42
Infrastructure Thrust Fiscal Deficit under control Service tax reforms Uncertainty over GAAR GST roadmap in Thursday, 28 th Feb, 2013 Balancing fiscal consolidation with growth Service tax reforms Check on expenditure GST roadmap in question CAD a serious concern Hostage to foreign inflows

India budget-2013-14

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Infrastructure Thrust

Fiscal Deficit under

control

Service tax reforms

Uncertainty over GAAR

GST roadmap in

Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Balancing fiscal consolidation with growth

Service tax reforms

Check on expenditure

GST roadmap in

question

CAD a serious concern

Hostage to foreign inflows

Budget in brief

The Union Budget 2013-14 promises to return the economy back to a high growth trajectory while at the same

time keeping a strict check on fiscal profligacy that the country can ill afford.

� The fact that the FM was able to contain fiscal deficit to 5.2% of GDP in the current year is a remarkable

achievement given the overall slow down and the runaway subsidy bill. Going into the new fiscal FY13-14

the fiscal deficit has been pegged at 4.8% of GDP and this in our opinion is not an unachievable task. P

Chidambaram as Finance Minister exudes confidence and he has an admirable track record of delivering

on his promises.

� The Finance Minister has done a great balancing act in a rather difficult year. He has promoted

manufacturing industry by proposing an Investment Allowance. Further to prevent revenue leakages and

Balancing fiscal consolidation with growth

2 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

manufacturing industry by proposing an Investment Allowance. Further to prevent revenue leakages and

augment revenue resources he has come out with a number of innovative measures which while being

ingenious evoke confidence. He has sought to promote investment in infrastructure by issue of tax free

bonds, freeing up NELP blocks, referring stalled infra projects to the CCI and increasing tax holiday period

for power sector. In addition several measures to boost investments, savings and capital markets should

yield handsome dividends as the year rolls by.

� However the resurfacing of the GAAR issue can be a big negative for the markets. Especially given the fact

that the FM has gone on record to state that the CAD (Current Account Deficit) can only be bridged

through foreign flows constituting of FDI, FII and ECBs. With the TRC (Tax Residency Certificate) declared

insufficient, uncertainty over the implementation of the law could lead to foreign investors turning cautious

and the momentum of the flow of funds could slow down.

I have been at pains to state over and over again that India, at the present juncture,

does not have the choice between welcoming and spurning foreign investment.

Real GDP growth rate Seems to have bottomed out

8.4%8.5%

7.5%

8.0%

8.5%

9.0%

3 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Whatever may be the final estimate (of the GDP), it will be below India’s potential

growth rate of 8%

6.7%

6.2%

5.2%

6.20%

5.0%

5.5%

6.0%

6.5%

7.0%

2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13E 2013-14E

Fiscal Deficit Reigned in to manageable levels

4.8%

5.7%

5.1%5.2%

4.8%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%As % of GDP

4 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Fiscal consolidation cannot be effected only by cutting expenditure. Wherever

possible, revenues must also be augmented

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13BE 2012-13RE 2013-14BE

Subsidies Should be of lesser concern going forward

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

150000

200000

250000

300000

Rs. in Crore

5 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

We must redeem our promise by 2016-17 and bring down the fiscal deficit to 3%, the

revenue deficit to 1.5% and effective revenue deficit to 0%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

0

50000

100000

150000

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13BE 2012-13RE 2013-14BE

Food Fertilizers Petroleum Interest and Others Subsidies as a %of GDP (RHS)

Market Borrowings Not extraordinarily worrying

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

550,000 Rs. in Crore

6 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

(Apart from borrowing) There are only three ways before us: FDI, FII or External

Commercial Borrowing (ECB).

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13BE 2012-13RE 2013-14BE

Budgetary Measures

� In his budgetary speech, the Finance Minister has outlined several initiatives to kick start growth, boost

revenues and target spending.

Initiatives to kick start growth; control spending

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000Rs. in Crore

7 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

The economic space that we have gained has given me the confidence to be more

ambitious in 2013-14.

