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Beyon Beyon nd 2016 nd 2016 By Mr. Pierre El Khoury General Director, President of the Board Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation (LCEC) 23 September 2016 International Beirut Energy Forum Beirut, Lebanon

IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

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Page 1: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

BeyonBeyonnd 2016nd 2016

By Mr. Pierre El KhouryGeneral Director, President of the Board

Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation (LCEC)

23 September 2016International Beirut Energy Forum

Beirut, Lebanon,

Page 2: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Outline LCEC plans in the near future: law

A t f 10 bli b Announcement of 10 new public b

Immediate announcement of the ca

w 288

b ildi itbuilding sites

all for proposals for one building

2

Page 3: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

LCEC Plans LCEC plans are based on two natio

N ti l E Effi i A t National Energy Efficiency Act(already published)

N ti l R bl E A National Renewable Energy Ac(to be published soon)

onal documents:

ti Pl (NEEAP 2016 2020)tion Plan (NEEAP 2016‐2020)

ti Pl (NREAP 2016 2020)ction Plan (NREAP 2016‐2020)

3

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Reminder: National Basi Declaration of the Lebanese Gover“The adoption of a national road m

t ( ) d ticoncepts (green energy) and counting12% of Lebanon’s needs by the year 20

وتعتمد على مصادر الطاقة) الطاقة الخضراء(حديثةا ال ف ا ق ط نا ».2020 لبنان، عن طريقھا، في العام 2020ل

li f h El i i S Policy Paper for the Electricity Sec“Commits to launching, supporting athe utilization of renewable energiessupply”

isrnment, 2009map built on modern environmental

bl t hon renewable energy sources to reach020”

حخريطة طريق وطنية مبنية على مفاھيم بيئية عتمادا«ال تأ إل الً ة ت الك%12ال ت ا من استھالك% 12المتجددة وصوال إلى تأمين حوالي

tor, 2010and reinforcing all initiatives to adoptto reach 12% of electric and thermal

4

Page 5: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

2010 As the Baseline Yea

Figure 4: Primary Energy Mix in 2

Primary Energy Mix in 2010 in Lebanon (measured 

ar

010 in Lebanon (toe)

5in tons of oil equivalent‐ toe)

Page 6: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Baseline Definition‐ 2010

Description Baseline De

Electricity generated from 3Electricity generated from non‐renewable energy resources

3,

Electricity generated from renewable energy resources

1

Heating generated from all resources

16

Cooling generated from all resources

N

TOTALGENERATION 3 4TOTALGENERATION 3,4

0

emand (ktoe)  Notes

090,090

181

67.52 Liquid Gas: 27.2, SWH: 12.72,

Diesel: 127.6, Other resources: N.A

N.A.

438 52438.52

Page 7: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Heating/Electricity Demand till 2030

Page 8: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Very Important (and Cha 12% target is a percentage of the dem

12% target is a percentage of the ele

12% target is a percentage of the eleof energy (not power or capacity) in

12% target is a percentage of the eleof energy (not power or capacity) iin demand (as per the policy paper

allenging) Assumptionsmand in 2020 not only supply

ectricity and heating demand in 2020

ectricity and heating demand in termsn 2020

ectricity and heating demand in termsin 2020 based on a 7% yearly increasefor the electricity sector)

8

Page 9: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

12% by 2020 = 767 ktoe

Year Ba

Total National Heating andElectricity Demand

3,

(Measured in ktoe)Total National Renewable EnergyProduction(Measured in ktoe)Share of Renewable EnergyProduction of the Total EnergyProduction(%)

aseline Year  2015 20202010

,438 (actual) 4,822(projected)

6,389(projected)

193.72(actual)

246.9(actual)

767(set target)

5.63%(actual)

5.12%(actual)

12%(set target)

Page 10: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Renewable Energy Mix bby 2020‐ 1.7 Billion USD

Page 11: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Power Capacity and Ene

YearMWMW

Wind 200PV, CPV 150Distributed PV 100Distributed PV 100CSP 50SWH 1,053,988 Total Hydro 331 5Total Hydro 331.5Geothermal 1.3Bioenergy ‐‐Total RETotal RETotal Primary EnergyDemand

TargetTarget

ergy Production in 2020

2020GWh ktoeGWh ktoe595.7 128.7240.0 51.8160 0 34 6160.0 34.6170.6 36.8

m2 685.5 148.1961 9 207 8961.9 207.86.0 1.3771.5 166.63 591 2 775 73,591.2 775.7

29,578.7 6,389.0

12 1

11

12.1

Page 12: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

LCOE of Each Technologgy (USC/kWh)

Page 13: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Payback Period for Each 

