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If you Don’t address Your Community’s Broadband Divide, Who Will?2019 NREDA ANNUAL CONFERENCETECHNOLOGY, INNOVATION AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP…TIES THAT CONNECT RURAL AMERICA
November 8, 2019
Ken JohnsonSVP, Broadband Programs
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If you Don’t address Your Community’s Broadband Divide, Who Will?
The Co-Mo Story…. Grass Roots Initiated – Listen to your Members/Customers Validate Member feedback - Member Survey, Crowdfiber Business Structure – Wholly owned Subsidiary, Division of Coop, L.L.C., C-Corp Service Offerings – Broadband only or Double/Triple-play? Technology decisions – GPON, Distributed Tap, Equipment Pilot – Validate Business Model and Assumptions (Pre-Sales – Success Based, Competition) Board Approved Phased Approach – W/Exit Strategies Financing, RUS, CFC, CoBank, FCC, State Broadband Programs Use Local Contractors when possibleDon’t underestimate the Advantage of Member/Customer Loyalty
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If you Don’t address Your Community’s Broadband Divide, Who Will?
Positive Outcomes of Co-Mo Project 480+ “Smart Devices” Connected on Electrical Distribution System Co-Mo Connect has added 32 new skilled technical jobs 40 jobs saved as a result of improved connectivity and lower communication pricing Multiple Cell providers added additional towers due to fiber backhaul capabilities 5 New Startups from Entrepreneurship classes sponsored by Co-Mo, Local College, DED Local businesses can compete globally, no throttling down to save capacity Local Business added 25 – 30 new high skilled technical jobs doing work globally Improved network capabilities with branch offices has helped multiple local businesses 2nd homeowners at the lake spending longer week-ends due to high-speed connections Reduced local commuting out of area for work – more doing work from home Educational Opportunities, Agriculture, Health Care Improved Public Safety/Law enforcement/Fire protection
If Not You – Who?
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Rural America is being left behind
Vast preponderance of electric service territory is either: NOT served by a cooperative or small/independent telco, or, Served WELL by a cooperative or independent
AT&T's Plan For the Future:No Landlines,
Less Regulation
Verizon’s ongoing focus to … increase its market share in
the wireless industry is driving it to consider selling some of its fixed line assets.
The vast majority of communities in CenturyLink
territory still have no hope for upgrades beyond basic DSL
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Rural America is being left behind
Electric co-op areas without broadband access
Electric co-op service areas
Sources: NRECA, FCC Data
Technologies
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Many technologies are converging to drive disruption
DISTRIBUTED ENERGY
SMARTGRIDSMART AG
FIBER
ANALYTICS
ROOFTOP SOLAR
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
LI-ON
BATT
ERIES MICROGRIDS
BIG DATAENERGY STORAGE
SMART THERMOSTATSELECTRIC VEHICLES
INTELLIGENT AMI IOTNETWORKS
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Smart Grid Solutions and Broadband Solutions are both Network Solutions!
Broadband NetworksSmart Grid Networks
Network Management
Satellite Broadband
Video Solutions
BroadbandBackbone
Fiber Design & Deployment
Mobile & Fixed Wireless
Smart Services
ISP Services
Advanced Energy
Demand Response
AMI Analytics
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A broadband backbone enables real value from a smarter grid
Application and Valuation10,000 Member Coop 2018 2027
Revenue (fiber lease) $28,000 $36,534
Cost Avoidance
Distribution Automation $280,000 $365,975
Substation Automation $1,000 $1,205
AMI $167,400 $218,801
Demand Management $1,150,680 $1,504,002
Outage Management $8,500 $11,110
Asset Management $648,148 $847,165
DER $31,107 $347,748
Previous Telecom Costs $54,000 $323,320
Cost Avoidance - Total $2,340,835 $3,619,327
Total Economic Value $2,368,835 $3,655,861
High Estimate $2,961,044 $4,569,826
Low Estimate $1,776,626 $2,741,895
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New technologies are helping extend broadband more cost effectively to rural communities…Fiber
› The Gold Standard – most capable, most future proof technology. A must have for backbone, but also critical to enable current and future consumer & utility services.
Fixed Wireless› Broadband - New radios, antennas and spectrum can deliver up to 100Mbps (in right areas) › IoT - Low power, long reach with ability to support many utility use cases5G
› Lots of promises…but won’t be in rural America anytime soon.Satellite
› Current GEO systems help reach most rural of customers but limited capacity and high cost.› LEO systems – still in future and unproven. Targeting backhaul, airline and cruise markets.
