24
ICEBERGS FOR KUWAIT CASE STUDY Tarunpreet Singh, Mengqi Lin, Chu Zheng, Yong Xo & Xuewei Xia

Icebergs for Kuwait

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Page 1: Icebergs for Kuwait

ICEBERGS FOR KUWAIT

CASE STUDY

Tarunpreet Singh, Mengqi Lin, Chu

Zheng, Yong Xo & Xuewei Xia

Page 2: Icebergs for Kuwait

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

Index

Analysis

Assumptions

Recommendations

Current Issues

Analysis

Assumptions

Recommendations

Current Issues

Appendix

Appendix

Page 3: Icebergs for Kuwait

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

Current Issues

Extensive consumption of oil using conventional technology

Feasibility of towing Icebergs from South Pole to Kuwait

Varying parameters associated with Alternative method

High costs of Desalinating seawater

Profitability of Alternative method producing water from Iceberg

Page 4: Icebergs for Kuwait

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

Recommendations for using Alternative method

Volume of the

Iceberg carry from

the South Pole

should be greater

than 6,054,466 m³

Speed of the towing

vessel should be

5km/hr

1 2

Page 5: Icebergs for Kuwait

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

Assumptions

Only large towing ships are rented which can carry maximum of

10,000,000 Cubic meter of Iceberg

Melting Rate of the iceberg is linear function of the distance of destination

from the South Pole, if distance is less than or equal to 4000 km

(Appendix-1)

Minimum fuel cost for the towing ship is same as for 1000 m³ volume at

given speed.

Towing ship can travel at three speeds only 1km/hr, 3 Km/hr & 5 km/hr

Melting Rate of the Iceberg is same for distance greater than 4000 Km

between destination and South Pole

Associated Fuel Costs of towing ship are logarithmic function of the

volume of the Iceberg carrying, if volume is higher that 1000 cubic meters

( Appendix- 2)

Page 6: Icebergs for Kuwait

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

Assumptions

Rent and Fuel costs incur even in the case of iceberg completely melts

before reaching the destination

Full day rent incur even if the towing ship reaches destination before day

ends. For Instance, at speed 3 Km/hr the total rent would be taken for

134 days rather than just for 133.33 days

Kuwait govt. has monopoly on desalinating water, and desalinating costs

£0.1/m³

Fuel cost for the given day will be dependent on the volume of the

iceberg at the beginning of the day

Iceberg is spherical in shape, melting rate at any given speed is the

reduction in the radius of the Iceberg

Rent for large towing ship is £ 800/day (Appendix 3)

Page 7: Icebergs for Kuwait

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

ANALYSIS- 1

Recommendation 1:- Speed of the towing vessel should be

5km/hr

Model we created takes the speed of the towing ship and Volume of the Iceberg it carrying.

Kuwait is at 9600Km distance from South Pole, so it takes minimum of 400 days(@ 1Km/hr speed) or maximum of 80 days ( @ 5 Km/hr) to transport Iceberg to Kuwait.

Radius of the Iceberg at the beginning is given by 4/3 ∏ R³ .

Radius of the iceberg vary everyday depending on the distance left at the beginning of the day from destination(Appendix 4).

Fuel Costs vary everyday depending on the Volume of the Iceberg left at the beginning of the day(Appendix 4).

Page 8: Icebergs for Kuwait

Analysis- 1

Recommendation-: 1 (contd.)

Cost of desalinating the seawater is £ 0.1/m³ of water.

Volume of water generated from the Iceberg at the destination is

0.85x volume of the Iceberg at the destination.

Total Profit from using Alternative method is difference between the

desalinating cost of same volume of water generated from Iceberg

and total cost incur from alternate method (Appendix-5).

Iceberg For Kuwait

Case Study

Page 9: Icebergs for Kuwait

Analysis- 1

Results from our Analysis

Total Profit from Alternate method for towing 10,000,000 m³ at the speed of 5 Km/hr

is £203,430.33.

Total Profit from Alternate method for towing 10,000,000 m³ at the speed of 3 Km/hr

is £97,611.33

A Loss of £361,035.33 incur on towing 10,000,000 m³ of Iceberg at 1 Km/hr

To better understand the results from our model we did sensitivity analysis on

few parameters to check the profit variation.

