Upload
bartholomew-parrish
View
212
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Industrial Market Overview September 2005prepared for
Presented by
Raymond A. StacheSenior DirectorCushman & Wakefield
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
Drivers
Mid-Year Statistics
Trends Bulk Warehouse Market User Sales Market Flex Market Investment Sales
Conclusion
Table of Contents
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
■ Construction Costs 500,000 sf shell 2002 $12.00 psf
500,000 sf shell 2004 $14.00 psf
500,000 sf shell 2005 $16.00 psf
- Anticipate further increases
- Steel: edging back up
- Concrete: 10% higher by year end
- Paving: 10% in the past 3 months
- Roofing Material/Insulation: up 40% over 2 years
■ Available Land $ Rock, Topography, Water, Residential Development
■ Demand in all categories (excluding flex industrial)
■ Available Capital
■ Lease Rates
■ Infrastructure Constraints Highway Traffic, Ports, Rail, and Intermodal Yards, Hartsfield
DriversFactors Effecting the Market
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
■ YTD Leasing Activity
2Q 2005 13,642,524 sf
2Q 2004 12,017,408 sf
TOTAL Leasing 2004 24,500,000 sf
■ YTD Overall Absorption
2Q 2005 6,481,026 sf
2Q 2004 3,034,781 sf
TOTAL Overall Absorption 2004 10,700,000 sf
■ Record Overall Absorption
1999 14,700,000 sf
2005 Mid-Year Statistics
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
BULK WAREHOUSE MARKET
■ Definition
> 300,000 Square Feet; 30‘ Clear
■ Available/Under Construction– 20 buildings– 9,700,000 sf– Average size 461,213 sf
■ Proposed Buildings– 14 Buildings– 8,750,000 sf– Average size 625,000 sf
TrendsTrends
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
REVIEW CAMP CREEK CORRIDOR
■ Land ConstraintsRock, Topography, Water, Residential
Development
■ 3-year Absorption of Bulk8,000,000 Square Feet in 3 Years15 Transactions
■ Annual Absorption2,666,660 Per Year
■ Land Inventory906 Acres; 8,900,000 Square Feet; 3.34 Years
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
NORTHEAST I-85 USER SALES MARKET
GroupCount of #
SalesAverage of Building SF
Average of Price Per SF
(Gross)
2004
< 50,000 sf 62 20,772 63.33
> 100,000 sf 32 206,263 30.57
50,000 – 100,000 sf 28 72,416 30.72
Total 122 81,278 47.25
2005
< 50,000 sf 50 18,857 76.58
> 100,000 sf 11 187,509 25.24
50,000 – 100,000 sf 27 72,431 37.58
Total 88 56,376 58.20
Average Price Per SF 50.49
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
FLEX MARKET (Greater than 30% Office)
■ Continues to Struggle
■ Competing with Class B Office at $13.00 - $15.00 Full Service Gross
■ Expect through 2006 time needed to correct the market
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
INVESTMENT SALES (Greater than $5 million)
■ TOTAL Industrial Investment Sales 2004» 31 Transactions» $386,574,000 Total Consideration» 9,060,000 SF» Average $43.00 PSF
■ YTD Industrial Investment Sales 2005
» 27 Transactions» $830,000,000 Total Consideration» 22,599,000 SF» Average $36.73 PSF
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
375,000 SF Result:
Built in 2003 12 Bidders
Tenant – Bosch 4 Finalists
Lease – 4 years flat over term 7 CAP
Closed in 75 days from initial package mailing
$40.00 PSF
Bosch Distribution Center
Continued Optimism
“More Good Things to Come”
Conclusion
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
Global Coverage
Cushman & Wakefield, Inc.3300 One Atlantic Center 1201 West Peachtree St. Atlanta, GA 30309