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tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 1
Industry analysis #4 2017
Mobile data – Q3 2017
Spotting the operators capable of
monetising the data usage growth
This is tefficient’s 18th public analysis on the development and drivers of mobile data. It follows
on our just-published analysis “More for less” tips the balance that compares 35 countries.
We have ranked 124 operators based on average data usage per SIM, total data traffic and
revenue per gigabyte.
The data usage per SIM grew for all operators. And it grows quickly. But what happens to ARPU?
Have operators been able to monetise usage growth following the “more for more” mantra?
In an upfront way, our new Christmas tree graph visualises the operators that are delivering on
“more for more” – and those that are just following the “more for less” stream.
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 2
The data usage in the world spans from 0.1 to 16.5 GB per SIM per month
Figure 1 shows the average mobile data usage for a large number of reporting or reported1 mobile operators
globally. Both the usage for the first half year of 2017 and – if available – the usage for the third quarter of
2017 are displayed.
Figure 1. Average data usage per reported SIM per month – all operators
It’s of course near to impossible to read Figure 1 and we will therefore break it down into three regions, but
let’s first use Figure 1 to identify the global data usage leaders.
1 By regulators
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
DN
A, FI
3, AT
Elis
a, FI
Taiw
an M
obile
, TW
FarE
asT
one, TW
*Telia
, FI
Jio, IN
3, D
K
**LG
Uplu
s, K
R
Chunghw
a, TW
**3, U
K
Tele
nor,
SE
3, SE
Telia
, D
K
Plu
s Cyfr
ow
y P
ols
at,
PL
TD
C, D
K
Tele
2, SE
**SK T
ele
com
, KR
Tele
nor,
DK
3 E
uro
pe, G
roup
Ice, N
O
Pla
y, PL
Telia
, N
O
**M
axi
s, M
Y
Zain
, G
roup
Celc
om
, M
Y
Bouygues,
FR
Sw
issc
om
, CH
**Fre
e, FR
**M
1, SG
**Türk
Tele
kom
, TR
Telia
, SE
Bite, LT
**M
egaFon, RU
Tele
2, LT
Telia
, LT
**Sin
gte
l, S
G
**Turk
cell,
TR
Vodafo
ne, TR
U.S
. Cellu
lar,
US
**W
ind 3
, IT
XL, ID
**Tele
2, N
L
Tele
nor,
NO
Vodafo
ne, PT
Movis
tar,
CL
Vodafo
ne, ES
**Beelin
e, RU
Chin
a U
nic
om
, CN
(handse
t)
Movis
tar,
ES
**M
TS, RU
(sm
art
phone)
Vodafo
ne, IT
**Tele
kom
, D
E
**N
OS, PT
Vodafo
ne, U
K
O2, U
K
Vodafo
ne, RO
Vodafo
ne Z
iggo, N
L
Vodafo
ne, D
E
TIM
, IT
Movis
tar,
PE
Chin
a M
obile
, CN
(handse
t)
Vodafo
ne, G
roup
**KPN
, N
L
Chin
a T
ele
com
, CN
(handse
t)
Indosa
t, I
D
**O
range, BE+
LU
**Pro
xim
us,
BE +
Tango, LU
Telk
om
sel, I
D
Movis
tar,
AR
Dia
log, LK
O2, D
E
Viv
o, BR
MEO
, PT
T-M
obile
, CZ
Movis
tar,
CO
**M
TN
Ira
nce
ll, I
R
**TIM
, BR
Movis
tar,
MX
Airte
l, I
N
Vodafo
ne, G
R
Vodafo
ne, EG
Idea, IN
**Kyiv
star,
UA
Vodafo
ne, IN
Robi, B
D
Vodaco
m, G
roup
**VEO
N, PK
**D
jezz
y, D
Z
**M
TN
, ZA
**Beelin
e, U
Z
**Bangla
link, BD
Nce
ll, N
P
**M
TN
, N
G
Gb
yte
pe
r S
IM p
er
mo
nth
1H 2017 Q3 2017
*) Calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 3
Gold DNA Finland with 14.7 GB per SIM and month in 1H 2017 and 16.5 GB in Q3 2017
DNA is back as the usage leader of the world. Most of DNA’s subscriptions – regular ones as well as
data-only subscriptions – have unlimited data volume where the price depends on the chosen
speed tier. 52% of DNA’s subscribers had in September chosen speeds that require 4G: Up to 50,
100 or 300 Mbit/s. DNA isn’t reporting how many subscriptions that had unlimited data volume, but the June
figure for Finland as a whole was 53% of non-M2M SIMs.
Silver 3 Austria with 14.3 GB per SIM and month in 1H 2017
Three (or Drei) Austria was the gold medallist in our last (FY 2016) analysis, but was overtaken by
DNA in the first half of 2017. The usage is still very high, but 3’s competitors T-Mobile and A1 have
in 2017 aggressively targeted a segment that previously was more or less owned by 3: Data-only.
In Austria these subscriptions are used to substitute (slow) fixed broadband. They come with unlimited data
volume but are charged based on speed tiers. In 2016, 3 carried 64% of the Austrian mobile data traffic, but
in 1H 2017, that share had declined to ‘just’ 52%. It suggests that competition has had some success in
this segment in 2017. In our country analysis, we show just how important data-only is for the overall data
usage of a country – and how uniquely positioned Austria is.
Bronze Elisa Finland with 12.2 GB per SIM and month in 1H 2017 and 13.6 GB in Q3 2017
Elisa is synonymous with unlimited data and never stops reminding Finns about it in its
marketing – even though DNA too has had it for a long time and Telia today offers it at lower
price points than Elisa. Like with DNA, Elisa’s price depends on the chosen speed tier. 62% of
Elisa’s voice-also subscriptions had unlimited data volume in September 2017.
The two Taiwanese operators Taiwan Mobile and FarEasTone are close to the podium with 11.8 GB and
11.6 GB per month in 1H 2017.
The remaining Finnish operator, Telia, follows, but we have a newcomer in the seventh position: Jio. The
Indian challenger that only launched in the second half of 2016 became world famous for its free 4G-only
proposition. All of its 139 million subscribers are now charged for data, but they are still using very much:
The average consumption per SIM in the third quarter of 2017 (Jio’s first reported quarter) was a whopping
9.6 GB per month – a level that no other maturing market operator is close to.
An operator that possibly could challenge the world top is Zain. For 2016, it reported an “average daily data
volume”. We have asked Zain’s investor relations team about the definition, but not received a reply. If it
should be understood as a true 365 day average, two of Zain’s affiliates – Kuwait and Bahrain – should be in
the absolute top with 11.8 GB and 10.0 GB respectively. These numbers are for the full year of 2016, but
Zain does not report them for affiliates (only for the group as a whole) during a calendar year.
