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Information Processing: Contracts versus Communication Andreas Blume Inga Deimen Sean Inoue U Arizona U Arizona Colgate U October 2020

Information Processing: Contracts versus Communication€¦ · Contracts versus communication A principal expects to receive private information The principal relies on an agent acting

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Page 1: Information Processing: Contracts versus Communication€¦ · Contracts versus communication A principal expects to receive private information The principal relies on an agent acting

Information Processing:Contracts versus Communication

Andreas Blume Inga Deimen Sean Inoue

U Arizona U Arizona Colgate U

October 2020

Page 2: Information Processing: Contracts versus Communication€¦ · Contracts versus communication A principal expects to receive private information The principal relies on an agent acting

Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Contracts versus communication

• A principal expects to receive private information

• The principal relies on an agent acting on that information

• Ideally, complete control in advance:actions pre-specified for all contingencies

• Difficult to exercise this degree of control

• Role for non-binding ad hoc communication (cheap talk)

Questions:

When to commit (to instructions) and when to communicate?

How do contract and cheap talk interact?

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 1

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Timeline of the gameStage 1: Principal writes contract

• Codifes language that makes conditions (sets of states) andactions (instructions) verifiable to third parties

• Commits principal to provide instructions (not state)

• Commits agent to follow instructions• Incompleteness: effort to make conditions verifiable

• Finitely many instructions and potential gaps

θ

x

0 1C1 C2 C3

x1

x2

x3

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 2

Page 4: Information Processing: Contracts versus Communication€¦ · Contracts versus communication A principal expects to receive private information The principal relies on an agent acting

Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Timeline of the gameStage 1: Principal writes contract

• Codifes language that makes conditions (sets of states) andactions (instructions) verifiable to third parties

• Commits principal to provide instructions (not state)

• Commits agent to follow instructions• Incompleteness: effort to make conditions verifiable

• Finitely many instructions and potential gaps

θ

x

0 1C1 C2 C3

x1

x2

x3

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 2

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Timeline of the game

Stage 2: State realizes and is privately observed by principal

Stage 3: Principal communicates with agent:

• Sends instruction (contract)

• Sends cheap talk recommendation (gap)

Stage 4: Agent takes action

• Follows instruction (contract)

• Chooses action (gap)

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 3

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Timeline of the game

θ

x , y

0 1C1 C2 C3

x1

x2

x3

θ1 θ2 θ3

y1y2

y3

y4

Stage 5: States in the contract become verifiable

• Contract establishes language that makes states in thecontract verifiable

• Informal communication cannot be verified

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 4

Page 7: Information Processing: Contracts versus Communication€¦ · Contracts versus communication A principal expects to receive private information The principal relies on an agent acting

Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Timeline of the game

θ

x , y

0 1C1 C2 C3

x1

x2

x3

θ1 θ2 θ3

y1y2

y3

y4

Stage 5: States in the contract become verifiable

• Contract establishes language that makes states in thecontract verifiable

• Informal communication cannot be verified

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 4

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Take-aways

Tradeoff: ex ante commitment versus ex post discretion

General preferences:

• Small disagreement: communication dominates

• Many clauses: contracting dominates

Uniform-quadratic:

• Contracts relax incentive constraints in communication

• Benefits from contract• direct: shifts control to principal• indirect: more actions in communication

more equalized communication intervals

Example:

• Contracts cover states with more conflict

• Contracts cover states that are more likely

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 5

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Related literature

• Crawford and Sobel (1982) (Cheap talk)

• Dye (1985), Battigalli & Maggi (2002) (Writing cost)

• Shavell (2006), Heller & Spiegler (2008), Schwartz & Watson(2013) (Contract interpretation)

• Aumann & Hart (2003), Krishna & Morgan (2004), Golosov,Skreta, Tsyvinski, & Wilson (2014) (Endogenouscommunication thresholds)

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 6

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Model

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 7

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Model

• Players:• Sender (Principal)• Receiver (Agent)

• Receiver’s action y ∈ R

• State θ ∈ [0, 1] with θ ∼ F , f (θ) > 0

• Payoffs: standard concave loss functions satisfying positivemixed-partial condition

• Sender US (y , θ, b)• Receiver UR (y , θ)• positive sender-bias b > 0

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 8

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Timing of the contract writing game G

1. Sender writes a contract – C• simple – not fully detailed complete• gaps – potentially not obligationally complete

2. Sender observes the state• contract induces action• gap induces communication

3. Communication subgame – ΓC

• sender sends message• receiver takes action

Goal: characterize sender-optimal SPEa

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 9

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Contract writing game G (K , b)

• Sender writes contract C = {(Ck , xk)}Kk=1

• Clauses (Ck , xk), k = 1, . . . ,K

• Conditions are intervals in the state space, Ck ⊆ [0, 1]

• Instructions xk ∈ R

• K ≤ K

• Commitment:If θ ∈ Ck , action xk implemented

θ

0 1C1 C2

x1 x2

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 10

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Communication subgame ΓC

• Gap in the contract: L(C) := [0, 1] \⋃Kk=1 Ck

• Sender strategy (messages) σ : L(C)→ ∆(M)

