20L%20Public%20Presentation(revised)

Amarillo, TexasAmarillo, TexasAugust 9, 2005August 9, 2005

Initially Prepared PlanInitially Prepared Planfor thefor the

Panhandle Water Planning AreaPanhandle Water Planning Area

CONSULTANTS:CONSULTANTS:

Freese and Nichols, Inc.Freese and Nichols, Inc.

Texas Agricultural Experiment StationTexas Agricultural Experiment Station

Texas Cooperative ExtensionTexas Cooperative Extension

Bureau of Economic GeologyBureau of Economic Geology

Why Senate Bill One & Two?Why Senate Bill One & Two?•1995-1996 Drought•Sixth drought in 50 years•SB1 passed in 1997

• $6 Billion Estimated Economic Losses• Nearly 300 Entities with Threat to Water Supplies• Large cities suffered the least throughout the

drought•Continued Drought in 2001 and beyond•SB2 passed in 2001

Interest Groups RepresentedInterest Groups Represented

Membership Includes:– Municipalities– River Authorities– Counties– Public– Environmental– Electrical Generating

Utilities

– Water Utilities– Water Districts– Industrial– Small Business– Agriculture– Higher Education

Interest NamePublic Janet Guthrie

Counties Judge Vernon Cook

MunicipalitiesDan CoffeyDavid Landis

Industries Bill HallerbergDenise Jett

Agricultural Frank SimmsJanet TregellasB. A. DonelsonRudie Tate

EnvironmentalGrady SkaggsDr. Nolan ClarkInge Brady

Small Businesses Rusty Gilmore

Elec. Generation Utilities Gale Henslee

River Authorities Jim Derington

Water Districts

Richard BowersC. E. WilliamsBobbie KiddJohn C. Williams

Water Utilities Charles Cooke

High Education John Sweeten

Members of the Panhandle Water Planning GroupMembers of the Panhandle Water Planning Group

Water User GroupsWater User GroupsWater User Groups (WUGs)

All Uses by City, County, River Basin & RegionFor each decade 2010-2060

ManufacturingSteam Electric PowerMiningLivestock

Municipal– Cities– County Other

Irrigation

Request copy from

TWDB

Adopted December 12, 2001

by TWDB

What Goes Into a Regional Plan?What Goes Into a Regional Plan?• 50 year planning period• Determine Population and Water Demands• Determine Existing Supplies• Determine Water Surplus or Needs• Social & Economic Impact of Not Meeting Needs• Develop Plans to Meet Needs• Consideration of Conservation Efforts (SB2)• Evaluate Water Management Strategies to Meet Needs• Evaluate WMS impact on Water Quality (SB2)• Identify Ecologically Unique Streams and Rivers• Identify Unique Sites for Reservoir Construction• Propose Legislative Policy Recommendations

Irrigation38%

Municipal36%

Surface Water Versus Groundwater UseSurface Water Versus Groundwater Use

Greater than 55% groundwater45 to 55% groundwater andsurface waterGreater than 55% surface water

Population and Water UsePopulation and Water Use

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Wat

er U

se (A

FY)

0

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

Pop

ulat

ion

Water Use (1997 Plan) Water Use (2002 Plan) Water Use (2005 Plan)

Population (TWDB-1997) Population (RWPG-2002) Population (RWPG 2004)

Planning Area DescriptionPlanning Area Description

Planning Area DescriptionPlanning Area Description21 COUNTIES IN PWPA21 COUNTIES IN PWPA

- Armstrong - Hall - Ochiltree- Carson - Hansford - Oldham- Childress - Hartley - Potter- Collingsworth - Hemphill - Randall- Dallam - Hutchinson - Roberts- Donley - Lipscomb - Sherman- Gray - Moore - Wheeler

Planning Area DescriptionPlanning Area DescriptionPopulation ProjectionsPopulation Projections

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

SB1 SB2

Planning Area DescriptionPlanning Area DescriptionEconomyEconomy

Economy– Agribusiness

– Manufacturing

– Petroleum

– Tourism

Major Water Use– Irrigation

– Agricultural Production

– Food Processing and Kindred

– Petroleum Refining

– Chemical and Allied Products

– Electric Power Generation

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Supp

ly (A

FY)

Meredith Palo Duro Greenbelt Run-of-the-River

Planning Area DescriptionPlanning Area DescriptionSurface Water SuppliesSurface Water Supplies