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 4
Europe: Data usage spans from 0.4 to 16.5 GB per SIM per month
Now to the first of three breakdowns: Europe. The top three operators are the same as in the global
comparison: 3 Austria, DNA Finland and Elisa Finland.
Figure 2. Average data usage per reported SIM per month – European operators
The remaining European operators have customers with significantly lower usage than the top three, but
there are a number of operators that had an average usage above 4 GB per month in the first half of 2017.
These operators are from Finland, Denmark, Sweden, the UK and Poland.
But Europe has a long tail: Operators from five countries – Greece, Czechia, Portugal, Germany,
Belgium, the Netherlands and Italy – hold the ten lowest usage positions.
If comparing the 1H 2017 to the Q3 2017 usage bars, we can see that the usage is growing everywhere
(where reported). Mid-ranked Tele2 Netherlands2 – that introduced an unlimited plan for 25 EUR per month
in May 2017 – has had the fastest usage growth in Q3 2017.
2 15 December, Deutsche Telekom and Tele2 announced that they will seek regulatory approval for a merger between T-Mobile and
Tele2 in the Netherlands. Deutsche Telekom will hold 75% of the merged entity and Tele2 25%.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
DN
A, FI
3, AT
Elis
a, FI
*Telia
, FI
3, D
K
**3, U
K
Tele
nor,
SE
3, SE
Telia
, D
K
Plu
s Cyfr
ow
y P
ols
at,
PL
TD
C, D
K
Tele
2, SE
Tele
nor,
DK
Ice, N
O
Pla
y, PL
Telia
, N
O
Bouygues,
FR
Sw
issc
om
, CH
**Fre
e, FR
Telia
, SE
Bite, LT
Tele
2, LT
Telia
, LT
**W
ind 3
, IT
**Tele
2, N
L
Tele
nor,
NO
Vodafo
ne, PT
Vodafo
ne, ES
Movis
tar,
ES
Vodafo
ne, IT
**Tele
kom
, D
E
**N
OS, PT
Vodafo
ne, U
K
O2, U
K
Vodafo
ne, RO
Vodafo
ne Z
iggo, N
L
Vodafo
ne, D
E
TIM
, IT
**KPN
, N
L
**O
range, BE+
LU
**Pro
xim
us,
BE +
Tango, LU
O2, D
E
MEO
, PT
T-M
obile
, CZ
Vodafo
ne, G
R
Gb
yte
pe
r S
IM p
er
mo
nth
1H 2017 Q3 2017
*) Calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 5
Asia and China: Data usage spans from 0.1 to 11.8 GB per SIM per month
Apart from Jio’s entry, Taiwanese and Korean operators lead the Asia/China ranking, see Figure 3. We
already touched on Taiwan Mobile and FarEasTone in the global comparison. Their incumbent competitor,
Chunghwa, ranks as number five with 7.0 GB, just beaten for fourth place by the Korea’s LG Uplus.
Figure 3. Average data usage per reported SIM per month – Asian and Chinese operators
SK Telecom is sixth with 4.1 GB in 1H 2017, but if you look at the Q3 2017 figures you see that Malaysia’s
Celcom has passed SK Telecom. Celcom’s competitor Maxis is very close to SK Telecom, but still behind.
The three Chinese operators China Unicom, China Mobile and China Telecom are mid-ranked but the
data usage growth is fast – especially for Unicom that is now much ahead of the two others. All three
exclude data-only from their reported data traffic.
Another country with fast data usage growth is Indonesia. Axiata’s XL is having twice the usage (2.2 GB
per month in Q3) of the larger competitors Indosat and Telkomsel but the latter two are speeding up.
The remaining reporting Indian operators – Airtel, Idea and Vodafone – are experiencing dramatic growth
in the data usage. Their Q3 2017 usage levels (0.9 GB, 0.8 GB, 0.6 GB per month respectively) are though
far from that of Jio (9.6 GB).
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Taiw
an M
obile
, TW
FarE
asT
one, TW
Jio, IN
**LG
Uplu
s, K
R
Chunghw
a, TW
**SK T
ele
com
, KR
**M
axis
, M
Y
Celc
om
, M
Y
**M
1, SG
**Sin
gte
l, S
G
XL, ID
Chin
a U
nic
om
, CN
(handse
t)
Chin
a M
obile
, CN
(handse
t)
Chin
a T
ele
com
, CN
(handse
t)
Indosa
t, I
D
Telk
om
sel, I
D
Dia
log, LK
Airte
l, I
N
Idea, IN
Vodafo
ne, IN
Robi, B
D
**VEO
N, PK
**Bangla
link, BD
Nce
ll, N
P
Gb
yte
pe
r S
IM p
er
mo
nth
1H 2017 Q3 2017
*) Calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 6
RoW: Data usage spans from 0.1 to 4.3 GB per SIM per month
The rest of world ranking combines North American, Latin American and Russian operators with operators
from Middle East, Africa and reporting international groups, see Figure 4.
It is a pity that none of the major US or Canadian operators report their data traffic or usage. The only
sample in Figure 4 is U.S. Cellular. It’s likely that four larger US carriers Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile and Sprint
would have higher data usage – but it is not reported.
Figure 4. Average data usage per reported SIM per month – RoW operators
If we disregard 3 Europe group whose affiliates are represented in the European comparison (Figure 2), it’s
interesting to see how high the average usage of Zain Group is. If looking at Zain’s reported 2016 figures,
the average is lifted by Kuwait, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia whereas markets like Iraq and Sudan lower it.
Russian and Turkish operators have high average usage. If we look at the Q3 2017 figures, we can also see
that it is growing fast. The Latin American operators have – with the exception of Chile – fairly low average
usage. TIM Brazil has had good growth in Q3 2017.
African operators are – together with operators from Uzbekistan and Ukraine – having the lowest monthly
data usage per SIM in our sample.