Case 1

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

Sensitivity of

our results

Profit is maximum or

loss is minimum at any

volume for speed of

ship at 5 Km/hr

(Appendix- 6)

Profit is directly related

to the volume of Iceberg

carry by the towing ship

from South Pole.

Case 2

Page 10: Icebergs for Kuwait

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

Analysis

-£250,000.00

-£200,000.00

-£150,000.00

-£100,000.00

-£50,000.00

£0.00

£50,000.00

£100,000.00

£150,000.00

£200,000.00

Pro

fit

Volume of Iceberg in m³

Profit vs Volume of Iceberg

5 Km/hr

-£500,000.00

-£400,000.00

-£300,000.00

-£200,000.00

-£100,000.00

£0.00

£100,000.00

£200,000.00

£300,000.00

500,0

00.0

1,0

00,0

00.0

1,5

00,0

00.0

2,0

00,0

00.0

2,5

00,0

00.0

3,0

00,0

00.0

3,5

00,0

00.0

4,0

00,0

00.0

4,5

00,0

00.0

5,0

00,0

00.0

5,5

00,0

00.0

6,0

00,0

00.0

6,5

00,0

00.0

7,0

00,0

00.0

7,5

00,0

00.0

8,0

00,0

00.0

8,5

00,0

00.0

9,0

00,0

00.0

9,5

00,0

00.0

10,0

00,0

00.0

Pro

fit

Volume of Iceberg in m³

Profit Sensitivity w.r.t Volume for a Given Speed

1 Km/hr

3 Km/hr

5 km/hr

Case 1- Profit for any volume is greater at 5km/hr

Case 2- Profit is directly proportional to the volume of the Iceberg

Page 11: Icebergs for Kuwait

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

ANALYSIS-2

Recommendation 2:- Volume of the Iceberg carry from the South Pole

should greater than 6,054,466 m³

Based on our previous recommendation, we did further analysis to quantize the minimum requirements for the alternate method to be profitable.

We found that profit from alternate method is directly proportional to volume of the Iceberg carrying by the towing ship at the beginning.

Page 12: Icebergs for Kuwait

Analysis- 2

Results of our Analysis

Alternate method of generating water is profitable only when the

towing ship runs at 5 Km/hr and carry atleast 6,054,466 m³

(Appendix-7)

If the carrying volume of Iceberg is less than 6,054,466 m³, then we

would recommend to use desalinating method of generating

drinkable water.

To further analyze our results, we found that our results are more

sensitive to the volume of the Iceberg than the Rent costs of

the towing ship (Appendix-8)

Icebergs for Kuwait

Case Study

Page 13: Icebergs for Kuwait

Analysis- 2

Company Name

www.themegallery.com

60

00

00

0.0

0

65

00

00

0.0

0

70

00

00

0.0

0

75

00

00

0.0

0

80

00

00

0.0

0

85

00

00

0.0

0

90

00

00

0.0

0

95

00

00

0.0

0

10

00

00

00

.00

50000.00

0.00

50000.00

100000.00

150000.00

200000.00

250000.003

00

.00

40

0.0

0

50

0.0

0

60

0.0

0

70

0.0

0

80

0.0

0

90

0.0

0

10

00

.00

Volume of the Iceberg in m³

Pro

fit

Rent Cost

Profit Sentivity Rent Cost vs Volume of the Iceberg

200000.00-250000.00

150000.00-200000.00

100000.00-150000.00

50000.00-100000.00

0.00-50000.00

50000.00-0.00

Page 14: Icebergs for Kuwait

LOGO

Case Study

Page 15: Icebergs for Kuwait

Appendix -1

Company Name

www.themegallery.com

y = 0.000060xR² = 1.000000

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000

Me

ltin

g R

ate

Distance from South Pole

Melting Rate as afunction of distance at speed of 1 KM/Hr

1

Linear (1)

y = 0.000080xR² = 1.000000

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000

Me

ltin

g R

ate

Distance from South Pole

Melting Rate as afunction of distance at speed of 3 KM/Hr

3

Linear (3)

y = 0.00010xR² = 1.00000

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000

Mel

tin

g R

ate

Distance from South Pole

Melting Rate as afunction of distance at speed of 5 KM/Hr

5

Linear (5)