• Receiver strategy (actions) ρ : M → R

• No commitment

• Partitional equilibria• critical types θi• “steps” = induced actions yi

• Γ0 induced by C0 is a CS game:

θ

0 1

y1 y2 y3

m1 m2 m3

θ1 θ2

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 11

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Communication subgame ΓC

• Gap in the contract: L(C) := [0, 1] \⋃Kk=1 Ck

• Sender strategy (messages) σ : L(C)→ ∆(M)

• Receiver strategy (actions) ρ : M → R

• No commitment

• Partitional equilibria• critical types θi• “steps” = induced actions yi

θ

0 1

y1 y2 y3 y4

m1 m2 m3 m4

θ1 θ2 θ3

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 12

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Example

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 13

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Example: K = 1 and b = 13

• Uniform distribution, quadratic payoffs, constant bias• Sender: US (y , θ, b) = −(θ + b− y)2

• Receiver: UR (y , θ) = −(θ − y)2

• There cannot be an equilibrium with more than two steps

• We compare:no contract, 0-step, 1-step, and 2-step optimal contracts

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 14

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Example: no contract, 0-step

No contract = CS communication:

C∗0 :θ

0 1

y

Obligationally complete contract = no communication (0-step):

C∗0 :θ

0 1

x

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 15

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Example: 1-step and 2-step

Allowing for 1-step communication:

C∗1 :θ

0 1

xy

Allowing for 2-step communication:

C∗2 :θ

0 1

x

θ1

y1 y2

The sender’s payoffs are ordered:no contract ≺ obl. complete contract ≺ 1-step ≺ 2-step contract

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 16

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Example with different parameters

Increase number of clauses to K = 2, keeping b = 13 :

C∗0 :θ

0 1

x1 x2

Increase number of clauses to K = 2 and decrease bias to b = 15

(recall: without contract maximally two actions in equilibrium):

C∗3 :θ

0 1

x1 x2y1 y2 y3

θ1 θ2

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 17

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Example: take-aways

• More clauses improve payoff

• More clauses can drive out communication

• Communication can replace contracting for smaller bias

• More communication actions with contract compared to CS:

Contract relaxes incentive constraints in communication

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 18

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

General results

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 19

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Maximal use of clausesThe sender optimally uses as many clauses as possible:

Proposition 1

If C = {(Ck , xk)}Kk=1 is an optimal contract in G (K , b), then

K = K .

• Intuition:• Replace communication interval: sender imposes her bias• Split existing clause: actions more precise

θ

0 1

y1 y2 y3θ1 θ2

x

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 20

Page 24: Information Processing: Contracts versus Communication€¦ · Contracts versus communication A principal expects to receive private information The principal relies on an agent acting

Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Maximal use of clausesThe sender optimally uses as many clauses as possible:

Proposition 1

If C = {(Ck , xk)}Kk=1 is an optimal contract in G (K , b), then

K = K .

• Intuition:• Replace communication interval: sender imposes her bias• Split existing clause: actions more precise

θ

0 1

y1 y2 y3θ1 θ2

x

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 20

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Many clauses

If the maximal number of clauses goes to infinity, contractingdrives out communication:

Proposition 2

For any sequence of {LK}∞K=1

of gaps arising in sender-optimal

equilibria e(K , b) of contract-writing games G (K , b),K = 1, 2, . . . ,

limK→∞

Prob(LK ) = 0.

θ0 1

. . . xk . . .

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 21

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Decreasing bias

If the bias goes to zero, communication drives out contracting:

Proposition 3

Suppose that the continuity property holds for the games Γ0(bi ).For any sequence {Li}∞

i=1 of gaps in sender-optimal equilibria

e(bi ) of games G (K , bi ) with limi→∞ bi = 0,

limi→∞

Prob(Li ) = 1.

θ0 1

x3x1 x2

. . . yn . . .

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 22

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Results for uniform-quadraticenvironment

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 23

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Results for uniform-quadratic environment

(Not necessarily optimal) contracts can increase the number ofsteps in communication:

Proposition 4

For any b, there exist a K and a contract C such that there is anequilibrium of the communication subgame ΓC with n inducedactions if and only if n < 1 + 1

2b .

• Comparison to CS for b < 12 :

1

2+

√1

4+

1

2b< 1 +

1

2b

• Example b = 110 : NCS = 2 and N = 5

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 24

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Many clauses: no communication

Sufficiently many clauses – relative to the bias – result in nocommunication:

Proposition 5

If K > 12b , then any optimal contract will cover [0, 1].

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 25

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Contracts versus communicationAn optimal contract relaxes incentive constraints:

• Every “condition cluster” contains a critical type(equivalently, no condition cluster belongs to the interior of acommunication interval)

• For meaningful communication, there is a condition clusterwith a critical type that is not 0 or 1

Proposition 6

Suppose that the contract C = {(Ck , xk)}Kk=1 is optimal in thecontract-writing game G , and the equilibrium eC is sender-optimalin the communication subgame ΓC . Then, for every conditioncluster C , there is a critical type θ with C ∩ {θ} 6= ∅. If, inaddition, the equilibrium eC induces at least two communicationactions, then there is a condition cluster C and a critical typeθ 6= 0, 1 with C ∩ {θ} 6= ∅.