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4
4,5
5
3 E
uro
pe, G
roup
Zain
, G
roup
**Türk
Tele
kom
, TR
**M
egaFon, RU
**Turk
cell,
TR
Vodafo
ne, TR
Movis
tar,
CL
**Beelin
e, RU
**M
TS, RU
(sm
art
phone)
Movis
tar,
PE
Vodafo
ne, G
roup
Movis
tar,
AR
Viv
o, BR
Movis
tar,
CO
**M
TN
Ira
nce
ll, I
R
**TIM
, BR
Movis
tar,
MX
Vodafo
ne, EG
**Kyiv
star,
UA
Vodaco
m, G
roup
**D
jezz
y, D
Z
**M
TN
, ZA
**Beelin
e, U
Z
**M
TN
, N
G
Gb
yte
pe
r S
IM p
er
mo
nth
1H 2017 Q3 2017
*) Calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 7
Jio emerges as the largest operator in the world – traffic-wise
We have seen that the data usage varies much between customers of different operators in different
countries. If we instead compare total data traffic, the spread will be even wider, see Figure 5.
Figure 5. Total data traffic – all operators
Gold Jio with 3780 PB in Q3 2017
Since Jio reported for the first time in Q3 2017, there is a bit of uncertainty surrounding this gold
medal – but the Indian challenger carried more mobile data traffic in Q3 than China Mobile
carried mobile data handset traffic. How the comparison would have looked in 1H 2017, we don’t
know. With ‘only’ 139 million subscriptions but – as shown in the previous section – very high
usage, the 4G-only operator Jio emerges as the new world leader in total mobile data traffic.
Silver China Mobile with 4831 PB in 1H 2017 and 3320 PB in Q3 2017
With 878 million mobile subscriptions, China Mobile remains the operator with the
largest customer base in the world. But Jio overtook it as the biggest carrier of
mobile data traffic sometime in 2017. China Mobile is however just including
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
Jio, IN
Chin
a M
obile
, CN
(handse
t)
Chin
a U
nic
om
, CN
(handse
t)
Chin
a T
ele
com
, CN
(handse
t)
**M
egaFon, RU
Telk
om
sel, I
D
**SK T
ele
com
, KR
Airte
l, I
N
**M
TS, RU
(sm
art
phone)
**Beelin
e, RU
XL, ID
**LG
Uplu
s, K
R
Taiw
an M
obile
, TW
FarE
asT
one, TW
Indosa
t, I
D
Chunghw
a, TW
**Turk
cell,
TR
**3, U
K
Idea, IN
Vodafo
ne, IN
**W
ind 3
, IT
Plu
s Cyfr
ow
y P
ols
at,
PL
**Tele
kom
, D
E
Elis
a, FI
Viv
o, BR
**Türk
Tele
kom
, TR
Pla
y, PL
Vodafo
ne, TR
Bouygues,
FR
3, AT
DN
A, FI
**Fre
e, FR
**M
axi
s, M
Y
Celc
om
, M
Y
Vodafo
ne, D
E
*Telia
, FI
Vodafo
ne, IT
O2, D
E
TIM
, IT
O2, U
K
**TIM
, BR
Movis
tar,
ES
**M
TN
Ira
nce
ll, I
R
Vodafo
ne, ES
Sw
issc
om
, CH
Vodafo
ne, U
K
Tele
2, SE
Tele
nor,
SE
Movis
tar,
AR
Movis
tar,
CL
Vodafo
ne, EG
Telia
, SE
Movis
tar,
PE
TD
C, D
K
**VEO
N, PK
3, SE
Movis
tar,
MX
Robi, B
D
U.S
. Cellu
lar,
US
Vodafo
ne, RO
3, D
K
Dia
log, LK
**Sin
gte
l, S
G
Vodafo
ne, PT
**Kyiv
star,
UA
Telia
, D
K
Telia
, N
O
Movis
tar,
CO
Tele
nor,
DK
Tele
nor,
NO
**KPN
, N
L
**M
TN
, ZA
**M
1, SG
**M
TN
, N
G
Vodafo
ne Z
iggo, N
L
**N
OS, PT
**Bangla
link, BD
**Pro
xim
us,
BE +
Tango, LU
Tele
2, LT
MEO
, PT
**D
jezz
y, D
Z
T-M
obile
, CZ
**O
range, BE+
LU
Telia
, LT
Bite, LT
Vodafo
ne, G
R
Nce
ll, N
P
**Tele
2, N
L
**Beelin
e, U
Z
Ice, N
O
Mo
bil
e d
ata
tra
ffic
[P
B]
1H 2017 Q3 2017
*) Calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 8
handset data in its reported mobile data traffic but it’s unclear if it would make a difference. Noticeably,
China Mobile uses the home-grown Chinese TD-LTE standard for 4G.
Bronze China Unicom with 2533 PB in 1H 2017 and 2169 PB in Q3 2017
Like its larger competitor China Mobile, China Unicom is also just reporting handset data.
When it comes to 4G, China Unicom (as well as fourth-ranked China Telecom) uses the
‘regular’ FDD-LTE standard.
Other operators that are highly ranked are MegaFon from Russia, Telkomsel from Indonesia, SK
Telecom from Korea and Airtel from India. Airtel’s traffic in Q3 was larger than for the first half year of
2017 and it’s thus likely that Airtel will have passed MegaFon, Telekomsel and SK Telecom next time we
update this analysis. If the merger between Vodafone India and Idea is approved, the combined company
will become even larger.
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 9
Europe: Europe’s largest operators are not the usual suspects
First to the European breakdown. Since the highest ranked European operator is just number 18 in our
global rank, we could conclude that the European countries are less populated than the global leaders. But
it’s not the operators that you would suspect (with the largest SIM base) that are in the top of Figure 6.
Based on a reported usage with an unspecified definition3, the largest European carrier of mobile data is 3
UK. Three is known for its high data usage, having offered all-you-can-eat plans for long, but for an
operator that just holds 12% of the UK subscriptions, it’s quite an achievement. The newly formed Wind 3
in Italy is just behind. The third largest operator in Europe is Poland’s Plus/Cyfrowy Polsat4. It uses data-
only as fixed-line substitution – but is now rumoured to be interested in Netia, a fixed operator. Sixth-ranked
Play is also Polish and has a similar approach as Plus/Cyfrowy Polsat.
