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1 IE/TC455 class #30 INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design Class #30 URL:courses.washington.edu/ie455

INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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Page 1: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

1

IE/TC455 class #30

INDE/TC 455:User Interface Design

Class #30

URL:courses.washington.edu/ie455

Page 2: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

TA Moment

Page 3: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Class #29 Review

• Where go from here– Presentation– Final Report

• Short report from groups– Report cards

Page 4: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Assignment for Class #31

• Individual

– Modules 5.9, 5.10, 5.11

• Group

– Prepare final presentation for Lab #9 (5 Dec)

– Prepare final report (due Monday 8 Dec at

5:00P)

– Turn in personal assessment with final report

Page 5: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Class #30 Agenda

• Finish 6B report cards

• Future of interfaces

• Group time

Page 6: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Future of Interfaces

Page 7: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Arthur Clarke’s -Laws of Prediction

1. When a distinguished but elderly scientist statesthat something is possible, he is almost certainlyright. When he states that something isimpossible, he is very probably wrong.

2. The only way of discovering the limits of thepossible is to venture a little way past them intothe impossible.

3. Any sufficiently advanced technology isindistinguishable from magic.

Page 8: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

From Kurzweil: The Age of the Spiritual Machine

Page 9: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so
Page 10: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Approaching the ‘Singularity’

Ray Kurzweil -Law of Accelerating Returns KurzweilAI.net -

March 7, 2001

Page 11: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

‘Singularity’

“…technological change so rapid and soprofound that it represents a rupture in thefabric of human history. Some would saythat we cannot comprehend theSingularity, at least with our current levelof understanding, and that it is impossible,therefore, to look past its "event horizon"and make sense of what lies beyond.”

Ray Kurzweil -Law of Accelerating Returns KurzweilAI.net

- March 7, 2001.

Page 12: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Life Expectancy

Page 13: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Implications for Tom…

Page 14: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Maybe ???…

Page 15: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Will I see the ‘Singularity’

Ray Kurzweil -Law of Accelerating Returns KurzweilAI.net -

March 7, 2001

Page 16: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

…but isn’t IT already here??

Page 17: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Drivers for next generation interfaces

• Robotics• Biosensing• nanotechnology• Molecular & quantum computing• Massive participation (synchronous &

asynchronous)• Wireless & portability• Fashion• Quest for the ‘ultimate experience’

Page 18: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Furness predictions

• 1. Machines will become ‘human-like’!

Page 19: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Tomorrow’s paradigm shift...

! Image generators

! Displays

! Human factors

! Content acquisition

& synthesis

!Robotics

!Advanced computing

-pattern recognition

-learning

-self organizing

!Embedded sensors

Page 20: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Introducing tomorrow’s interface….

Page 21: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Early entities...

Page 22: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

I, ROBOT

Page 23: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Furby meeting

Page 24: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Furby

Page 25: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

SONY Robodog

Page 26: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

SIGGRAPH Entities - ATR

Page 27: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

SIGGRAPH Entities - IBM

Page 28: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Kismet

Page 29: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Kyoko Date

Page 30: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Entities...

Page 31: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

An entity I would like to get to know!

Page 32: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Artificial People

Page 33: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Page 34: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Page 35: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

Human Emulation Robotics

Page 36: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Hanson Robotics

http://www.hansonrobotics.com/gallery.htm

Page 37: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Wired Issue 11.12 | December 2003

Page 38: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Furness predictions

• 1. Machines will become ‘human-like’!

• 2. Humans will inhabit machines

Page 39: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Wearable Computers

Page 40: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Wearable Computing

Page 41: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Microptical Display

Page 42: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Page 43: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Page 44: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

IRONMAN

Page 45: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Furness predictions

• 1. Machines will become ‘human-like’!

• 2. Humans will inhabit machines

• 3. Machines will inhabit humans

Page 46: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Affective Computing

• computing that relates to, arises from, ordeliberately influences emotion

• Examples– Helps to communicate emotions of user for personal

reflection or to increase the bandwidth ofcommunication between people.

– recognize and respond to the emotion of a user, such asadjusting the presentation of a computerized tutorwhen a learner is bored, interested, frustrated, orpleased.

– Make computational devices appear to have emotions.

Page 47: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Page 48: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Page 49: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

The MATRIX

Page 50: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

The ‘Borg’

Page 51: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

‘7 of 9’ - a ‘redeemed’ borg

Page 52: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

VeriChipTM

Page 53: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Furness predictions

• 1. Machines will become ‘human-like’!

• 2. Humans will inhabit machines

• 3. Machines will inhabit humans

• 4. Brain amplification through moreintuitive interfaces– Super cockpit for the mind

Page 54: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so
Page 55: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

You’ve got to be kidding!

Page 56: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

You’ve got to be kidding!

Page 57: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

VirtuSphere

Page 58: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Contact Lens Display

Page 59: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

VR Impact on Human Interface Model

HUMAN PROCESSES

CO

GN

ITIV

E

PE

RC

EP

TU

AL

SE

NS

OR

Y

PS

YC

HO

MO

TO

R

DIS

PL

AY

CO

NT

RO

L I

NP

UT

MACHINE PROCESSES

PR

OC

ES

SIN

G

PR

OG

RA

MM

ING

SIGNAL

TRANSFER

DIRECT PATH

USER

MODEL OF

MACHINE

DESIGNER

MODEL OF

USER

MACHINEINDIRECT PATH

A PRIORI

KNOWLEDGE

TRAINING

EXPERIENCEEXPERIENCE

META COMMUNICATION

TASK

USER

MODEL

TASK

USER

MODEL

TASK

Page 60: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Really far out stuff!

• Mind-matter interaction– Endophysics

• Mindsong

• Direct brain interfaces– Sound to brain

• http://www.transparentcorp.com/special/headphone-less_brainwaves.php

– Brain to robot interfaces• http://www.physorg.com/news67706292.html

Page 61: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Future of interfaces

• Being there– Sensory immersion– Natural interaction

• Entities– Virtual and physical ‘Things’

that represent computers

• Virtual common• Emotional feedback• Deeply-coupled systems• VIRTUAL FROGS

Page 62: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Thanks…

Page 63: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

My Family

Page 64: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

My ‘other’ family

Page 65: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

HIT Lab NZ 2005 Virtual Worlds Consortium

Page 66: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Sponsors

• National Science Foundation• NIH/NCI• DARPA• ARDA• Dept of Homeland Security• NZ Foundation for Research, Science &

Technology• NZ Trade and Enterprise• Consortium members

Page 67: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Where do you want to go today?

Page 68: INDE/TC 455: User Interface Design - courses.washington.educourses.washington.edu/ie455/files/IE455--Lecture-30.pdf · ‘Singularity’ “…technological change so rapid and so

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IE/TC455 class #30

Point of contact:

Tom FurnessProfessor & Director EmeritusHuman Interface Technology Lab.University of WashingtonBox 354142Seattle, WA 98195Voice : 206.685.8626Email: [email protected] Web: www.hitl.washington.eduNZ Web: www.hitlabnz.org