INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTION: …The Context 2 Growth rate 1990-1999 1% per year Growth rate 2000-2010 3.1% per year Growth rate 2010 5.9% yr Growth rate 2009-1.3% per

INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTION:

PROCESS & CONTENT

UNFCCC,08/06/2015

DURBAN FORUM

The Context

2

Growth rate1990-1999

1% per year

Growth rate2000-2010

3.1% per year

Growth rate20105.9% yr

Growth rate2009

-1.3% per year

Evolution of global CO2 emissions since 1990

3

Erosion at Cap Lopez

Clliff at Santa‐Clara Erosion at SablièreCocobeach

Erosion at Sea front of Libreville

The Context

4

Historic

1992 : Rio / UNFCCC

1993 : Environment Law

2000 : PNAE

2001:Forestry Code

2002 : National Parks

2006 : Kyoto Protocol

2007 : Joined GGFR

2009:

COP Copenhagen2012: PSGE

2013: Plan Climat

2014:LODD

2015:PNAT + AGEOS

INDC

The Context

5

… From environmental awareness

….to an economic strategy

Transforming constraints into economic and social sustainable opportunities

=Anticipate to better control the future

GHG emission profile

6

10 613

3 870 1 431 90 408 363

-74 767 -80 000

-70 000

-60 000

-50 000

-40 000

-30 000

-20 000

-10 000

0

10 000

20 000

Combustion énergies fossiles

Torchage Changements dans l’affectation des terres et de la

foresterie

Procédés industriels Déchets Agriculture

GgC

O2e

q Inventaire des émissions de GES (2000)

7

In the world In Gabon

GHG emission profile

Public policies

8

• Land Use National Plan• Creation of National Parks• Setting up a forestry code• Prohibiting exports of wood logs

Land Use and Land Use Change

• Flaring Reduction Plan• Development of gas‐fired power plantsFlaring

• Hydroelectric dams (Grand Poubara, Fe II, Empress)• Prohibition of heavy fuel oil and replacement with gas• Development of renewable energy (excluding hydro)

Energy

• Development of a national carbon diagnostic tool• Development of renewable energy• Ban on import of vehicles over 3 years

Others

The Methodology

9

Data collection:Detailed review of important data on each sector with high climate impact

Technical meetings:Formulating hypotheses and scenarios

Writing:Agglomeration information and put into perspective

10

Foreign AffairsPolitical leadership of climat negotiations

National Climate CouncilTechnical coordination of the drafting of the INDC

Ministry and Technical Agency‐ Data sources and explanations necessary for structuring

the INDC‐ Ensures the implementation of public policies

Stakeholders: Public sectors

The Methodology

The Methodology

11

Meetings with key players in the carbon‐intensive sectors:

Secteur Pétrolier

• TOTAL, • SHELL, • PERENCO, • ADDAX, • MAUREL ET

PROM, • CNRI

Secteur Agricole

• Programme Graine,

• OLAM, • SIAT Gabon

Stakeholders: private sectors

The Content

12

TYPE OF ENGAGEMENT Reduction compared to uncontrolled development scenario

SCOPE Total GHG emissions beyond carbon storage in forest biomass

GHG CO2, CH4, N2O

Reference year 2000

PÉRIODE 2010‐2025 (framework time of the Strategic Plan Gabon Emergent)

LEVEL OF REDUCTIONAt least 50% reduction in emissions compared to uncontrolleddevelopment scenario in 2025

CARBONE CREDITS No discount for purchasing carbon credits from Gabon

PUBLIC POLICIES :ENERGY:

1‐ Carbon Diagnostic

13

The Content : ENERGY

14

The Content : GAZ FLAIRING

15

The National Flaring Reduction Plan is built on the basis of:• commitments of each oil operator• the organization by the State of a gas market

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Gm

3 /an

Gaz torché Plan initial0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

GgC

O2

Gaz torché GgCO2 Gain par rapport au tendanciel GgCO2 Plan de torchage initial (Plan Climat) GgCO2

The content : Electricity

16

2013‐ Grand Poubara

2018‐ Fe II‐ Impératrice‐ Ngoulmendjim

PUBLIC POLICIES :LAND USE AND LAND USE CHANGE:

1‐ Land Use National Plan

17

GHG emission profile 2000

18

‐100000

‐80000

‐60000

‐40000

‐20000

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

Fossil fuels Flaring LULUCF Industry Waste Agriculture

Sequestration

Degradation

Deforestation

GgCO2eq

• “Trend" scenario which corresponds to a classic economic development

Scénario 1: Business As Usual

• “Mastered" scenario taking into account all the public policies implemented after 2000 such as:

– the Forest Code,– National parks,– The National Land Use Plan– National Flare Reduction Plan and,– Strategic planning PSGE with its

industrial development to low carbon.

Scénario 2: Mitigation

19

• Population growth of 2.5% per year• Economic growth (excluding oil sector) of 10% per year from 2010

The philosophy of Gabon’s commitments

Land Use National Plan (PNAT)

20

« Action 9

Plan National d’Affectation des Terres

The MAP will guarantee the balance between the different

uses of the land.