0

200000

400000

600000

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13BE 2012-13RE 2013-14BE

Corporation tax Income tax Wealth Tax

Customs Union Excise Duties Service Tax

Taxes of the Union Direct Indirect

Revenue measures

� In a bid to curtail revenue losses he has introduced several measures like the 1% TDS on immovable

property, withholding tax on royalty payments, voluntary disclosure scheme for Service Tax evaders since

2007 and final witholding tax on share buybacks by unlisted companies

� Further there has been no revision of the income slabs and the rates which is pragmatic given the

pressures on revenue. Further a tax on the super rich introduced has gone down well with the markets.

� A 15% Investment allowance on plant and machinery over Rs 100 crores should definitely provide a fillip to

asset creation and spur investment in the manufacturing sector. This is over and above the depreciation

rates prevailing.

� Surcharge introduced on companies earning a taxable income of Rs 10 crore or more should also help

swell the kitty.

Pragmatic and achievable

8 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

swell the kitty.

� Pruning of the negative list to only two sectors should help increase the gamut of services liable to service

tax

� But the biggest clincher is the Voluntary Compliance Encouragement Scheme on Service tax which

proposes to tax the 10,00,000 non service tax payers out of the 17,00,000 lacs registered assessees. This

itself should lead to a healthy collection; although the estimated amount has not been quantified.

� Further reduction in STT and introduction of CTT (Commodities transaction Tax) should help lower cost of

transactions for traders in the equity markets.

� Non Tax revenue estimates (in the form of divestment, sale of other market securities and enhanced

dividends from PSEs) are also pragmatic and achievable

Wherever possible, revenues must also be augmented

Indirect Taxes

� Status quo on the normal rate of excise duty (12%), service tax rates (12%) and peak customs duty (for non

agricultura imports) maintained. Relief is from the fact that customs duty on crude oil imports was not

hiked (as feared earlier).

� Customs duty proposals

– on leather & leather goods lowered to 5% from 7.5% while concessionary period on environmental

friendly vehicles extended to FY2015.

– On pre forms of precious and semi precious stones duty lowered to 2% from 10%

– Export duty on de-oiled rice bran oil cake withdrawn

– 10% Duty imposed on export of raw ilmenite & 5% on upgraded ilmenite

Contributing to growth

9 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

– Significant concessions provided to the aircraft MRO (maintenance, repair and overhaul) industry

– Raw silk duty increased from 5% to 15%

– Duty on steam coal and bituminous coal equalized to 2% and CVD of 2%

– Duty free limit on gold jewellery raised to Rs 50,000 for males and Rs 1,00,000 for female passengers.

– Duty on imported high end vehicles raised to 100% (75%), +800 cc motorcycles to 75% (60%) and

yatchs 25% (10%)

� Excise duty proposals

– Hand made carpets and textile floor coverings of coir / jute and ships and vessels totally exempted.

Consequently no CVD on imported ships

There will also be no change in the normal rate of excise duty of 12% and normal rate

of service tax of 12%

Indirect Taxes (contd)

– Excise duty on Cigarettes and cigars to be increased by 18%

– Excise on SUVs increased to 30% (27%). Not applicable to taxis

– Duty on marble increased from Rs 30 / sq mt to Rs 60 / sq mt

– Silver manufactured from smelting zinc / lead taxed at 4%

– Duty on mobile phones above Rs 2000 raised to 6% (1%)

– Branded alternate medicines to be taxed on MRP. Abatement of 35% to exist

Service Tax further stream lined to have only two sectors on the negative list

– Vocational Training to institutes affiliated to the State Council of Vocational training

VDIS on service tax to provide a windfall

10 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

– Vocational Training to institutes affiliated to the State Council of Vocational training

– testing activities in relation to agricultural produce

– VDIS scheme for service tax to provide a windfall to the exchequer; although not quantified in the

budget document

I hope to entice a large number of assesses to return to the tax fold. I also hope to

collect a reasonable sum of money

Direct Taxes

� Status quo maintained on income slabs and rates as per last year.

� However a Rs 2,000 tax credit is provided to every assessee with an income upto Rs 5,00,000

� 10% surcharge imposed on assessees with income of Rs 1 crore and above

� Surcharge raised to 10% (5%) on domestic companies with taxable income above Rs 10 crore. For foreign

companies surcharge increased to 5% (2%)

� 1st home buyers who take a loan not exceeding Rs 25 lacs to be provided an additional deduction of

interest of Rs 1 lac . This limit is over and above the current Rs 1.5 lacs. This is to be claimed in AY FY14-

15. If limit not exhausted, can be carried over to the next assessment year.

� For persons with disability or suffering from certain ailments permissible premium rates of insurance have

been increased to 15% from 10% on the sum assured

Additional tax on the super rich

11 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

been increased to 15% from 10% on the sum assured

� Donations to the National Children’s Fund eligible for 100% deduction.