Page 16: Icebergs for Kuwait

Appendix -2

Company Name

www.themegallery.com

y = 0.912ln(x) - 2.1R² = 1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000

Fu

el C

ost

Volume

Fuel Cost as a function of Volume at speed of 1 Km/hr

1 km/hr

Log. (1 km/hr)

y = 1.1726ln(x) - 2.7R² = 1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000

Fu

el C

ost

s

Volume

Fuel Cost as a function of Volume at speed of 3 Km/hr

3 km/hr

Log. (3 km/hr)

y = 1.4332ln(x) - 3.3R² = 1

0

5

10

15

20

25

0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000

Fuel

Cos

ts

Volume

Fuel Cost as a function of Volume at speed of 5 Km/hr

5 km/hr

Log. (5 km/hr)

Page 17: Icebergs for Kuwait

Appendix -3

Company Name

www.themegallery.com

Parameters

Large Ship

Daily rental (£) £800.00

Maximum load (cu. meter) 6,054,466

Speed of the Rented Boat 5

Cost of Desalinating Water in Kuwait £0.10

Page 18: Icebergs for Kuwait

Appendix 4

Company Name

www.themegallery.com

Days

Distance left

after day

Distance left

after day Melting rate

Radius of the

Iceberg

Volume of the

iceberg

Fuel cost

per Km

Total fuel Cost

for the day

1 9600 9480 0.400 113.07 6,054,466 19.1 2290

2 9480 9360 0.400 112.67 5,990,435 19.1 2288

3 9360 9240 0.400 112.27 5,926,857 19.1 2286

4 9240 9120 0.400 111.87 5,863,730 19.0 2284

5 9120 9000 0.400 111.47 5,801,053 19.0 2282

6 9000 8880 0.400 111.07 5,738,825 19.0 2281

7 8880 8760 0.400 110.67 5,677,043 19.0 2279

8 8760 8640 0.400 110.27 5,615,706 19.0 2277

9 8640 8520 0.400 109.87 5,554,813 19.0 2275

10 8520 8400 0.400 109.47 5,494,361 18.9 2273

11 8400 8280 0.400 109.07 5,434,349 18.9 2271

12 8280 8160 0.400 108.67 5,374,777 18.9 2269

13 8160 8040 0.400 108.27 5,315,641 18.9 2267

14 8040 7920 0.400 107.87 5,256,940 18.9 2265

15 7920 7800 0.400 107.47 5,198,673 18.9 2264

16 7800 7680 0.400 107.07 5,140,839 18.8 2262

17 7680 7560 0.400 106.67 5,083,434 18.8 2260

18 7560 7440 0.400 106.27 5,026,459 18.8 2258

19 7440 7320 0.400 105.87 4,969,911 18.8 2256

20 7320 7200 0.400 105.47 4,913,789 18.8 2254

21 7200 7080 0.400 105.07 4,858,091 18.8 2252

22 7080 6960 0.400 104.67 4,802,815 18.7 2250

23 6960 6840 0.400 104.27 4,747,961 18.7 2248

24 6840 6720 0.400 103.87 4,693,525 18.7 2246

25 6720 6600 0.400 103.47 4,639,508 18.7 2244

26 6600 6480 0.400 103.07 4,585,906 18.7 2242

27 6480 6360 0.400 102.67 4,532,719 18.7 2240

28 6360 6240 0.400 102.27 4,479,944 18.6 2238

Calculation at the beginning of the Journey

Page 19: Icebergs for Kuwait

Appendix- 4 (Contd.)