Planning Area DescriptionPlanning Area DescriptionGround Water Supplies (1.25%)Ground Water Supplies (1.25%)

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Supp

ly (A

FY)

Ogallala Blaine Seymour

Senate Bill 1 vs. Senate Bill 2Senate Bill 1 vs. Senate Bill 2

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Am

ount

(ac-

ft/yr

)

SB 1 Demand SB 2 Demand SB 1 Supplies SB 2 Supplies

Groundwater Availability Groundwater Availability ModelingModeling

1.25% Availability Management PolicyFuture Conditions SimulationUncertainty in Results50-ft Intervals– White Denotes <50ft

19501950

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS

SHERMANSHERMANDALLAMDALLAM HANSFORDHANSFORD OCHILTREEOCHILTREE LIPSCOMBLIPSCOMB

MOOREMOOREHARTLEYHARTLEY HUTCHINSONHUTCHINSON ROBERTSROBERTS HEMPHILLHEMPHILL

POTTERPOTTEROLDHAMOLDHAM CARSONCARSON GRAYGRAY WHEELERWHEELER

RANDALLRANDALL ARMSTRONGARMSTRONG DONLEYDONLEY COLLINGSWORTHCOLLINGSWORTH

19601960

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





19701970

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





19801980

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





19901990

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20002000

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20102010

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20202020

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20302030

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20402040

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20502050

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20602060

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





19501950

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





19601960

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





19701970

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





19801980

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





19901990

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20002000

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20102010

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20202020

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20302030

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20402040

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20502050

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





20602060

OKLAHOMAOKLAHOMA

TEXASTEXAS





Water QualityWater QualityAreas of ConcernAreas of Concern

0 30 mi

N

NO3 area of concern

Dockum

Ogallala

Blaine

Blaine

Seymour

Cl area of concern

Dockum

Ogallala

Perryton

Pampa

RRA

Lefors

Dodson

Wheeler

Water Management StrategiesWater Management Strategies

Evaluation:– Quantity, reliability, and cost;– Environmental factors;– Water resources and other water management

strategies;– Agricultural and natural resources;– Political and socioeconomic issues– Consideration of Conservation

Water Management StrategiesWater Management Strategies

Strategies:– New Groundwater Wells– Conservation– Reuse– NPET– Improved Irrigation Equipment– Conservation Tillage– Precipitation Enhancement– Voluntary Transfer from Other Users– Palo Duro Reservoir Project– Utilize Existing Water Rights

County SummariesCounty Summaries

Armstrong CountyArmstrong County

Water User Group StrategyClaude No Shortages Identified

County-Other No Shortages Identified

Irrigation No Shortages Identified

Manufacturing No Demands in this Category

Livestock No Shortages Identified

Mining No Shortages Identified

Steam Electric Power No Demands in this Category

County Population

1,850

1,900

1,950

2,000

2,050

2,100

2,150

2,200

2,250

2,300

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

County Supplies & Demands

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)

Demand 1.25% Available Supply

Carson CountyCarson County


0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)


Water User Group StrategyGroom, Panhandle, Skellytown, White Deer No Shortages Identified

Hi Texas Water No Shortages Identified

County-Other New Groundwater Wells, Conservation


Manufacturing New Groundwater Wells, Reuse, Conservation




County Population

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Childress CountyChildress County


010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Am

ount

(ac-

ft/yr

)


Water User Group StrategyChildress No Shortages Identified







County Population

7,400

7,500

7,600

7,700

7,800

7,900

8,000

8,100

8,200

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Collingsworth CountyCollingsworth County


020,00040,00060,00080,000

100,000120,000140,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)


Water User Group StrategyWellington No Shortages Identified





Mining No Demands in this Category


County Population

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Dallam CountyDallam County


0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)

1.25% Available Supply Shortage

Water User Group StrategyDalhart, Texline New Groundwater Wells, Conservation


Irrigation NPET, Improved Irrigation Equipment, Conservation Tillage, Precipitation Enhancement


Livestock Voluntary Transfer From Other Users, Conservation



County Population

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Donley CountyDonley County

Water User Group Strategy

Clarendon No Shortages Identified







County Population

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060


010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,00090,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)


Gray CountyGray County


0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)