� Investment allowance of 15% on investment in Plant & Machinery of over Rs 100 crore provided.

� Section 80-IA benefits to power sector eligible date extended to March 2014.

� Timeline on concession rate of tax of 15% on repatriation of dividends from a foreign subsidiary to a

domestic parent company extend to FY2013. Further Dividend Distribution Tax set to 0% on that portion of

the dividend distributed by the Indian parent.

When I need to raise resources, who can I go to except those who are relatively well

placed in society?

Direct Taxes (contd)

� Withholding tax on Interest paid on investments made through Rupee denominated long term

infrastructure bonds to NRIs reduced to 5% from 20%

� Securitization Trusts to be exempt from Income Tax. Tax on income distributed by the Securitization trusts

to be at the rate of 30% for companies and 25% for individuals / HUF.

� Investor Protection Fund set up by a depository exempt from Income Tax

� Pass through status provided to Category I Alternate Investment Funds (AIF) and Angel Investors

recognized as Category I AIFs. This is on par with Venture Funds

� RGESS timeline extended 3 consecutive years and income limit augmented to Rs 12 lacs from Rs 10 lacs.

MF also made an eligible investment.

� 1% TDS to be imposed on immovable property transactions above value of Rs 50 lacs. Agricultural land is

Revenue leakage loop holes plugged effectively

12 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

� 1% TDS to be imposed on immovable property transactions above value of Rs 50 lacs. Agricultural land is

however exempt

� To plug loop holes a withholding tax of 20% is top be imposed on unlisted companies who distribute

profits through buy back of shares.

� Tax rates on payment of royalties and fees for technical services to non resident Indians hiked to 25% from

10%. However applicable rates to be as stipulated in the DTAA.

With a view to improve the reporting of such (immovanle properties) transactions

and the taxation of capital gains, I propose to apply TDS at the rate of 1% ….

Direct Taxes (contd)

� STT (Securities Transaction Tax) reductions are as follows

– Equities 0.01% (0.017%)

– MF / ETF redemptions at fund counters 0.001% (0.25%)

– MF / ETF purchase / sale on exchanges 0.001% (0.01%)

� CTT (Commodities Transaction Tax) on non agricultural commodities of 0.01% to be introduced. However

it will be allowed as a deduction.

Lowering of STT to benefit equity traders

13 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

It is time to introduce Commodities Transaction Tax (CTT) in a limited way

GAAR still unresolved

� The FM has again raked up the controversy of GAAR by suggesting that the TRC (Tax Residency

Certificate) merely itself would not be sufficient for foreign investors & non-resident Indians to avail tax

treaty benefits.

� Further tax authorities have been provided with additional powers to decide on tax issues at their

discretion.

� This change has impact on all non-resident investors and FIIs using these routes for channeling

investments into India and seeking to claim tax treaty benefits.

� Moreover the change is proposed with retrospective effect from FY12-13 which will bring any investor,

availing treaty benefits under scrutiny.

� “More conditions would need to be fulfilled” and ambiguity on these additional conditions has spooked

FII and FDI flows likely to be affected

14 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

� “More conditions would need to be fulfilled” and ambiguity on these additional conditions has spooked

foreign investors

� We expect markets to sell off and FII buying to be restrained until further clarifications are not provided to

investors

Impermissible tax avoidance arrangements will be subjected to tax after a determination

is made through a well laid out procedure involving an assessing officer….

Expenditure

15 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Government expenditure boosts aggregate demand and it has both good and bad

consequences.