Case Study

31 6000 5880 0.400 101.07 4,324,082 18.6 2232

32 5880 5760 0.400 100.67 4,272,943 18.6 2230

33 5760 5640 0.400 100.27 4,222,208 18.6 2228

34 5640 5520 0.400 99.87 4,171,877 18.5 2226

35 5520 5400 0.400 99.47 4,121,948 18.5 2224

36 5400 5280 0.400 99.07 4,072,418 18.5 2222

37 5280 5160 0.400 98.67 4,023,287 18.5 2219

38 5160 5040 0.400 98.27 3,974,552 18.5 2217

39 5040 4920 0.400 97.87 3,926,213 18.5 2215

40 4920 4800 0.400 97.47 3,878,267 18.4 2213

41 4800 4680 0.400 97.07 3,830,713 18.4 2211

42 4680 4560 0.400 96.67 3,783,550 18.4 2209

43 4560 4440 0.400 96.27 3,736,775 18.4 2207

44 4440 4320 0.400 95.87 3,690,387 18.4 2205

45 4320 4200 0.400 95.47 3,644,385 18.4 2202

46 4200 4080 0.400 95.07 3,598,767 18.3 2200

47 4080 3960 0.400 94.67 3,553,531 18.3 2198

48 3960 3840 0.396 94.27 3,508,675 18.3 2196

49 3840 3720 0.384 93.87 3,464,642 18.3 2194

50 3720 3600 0.372 93.49 3,422,296 18.3 2192

51 3600 3480 0.360 93.11 3,381,604 18.2 2190

52 3480 3360 0.348 92.75 3,342,533 18.2 2188

53 3360 3240 0.336 92.41 3,305,052 18.2 2186

54 3240 3120 0.324 92.07 3,269,130 18.2 2184

55 3120 3000 0.312 91.75 3,234,738 18.2 2182

56 3000 2880 0.300 91.43 3,201,849 18.2 2180

57 2880 2760 0.288 91.13 3,170,435 18.2 2178

58 2760 2640 0.276 90.85 3,140,472 18.1 2177

59 2640 2520 0.264 90.57 3,111,936 18.1 2175

60 2520 2400 0.252 90.31 3,084,802 18.1 2174

61 2400 2280 0.240 90.05 3,059,049 18.1 2172

62 2280 2160 0.228 89.81 3,034,657 18.1 2171

63 2160 2040 0.216 89.59 3,011,604 18.1 2170

64 2040 1920 0.204 89.37 2,989,872 18.1 2168

65 1920 1800 0.192 89.17 2,969,444 18.1 2167

Page 20: Icebergs for Kuwait

Appendix 4 (Contd.)

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

66 1800 1680 0.180 88.97 2,950,303 18.1 2166

67 1680 1560 0.168 88.79 2,932,433 18.0 2165

68 1560 1440 0.156 88.63 2,915,820 18.0 2164

69 1440 1320 0.144 88.47 2,900,450 18.0 2163

70 1320 1200 0.132 88.33 2,886,310 18.0 2162

71 1200 1080 0.120 88.19 2,873,389 18.0 2162

72 1080 960 0.108 88.07 2,861,675 18.0 2161

73 960 840 0.096 87.97 2,851,161 18.0 2160

74 840 720 0.084 87.87 2,841,836 18.0 2160

75 720 600 0.072 87.79 2,833,694 18.0 2159

76 600 480 0.060 87.71 2,826,727 18.0 2159

77 480 360 0.048 87.65 2,820,930 18.0 2158

78 360 240 0.036 87.61 2,816,299 18.0 2158

79 240 120 0.024 87.57 2,812,828 18.0 2158

80 120 0 0.012 87.55 2,810,516 18.0 2158

81 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

82 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

83 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

84 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

85 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

86 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

87 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

88 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

89 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

90 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

91 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

92 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

93 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

94 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

95 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

96 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

97 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

98 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

99 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

100 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.0 0

Page 21: Icebergs for Kuwait

Appendix-5

Calculation Table

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

Description Calc.