All emerging broadband technologies rely on lots of Fiber!
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Voice• Basic voice• Analog
• Designed for voice• Digital: Improved coverage/capacity
• Circuit-switched voice
• VOIP (all IP)• Operators often still use 2G/3G for voice
• VOIP Only (all IP)
Data
• GPRS data (kbps)• SMS Texting
• HSPA Data• First mobile broadband capability
• LTE Data• IP-based• True mobile BB
• Enhanced mobile BB• New, higher band spectrum (much smaller, very high capacity cells)
• Ultra reliable, low latency
IoT• IoT (LTE-M/NB-IoT) • “Massive IoT”
- More dense deployment- Longer battery life
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LTE and 5G are progressions of wireless standards
1G 2G 3G 4G/LTE 5G
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5G is being deployed first in cities on mmWave spectrum
Mobile bands
Midbands
Lower bands: Travel fartherMore channel bandwidth = Faster speeds
Very high band “millimeter wave”
Coverage Capacity
Macro cells
Smaller cells
Ultra dense
20 MHz channels
20-100 MHz channels
400 MHz to 2 GHz channels
5G Gigabit speeds are only achieved when using 400MHz+ of spectrum in millimeter wave (mmWave) bands› However, mmWave travels very short distances,
typically 200 meters
5G will be deployed in other mobile bands› Will be an improvement over 4G, but not gigabit
speeds› Only 25-50% faster in these other mobile bands
1M LTE/5G small cells forecasted in 5 years › This compares to <200K towers today› Opportunity for utilities to monetize vertical assets
5G will be deployed (over time) in rural in low and mid bands & will improve data rates;Gigabit mmWave solutions, however, will be limited (possibly wireless drops)
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5G millimeter wave experience
218 Mbps inside Starbucks
5G Site
600 Mbps here 405 Mbps
here (outside)
41 Mbps in this lobby
Partnerships
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Why Partner?(the better question is why compete?)
Strong commitment to community
Overlapping members
Both have made fiber investments in their networks and will continue to do so
Efficiencies should always be pursued
Possible additional sources of revenue
The business case is much harder in a competitive market
The customer may not care who provides it as long as someone does
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Key Elements to a Successful Partnership
Trust between partners
Common Values
Clear and agreed purpose and objectives
Mutual benefits for all partners
Commitment and ownership
Sometimes pride needs to be checked at the door
Clear and robust partnership arrangements
Good communications with all partners
Conflict resolution and mediation
Systems to monitor, measure and learn
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Potential Collaboration – Encouraged by RUS
Can you – and do you want to do this yourself? Depending on proposed service area, consider potential collaborators:
› Other Electrics
› Telcos (co-op or commercial)
› Cable Providers
› Wireless Internet Service Providers (WISPs)
› Municipalities
› Backbone & Carrier Ethernet Providers
› Cloud Providers
Pros: lowers costs; spreads risks; brings additional expertise Cons: potentially increases complexity; requires clear delineation of responsibilities
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Examples of Telco-Electric Partnerships
GA
MN
NY
AL
IN
WI
OR
AR
NC
TN
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Case Study: North Alabama Electric & New Hope Tel
North Alabama Electric
Stevenson, AL
New Hope Telephone Coop
New Hope, AL
Partnered to provide broadband to 8,048 households, 1,442 businesses, and 53 anchor institutions
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Case Studies: NineStar Connect
Central IN Power
Greenfield, IN
Hancock Telecom
Markleville, IN
Management identified “overlapping goals:› Electric Co-op – Focus on deploying Smart Grid
Technologies through fiber› Telephone Co-op – Focus on selling additional
services to new customers through fiber Merged to form NineStar in 2011 Had to amend Indiana law to allow electric and
telephone co-ops to merge
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Case Studies: Arrowhead Electric and CTC
AEC recognized its lack of expertise in broadband service early in the rollout of its fiber network and formed a partnership with Consolidated Telecommunications (CTC) the deficiency
Currently, CTC handles technical service calls from broadband subscribers that AEC staff are unable to resolve
CTC also provides the telephone switch and Internet gateway, which AEC resells to its subscribers
Arrowhead ElectricLutsen, MN
CTCBrainerd, MN
We found out quickly that there is a large learning curve especially related to phone and the assets you need for providing phone service. We found Consolidated Telecommunications Company out of Brainerd, Minnesota, which as a cooperative really had our same values and had been doing this for a very long time. We did indeed need that partnership and still rely heavily on it. Plus, we know the people there—in fact, that is where a former Arrowhead Electric co-manager works now. Our relationship is unique and it’s become a national partnership model- AEC Interim CEO / Finance & AdminDirector Jenney Kartes
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Fiber to the Home Broadband in Prince George County, VA