Non Plan Expenditure Subsidies to be a lesser worry going forward

(Rs. in Crore) 2011-12 2012-13BE 2012-13RE 2013-14BE Chg BE FY14/FY13

Non-Discretionary Expenditure

Interest Payments and Debt Servicing 273149.9 319759.0 316674.0 370684.0 16%

Defence 170913.3 193407.3 178503.5 203672.1 5%

Pension 61166.05 63183.41 63836.41 70726.00 12%

Police 33106.46 35611.28 37130.97 40895.49 15%

Subsidies 217941.1 190015.1 257654.4 231083.5 22%

Discretionary Expenditure

Assistance to States from NCCF/NDRF 2458.9 4620.0 4375.0 4800.0 4%

General Elections 79.1 91.5 72.5 230.2 152%

Payment against Debt Waiver and Debt

16 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Faced with a huge fiscal deficit, I had no choice but to rationalise expenditure.

Payment against Debt Waiver and Debt

Relief Scheme for Farmers 1176.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 -100%

Postal Deficit 5716.3 5727.1 5838.1 6717.1 17%

Reimbursement of losses to Railways 652.0 600.0 637.0 660.0 10%

Subsidy to Railways towards dividend

reliefs and concessions 2034.4 3003.9 2384.2 2746.0 -9%

General Services 19145.6 21291.4 21022.5 22673.0 6%

Social Services 19444.2 20784.1 21303.7 23114.0 11%

Economic Services 19043.3 20479.2 18643.6 20905.2 2%

Other Non-Plan Exp 69598.1 95946.5 77937.2 115868.4 21%

Amt met from Famers Debt relief fund and

NCCF/NDRF -3635.3 -4620.0 -4375.0 -4800.0 4%

Total 891989.8 969899.9 1001638.0 1109975.0 14%

Non Plan Expenditure

(contd)Defense expenditure kept at last year’s level

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000Rs. in Crore

17 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

...I assure him (Defense Minister) and the house that constraints will not come in the

way of providing any additional requirement for the security of the nation

0

200000

400000

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13BE 2012-13RE 2013-14BE

RE - Int Payment & Debt Servicing RE- Defence

RE- Subsidies RE Others

CE- Loan and Advances to State, UT CE- Defence

CE- Others Capital Expenditure (CE)

Revenue Expenditure (RE)

Interest Payments Creeping up beyond 3% of GDP; worrisome

3.1%

3.1%

3.2%

3.2%

3.3%

3.3%

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000 Rs. in Crore

18 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

In the budget for 2012-13, the estimate of Plan Expenditure was too ambitious and

the estimate of non-Plan Expenditure was too conservative.

2.9%

2.9%

3.0%

3.0%

3.1%

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13BE 2012-13RE 2013-14BE

Int. Payment and Debt Servicing (LHS) Interest Payment as a %of GDP (RHS)

Plan Expenditure Positively growth oriented

300000

400000

500000

600000Rs. in Crore

19 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

As a proportion of total expenditure, it (Plan Expenditure) will be 33.3 percent

0

100000

200000

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13BE 2012-13RE 2013-14BE

RE- State Plan RE- Central Plan CE- State Plan

CE- Central Plan Capital Expenditure (CE) Revenue Expenditure (RE)

Savings, Investments

& Capital Markets

� Without savings and investments it would be difficult to kick start growth. Recognizing this urgent need

the FM has undertaken several initiatives

� The time limit on the RGESS (Rajiv Gandhi Equity Savings Scheme) has been increased to three years from

one year and the income limit has been expanded to Rs 12, lacs from Rs 10 lacs. Further investment in

mutual funds along with equity shares is also allowed to improve the attractiveness of the scheme.

� Inflation indexed bonds and certificates are expected to be introduced after consultation with The RBI

� Additional deduction of Rs 1 lac on interest is allowed over and above the existing Rs 1.5 lacs where the

loan amount does not exceed Rs 25 lacs. Further if the amount of loan is not exhausted in year 1, the limit

can be extended to the next year also.

� In order to widen the insurance sector reach Insurance companies are permitted to open offices in Tier II

Conducive to put India on 7% growth path

20 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

� In order to widen the insurance sector reach Insurance companies are permitted to open offices in Tier II

cities and lower without prior permission of the RBI. Further Banks are also permitted to operate as

insurance brokers

� For capital markets,

– SEBI has been directed to simplify procedures for FIIs.

– Ambiguity between FII and FDI is to be resolved by classifying any stake in a company more than

10% as FDI

– FIIs allowed to hedge their Re exposure in the currency segment of the Indian derivative markets.

