;

• Good ocean stewardship for ocean economy;

• Reduced vulnerability to hazards;

• Benefits from resources & technology, esp. SIDS/ LDCs;

• Capacity development / transfer of marine technology;

• Ocean literacy, training / education;

• Cooperation, coordination, communication;

• Informed policy- and decision-makers.

Some Expected Outputs

• A new generation of observing technologies,

embracing biochemical, biological, biodiversity and

ecosystem variables

• Full scope ocean prediction as a part of

Earth System Prediction;

• Complete mapping of the ocean: the bathymetry,

subduction zones, hot vents, etc.;

• A comprehensive ocean information portal;

• Potentially a breakthrough in adaptation of the ocean

ecosystems to climate change;

• Ocean as a part of school education;

• A partnership of likeminded stakeholders

both within and outside the UN system.

On board:

But also

Industry/ marine

technology

sector, NGOs,

Science

networks, CD

networks and

institutions…

Timeline

The International (UN) Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development

2021-2030