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Jan Kees Mons
20 December 2010E-mail: [email protected]
Webpage: www.jkmconsultancy.com
www.MaxSpiration.com
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Important questionsTick the boxes!
Is the idea COMMERCIALLY VIABLE?
Has it BEEN DONE BEFORE?
What is the UNIQUE SELLING POINT?
Do you have the PROPER RESOURCES?
What ROADBLOCKS to expect?
Is the idea REALISTIC!?!
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Important
questions
Writing the
business plan
Planning, re-
search, analysis
Step 1: Research and AnalysisTarget market
Market Size
Market dynamics: growth, demographics etc
Competition
Hurdles and “break-in” potential
If conclusion is “YES” continue the process, if “NO” come up with a new idea
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Important
questions
Writing the
business plan
Planning, re-
search, analysis
Step 2: Strategy and operational plansBusiness model
Objectives
Targeted market share
Assumptions made: be REALISTIC!
Manpower and resources required
Assets required
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Important
questions
Writing the
business plan
Planning, re-
search, analysis
Step 3: Financial modeling and forecastingProfit and loss account:Detailed sales projections – realistically derived?
Realistic cost projections: headcount, office, transportation, legal costs, outsourcing costs etc
Cash flow statement and balance sheet
Ratio analysis
Question: can I make a decent Return on Investment (ROI)?
If “YES” continue. If “NO” come up with a new idea
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Important
questions
Writing the
business plan
Planning, re-
search, analysis
Step 4: Financing requirements What are financing needs?
Initial investments
Working Capital requirements
Should cover the period in which company generates negative cash flow
Investment of partners vs investment third parties
Do you want to invest money yourself?
What do you have on offer for the 3rd party? It should be a money making proposition!
Majority vs minority interest
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Important
questions
Writing the
business plan
Planning, re-
search, analysis
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Writing the business plan What is your target audience? Investors, venture capitalists, business angels BankersConsultants, lawyers, suppliers etc
Guidelines Be concise and use proper business language Proper grammar, correct typingAlways detail your assumptions Length should not exceed 40 pagesAppearance should not be sloppy – show professionalism
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Important
questionsWriting the
business plan
Planning, re-
search, analysis
Front page and contents Cover and title page should include:
Name of company
Address and phone number
Month and year in which plan is issued
Table of Contents
List each section and subsection and mark pages
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
ContentsPreliminary
details
Executive
summary
Current
situation
External
environment
Strategy and
plans
Financial
analysis
Risk
AnalysisAnnexes
Preliminary details Associates and contact detailsManagement and competencies are extremely important to
investors!
Jan Kees Mons Jan Kees Mons (1961) has primarily been active in investment banking, where he worked as an equity analyst for Carnegie International, Wesselius and UBS Warburg advising institutional clients on investment ideas both in London and Amsterdam. During the last 6 years Jan Kees was Head of Research Benelux/director and member of the European management team of Cheuvreux, a leading European equity brokerage and subsidiary of Calyon. In 2008 he resigned in order to start-up a consultancy, combining it with studying International Sports Management. His key expertise can be found in company analysis and valuation, strategic analysis, business consulting, monitoring and financial and investment management. Being a lateral thinker Jan Kees’ main mission can be found in the initiation of further growth and development through analysis, cooperation and awareness. Jan Kees has degrees in Business Administration (BBA Nijenrode) and International Business (MIB, University of South Carolina, USA) and currently is trying to obtain a Master in International Sports Management Degree in Amsterdam
Contact details: Jan Kees Mons [email protected] +31652692550
22-3-2013 How to prepare a solid business plan
ContentsPreliminary
details
Executive
summary
Current
situation
External
environment
Strategy and
plans
Financial
analysis
Risk
AnalysisAnnexes
Executive summary Activities, products and services
Strategy and USP’s
Resources and competitive strengths
Financial background and funding requirements
22-3-2013 How to prepare a solid business plan
ContentsPreliminary
details
Executive
summary
Current
situation
External
environment
Strategy and
plans
Financial
analysis
Risk
AnalysisAnnexes
Current situationBasic corporate information – short description of the
business model, target group etcVision, mission and valuesBusiness organizationProducts and suppliersCustomersCore competencies,
experience
22-3-2013 How to prepare a solid business plan
ContentsPreliminary
details
Executive
summary
Current
situation
External
environment
Strategy and
plans
Financial
analysis
Risk
AnalysisAnnexes
External environmentThe economy
Market analysis
Competitor analysis
Competitive advantages
22-3-2013 How to prepare a solid business plan
ContentsPreliminary
details
Executive
summary
Current
situation
External
environment
Strategy and
plans
Financial
analysis
Risk
AnalysisAnnexes
Strategy and plansObjectives
Business strategy
Operating plan
22-3-2013 How to prepare a solid business plan
ContentsPreliminary
details
Executive
summary
Current
situation
External
environment
Strategy and
plans
Financial
analysis
Risk
AnalysisAnnexes
Financial analysisProfit and loss account
Detailed sales projections
Operating costs
Profitability and sensitivities
Balance sheet
Cash flow statement and funding requirements
Note that balance sheet, P/L and Cash Flow should balance!
