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Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization Edward C Tifft Jr. Water Supply Symposium | Syracuse, NY | September 21, 2017

Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

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Page 1: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization

Edward C Tifft Jr. Water Supply Symposium | Syracuse, NY | September 21, 2017

Page 2: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Introduction

▪Two Massachusetts Cities’ water utilities were facing:

➢ Significant Capital upgrades;

➢ Institution of long-term capital renewal programs to address aging

systems; and

➢Reluctance to adopt rate increases.

▪What we are going to look at:

➢Look at each utility’s characteristics and needs

➢Review the approach each used to achieve results

➢Discuss take-aways that are applicable for all utilities

Page 3: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Overview – Utilities for discussion

▪Two communities in the Merrimack

River, north of Boston

▪Lawrence Water Department

▪Lowell Regional Water Utility

(serves five communities)

▪Both operate independently, from

a financial perspective

▪Fairly similar systems but different

financial conditions

Page 4: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Common Characteristics

▪How can a utility afford millions of dollars in critical water system upgrades while maintaining rates for residents and businesses?

Page 5: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment

▪Up Front Financial Analysis➢ Important to think of each utility as a business, but operating with the goal of

efficient delivery of water rather than profit generation

➢Revenue stream Identification and Improvement

➢ Identify and implement available Cost Reductions

➢Understand the incentives available

▪Master Plan / Capital Improvement Planning➢Reprioritization of CIP needs based upon BCA v. criticality on major assets

➢Hydraulic Modeling for distribution improvement

oCriticality Analysis• Likelihood of Failure

• Consequence of Failure

Page 6: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence Water Works

➢Service Population: 80,000

➢Supply: Merrimack River

➢Average Production: ~7 MGD

➢Operating Budget: ~$9.7 mil

➢Customers: ~18,000

➢“Large” Customers: ~900

Challenges: Costs of Capital Renewal (mains & valves), Fire Suppression Ability

Page 7: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Treatment Staff Reorganization

$124,000 annually

Page 8: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Chemical Optimization

$460,000 annually

Merrimack Valley Chemical Consortium

KOH → NaOH

Reduce Polymer Dose

Reduce Alum Dose

$190k

$225k

$30k

$15k

Page 9: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Backwash Optimization

$800,000 annually

Page 10: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Raw & Finished Water Pumps

Before After

horsepower 850 500

MGD 12 8.5

TDH (ft) 303 216

Control Valve VFD

$35,000 annually $440,000 one-time

Page 11: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Operational Optimization Measures

$60,000 annually

Reduced UV Setpoint

Adjust Thermostat Setpoint

Energy Efficiency Measures

$10K

$40K

$10K

Page 12: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Revenue Optimization – Meter Replacement & Right-sizing

$1,300,000 annually

Page 13: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Revenue Optimization – Solar (photovoltaic) Array

$63,000 annually

Page 14: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Summary of Optimization Results

ItemAnnual Expense

Reduction

Annual Revenue

Increase

Treatment Staff Reorg $124,000

Chemical Optimization $460,000

Filter Backwash Optimization $800,000

Energy Efficiency $95,000

Water Meter Replacement $1,300,000

Solar (Photovoltaic) Array $63,000

Sub Total $1,479,000 $1,363,000

Grand Total $2,842,000

$2.8M in new

resources

annually on a

$9.7 Million

annual operating

budget

What to do

with the new

resources?

Page 15: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Capital Investment Prioritization

Hydraulic Modeling and Criticality Analysis

➢Water Quality➢Low residual chlorine

➢DBPR

➢Likelihood of Failure➢Pipe Age/Material

➢Consequence of Failure➢Fire flow

➢Critical customers

➢Parcel density

Page 16: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Capital Investment Prioritization

Likelihood Consequence

Composite Criticality

Use of mapping in two ways:

1. Overlay against mapping of non-

operative valves to identify critical

valve replacements

2. Prioritization of main replacement

considering age and other City

activities (i.e. paving & sewers)

Page 17: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lawrence – Results

➢Combining the findings of an upfront financial analysis with investment prioritization lead to intelligent and sustainable capital investment planning.

➢Allowed for the beginning of a capital renewal program which had a rational basis for scheduling of replacements and would have been difficult to implement without figuring out how to fund the program as part of the process

Page 18: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell Regional Water Utility (LRWU)

➢ Service Population: 105,000

➢ Supply: Merrimack River

➢ Average Production: ~12.5 MGD

➢ Operating Budget: ~ $10M

➢ Customers: ~24,500

➢ “Large” Customers: ~1,300

Challenges: Treatment Plant Investments, Redundancy on Critical Assets, CR

Page 19: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Pump/Motor Replacements

Before After

horsepower 2,000 2,000

Improved redundancy and VFDs

Control none VFD

$80,000 annually

Page 20: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Revenue Optimization – Commercial Meters / Right-sizing

$500,000 annually

Page 21: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Revenue Optimization – Solar (photovoltaic) Array

$125,000 annually

Page 22: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Critical Redundancy Provision– Raw Water Main

($530,000) annually

Page 23: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Critical Asset Rehabilitation – Lagoon Cleanout

($63,000) annually

Page 24: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Critical Asset Renewal – Water Mains and Valves

($190,000) annually

Page 25: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Revenue Optimization – Residential Meters / AMI

$125,000 annually

Page 26: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Critical Asset Rehabilitation – PS Rehabilitation

($80,000) annually

Page 27: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Critical Asset Rehabilitation – WTP Upgrades

($145,000) annually

Page 28: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Critical Asset Rehabilitation – Residual Lagoon Repairs

($115,000) annually

Page 29: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Critical Asset Rehabilitation – Reservoir Dam Upgrades

($25,000) annually

Page 30: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Optimization of Costs and Revenues

Summary of Optimization and Reinvestment Results

ItemAnnual Expense

ReductionAnnual Revenue

IncreaseAnnual Debt Service

IncreaseLarge Pump / Motor Replacement $80,000

Commercial Meter Replacement $500,000

Solar PV Installation $125,000

Redundant Raw Water Main ($530,000)

Lagoon Cleaning ($57,000)

Water Mains & Valves ($190,000)

Residential Meter Replacement $125,000

Pump Station Rehabilitation ($80,000)

WTP Upgrades ($145,000)

Residual Lagoon Repairs ($115,000)

Reservoir Dam Improvements ($25,000)

Sub Total $205,000 $625,000

Grand Total $830,000 ($1,142,000)

Page 31: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Lowell – Results

➢Combining the findings of an upfront identification of non-core revenue producing projects with a tradition investment prioritization lead to appropriate capital investment planning.

➢On a net basis, the program provided the utility with about 3/4ths of the cash flow necessary to cover debt service associated with critical asset renewal and upgrade projects

➢Intentional scheduling of the projects ensured that revenue streams were accretive before debt service from projects later in the program began to hit the utility budget.

Page 32: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Closing Thoughts

▪Often, utilities are constrained in their ability to do what is needed by financial concerns of ratepayers

▪Most utilities have uncaptured ability to increase revenues in a rate neutral way

▪Outside incentive programs exist that can help improve your operating economics

▪Intelligently ordering a capital program and capturing additional finances can help solve or reduce many of the economic challenges facing utilities

Page 33: Intelligent and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial ... and Sustainable Capital Investment: Financial Analysis and Operational Optimization ... Combining the findings of an upfront

Questions?

Toby Fedder, [email protected]

866.702.6371