Upload
others
View
1
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Monthly DistributionThis report examines all publicly traded home builders (mid-,small-,andmicro-cap)basedontheirgeographicfootprint and includes the following:
• Builderrankingsbypastmarketperformance,currentmarketconditions,andforecastedmarketgrowth
• Location comparisons of builders based on the builders’ markets’ fundamentals (HCRI) and submarket desirability
• Builder metrics, such as active community count changes,orders,andcancellations
• Overview of each builder evaluating market strengths,weaknesses,medianpriceinthemarketsandpriceappreciation,employmentgrowth,andpermits,comparedwithanaverageofallbuilders
What Questions Will This Report Help You Answer?• Which builders should report the
greatest revenue growth if they kept pace with their markets?
• Which builders should have the best quarter in terms of orders and raising price?
• Which builders are in the best geographies based on our forecasts?
• How do community counts change quarterly by builder and by region?
• Which builders are in the most desirable submarkets with the best market fundamentals?
Home BuilderAnalysis and Forecast
HBAF
-image from slide 9 “H:\HBAF\_Archive_(Client-Reports)\2015\2015-02-February\Executive-Summary\JBREC-HBAF-ExecSum-2015-02.pptx”
-Chart from “TTM Slide” “H:\HBAF\Irvine - HBAF\builder market share.xlsx”
-“Charts” tab, use the chart in Y7-AF21 ”H:\HBAF\_Archive_(Client-Reports)\2015\2015-03-March\Data-Files\MarketGrowth-Builder.xlsx”
-“Page 8” tab, use the chart starting in rows A59-H91 ”H:\HBAF\_Archive_(Client-Reports)\2015\2015-03-March\Data-Files\RegExec-SumChartsBuilder.xlsx”
HOME BUILDER ANALYSIS AND FORECAST
Public Home Builders Have a Small Share of Communities in the Southeast, Suggesting M&A Activity Will Be Centered around This Region
Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, LLC (Data: Jan-15, Pub: Feb-15)
Dallas47%
Houston55%
Denver65%
Austin47%
Orlando73%
Washington,DC: 46%
Charlotte42%
Atlanta36%
Seattle51% Chicago
33%
LasVegas69%
Los Angeles and
OrangeCounty
56%
Minneapolis60%
Raleigh33%
Tampa51%
% of Total Active Selling Communities = < 50%
% of Total Active Selling Communities = 51% to 64%
% of Total Active Selling Communities = > 65%
Riverside-SanBernardino
67%
Public Builder Market Share by Number of Actively Selling Communities
Phoenix64%