– Permitting FIIs to use their bond investments as collateral for margin requirements

– Angel investor funds to be recognised as Category I AIF venture capital funds

Increasing savings and their optimal allocation for productive uses lead to higher

economic growth

Savings, Investments &

Capital Markets (contd)

– SME’s along with startups to be permitted to list on the SME exchange without making an IPO.

However with certain restrictions

– Stock Exchanges allowed to introduce a dedicated debt segment

– Mutual Funds distributors allowed to participate in the Mutual Fund segment of stock exchanges

– Asset backed securities, ETFS and debt mutual funds to be included in the eligible list of securities in

which Pension & Provident Funds can invest.

– STT on equity futures and ETF and MF products reduced to improve attractiveness.

Reduction in STT to benefit traders

21 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

With the object of developing the debt market, stock exchanges will be allowed to

introduce a dedicated debt segment on the exchange

(Rs. in Crore) 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13BE 2012-13RE 2013-14BEChg FY13

BE/RE

Chg BE

FY14/FY13

Revenue Receipts 788,472 751,436 935,684 871,828 1,056,331 -7% 13%

Net Tax Revenue 569,869 629,764 771,070 742,115 884,078 -4% 15%

Non tax Revenue 218,603 121,671 164,614 129,713 172,253 -21% 5%

Capital Receipts 402,428 568,918 555,240 564,148 608,967 2% 10%

Recoveries of receipts 12,420 18,850 11,650 14,073 10,654 21% -9%

Other Reciepts (Disinvestments) 22,846 18,088 30,000 24,000 55,814 -20% 86%

Debt Reciepts 367,162 531,980 513,590 526,075 542,499 2% 6%

Total Receipts 1,190,900 1,320,354 1,490,924 1,435,976 1,665,298 -4% 12%

Non Plan Expenditure 818,299 891,991 969,900 1,001,638 1,109,976 3% 14%

Non Plan Revenue 726,491 812,049 865,596 919,699 992,909 6% 15%

Budget Summary Nominal GDP to grow at 12%

22 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Non Plan Revenue 726,491 812,049 865,596 919,699 992,909 6% 15%

Interest Payments 234,022 273,150 319,759 316,674 370,684 -1% 16%

Non Plan Capital 91,808 79,941 104,304 81,939 117,067 -21% 12%

Plan Expenditure 379,029 412,375 521,025 429,187 555,322 -18% 7%

Plan Revenue 314,232 333,737 420,513 343,373 443,260 -18% 5%

Plan Capital 64,797 78,638 100,512 85,814 112,062 -15% 11%

Total Expenditure 1,197,328 1,304,366 1,490,925 1,430,825 1,665,298 10% 12%

GDP Nominal 7,795,313 8,974,947 10,159,884 10,028,118 11,371,886 -1% 12%

Gross Fiscal Deficit 373,590 515,992 513,591 520,925 542,499 1% 6%

Fiscal deficit as a % of GDP 4.8% 5.7% 5.1% 5.2% 4.8% 3% -6%

Revenue Deficit 252,251 394,351 350,425 391,244 379,838 12% 8%

Revenue deficit as a % of GDP 3.2% 4.4% 3.4% 3.9% 3.3% 13% -3%

Primary Deficit 139,568 242,842 193,832 204,251 171,815 5% -11%

Primary deficit as a % of GDP 1.8% 2.7% 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 7% -21%

We are the 10th largest economy in the world. We can become the 8th or perhaps the

7th, largest by 2017

Sector Summary Favouring infrastructure sector

Sector Budget Impact Key Highlights

Auto & Auto Ancillaries Neutral Excise duty on non-taxi SUV’s hiked

Aviation Neutral Concessions announced only for MRO industry

Banking / Financial

Services

Marginally

Positive

Additional interest deduction beneficial for

HFC’s; Interest subvention scheme extended to

private sector banks

Investment allowance of 15% on investment of

23 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

While every sector can absorb new investment, it is the infrastructure sector that

needs large volumes of investment

Capital Goods Positive

Investment allowance of 15% on investment of

Rs 100 crore or more during 1/4/2013 to 31/3/2015

in plant and machinery and Infrastructure push

Cement Positive

No hike in excise duty; Infrastructure push in the

areas of road, irrigation and low cost housing

FMCG / Consumer

DurablesNegative

Increase in the specific excise duty on cigarettes

(not exceeding 65 mm) by 18%

Sector Summary

(contd)