Figure 6. Total data traffic – European operators
Finland has 5.5 million inhabitants, but Elisa is still ranked as number 5 in Europe. Elisa’s competitors DNA
and Telia are number 9 and 12. They all beat Europe’s largest operator in SIMs – O2 Germany (#14).
3 The media team of 3 UK was asked and answered that the definition is not disclosed. We have assumed it is per active subscription. 4 A bit of reporting uncertainity here as well: The traffic reported for 1H was higher than the traffic reported for the nine months to
September. We have prorated the latter figure, thinking that the 1H figure was wrong.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
**3, U
K
**W
ind 3
, IT
Plu
s Cyfr
ow
y P
ols
at,
PL
**Tele
kom
, D
E
Elis
a, FI
Pla
y, PL
Bouygues,
FR
3, AT
DN
A, FI
**Fre
e, FR
Vodafo
ne, D
E
*Telia
, FI
Vodafo
ne, IT
O2, D
E
TIM
, IT
O2, U
K
Movis
tar,
ES
Vodafo
ne, ES
Sw
issc
om
, CH
Vodafo
ne, U
K
Tele
2, SE
Tele
nor,
SE
Telia
, SE
TD
C, D
K
3, SE
Vodafo
ne, RO
3, D
K
Vodafo
ne, PT
Telia
, D
K
Telia
, N
O
Tele
nor,
DK
Tele
nor,
NO
**KPN
, N
L
Vodafo
ne Z
iggo, N
L
**N
OS, PT
**Pro
xim
us,
BE +
Tango, LU
Tele
2, LT
MEO
, PT
T-M
obile
, CZ
**O
range, BE+
LU
Telia
, LT
Bite, LT
Vodafo
ne, G
R
**Tele
2, N
L
Ice, N
O
Mo
bil
e d
ata
tra
ffic
[P
B]
1H 2017 Q3 2017
*) Calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 10
Asia and China: Where the traffic figures get really large
We find the four global traffic leaders in the top of the Asian/Chinese comparison: Jio, China Mobile,
China Unicom and China Telecom.
Figure 7. Total data traffic – Asian and Chinese operators
Telkomsel from Indonesia – a quickly growing operator with 190 million subscribers – is number 5 followed
by the Korean market leader, SK Telecom. Airtel from India is, as pointed out, experiencing fast growth in
data traffic and has already passed SK Telecom and Telkomsel in Q3. The other Indian operators in Figure 7,
Idea and Vodafone, have also carried more traffic in Q3 than in the first half of 2017.
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Jio, IN
Chin
a M
obile
, CN
(handse
t)
Chin
a U
nic
om
, CN
(handse
t)
Chin
a T
ele
com
, CN
(handse
t)
Telk
om
sel, I
D
**SK T
ele
com
, KR
Airte
l, I
N
XL, ID
**LG
Uplu
s, K
R
Taiw
an M
obile
, TW
FarE
asT
one, TW
Indosa
t, I
D
Chunghw
a, TW
Idea, IN
Vodafo
ne, IN
**M
axis
, M
Y
Celc
om
, M
Y
**VEO
N, PK
Robi, B
D
Dia
log, LK
**Sin
gte
l, S
G
**M
1, SG
**Bangla
link, BD
Nce
ll, N
P
Mo
bil
e d
ata
tra
ffic
[P
B]
1H 2017 Q3 2017
*) Calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 11
RoW: MegaFon larger than 3 Europe Group and Zain Group
Figure 8 collects operators from the rest of the world, but also a few reporting international groups.
Figure 8. Total data traffic – Rest of world operators
The Russian operator MegaFon (#2) is an international giant in mobile data, carrying more traffic than the
whole of 3 Europe Group or the whole group of Zain. Even though MegaFon’s local competitors MTS and
Beeline (VEON) are large too, MegaFon is larger. This can be attributed to MegaFon’s acquisition of the 4G
data-only specialist Yota back in 2013.
Turkish and Brazilian operators follow. A newcomer in our analysis is MTN Irancell, an operator carrying
more mobile data than the whole of Vodacom group.
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Vodafo
ne, G
roup
**M
egaFon, RU
3 E
uro
pe, G
roup
Zain
, G
roup
**M
TS, RU
(sm
art
phone)
**Beelin
e, RU
**Turk
cell,
TR
Viv
o, BR
**Türk
Tele
kom
, TR
Vodafo
ne, TR
**TIM
, BR
**M
TN
Ira
nce
ll, I
R
Vodaco
m, G
roup
Movis
tar,
AR
Movis
tar,
CL
Vodafo
ne, EG
Movis
tar,
PE
Movis
tar,
MX
U.S
. Cellu
lar,
US
**Kyiv
star,
UA
Movis
tar,
CO
**M
TN
, ZA
**M
TN
, N
G
**D
jezz
y, D
Z
**Beelin
e, U
Z
Mo
bil
e d
ata
tra
ffic
[P
B]
1H 2017 Q3 2017
*) Calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 12
World: Total revenue per GB can be anything between 0.3 and 37.4 EUR
In our country analysis, we have focused on mature markets. The way we calculate revenue per gigabyte –
total mobile service revenue per carried gigabyte – will resonate with mature markets where operators
generally aren’t attempting to monetise voice and SMS based on usage. Instead they have made voice and
messaging allowances unlimited and included them in a flat fee.
In maturing markets, usage-based monetisation is still used to a much higher degree. This is true also for
voice and messaging. With our calculation method, one might conclude that the operators ending up with
the highest effective revenue per gigabyte would thus be operators from maturing markets. Figure 9 is
though showing that this is the case only for a few sub-Saharan operators.