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 26

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

No condition in interior

Intuition:

θ0 1θ1 θ2

y1 y2 y3

θ0 1θ1 θ2

y1 y2 y3

θ0 1θ1 θ2

y1 y2 y3

?

θ0 1θ1 θ2

y1 y2 y3

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 27

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Condition has interior type

Intuition:

C:θ

0 1

x

θ1 θ2

y1 y2 y3

C ′:θ

0 1

x ′

θ1 θ2

y ′1 y2 y3

Cλ:θ

0 1

θλ1 θλ

2

yλ1 yλ

2 yλ3

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 28

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Structure of optimal contracts

• Equilibrium is partitional and monotonic

Corollary 7

Suppose that the contract C = {(Ck , xk)}Kk=1 is part of asender-optimal equilibrium eG in the contract-writing game G andinduces a sender-optimal n-step equilibrium eC in thecommunication subgame ΓC . Then, the equilibrium eG is

1. partitional – there is a partition P ={P1,P2, . . . ,PK+n

}of

the type space [0, 1] into intervals such that each P ∈ P iseither a condition of C or a communication interval in eC ; and,

2. monotonic – for any two P,P ′ ∈ P , P 6= P ′, withinf(P ′) ≥ sup(P), the actions a(P ′) and a(P) taken forstates in P ′ and P satisfy a(P ′) > a(P).

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 29

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Structure of optimal contracts

• Equilibrium is partitional and monotonic

θ

x , y

0 1C1 C2 C3

x1

x2

x3

θ1 θ2 θ3

y1y2

y3

y4

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 30

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Equalizing communication intervals

• Contracts relax incentive constraints

• Lengths of communication intervals can be equalized

Corollary 8

Suppose K = 1, the contract C with condition [C ,C ] is optimal,and C induces at least two communication actions in thesender-optimal equilibrium eC of the communication subgame ΓC .If θi−1, θi , and θi+1 are critical types in the equilibrium eC withθi ∈

[C ,C

], then

∣∣θi+1 − C∣∣ < |C − θi−1|+ 4b; and, if

θi ∈(C ,C

), then

∣∣θi+1 − C∣∣ ≤ |C − θi−1|.

C Cθi−1 θi θi+1

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 31

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Extensions

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Finite unions of disjoint closed intervals as conditions

• It is never optimal to split the condition into finitely manydisjoint intervals.

Proposition 9

Suppose that we allow contracts with conditions C that are finiteunions of disjoint closed intervals. Then, for b > 1

4 and K = 1,any optimal contract is nonempty and the condition in thatcontract is a single interval.

C:θ

0 1θ1D1 Dj ′ . . .Dj ′′ DJ

y1 y2

C:θ

0 1θ1C C

y1 y2

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Example: nonconstant bias

• Assume b(θ) = 13 +

130θ

• Optimal contract covers states with relatively higher bias

θ0 1

x

xb

θ0 1

x

xb

θ0 1

x

xb

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 34

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Example: nonuniform distribution

• Assume f (θ) = 910 +

210θ

• Optimal contract covers more likely states

θ0 1

x

xf

θ0 1

x

xf

θ0 1

x

xf

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 35

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Example: transfers• Sender: US (y , θ, b,w) = −(θ + b− y)2−w• Receiver: UR(y , θ,w) = −α(θ − y)2 + (1− α)w

• Sender maximizes:EUS (y , θ, b,w) s.t. EUR(y , θ,w) = uR

• Optimal contract covers fewer states

θ0 1

x

xt

θ0 1

x

xt

θ0 1

x

xt

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 36

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Extensions: take-aways

• Some motivation for assuming intervals

• Some robustness with respect to: bias, distribution, transfers

• Contract covers states with higher conflict

• Contract covers states that are more likely

• Transfers reduce the set of states in the contract

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Conclusions

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Concluding remarks

• Model of interaction between contracts and communication

• Tradeoff: ex ante commitment versus ex post discretion

• At the extremes:• Small disagreement: communication dominates• Many clauses: contracting dominates

• Insight: two benefits from contracts• direct: shift control to principal• indirect: relaxation of incentive constraints→ potential for more actions induced by communication→ potential for more equalized communication intervals

• Equilibria are partitional and monotonic

• Optimal contracts• cover states that have more conflict• cover states that are more likely• with transfers cover smaller sets of states

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 39

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Thank you!

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Introduction Model Example Results Extensions Conclusions

Continuity assumption

Nothing unexpected happens for b → 0:

Continuity Property. For any sequence of biases {bi}∞i=1 with

bi → 0 and any sequence {e(bi )}∞i=1 of sender-optimal equilibria

in the games {Γ0(bi )}∞i=1, the sender’s payoffs in those equilibria

converge to∫[0,1] U

S (yS (θ), θ, 0)dF (θ).

back

Blume, Deimen, Inoue (UofA, Colgate) Contracts versus Communication 41