Sector Budget Impact Key Highlights

Healthcare / Pharma NeutralRs 37,330 crore allocated to the Ministry of

Health & Family Welfare

Infrastructure PositiveClearance of stalled road projects; setting up of

regulatory authority for road sectors

IT / BPO’s Neutral0% customs duty on plant & machinery for semi

conductor industry

Healthcare and education clear cut beneficiaries

24 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

The 12th Plan projects an investment of USD 1 trillion or Rs 55,00,000 crore in

infrastructure

Media Negative Duty on STB increased from 5% to 10%

Metals & Mining NeutralA PPP policy framework with Coal India Ltd as in

order to increase the production of coal

Oil & Gas PositiveNELP blocks that were awarded but are stalled to

be be cleared

Power Positive80 IA benefit for power plants extended by

another year

Sectoral Measures and Impact

25 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

The key to restart the growth engine is to attract more investment, both from

domestic investors and foreign investors

Auto & Auto Ancillaries Increase in duties accentuating slowdown

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

N.AExcise duty raised to 30% from 27% for non-taxi

SUV’sNegative

N.ADuty on luxury motor vehicles hiked from 75% to

100%; on motorcycles (engine capacity > 800 cc)

to 75% from 60%

Negative

N.A Higher allocation of Rs 2,03,672.1 crore to

defence (+14.1% over FY13 RE)Positive

26 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

SUVs occupy greater road and parking space and ought to bear a higher tax

defence (+14.1% over FY13 RE)Positive

N.A More than doubled the allocation to Rs 14,873

crore for JNNURM (v/s Rs 7383 RE)Positive

N.A.Exemption on specified parts of electric and

hybrid vehiclesPositive

Impact Companies

Gainers Ashok Leyland, KPIT, Bharat Forge

Losers Tata Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra, MarutiSuzuki India Ltd

Aviation MRO industry given a boost

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Tax incentives to

Maintenance, Repair &

overhaul (MRO) service

Time period for consumption/installation of parts

and testing equipments imported for MRO of

aircrafts by units engaged in such activities

extended from 3 months to 1 year

Positive

N.A

Basic customs duty exemption extended to parts

and testing equipments for MRO of aircrafts’

parts

Positive

27 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Encouraging the MRO sector will generate employment besides other benefits

parts

Impact Companies

Gainers GMR Infra

Losers

Banking / Financial

ServicesHFC’s to benefit from interest deductions

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Allocation of equity capital for

infusion in PSU banks –

Rs15000cr- Rs20000cr

In order to comply with Basel III norms, allocated

Rs14,000cr for capital infusion (Rs 12,517cr RE)Positive for PSUs

Commercial banks to be

allowed to issue tax-free

infrastructure bonds

N.A. Negative

Farm loan interest subvention scheme @4%

28 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

I propose to set up India’s first Women’s Bank as a public sector bank and I shall

provide Rs 1,000 crore as initial capital.

N.AFarm loan interest subvention scheme @4%

continued and extended to private sector banksNegative

N.ATo set up India’s first Women’s bank via public

sector; provided for Rs 1000cr as initial capitalPositive

Infrastructure status to

affordable housingN.A. Neutral

N.A. RGESS investee’s can invest in MF’s

Positive for AMC’s (L&T

Finance, Bajaj Finserv and

Bajaj Holdings)

Banking / Financial

Services (cntd)

Interest subvention scheme extended to

private banks

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

N.A.

Reduced STT in -

a. Equity futures – 0.017% to 0.01%

b. MF/ETF redemptions at fund counters – 0.25%

to 0.001%

c. MF/ETF purchase/sale on exchange – 0.1% to

0.001%

Positive for IIFL, MOSL and

Religare

Introduction of CTT at 0.01% on non-agricultural

29 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

I propose to provide a further amount of Rs14,000 crore for capital infusion.

N.A.