Figure 9. Total mobile service revenue per gigabyte – all operators5
5 That also report mobile service revenue
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jio, IN
(Q
3 1
7)
DN
A, FI
XL, ID
3, AT
Elis
a, FI
Taiw
an M
obile
, TW
Zain
, G
roup
FarE
asT
one, TW
**M
egaFon, RU
*Telia
, FI
Indosa
t, I
D
Pla
y, PL
Chunghw
a, TW
3, D
K
**3, U
K
Tele
2, LT
**Türk
Tele
kom
, TR
Celc
om
, M
Y
**Beelin
e, RU
Telia
, LT
3 E
uro
pe, G
roup
Telia
, D
K
**M
TS, RU
(sm
art
phone)
**M
axis
, M
Y
TD
C, D
K
Tele
nor,
SE
3, SE
Vodafo
ne, TR
Telk
om
sel, I
D
Chin
a U
nic
om
, CN
(handse
t)
Tele
nor,
DK
**LG
Uplu
s, K
R
**Fre
e, FR
Tele
2, SE
Vodafo
ne, EG
Dia
log, LK
**Kyiv
star,
UA
Airte
l, I
N
**W
ind 3
, IT
Movis
tar,
CL
Bouyg
ues,
FR
Idea, IN
Vodafo
ne, RO
Robi, B
D
**SK T
ele
com
, KR
Ice, N
O
**M
1, SG
Movis
tar,
PE
Vodafo
ne, IN
**M
TN
Ira
nce
ll, I
R
Movis
tar,
MX
Telia
, SE
Movis
tar,
CO
**VEO
N, PK
Telia
, N
O
**Bangla
link, BD
Sw
issc
om
, CH
(Q
3 1
7)
Chin
a T
ele
com
, CN
(handse
t)
Vodafo
ne, PT
**Tele
2, N
L
Chin
a M
obile
, CN
(handse
t)
**Tele
kom
, D
E
Vodafo
ne, ES
Movis
tar,
AR
Vodafo
ne, G
roup
Vodafo
ne, IT
**TIM
, BR
TIM
, IT
Viv
o, BR
**Sin
gte
l, S
G
O2, D
E
MEO
, PT
O2, U
K
Tele
nor,
NO
Vodafo
ne, D
E
T-M
obile
, CZ
**D
jezz
y, D
Z
Vodaco
m, G
roup
Vodafo
ne Z
iggo, N
L
Vodafo
ne, U
K
Nce
ll, N
P
U.S
. Cellu
lar,
US
**Pro
xim
us,
BE +
Tango, LU
**O
range, BE+
LU
**KPN
, N
L
**Beelin
e, U
Z
Vodafo
ne, G
R
**M
TN
, ZA
**M
TN
, N
G
To
tal m
ob
ile
se
rvic
e r
eve
nu
e p
er
Gb
yte
1H
17
[E
UR
]
*) Data traffic calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators
**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 13
We will – for readability reasons – soon break down Figure 9 in Europe, Asia/China and RoW, but let’s first
look into a disclaimer with regards to operators marked with * or **.
Having explained this, let’s now in Figure 9 identify the operators that get the lowest total mobile service
revenue per gigabyte in the world in the first half of 2017:
1. Jio, India – 0.3 EUR (Q3 2017)
2. DNA, Finland – 0.9 EUR
3. XL, Indonesia – 1.2 EUR
4. 3, Austria – 1.3 EUR
5. Elisa, Finland – 1.3 EUR
6. Taiwan Mobile, Taiwan – 1.4 EUR
7. Zain, Group – 1.6 EUR
8. FarEasTone, Taiwan – 1.7 EUR
9. MegaFon, Russia** – 1.8 EUR
10. Telia, Finland* – 1.9 EUR
11. Indosat, Indonesia – 1.9 EUR
12. Play, Poland** – 2.1 EUR
When reporting mobile data traffic, take inspiration from Vodafone and Telefónica
All graphs in this analysis carry this legend:
*) Data traffic calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators
**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
There are a number of operators globally that, in their regular easy-to-use Excel sheets, report their total mobile data traffic
quarter by quarter. Of the larger operators groups, Vodafone and Telefónica are two good examples. We encourage all
operators to follow their example.
Some operators are instead reporting – or occasionally indicating – data usage. These are the operators marked with **. The
problem here is that most operators aren’t defining what a user is – sometimes it is all users, sometimes “active data users”
(whatever that is), sometimes smartphone users, sometimes branded smartphone users, sometimes postpaid users. Typically
these usage numbers are stated to impress, i.e. they are representative only for a smaller, high-usage, segment of the subscriber
base. An exception to that operators reporting usage isn’t reporting the number of associated users is VEON Group that reports
the usage per mobile data customer and the number of such mobile data customers (a subset of the total customer base).
The majority of operators are still not reporting anything, though. Orange Group, Telia Company and Telenor Group are
examples of it. And, of course, all large North American carriers. In some cases, country regulators are helpful in reporting a
breakdown per operator. But in most cases, the country regulator is just reporting a total. In such occasions – and if also all other
operators report data traffic or at least usage – we have calculated the country residual and assumed that this traffic equals that
of the non-reporting operator. These are the operators marked with *.
It’s not necessarily so that a regulator and the reporting operators use exactly the same definition when reporting data traffic.
Traffic via MVNOs can e.g. disturb the comparability. Where the error risks to be the largest, though, is in countries where the
country residual has been assigned to a *-marked operator while, at the same time, one or several of the other operators are **-
marked operators, i.e. have not explicitly reported the total data traffic but some type of usage.
So if any operator (*-marked or **-marked) is unhappy with its calculated data traffic, the solution is simple: Start to report your
total mobile data traffic.
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 14
All these operators are either active in high data usage markets (Finland, Taiwan) or have usage leadership
positions. In the mature market focused country analysis you can identify Finland, Taiwan, Austria and
Poland as some of the country markets (of the covered) with the highest revenue per gigabyte so this list
seems plausible.
The operators that get the highest total mobile service revenue per gigabyte in the world are:
1. MTN, Nigeria** – 37.4 EUR
2. MTN, South Africa** - 33.7 EUR
3. Vodafone, Greece – 29.1 EUR
4. Beeline, Uzbekistan** – 27.9 EUR
5. KPN, Netherlands** – 27.3 EUR
6. Orange, Belgium & Luxembourg** – 26.9 EUR
7. Proximus, Belgium & Tango, Luxembourg** – 23.7 EUR
8. U.S. Cellular, US – 23.3 EUR
9. Ncell, Nepal – 21.0 EUR
10. Vodafone, UK – 19.6 EUR
11. Vodafone Ziggo, the Netherlands – 19.5 EUR
12. Vodacom, Group – 19.3 EUR
In the mature market focused country analysis you can identify Greece, Belgium and the Netherlands as
some of the country markets (of the covered) with the highest revenue per gigabyte so this list seems
plausible too.