Geothermal

Rehab

Micro Hydro

1.69

SWH

New Hydro

2.58

2.68

PV

DPV

CSP

7 30

8.72

0 00 5 00 10 00

Wind

PV

9.23

7.30

0.00 5.00 10.00

Technology

20.83

13.58

10 9910.99

15 00 20 00 25 00

3

13

15.00 20.00 25.00

Page 14: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

More Details on the Tech Three wind energy farms (80 MW, 6

120 MW f l f b th i 120 MW of solar farms by the privsector

100 MW f d t li d l f 100 MW of decentralized solar farm

A CSP farm with 50 MW capacity (i

1,000,000 square meters of solar wat

Hydroelectricity: 236 MW rehabilita

166 ktoe of bioenergy (waste‐to‐ene

hnologies60 MW, and 60 MW)

t t d 30 MW b th blivate sector and 30 MW by the public

( ft li ti )ms (rooftop applications)

in the Bekaa area)

ter heaters installations

ation and 95 MW new hydro plants

ergy, methane use, and others)

14

Page 15: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Laws 288/2014 and 54/20 Law 288/2014 (dated 30/4/2014)

يئة واضطالعھا بمھامھا، تمنح اذونات وتراخيص ة ال ال ا ال ».يري الطاقة والمياه والماليةالطاقة

L 54/2015 Law 54/2015 من 7 المادة الى فقرة اضافة عبر 2018- 4- 30 غاية

One main barrier is the issue of thetraditional power plants to be built

Laws 288 and 54 are ideal for the inproduction of electricity from renew

015

بصورة مؤقتة، ولمدة سنتين، لحين تعيين اعضاء الھي«ز ا اقت ل نا ا ز ال ل ن ا ق االنتاج بقرار من مجلس الوزراء بناء على اقتراح وزيراالنتا

لغ 288/2014 رقم القانون باحكام العمل تمديد يتم«».2002- 9- 2 تاريخ 462 القانون

“Transaction Advisor”, especially forby the private sector.

nclusion of private sector entities in thewable energy sources, exclusively.

15

Page 16: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Plans to Proceed The call for proposals will cover

following distribution for solar PV f

Mount Lebanon—a targeted mi45 MWN th t t d i i f North—a targeted minimum of

South—a targeted minimum of Bekaa—a targeted minimum of

In each region of Lebanon, the misolar farm is 10 MW and the maxim

There is no obstacle to allow smalle(5 MW or less) in case of land issue

r all regions of Lebanon as per thefarms:

inimum of 30 MW and a maximum of

30 MW d i f 45 MW30 MW and a maximum of 45 MW30 MW and a maximum of 45 MW30 MW and a maximum of 45 MW

inimum power capacity of one givenmum power capacity is 15 MW

er PV farms in any region of Lebanonor national sites

16

Page 17: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Pricing? PPA? Optimistic This approach is welcomed and sup

Water H.E. Mr. Arthur Nazarian

This approach is in harmony withSector” that was approved by the C

LCEC is quiet optimistic, yet realisti

B d h d Based on the experience gained wcontract will be ready

With RCREEE, a professional softw

A first indicator is anywhere undercost of EDL is between 16 and 22 US

c?pported by the Minister of Energy and

h the “Policy Paper for the ElectricityCouncil of Ministers

ic

h h d f b d PPA d fwith the wind farm bid, a PPA draft

ware model will be used for pricing

r 10 USD/kWh, noting that the average

17

SD/kWh

Page 18: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

10 Solar PV Systems in P The Ministry of Energy and Water

its intention to install 10 solar PVL bLebanon

The budget for the 10 projects ii t t” i t b h d i th t 1interest” is to be shared in the next 1

Interested companies are requested

As a sign of recognition to the comthese companies will be notified ahe

The buildings include the MinistryLebanese Army, the Lebanese Intbuildings

Public Facilitiesthrough LCEC is hereby announcingV systems in 10 public buildings in

is available and the “expression of10 d10 days

d to contact the LCEC

mpanies participating in the IBEF 2016,ead of other companies

y of Energy and Water building, theternal Security, and other landmark

18

Page 19: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Bid for the Ministry of En The solar PV system to be installe

Energy and Water building

Exclusively dedicated to the compathe International Beirut Energy Foru

nergy and Watered on the rooftop of the Ministry of

anies participating at the 7th Edition ofum 2016

19

Page 20: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

Bid for the Ministry of En Around 90‐130 kW capacity (total a Call for proposals available to be co

nergy and Waterrea of around 900 square meters)ollected

20

Page 21: IBEF 2016- PEK- 220916 3/Session... · Geothermal 1.3 Bioenergy ‐‐ Total RE Total Primary Energy Demand Target rgy Production in 2020 2020 GWh ktoe 595.7 128.7 240.0 51.8 160

TTThank You!Thank You!

“efficient resources, sustainable achievements”

The Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation (LCEC)

Ministry of Energy and Water‐ Cornichedu Fleuve‐

First Floor‐ Room 303Telephone: 01‐569101

01‐565108Email: [email protected]