Introduction of CTT at 0.01% on non-agricultural

commodities (gold, silver, base metals) futures

contracts; to be allowed as deduction

Negative for MCX

Additional deduction of interest upto Rs 1,00,000

on loan upto Rs 25 lacs for first home

Positive for HFC’s like LIC

Housing Finance, HDFC,

Dewan Housing and Gruh

Finance

Impact Companies

Gainers HFC’s, IIFL, MOSL and Religare

Losers Private sector banks, MCX, FT

Capital Goods Indirect beneficiary

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Basic customs duty reduced from 7.5% to 5% on

20 specified machinery for use in leather and

footwear industry

Positive

Budgetary provision towards

restructuring of state power

distribution companies

State Governments to prepare the financial

restructuring plans. No specifications about any

allocation

Neutral

Rs 1,400 cr provided for setting up of water

30 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

To attract new investment and to quicken the implementation of projects, I propose

to introduce an investment allowance for new high value investments.

Rs 1,400 cr provided for setting up of water

purification plantsPositive

Accelerated depreciation on

plant & machinery from

current 15%-20% to 25%-30%

for the next 3-5 years

Investment allowance of 15% on investment of

Rs 100 crore or more during 1/4/2013 to 31/3/2015

in plant and machinery (additional)

Positive

Impact Companies

Gainers Sadbhav Engineering, Jindal Saw, BHEL, Praj Industries, Thermax

Losers

Cement Boost from infra & housing push

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Increase in excise duty on

cement by changing the

existing slab

N.A. Positive

Announcements of infra

projects related to highways,

freight corridor and irrigation

A boost to infrastructure in the areas of road,

irrigation and low cost housingPositive

Government could review

31 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Bottlenecks stalling road projects have been addressed and 3,000 kms of road

projects in Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh….

Government could review

import duty on coal, pet coke

and gypsum, which are used

in the cement manufacturing

process

Duties on Steam Coal and Bituminous Coal

equalised with 2% custom duty and 2% CVD

levied on both

Neutral

Impact Companies

Gainers All

Losers

FMCG / Consumer

DurablesCigarette manufacturers impacted sharply

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Direct tax relief for the middle

class

Relief of Rs 2,000 for tax payers with total

income upto Rs 5 lacsNeutral

10%-12% increase in excise

duty on cigarettes

Increase in the specific excise duty on cigarettes

(not exceeding 65 mm) by 18 percentNegative

N.A.

Increase in the rate of tax on payments by way of

royalty and fees for technical services to non-

residents (foreign company) from 10% to 25%

Negative

32 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

What does a Finance Minister turn to when he requires resources? The answer is

cigarettes

residents (foreign company) from 10% to 25%

NREGA had an allocation of

Rs 33,000 cr in 2012-13Allocation at Rs 33,000 cr Neutral

Impact Companies

Gainers

Losers ITC, Godfrey Phillip, VST Industries

Healthcare / Pharma Healthy dose of allocations

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Increase in MAT rate from

18% to 20%N.A. Positive

Weighted deduction on

Inhouse Research to increase

from 200% to 225%

N.A. Negative

Increase in allocation toRs 37,330 crore allocated to the Ministry of

Health & Family Welfare out of which New

33 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Health for all and education for all remain our priorities

Increase in allocation to

NRHM (National Rural health

Mission)

Health & Family Welfare out of which New

National Health Mission to get an allocation of

Rs 21,239 crore (+24.3% from FY13 RE)

Positive

Impact Companies

Gainers

Losers

Infrastructure Major beneficiary of the budget

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Creation of long term

dedicated debt funds for

infrastructure

With 4 Infrastructure Debt Funds (IDF) registered

and 2 launched, they are to be encouraged to

provide long-term low-cost debt for

infrastructure projects

Negative

N.A.

3,000 kms of road projects in Gujarat, Madhya

Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Uttar

Pradesh to be awarded in the first six monthsPositive

34 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

‘Doing business in India’ must be seen as easy, friendly and mutually beneficial

Pradesh to be awarded in the first six months

of 2013-14

N.A. To set up regulatory authority for road sector Positive

Investment allowance of 15% on investment of

Rs 100 crore or more during 1/4/2013 to 31/3/2015

in plant and machinery (additional)

Positive

Infrastructure

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

N.A.Generation-based incentive for wind energy

projects with allocation of Rs 800 crPositive

N.A. Upto Rs 50000 cr Tax Free Infra Bonds issuance Positive

35 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Five inland waterways have been declared as national waterways