We conclude that there is a 150-fold difference between the operator with the highest total service
revenue per gigabyte (MTN Nigeria) and the operator with the lowest (Jio India).
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 15
Europe: Greece, the Netherlands and Belgium have the highest revenue per GB
Figure 10 shows the European breakdown. Since European operators played both in the bottom and in top
of the global chart, the spread is almost as large as in the global view. To ease comparability, the scale is
kept intact throughout this section.
Figure 10. Total mobile service revenue per gigabyte – European operators
The position of 3 is important to point out: In almost each European market where it operates – Austria,
Denmark, the UK, the UK and Italy6 – 3 has revenues per gigabyte which are lower than all of its local
competition. It just in Sweden that 3 isn’t having the lowest revenue, but the difference to Telenor is
marginal. It’s thus fair to say that 3 has done a lot to improve the competitiveness of many European
markets when it comes to mobile data. At the same time, 3 Group has been allowed by the European
Commission to consolidate several European markets; Austria, Ireland and Italy have all gone from four to
three7 MNOs based on initiatives taken by 3’s owner CK Hutchison. The exception is the UK where the
European Commission turned down 3’s request to merge with O2.
6 No data exists for 3 Ireland 7 Italy will come back to four MNOs as a result of the remedies agreed with the EU: Iliad (owner of French operator Free) will use
assets sold by 3 and Wind as basis for a new fourth MNO
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
DN
A, FI
3, AT
Elis
a, FI
*Telia
, FI
Pla
y, PL
3, D
K
**3, U
K
Tele
2, LT
Telia
, LT
Telia
, D
K
TD
C, D
K
Tele
nor,
SE
3, SE
Tele
nor,
DK
**Fre
e, FR
Tele
2, SE
**W
ind 3
, IT
Bouygues,
FR
Vodafo
ne, RO
Ice, N
O
Telia
, SE
Telia
, N
O
Sw
issc
om
, CH
(Q
3 1
7)
Vodafo
ne, PT
**Tele
2, N
L
**Tele
kom
, D
E
Vodafo
ne, ES
Vodafo
ne, IT
TIM
, IT
O2, D
E
MEO
, PT
O2, U
K
Tele
nor,
NO
Vodafo
ne, D
E
T-M
obile
, CZ
Vodafo
ne Z
iggo, N
L
Vodafo
ne, U
K
**Pro
xim
us,
BE +
Tango, LU
**O
range, BE+
LU
**KPN
, N
L
Vodafo
ne, G
R
To
tal m
ob
ile
se
rvic
e r
eve
nu
e p
er
Gb
yte
1H
17
[E
UR
]
*) Data traffic calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 16
Asia and China: Revenue per GB coming down fast
Figure 11 shows the Asian and Chinese operators. Jio, Indonesian and Taiwanese operators have the lowest
revenue per gigabyte whereas no operator (except Nepal’s Ncell) is having very high revenue. The quickly
growing data usage in China and India has moved the Chinese and Indian operators to the left compared to
our 2016 analysis.
Figure 11. Total mobile service revenue per gigabyte – Asian and Chinese operators
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jio, IN
(Q
3 1
7)
XL, ID
Taiw
an M
obile
, TW
FarE
asT
one, TW
Indosa
t, I
D
Chunghw
a, TW
Celc
om
, M
Y
**M
axis
, M
Y
Telk
om
sel, I
D
Chin
a U
nic
om
, CN
(handse
t)
**LG
Uplu
s, K
R
Dia
log, LK
Airte
l, I
N
Idea, IN
Robi, B
D
**SK T
ele
com
, KR
**M
1, SG
Vodafo
ne, IN
**VEO
N, PK
**Bangla
link, BD
Chin
a T
ele
com
, CN
(handse
t)
Chin
a M
obile
, CN
(handse
t)
**Sin
gte
l, S
G
Nce
ll, N
P
To
tal m
ob
ile
se
rvic
e r
eve
nu
e p
er
Gb
yte
1H
17
[E
UR
]
*) Data traffic calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 17
RoW: Revenue per GB spans between 1.6 and 37.4 EUR
Finally Figure 12 which shows the operators in the rest of the world alongside a few groups that separate
out mobile service revenue in their reporting.
Figure 12. Total mobile service revenue per gigabyte – rest of world operators
Together with Zain Group and 3 Europe Group, operators from Russia and Turkey have the lowest revenue
per gigabyte whereas Latin American operators dominate the middle. Sub-Saharan operators including
Vodacom Group populate the right hand of the graph.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Zain
, G
roup
**M
egaFon, RU
**Türk
Tele
kom
, TR
**Beelin
e, RU
3 E
uro
pe, G
roup
**M
TS, RU
(sm
art
phone)
Vodafo
ne, TR
Vodafo
ne, EG
**Kyiv
star,
UA
Movis
tar,
CL
Movis
tar,
PE
**M
TN
Ira
nce
ll, I
R
Movis
tar,
MX
Movis
tar,
CO
Movis
tar,
AR
Vodafo
ne, G
roup
**TIM
, BR
Viv
o, BR
**D
jezz
y, D
Z
Vodaco
m, G
roup
**Beelin
e, U
Z
**M
TN
, ZA
**M
TN
, N
G
To
tal m
ob
ile
se
rvic
e r
eve
nu
e p
er
Gb
yte
1H
17
[E
UR
]
*) Data traffic calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 18
Let’s put it all together
Let us now combine the revenue per gigabyte with the usage. Those of you that have read our data usage
and revenue analyses before are familiar with the revenue vs. usage chart. But where it is normally
populated with countries, it is here populated with operators, see Figure 13.
Figure 13. Mobile data usage vs. total mobile service revenue per Gbyte 1H 2017
With all those markers, we have only been able to highlight the operators that have more extreme positions.
The amber line is not a regression line, but illustrates where 20 EUR of ARPU is earned. Operators above the
line earn more – and operators below the line less than 20 EUR.
Most mature markets operators operate with an APRU of around 20 EUR. Many operators in maturing
markets clutter in the southwest or south parts of the chart.
One could criticise the chart for comparing the number of gigabytes with something that relates to it – the
revenue per gigabyte. Our next chart, Figure 14, is therefore comparing the number of gigabytes with the
revenue per subscription, i.e. the ARPU. And that is perhaps even more interesting.