It will avoid conflicts born of multiple assignments of the same

land for incompatible uses.»

Public policies: LULUCF

21

PSGE

Oil Mines Forestery agricultureand aging

PreservationConservation

TransportationInfrastructure

Urban habitatand rural area

Energy& Water

Defense

Legal and institutional framework

Main sectors using large area:

Goals Informationssharing

Design and scenarios

Constructive and inclusive dialogue

PNAT 0Assignment - ReassignmentImplementing

and monitoringPNAT 1

Methodological approach : PNAT


Ministry of Mines

National Parcs Agency

Infrastructure AgencyMinistry of oil

Ministry of water and forest Ministry of Agriculture

Land Use National Plan PNAT 0: Meeting

Land Use National Plan PNAT 0: Meeting

Land Use National PlanLand Use National Plan

Seasonality: large and small dry season

eg : Locate favorable land for agricultureOil Palm case study

Climat favorable

annual rainfall

Climate naturally favorable area for oil palm

Relief, géologie et accessibilité des terres favorables

areasnaturally available for large‐scaleAgricultural

Altitudes

1000m

0m

Geology

Formedes terres

Land Use National PlanLand Use National Planeg : Locate favorable land for agriculture

Palm case study

Minimiser la perte des habitats et l’émission de carbone due à la déforestation

Habitats naturels Carbone au‐dessous du sol

T/ha0 – 35

35 – 100100 – 150150 – 200200 – 250250 – 300300 – 350350 – 400400 – 450450 +

Zones de faible valeur

de biomasse / carbone

Land Use National PlanLand Use National PlanExemple : Localisation des terres favorables à l’agriculture

Palm case study


Palm case studyAccès aux infrastructures et travailleurs; Minimiser conflit avec d’autres usages de terre

Zones relativementaccessibles et pluslibres en terme des autres affectations

Population et infrastructures

15.000

150.000

500.000 +

Autres affectations des terres

PétroleMinesForestierAgricultureParcsAires Protégées


Cas d’étude du palmier

Synthèse des critères multiples


Cas d’étude du palmier

Une planification cohérente Terre - Mer

Zone de pêche artisanale très importante

Zone importante pour la protection des eaux


3‐ National Inventory of Natural Resources

29

NATIONAL INVENTORY OF NATURAL RESOURCES

30

Creating a national network of plots for forest monitoring in time100 1‐ha plots already established with a goal of 400 to 600 plots


NATIONAL INVENTORY OF NATURAL RESOURCES

31


The philosophy of Gabon’s commitments

32

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

160 000

180 000

200 000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

GgC

O2

Développement tendanciel Développement maîtrisé

Taken together, the commitments of Gabon should reduce GHG emissions by more than 330,000 GgCO2 on 2010‐2025, or 52% compared to the baseline scenario (58% in 2025)

The Content : LULUCF

33

National Parks

Forest Code

PNAT


2‐ Land Gabonese Agency for Space Studies and Observations (AGEOS)

34

35

LibrevilleGABON

Distribution of observation stations around the world

Gabonese Agency for Space Studies and Observations Public policies: LULUCF

36

Gabonese Agency for Space Studies and Observations

3 composantes principales‐ Antenne de réception directe X band (8‐8.4 GHz),Multi mission et multi capteurs : Optique & Radar, G/T=33,8; Diamètre de 7.30 m, 5°EL, Cercle de réception de 2800 km.

‐ Centre de Compétence Services administratifs, Services techniques (réception et traitement), Recherche & Formation.

‐ Infrastructure de distribution des donnéesGEOportail (Outil Catalogue) www.ageos.ga (3037 images L7&8, 109 SPOT4 & 5)

Direct Receiving Station


Forests

Water resources

Coastal environment

Urban environment

Update mapping

Maritime surveillance

Main applications



eg. of results: North of Lambaréné

Page 39



The Content : LULUCF

41

‐1,000,000,000

‐500,000,000

‐

500,000,000

1,000,000,000

1,500,000,000

2,000,000,000

2,500,000,000

3,000,000,000

1990

1993

1996

1999

2002

2005

2008

2011

2014

2017

2020

2023

2026

2029

2032

2035

2038

2041

2044

2047

2050

Emission

s (TC

)

Comparing business as usual, global average deforestation rates and managed emissions to 2050

Business as usual emissions (TC)

Managed emissions (TC)

Net Business as usual emissions (TC)

Net managed emissions (TC)

Emissions considering 0.53% deforestationafter 2015

Net emissions considering 0.53%deforestation after 2015

THANK YOU TO USA/LEDS PROGRAM AND FRANCE/AFD FOR SUPPORT

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

42

Documents

INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTION: …The Context 2 Growth rate 1990-1999 1% per year Growth rate 2000-2010 3.1% per year Growth rate 2010 5.9% yr Growth rate 2009-1.3% per