Pampa, Lefors, McLean No Shortages Identified



Manufacturing No Shortages Identified




County Population

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Hall CountyHall County


Memphis (Shortage < 10 AFY) No Strategy Required





Mining (Shortage < 10 AFY) New Groundwater Wells


County Population

3,650

3,700

3,750

3,800

3,850

3,900

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060


0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)


Hansford CountyHansford County


Gruver, Spearman No Shortages Identified

County-Other New Groundwater Wells, Palo Duro Reservoir Project, Conservation


Manufacturing (Shortage < 10 AFY) No Strategy Required




County Population

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060


0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Am

ount

(ac-

ft/yr

)


Hartley CountyHartley CountyCounty Population

5,2005,3005,4005,5005,6005,7005,8005,9006,0006,100

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060


Dalhart New Groundwater Wells, Conservation



Manufacturing (Shortage < 10 AFY) No Strategy Required




County Supplies and Demands

050,000

100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Am

ount

(ac-

ft/yr

)


Hemphill CountyHemphill County

County Population

2,7002,800

2,9003,0003,100

3,2003,3003,400

3,5003,600

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060


0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)



Canadian No Shortages Identified







Hutchinson CountyHutchinson CountyCounty Supplies & Demands

020,00040,00060,00080,000

100,000120,000140,000160,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Am

ount

(ac-

ft/yr

)



Borger, Fritch No Shortages Identified







County Population

19,000

20,000

21,000

22,000

23,000

24,000

25,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Lipscomb CountyLipscomb CountyCounty Supplies & Demands

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)



Booker No Shortages Identified







County Population

2,600

2,700

2,800

2,900

3,000

3,100

3,200

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Moore CountyMoore CountyCounty Supplies & Demands

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)


Water User Group StrategyCactus, Dumas, Sunray New Groundwater Wells, Palo Duro Reservoir Project,

Conservation


Irrigation NPET, Improved Irrigation Equipment, Conservation Tillage,


Livestock Voluntary Transfer From Other Users, New Groundwater Wells, Conservation


Steam Electric Power New Groundwater Wells, Reuse, Conservation

County Population

05,000

10,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Ochiltree CountyOchiltree County

Water User Group StrategyPerryton No Shortages Identified



Manufacturing No Demands In This Category



Steam Electric Power No Demands In This Category

County Population

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060


0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Am

ount

(ac-

ft/yr

)


Oldham CountyOldham CountyCounty Population

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Water User Group StrategyVega No Shortages Identified








05,000

10,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)


Potter CountyPotter CountyCounty Population

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Water User Group StrategyAmarillo New Groundwater Wells, Conservation





Mining New Groundwater Wells, Reuse, Conservation

Steam Electric Power No Shortages Identified

County Supplies and Demands

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Am

ount

(ac-

ft/yr

)


Randall CountyRandall County

Water User Group StrategyAmarillo Utilize Existing Water Rights

Canyon No Shortages Identified

Lake Tanglewood New Groundwater Wells, Conservation




Livestock Voluntary Transfer From Other Users, New Groundwater Wells, Conservation

Mining (Shortage < 10AFY) No Strategy Required


County Population

020,00040,00060,00080,000

100,000120,000140,000160,000180,000200,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060


0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)


Roberts CountyRoberts CountyCounty Population

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Water User Group StrategyMiami No Shortages Identified








050,000

100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Am

ount

(ac-

ft/yr

)


Sherman CountySherman CountyCounty Population

0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Water User Group StrategyStratford New Groundwater Wells, Conservation





Mining New Groundwater Wells, Reuse, Conservation



0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Am

ount

(ac-

ft/yr

)


Wheeler CountyWheeler County

County Population

4,950

5,000

5,050

5,1005,150

5,200

5,250

5,300

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Water User Group StrategyShamrock, Wheeler No Shortages Identified








020,00040,00060,00080,000

100,000120,000140,000

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Amou

nt (a

c-ft/

yr)


QUESTIONS?QUESTIONS?

Stefan SchusterStefan Schuster

10814 Jollyville Road, Building 4, Suite 10010814 Jollyville Road, Building 4, Suite 100Austin, Texas 78759Austin, Texas 78759

Phone: (512) 617Phone: (512) 617--31213121Fax: (512) 451Fax: (512) 451--79567956

[email protected]@freese.com

Documents

20L%20Public%20Presentation(revised)