22-3-2013 How to prepare a solid business plan
ContentsPreliminary
details
Executive
summary
Current
situation
External
environment
Strategy and
plans
Financial
analysis
Risk
AnalysisAnnexes
-60,000
-40,000
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E
Net profit
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Investment in personnel
-90,000
-80,000
-70,000
-60,000
-50,000
-40,000
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
Q3-09E Q4-09E Q1-10E Q2-10E Q3-10E Q4-10E Q1-11E Q2-11E Q3-11E Q4-11E
Quarterly cash generation Cash requirement
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
Cash Requirements: Cross over point in Q3-2011
Maximum Cash requirement EUR 77,000
Risk analysisOverview
SWOT
Critical success factors and alternative scenarios
22-3-2013 How to prepare a solid business plan
ContentsPreliminary
details
Executive
summary
Current
situation
External
environment
Strategy and
plans
Financial
analysis
Risk
AnalysisAnnexes
Risk analysis: Financial risk
Economic risk
Managerial risk
Reputational risk
Conflict of interest
Critical success factors Attracting top talent
How to be different, creating an edge
Relationship with end clients
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan
AnnexesProfit and loss account
Balance sheet
Cash flow statement
Financial ratios
Valuation
Quarterly profit and loss, balance sheet and cash flow statement (2 years forward)
CV’s partners
22-3-2013 How to prepare a solid business plan
ContentsPreliminary
details
Executive
summary
Current
situation
External
environment
Strategy and
plans
Financial
analysis
Risk
AnalysisAnnexes
Ratios 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018EMargins:Gross profit/Net turnover 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
EBITDA /Net turnover -199.0% -37.5% 2.0% 7.5% 19.7% 20.6% 17.9% 26.9% 27.6% 28.4%
EBITA /Net turnover -204.6% -41.6% -1.2% 4.4% 17.3% 18.3% 16.0% 25.2% 25.9% 26.8%
EBITA / Added Value -204.6% -41.6% -1.2% 4.4% 17.3% 18.3% 16.0% 25.2% 25.9% 26.8%
FCF/Net Turnover -167.0% -51.6% -4.2% 5.6% 15.5% 17.8% 15.7% 23.5% 25.2% 26.1%
Efficiency:Number of FTE's 1 1 1.5 2 2 2.5 3 3 3.5 4
Sales / Employee (000) 23,000 91,600 109,667 107,250 133,931 129,519 128,651 151,689 151,999 154,430
Added Value / Empl (000) 23,000 91,600 109,667 107,250 133,931 129,519 128,651 151,689 151,999 154,430
Staff Costs / Employee (000) (68,775) (125,974) (107,443) (99,165) (107,559) (102,855) (105,655) (110,830) (110,027) (110,554)
Cost of sales % Sales 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Depreciation % of sales 5.6% 4.0% 3.2% 3.1% 2.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6%
Capital intensity:Ave FAssets / Sales 28.2% 8.1% 4.6% 3.4% 2.6% 2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6%
Ave NWC / Sales -20.9% -5.9% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 3.3%
Ave NCE / Sales 7.3% 2.1% 5.5% 4.7% 4.2% 4.5% 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 4.9%
Working capital control:Ave inventories/Sales 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
YE Receivables/Sales 28.3% 14.6% 14.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
Ave days debtors outstanding 103 53 51 46 46 46 46 46 46 46
Ave payables/Total operating costs 12% 12% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12%
YE payables/Total operating costs -23% -12% -12% -13% -13% -13% -13% -13% -13% -13%
Ave days payables outstanding 86 42 43 46 46 46 46 46 46 46
Gearing:Net Debt/Equity -105% -60% -21% -64% -81% -87% -90% -91% -92% -93%
Interest / Ave Net debt 1.2% 6.5% 12.1% 3.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7%
EBITDA Interest cover 70.4 x 54.6 x (8.8) (28.9) (52.7) (39.7) (27.6) (35.0) (26.7) (22.5)
EBITA interest cover 72.4 x 60.4 x 5.1 x (17.0) (46.3) (35.3) (24.7) (32.7) (25.1) (21.2)
Capex:
Capex % Sales 9.8% 4.9% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7%
Capex % Depreciation 176% 122% 94% 91% 103% 100% 110% 110% 110% 110%
Depreciation % Ave FA 19.8% 50.0% 69.3% 92.5% 92.6% 103.0% 98.5% 98.5% 98.5% 98.5%
Returns:ROE -86.6% -231.6% -10.8% 40.9% 65.7% 38.7% 28.9% 34.7% 29.7% 26.4%
ROCE 1771.5% -583.4% -17.1% 106.8% 338.5% 384.7% 375.2% 478.9% 496.3% 512.6%
22-3-2013How to prepare a solid business plan