Impact Companies

Gainers IRB Infra, L&T, Suzlon, Adani Ports

Losers

IT / BPO’s Greater focus to education through IT

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

N.A.0% customs duty on plant & machinery for semi

conductor industryPositive

Removal of MAT on SEZ units N.A. Negative

Increased allocation under

schemes such as RAPDRP,

UIDAI and N-eGP e-

governance

Allocated Rs 65,867 cr to the MHRD (+17% of RE)

Allocated Rs 27,258 cr for Sarva Siksha AbhyaanPositive

36 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

Investment in the Rashtriya Madhyamik Shiksha Abhiyan (RMSA) cannot be

postponed any longer.

governance

Impact Companies

Gainers CMC, Redington, HCL Info, Educomp, Everonn

Losers

MediaRadio broadcasters to benefit from

impending auction

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Custom duty on set-top box

(STB) likely to be reduced

from existing 5%

Duty on STB increased from 5% to 10% Negative

N.A.About 839 new FM radio channels to be

auctioned in 2013-14Positive

37 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

To encourage domestic production of set top boxes as well as value addition, I

propose to increase the duty from 5 percent to 10 percent.

Impact Companies

Gainers ENIL

Losers Den Networks, Hathway Cable, Dish TV

Metals & Mining No surprise for the steel sector

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Likely increase in import duty

on steelN.A. Negative

N.A.Levy of 4% excise duty on silver manufactured

from smelting zinc or leadNegative

A PPP policy framework with Coal India Ltd as in

order to increase the production of coal

38 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

In the medium to long term, we must reduce our dependence on imported coal

Impact Companies

Gainers CIL

Losers Steel sector, Hindustan Zinc

Oil & Gas Impending NELP clearances a big positive

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

N.A.

The oil and gas policy regime is set to move from

profit sharing to revenue sharing (or production-

linked) contracts

Positive

Exploration and production of shale gas to be

announcedPositive

Natural gas pricing policy to be reviewed and

uncertainties regarding pricing to be removedPositive

39 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

The 5 MMTPA LNG terminal in Dabhol, Maharashtra will be fully operational in 2013-

14

uncertainties regarding pricing to be removedPositive

NELP blocks that were awarded but are stalled to

be clearedPositive

Exemption of 5% import duty

on LNGN.A. Negative

Impact Companies

Gainers ONGC, RIL, IOC, BPCL

Losers

Power / Utilities Hints at power sector revamp

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

Extensions of sunset clause

for power generating co’s

beyond 2013

80 IA benefit for power plants extended by

another yearPositive

Relief from import duty on

Thermal coal

Duties on Steam Coal and Bituminous Coal

equalised with 2% custom duty and 2% CVD

levied on both

Neutral

Generation-based incentive for wind energy

40 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

I would urge State Governments to prepare the financial restructuring plans quickly, sign

the MOU, and take advantage of the scheme

N.A.Generation-based incentive for wind energy

projects with allocation of Rs 800 crPositive

Impact Companies

Gainers NTPC, Power Grid Corp, NHPC, Suzlon

Losers

Miscellaneous Govt. looks to revive textile sector

Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact

N.A. Excise duty exempted on ships & vessels

Positive for GE Shipping,

Gujarat Pipavav, Pipavav

Defence

N.A.Zero excise duty route restored on readymade

garments; TUFS to be allocated Rs 2,400 crorePositive for textile sector

N.A.Excise duty on marble slabs increased from Rs

30 per sq mtr to Rs 60 per sq mtr

Negative for real estate

sector

41 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

The major focus would be on modernisation of the powerloom sector. I propose to

provide Rs 2,400 crore in 2013-14 for the purpose.

N.A.30 per sq mtr to Rs 60 per sq mtr sector

N.A.Additional deduction of interest upto Rs 1,00,000

on loan upto Rs 25 lacs for first home

Positive for real estate

sector

42 Thursday, 28th Feb, 2013

All the strength and succour you want is within yourself. Therefore, make your own future.

Ventura Securities Limited

Corporate Office: C-112/116, Bldg No. 1, Kailash Industrial Complex, Park Site, Vikhroli (W), Mumbai – 400079

This report is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views expressed herein are believed to be

reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in or have positions in the

securities mentioned in their articles. Neither Ventura Securities Limited nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of the above

information/articles. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited. This report is for private circulation.