Telia, SE
Tele2, SE
Telenor, SE3, SE
3, DK
TDC, DK
Telia, DK
Elisa, FI
*Telia, FI
DNA, FI3, AT
T-Mobile, CZ
Vodafone, UK
**3, UK
Play, PL
Vodafone, ITTIM, IT
**Wind 3, IT
**KPN, NLVodafone Ziggo, NL
**Tele2, NL
Vodafone, GR
**Free, FR
Telenor, NO
Telia, NOIce, NO Swisscom, CH (Q3)
Tele2, LT**MegaFon, RU
**Beeline, RU
**MTN, NG**MTN, ZA**TIM, BR
**Singtel, SG
**M1, SG
**SK Telecom, KR
**LG Uplus, KR
FarEasTone, TW
Chunghwa, TW
Taiwan Mobile, TW
U.S. Cellular, US
Zain, Group
Ncell, NP**VEON, PK
Jio, IN (Q3)
Telkomsel, ID
XL, ID
Indosat, ID
China Unicom, CN
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Gb
yte
pe
r S
IM a
nd
mo
nth
Total mobile service revenue per Gbyte [EUR]
20 EUR ARPU line
*) Data traffic calculated as country total minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such, but calculated based on reported usage
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 19
Figure 14. Mobile data usage vs. total mobile service revenue per SIM 1H 2017
Of the 89 operators in this sample8, there is one – U.S. Cellular – that enjoys much higher total mobile
service revenue per SIM than all other operators. It is interesting that this happens even though the mobile
data usage isn’t particularly high. If comparing to the corresponding graph in the country analysis, we note
that USA and Canada play in this corner. If other US operators – or the Canadian operators – would have
reported their data usage, they would likely have been close to the position of U.S. Cellular. Its position is
thus rather more a reflection of a local market reality (high ARPU, low to medium data usage) than being
unique to U.S. Cellular.
Other markets with high ARPU are Norway, Switzerland, Singapore and Korea.
Korean users consume fairly much data for that high ARPU though.
The most generous operators are found in the upper left corner: Jio India (obviously),
DNA/Elisa Finland, Taiwan Mobile/FarEasTone, 3 Austria, Play Poland, Zain
Group, MegaFon Russia and XL Indonesia.
But there’s hope in Figure 14: The grey regression line suggests that operators with
higher data usage have higher ARPU.
8 All that report both mobile data traffic/usage and mobile service revenue
Telia, SE
Tele2, SE
Telenor, SE3, SE
3, DK
Telenor, DK
TDC, DK
Telia, DK
Elisa, FI
*Telia, FI
DNA, FI
O2, DE
3, AT
Vodafone, UK
**3, UK
Play, PL
**Proximus, BE + Tango, LU
Vodafone, ITTIM, IT
**Wind 3, ITVodafone, ES
**KPN, NL
**Tele2, NL
Vodafone, RO
Vodafone, GR
**Free, FR Bouygues, FR
Telenor, NO
Telia, NOIce, NOSwisscom, CH (Q3)
Tele2, LT**MegaFon, RU
**Beeline, RU
**Türk Telekom, TR
**MTN, ZA
Movistar, CL
**Maxis, MY
**Singtel, SG
**M1, SG
**SK Telecom, KR
**LG Uplus, KR
FarEasTone, TW
Chunghwa, TW
Taiwan Mobile, TW
U.S. Cellular, US
Zain, Group
Jio, IN (Q3)
XL, ID
Robi, BD
Indosat, ID
R² = 0,3966
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Gb
yte
pe
r S
IM a
nd
mo
nth
Total mobile service revenue per SIM and month [EUR]
20 EUR ARPU line*) Data traffic calculated as country total
minus all other (reporting) operators**) Data traffic not reported as such,
but calculated based on reported usage
Operators with
higher data usage
tend to have higher
ARPU
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 20
To moderate this, one has to realise that the adherence to this line (shown by a R2 value below 1) isn’t
perfect. And we should also remember that the line visualises an international – not a national – trend: It is
quite difficult to find national examples showing that operators with higher data usage enjoy higher ARPU. If
anything, it’s rather the opposite. It’s typically the challenger operator that has the customers with the
highest data usage and challenger operators tend to have lower ARPU than incumbents.
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 21
Dressing the Christmas tree
How many of the operators have been able to deliver on “more for more” i.e. been able to increase ARPU
while increasing data usage? And how many are just following the “more for less” stream, giving users more
data but not being able to charge anything more?
In our mature market focused country analysis, we were disappointed with the asymmetric look of the
Christmas tree. Here it looks more balanced:
Figure 15. Mobile data usage development vs. ARPU9 development – FY 2016 to 1H 2017 or Q3 201710
For every single operator in Figure 15, data usage has grown. But it’s just 53% of the operators that
have managed to use that to grow ARPU. These operators are having branches growing to the right in
the Christmas tree.
There are quite a few good performances here which we soon will highlight. But we need to comment on
the positions of Movistar Argentina and Beeline Uzbekistan where ARPU grew around 40% in local currency.
The explanation can be due to prices rising following a significant depreciation of the local currency (-85% in
9 ARPU is calculated as the reported total mobile service (non-equipment) revenue incl. interconnect & roaming divided with the
average number of reported SIMs. It can differ from the definition of operator reported ARPU. 10 Q3 2017 used if available, otherwise 1H 2017. The same time period is always used for the data usage and the revenue development.
Telia, SE
Tele2, SE
Telenor, SE3, SE
3, DK
Telenor, DK
TDC, DK Telia, DK
Elisa, FI
Telia, FI
DNA, FI
Telekom, DE
3, AT
3, UK
Play, PL
Proximus, BE
Vodafone, IT
TIM, IT
Wind 3, IT
KPN, NLVodafone Ziggo, NL
Tele2, NL
Vodafone, PT
MEO, PT
Free, FR
Bouygues, FR
Telenor, NO
Telia, NOIce, NO
Telia, LTTele2, LT
MegaFon, RU
Beeline, RU
Türk Telekom, TR
Vodafone, TR
Beeline, UZKyivstar, UA
Movistar, ARVivo, BR TIM, BR
Movistar, MX
Maxis, MYCelcom, MY
Singtel, SG
M1, SG
SK Telecom, KR
LG Uplus, KR
FarEasTone, TW
Chunghwa, TW
Taiwan Mobile, TW
Ncell, NP
Vodafone, INVEON, PK
Airtel, INIndosat, ID
Idea, IN
Unicom, CN
China Mobile, CN
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Gb
yte
pe
r S
IM a
nd
mo
nth
Total mobile service revenue per SIM and month dev. FY16-1H/Q317 [local curr.]
