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Huw C. Davies& Mischa Croci-Maspoli
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science,
ETH Zurich, Switzerland
& MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland
A Characterization of
Atmospheric Blocking
OUTLINE
I Spatial Structure- Basis for the characterization
II Temporal Features - Credibility of the characterization
III Dynamics- Utility of the characterization
.
via consideration of :- block origin & resilience, quasi-stationarity & formation
IV Relationship with other Phenomena
SLP anomaly & 500hPa pattern
Notable features:.
- surface anticyclone, with- ridge aloft & local easterly flow
- elevated tropopause & jet bifurcation
Latitudinal cross-section of height anomaly
Tropopause
Conventional Perspective I: Spatial Structure
PV=2
latitude [°N]
Block also evident as :.
- a negative PV anomaly on upper-level isentropes
- anomaly located beneath an elevated tropopause
- contiguous anomalies present at surface and upper-level
An Alternative Characterization I : Spatial Structure
A BLOCK constitutes .
“a LENS of low PV located beneath an elevated tropopause”.
Essence of Characterization I :Spatial Structure
Develop an "identification and tracking" tool that can catalogue every block (sic. negative PV lens) in terms of its:- amplitude, location, structure, movement and duration.
Some Salient Features
A Block / PV Lens
(a) occurs in preferred geographical regions,
(b) persists for supra-synoptic time scales, and
(c) during its mature phase does NOT undergo significant :.
- change of shape despite being subject to large-scale deformation
(sic. a structurally resilient system).
- translation despite its location within band of zonal mean westerlies
(sic. a quasi-stationary system)
(A) Lens Climatology
Comparable !
Credibility of Characterization
(B) Synoptic Simultaneity
TIME(days)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
T&M P&H
DJF
476 events -> 3.5 per month
13%
10%
5%
1%
Quasi-stationarity
Questions
Questions prompted by “Lens” characterization of a Block:
(A) Origin of the ‘Lens’ (i.e. the negative PV anomaly) ?
(B) Dynamics of system’s structural resilience ?
(C) Dynamics of the system’s quasi-stationary ?
• Establishment of the overall PV pattern ? (- i.e. of the lens plus contiguous
features)
NOTE: Two possible sources for anomalously low PV near tropopause : - advection from low latitudes - convection (- diabatic cross-isentropic flow) from the low
troposphere.
(A) Origin of Lens
ASSESS relative contribution by - examining backward trajectories from the ‘Lens’
Indication that two major sources contribute to the ‘Lens’- tropopause-level air from far-upstream, and- low level moist air-stream ascending after passing over warm SST anomaly
(A) Origin of Lens
VerifiyingECMWF Analysis Control
Simulation
QUERY :Is the LENS formation influenced by ascent of the coherent moist airstream ?
NUMERICAL EXPERIMENT :Modify nature of airstream by changing the positive upstream anomalies in SST and land surface temperatureTWO INFERENCES
- Block formation sensitive to upstream surface conditions, - THE ULTIMATE TEST of a model’s cloud dynamics and microphysics is the delivery of ‘correct’ PV distribution aloft.
How does a “PV-Lens” retain its coherent structure ?
(i) PV-lens in a horizontal uniformly sheared flow
(B) Resilience
(C) Quasi-stationarity
What keeps a PV Lens quasi-stationary ?
(i) PV-lens in a horizontal uniformly sheared westerly flow
IMPLICATION: STATIONARITY requires a richer anomalous PV pattern
North
High PV
Low PV
High PV
Low PV
(C) Quasi-stationarity
Consider the typical instantaneous PV distribution on an isentropic surfacecrossing the tropopause.
- isolated LENS does not suffice
An Example of a Block with a di-polar PV configuration
High PV
Low PV
(C) Quasi-stationary: Schematic of possible
alternative configurations
(C) Alternative quasi-stationary configurations
An Example of a Block with a tri-polar PV configuration
High PV
Low PV
High PV
Low PV
High PV
Low PV
High PV
Low PV
(D) Establishment of overall PV-pattern
BREAKING WAVE(s) SCENARIOS
High PV
Low PV
TYPE C TYPE A
High PV
Low PV
High PV
Low PV
(D) Establishment of overall PV-pattern
BREAKING WAVE(s) SCENARIOS
(D) Establishment of overall PV-pattern
EXAMPLE OF A BLOCK FORMATION
PVUPV on 320K
Breaking wave (TYPE A)
..
Secluded Lens
Breaking wave (TYPE C)
(D) Establishment of overall PV-pattern
HOVEMOELLER COMPOSITE (centred on Block)
Meridional Velocity from Day-6 to DAY+6
ATLANTIC PACIFIC
(D) Establishment of overall PV-pattern
COMPOSITE OF BREAKING WAVES
ATLANTIC
PACIFIC
TYPE A TYPE C
Forcing PCV Character of Weather Systems
CONVENTIONAL CAUSAL CHAIN
Forcing Weather Systems
PCV
AN ALTERNATIVE CAUSAL CHAIN
Forcing, Patterns of Climate Variability (PCV)
and BLOCKS
Forcing, Sudden Stratospheric Warmings
and BLOCKS
Troposphere - Stratosphere LinkageBaldwin and Dunkerton 2001
Sudden Stratospheric Warming & BLOCKS
Evolution of mean zonal wind at 600N between 1000 and 0.1 hPa
Blocks rule OK !! ?
SSWrules OK !! ?
Sudden Stratospheric Warmings & BLOCKS
A. Scaife
PCV, the NAO and BLOCKS
r = -0.65
Blocking Frequency
NAO -
Normalized time-traces of the Atlantic Blocking Frequency and the NAO - index for the three winter months
Evolution of NAO index during a blocking event
The NAO & BLOCKS
total tracks
short tracks (< 10 days) short duration (< 10 days)
long tracks (> 10 days)long duration (> 10 days)
randomrandom
SOME POSSIBLE INFERENCES
What is a BLOCK ??
Requisite for representation of BLOCKS in models