An agreement between PGEC Enterprises, Prince George County IDA,
and the County of Prince GeorgeJune 16, 2017
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Other Local Partnering OpportunitiesCo-Mo Partnered with others to leverage Technology and Investment G&T - Fiber Assets for redundancy Network Equipment for redundancy Contracted service for Video Programing/Headend with other Co-ops Aggregate Bandwidth Purchases Aggregate Customer Service/Technical Assistance Hired local Contractors from Community for Installs Vendors/Suppliers Local Community College and DED – Entrepreneurial Business Start-up Schools, Businesses Local, State and Federal Agencies Lessons Learned
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Cooperative Partners
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Our Mission:NRTC provides solutions that help our telecommunications and electric members bring all of the advantages of today’s evolving technology to rural America
Our Vision:NRTC will be our members’ most trusted technology partner
NRTC is your technology cooperative
NRTC is a member owned cooperative› 1,500+ rural electric cooperatives and independent
and cooperative telephone companies
30 Year History› We were formed in 1986 and have been profitable
for the past 24 years
Technology Driven› We are not dues funded and we do not lobby › Our revenue comes from the Technology services
we provide
Financially Strong› $141M in Revenue in 2018› No debt and ~$150 million of capital to invest in
technology for the benefit of our members
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NRTC Provides Technology Solutions to Rural America
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29Total projects
37,000Miles of fiber/FTTH plant
378,000Homes and businesses
$1.3BFiber and fixed wireless infrastructure investment
140+Employees
150+Feasibility Studies
completed/in process
NRTC Broadband Engineering at a glance
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Technology Choice
Density by area
Physical Plant Competition
Feasibility studies should assess five main components
Network equipment type and quantity
Deployment choices andcost per unit(mile, site)
Take rate and revenue
per user
Operating Model
Ongoing Costs
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Cash Flow
Financing
Detailed Income Statement
Equity
IRR
Payback
The output should be a detailed financial plan that can be used for financing
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Funding partners
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Major Funding Programs
FCC Rural Digital Opportunity Fund (RDOF); based on Connect America Fund (CAF)› $20 billion over 10 Years (proposed)› Rulemaking launched August 1, 2019; auctions expected 2020
FCC Schools & Libraries ($4 billion/yr; caps proposed)› https://www.usac.org/sl/
FCC Rural Health Care ($500 million/yr; caps proposed; revamp launched Aug. 1)› https://www.usac.org/rhc/
USDA RUS ReConnect Program (Grants; Loan-Grant Combos; Loans)› $550 million allocated for 2020; rulemaking expected 2019› https://www.usda.gov/reconnect
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OTHER USDA PROGRAMS(Funding levels vary by availability) Telecommunications Infrastructure Loans & Guarantees
› https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/telecommunications-infrastructure-loans-loan-guarantees
Rural Broadband Access Loans & Guarantees› https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/rural-broadband-access-loan-and-loan-guarantee
Rural Business Development Grants› https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/rural-business-development-grants
Business & Industry Loan Guarantees› https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/business-industry-loan-guarantees
Distance Learning & Telemedicine Grants (closed for 2019)› https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/distance-learning-telemedicine-grants
Community Connect Grants (closed for 2019)› https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/community-connect-grants
RUS Electric Programs (including Smart Grid, fiber, etc.)› https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/all-programs/electric-programs
Renewable Energy for America Program (REAP) – Not broadband; $400 million available› https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/rural-energy-america-program-renewable-energy-systems-energy-efficiency
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National Telecommunications & Information Admin. Resources NTIA Broadband Funding Guide Searchable list of additional federal and regional broadband funding sources
› https://broadbandusa.ntia.doc.gov/new-fund-search
NTIA News & State Broadband Programs Info & Contact List (Map)› https://broadbandusa.ntia.doc.gov/
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If Not You – WHO?Rural Broadband not a unique problem; We’ve done it before and will do it again!
1935: 13% of farms had electric service
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If Not You – WHO? Rural Broadband not a unique problem; We’ve done it before and will do it again!
1937: Electric Cooperative Corporation Act
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If Not You – WHO?Cooperatives solved the density problem and electrified Rural America
1953: More than 90% of farms had electricity
Questions?