1H/Q3 2017
FY 2016
Declining ARPU Increasing ARPU
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 22
Uzbekistan, -24% in Argentina vs. EUR). The position of the two Turkish operators Vodafone and Türk
Telekom is likely also because of the weakened Turkish Lira (-23% vs. EUR).
47% of the operators are on branches facing left. They have had data usage
growth, but still a decline in ARPU. There are a couple of markets standing out
quite negatively here: India, bottom left, is one. Jio’s disruptive entry has not only
increased the data traffic a lot, it has been quite negative for the ARPU development
of Vodafone, Airtel and Idea.
Taiwan is another market with issues: All three major operators – Taiwan Mobile,
FarEasTone and Chunghwa – are experiencing quick ARPU depreciation in spite of
fast expansion of the data usage.
To better be able to analyse the Christmas tree, let’s first highlight the maturing markets and then the
mature markets.
Data usage grows
for 100% of
operators
ARPU grows for
53% of operators
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 23
Maturing markets
After having highlighted only the maturing markets, it becomes quite clear why our operator Christmas tree
looks better than our mature market focused Christmas tree in our country analysis: The contribution from
the maturing market operators is generally positive.
Figure 16. Mobile data usage development vs. ARPU development – FY 2016 to 1H 2017 or Q3 2017 – maturing markets
Let’s identify a few maturing market best practices from Figure 16 – where local currency depreciation
doesn’t seem to be the explanation:
The Malaysian operators Celcom and Maxis have both been able to grow ARPU – also beyond the
depreciation of the local currency (-9% vs. EUR)
The Russian operators Beeline, MTS and MegaFon have all been able to grow ARPU
The Argentinian operator Movistar has been able to grow ARPU – also beyond the depreciation of
the local currency (-24% vs. EUR)
China Mobile has been able to grow ARPU – also beyond the depreciation of the local currency (-7%
vs. EUR)
The Brazilian operators TIM and Vivo have both been able to grow ARPU
MegaFon, RU
Beeline, RU
Türk Telekom, TR
Vodafone, TR
Beeline, UZKyivstar, UA
Movistar, ARVivo, BR TIM, BR
Movistar, MX
Maxis, MYCelcom, MY
Ncell, NP
Vodafone, INVEON, PK
Airtel, INIndosat, ID
Idea, IN
Unicom, CN
China Mobile, CN
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Gb
yte
pe
r S
IM a
nd
mo
nth
Total mobile service revenue per SIM and month dev. FY16-1H/Q317 [local curr.]
1H/Q3 2017
FY 2016
Declining ARPU Increasing ARPU
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 24
Mature markets
The mature market tree, see Figure 17, is providing a view with less ARPU growth compared to the maturing
markets. Generally speaking, it seems to be more of a zero-sum game where ARPU overall isn’t growing.
Figure 17. Mobile data usage development vs. ARPU development – FY 2016 to 1H 2017 or Q3 2017 – mature markets
But there are a few best practices also in mature markets:
The Finnish operators DNA, Elisa and Telia have all been able to grow ARPU following the data
traffic growth even though, as said, most of their contracts come with unlimited data volume
Play in Poland has also been able to grow its ARPU
Telia in Norway has also had a good growth in ARPU – in contrast to Telenor that declined
Tele2 in the Netherlands (hiding under Telia Norway) has had a good growth in ARPU – in contrast
to Vodafone Ziggo11 and KPN that both declined
Tele2 Lithuania (and to some extent Telia) have had ARPU growth
Vodafone Italy (and to some extent TIM) have had ARPU growth – at the expense of 3 Wind
Vodafone Portugal has had ARPU growth – at the expense of MEO
Vodafone Greece has – from a low level – been able to increase data usage and ARPU
11 Vodafone sold its fixed business when creating the JV with Ziggo. The ARPU trend is exaggerated as Vodafone included its small fixed
business in its reported service revenue. The mobile service revenue of Vodafone Ziggo is in decline also in 2017 (Q3 vs. Q1 -4.4%).
Telia, SE
Tele2, SE
Telenor, SE3, SE
3, DK
Telenor, DK
TDC, DK Telia, DK
Elisa, FI
Telia, FI
DNA, FI
Telekom, DE
3, AT
3, UK
Play, PL
Proximus, BE
Vodafone, IT
TIM, IT
Wind 3, IT
KPN, NLVodafone Ziggo, NL
Tele2, NL
Vodafone, PT
MEO, PT
Free, FR
Bouygues, FR
Telenor, NO
Telia, NOIce, NO
Telia, LTTele2, LT
Singtel, SG
M1, SG
SK Telecom, KR
LG Uplus, KR
FarEasTone, TW
Chunghwa, TW
Taiwan Mobile, TW
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Gb
yte
pe
r S
IM a
nd
mo
nth
Total mobile service revenue per SIM and month dev. FY16-1H/Q317 [local curr.]
1H/Q3 2017
FY 2016
Declining ARPU Increasing ARPU
1H/Q3 2017
FY 2016
Declining ARPU Increasing ARPU
Vodafone, GR
tefficient AB www.tefficient.com 21 December 2017 rev B 25
Conclusion
Our Christmas tree graph shows that
data usage grows for all operators – and
that 53% of these operators have been
able to turn that into ARPU growth.
Operators in maturing markets – with
India as a clear exception – are generally
faring better in ARPU growth than
operators in mature markets. Even if so,
we have been able to identify around ten
mature market operators that clearly are
delivering on the “more for more”
promise. These are the operators that
have proven their capability to monetise
an increasing mobile data usage.
For 47% of the operators, the reality is different: Data usage increases, sometimes strongly, but
the ARPU still decreases. These operators are following the “more for less” stream.
International telco competitiveness specialist providing operators and suppliers with analysis, benchmarks and go-to-
market preparation. Expertise in quad-play, data monetisation, customer loyalty, Nonstop Retention®, mobile video, Wi-
Fi business models and high margin equipment sales.
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