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High Resolution Assimilation of Radar Data for Thunderstorm Forecasting on OSCER . Keith A. Brewster, Kevin W. Thomas, Jerry Brotzge, Yunheng Wang, Dan Weber and Ming Xue CAPS and School of Meteorology University of Oklahoma 2007 OSCER Supercomputing Symposium Norman, Oklahoma, October, 2007. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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High Resolution Assimilation of Radar Data for Thunderstorm
Forecasting on OSCER Keith A. Brewster, Kevin W. Thomas,
Jerry Brotzge, Yunheng Wang, Dan Weber and Ming Xue
CAPS and School of MeteorologyUniversity of Oklahoma
2007 OSCER Supercomputing SymposiumNorman, Oklahoma, October, 2007
CASA & NEXRAD Radars• CASA NetRad
NSF ERC: Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of Atmosphere– X-Band Dual-Polarization Radars– 30 km nominal range– Dual-Pol attenuation correction– Clutter filter– Collaborative, Adaptive Scanning– Fill-in below coverage of NEXRAD– Toward phased-array panels – low-cost!
• NEXRAD– S-Band Radars– Current Weather Service Operational Radars – 14 covering domain– Data used out to 230 km
CASA NetRad IP1
Southwest Oklahoma
CASA NetRad KFDR NEXRAD
Near Real-Time NWP Runs
CASA & NexRad
CASA Only
NexRad Only No Radars
• Four Runs in Near Real-time
• Hourly output graphics posted to web: http://www.caps.ou.edu/wx/casa
• 9 Weeks in Spring 2007
• 6-hour 1-km resolution forecasts
• Use Reflectivity
• ARPS Model
• ADAS Analysis with cloud analysis and latent heat adjustment
• Run on Parallel Linux Boxes OU OSCER(150 proc/2 runs at a time)
Forecast Domainx = 1 kmnx=603ny=543nz=53
Assimilation Strategy
2210 2220 2230 042200 00
IAU IAU IAU
01 02 03
5.5-hour Forecast40-min Assimilation
IAU
2150
Forecast Model started manually when storms enter the networkor with initial development within the network
Computing - Networking
CASA Radars
NexRad Radars
Other WeatherObservations
Other NumericalWeather Model Data
CASA SOCC
CAPS Ingest Cluster
IDD (Internet)
IDD (Inter
net)
Internet
NFS
OSCER Top DawgHPC
CAPS Webserver
DataFile Archive
Computing – Number CrunchingTopDawgTotal 1024 processorsPentium4 Xeon EM64T 3.2 GHzGigE Network (976 Mbps, latency 9 s)
ARPS Analysis/Forecast150 processors per job (75 nodes)4 forecasts, 2 jobs run at a timeHorizontal Domain Decomposition, MPICH215x10 processors6 - 6.5 h wall for each forecast1 - 1.5 h wall for data processing and analysis~50 GB of data each day created for archive
Summary of 2007 Cases• 21 Sets of Runs for 20 Cases• Weather Summary:
– With Funnels and/or Tornadoes (2)– Squall Lines (8)– Clusters of Cells or Individual Cells (6)– Broken Lines and/or Cells on Boundaries (5)– Precip Area with Synoptic Scale Low (1)
• Some developing, some intensifying, decaying• Wide Range of Time-of-Day
Sample Impact of CASA NetRad Data
NEXRAD Only
NetRad & NEXRAD
ADAS Analysis ofHydrometeorsConverted to ReflectHgt=~250 m AGL
Cross-SectionNEXRAD Only NEXRAD & NetRad
NetRad Low-Level Info
01 Z May 09 Forecast Animation
ReflectivityAll Radars
Refl + VrAll Radars
KTLX (Verif)
40 min - End of Assimilation Period
ReflectivityAll Radars
Refl + VrAll Radars
KTLX (Verif)
40 min - End of Assimilation Period
Stronger Vort
Improved Refl
2-hour Forecast
ReflectivityAll Radars
KTLX (Verif)
Refl + VrAll Radars
2-hour Forecast
ReflectivityAll Radars
KTLX (Verif)
Refl + VrAll Radars
Stronger, Closer
Vorticity During Assimilation
2-3 hr Vorticity Forecasts
2-3 hr Vorticity Forecasts
Triangles:ObservedCirculationsNo
Radar Data
2-3 hr Vorticity Forecasts
Solid Green:NetRad Only
Orange:NexRad Only
Red:Reflectivity Both
2-3 hr Vorticity Forecasts
Radial VelocityData Used fromAll Radars
Four CirculationsTracked in this run
Accomplishments• Completed MPI of ADAS with cloud analysis• Able to process CASA radar
– Automated Data Selection– Data I/O and Quality Control (ref & vel)– Remapping and hydrometeor assignment– Reflectivities are well-handled in model
• Baseline Runs Complete
Ongoing/Future Work• Complete MPI of Vr analysis and run simulations with Vr• Detailed verification of model forecasts
– Comparison of QPF to NSSL 1-km Q2– Comparison of location and strength of forecast circulation
centers vs. radar-observed circulation centers (April 10, May 8/9)• Prepare for 2008 Experiment
– Complete MPI of 3DVAR and comparison of results– Integrate NWP in end-user training– Design near real-time evaluation for integration in
NWC Hazardous WeatherTestbed