Distance from the south pole in km's 9600

Speed of the Ship km/hr 5

Total Number of days to reach at destination 80.00

Radius of the iceberg at the begining 133.65

Radius of the ice berg at destination 108.13

Total Rental cost £64,000.00

Total fuel cost £182,713.92

Volume of Iceberg at the destination 5295814.72

Total cost incurred for the vol of water from iceberg £246,713.92

Vol.of water obtained from the iceberg at destination 4501442.508

Total Cost of Desalinating vol of water from iceberg £450,144.25

Total Profit £203,430.33

Calculation Table

Page 22: Icebergs for Kuwait

Appendix- 6

Company Name

www.themegallery.com

£0.00 1 3 5

500,000.0 -£376,282.33 -£206,255.44 -£190,145.57

1,000,000.0 -£383,948.27 -£213,126.23 -£191,089.79

1,500,000.0 -£389,882.27 -£209,749.17 -£182,218.80

2,000,000.0 -£395,394.00 -£201,682.81 -£168,803.88

2,500,000.0 -£401,662.01 -£190,696.91 -£152,597.66

3,000,000.0 -£406,219.57 -£177,638.72 -£134,439.68

3,500,000.0 -£408,640.31 -£162,997.06 -£114,810.44

4,000,000.0 -£409,603.69 -£147,086.63 -£94,016.25

4,500,000.0 -£409,419.65 -£130,125.36 -£72,267.08

5,000,000.0 -£408,270.38 -£112,272.20 -£49,714.63

5,500,000.0 -£406,279.26 -£93,647.69 -£26,472.93

6,000,000.0 -£403,537.42 -£74,346.05 -£2,630.37

6,500,000.0 -£400,116.07 -£54,442.75 £21,742.76

7,000,000.0 -£396,073.00 -£33,999.47 £46,589.42

7,500,000.0 -£391,456.44 -£13,067.42 £71,862.52

8,000,000.0 -£386,307.43 £8,310.23 £97,522.64

8,500,000.0 -£380,661.47 £30,096.67 £123,536.30

9,000,000.0 -£374,549.63 £52,260.19 £149,874.84

9,500,000.0 -£367,999.37 £74,773.20 £176,513.40

10,000,000.0 -£361,035.17 £97,611.52 £203,430.33

Sensitivity Analysis

Vo

lum

e o

f Ic

eb

erg

Speed of the Towing Ship

Page 23: Icebergs for Kuwait

Appendix- 7

Icebergs for Kuwait

Case Study

Description Calc.

Distance from the south pole in km's 9600

Speed of the Ship km/hr 5

Total Number of days to reach at destination 80.00

Radius of the iceberg at the begining 113.07

Radius of the ice berg at destination 87.55

Total Rental cost £64,000.00

Total fuel cost £174,893.86

Volume of Iceberg at the destination 2810516.04

Total cost incurred for the vol of water from iceberg £238,893.86

Vol.of water obtained from the iceberg at destination 2388938.635

Total Cost of Desalinating vol of water from iceberg £238,893.86

Total Profit £0.00

Calculation Table

Break-even Point at volume at ship speed 5 km/hr

Page 24: Icebergs for Kuwait

Iceberg for Kuwait

Case Study

Appendix- 8

0.00 6000000.00 6500000.00 7000000.00 7500000.00 8000000.00 8500000.00 9000000.00 9500000.00 10000000.00

300.00 37369.63 61742.76 86589.42 111862.52 137522.64 163536.30 189874.84 216513.40 243430.33

350.00 33369.63 57742.76 82589.42 107862.52 133522.64 159536.30 185874.84 212513.40 239430.33

400.00 29369.63 53742.76 78589.42 103862.52 129522.64 155536.30 181874.84 208513.40 235430.33

450.00 25369.63 49742.76 74589.42 99862.52 125522.64 151536.30 177874.84 204513.40 231430.33

500.00 21369.63 45742.76 70589.42 95862.52 121522.64 147536.30 173874.84 200513.40 227430.33

550.00 17369.63 41742.76 66589.42 91862.52 117522.64 143536.30 169874.84 196513.40 223430.33

600.00 13369.63 37742.76 62589.42 87862.52 113522.64 139536.30 165874.84 192513.40 219430.33

650.00 9369.63 33742.76 58589.42 83862.52 109522.64 135536.30 161874.84 188513.40 215430.33

700.00 5369.63 29742.76 54589.42 79862.52 105522.64 131536.30 157874.84 184513.40 211430.33

750.00 1369.63 25742.76 50589.42 75862.52 101522.64 127536.30 153874.84 180513.40 207430.33

800.00 2630.37 21742.76 46589.42 71862.52 97522.64 123536.30 149874.84 176513.40 203430.33

850.00 6630.37 17742.76 42589.42 67862.52 93522.64 119536.30 145874.84 172513.40 199430.33

900.00 10630.37 13742.76 38589.42 63862.52 89522.64 115536.30 141874.84 168513.40 195430.33

950.00 14630.37 9742.76 34589.42 59862.52 85522.64 111536.30 137874.84 164513.40 191430.33

1000.00 18630.37 5742.76 30589.42 55862.52 81522.64 107536.30 133874.84 160513.40 187430.33

Ren

t C

osts

Volume of Iceberg in m³