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HHI 1H07 Analyst Final (Web)€¦ · 5 10,155 11,532 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 1H06 1H07 Aggregate daily revenue Rmb (‘000) + 14% Aggregate average daily toll of the

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  • 1Presentation slides are available in www.hopewellhighway.com

    ���������������������������������������� ���� ���� ���� ���� ���� ���� ���� ����

    ����������������������������������������

    �������������������������������������������������������������������������������� �������� �������� �������� �������� �������� �������� �������� ��������

    ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������

    �!�������� �!��������

  • 2

    "�����!�����"�����!����� �������� �������� �������� ��������

    Strong, solid financial positionStrong, solid financial position��������

    Poised to grow with the Pearl River Delta Poised to grow with the Pearl River Delta economyeconomy� �� � ��� � �� � � � � � �� �

    Quality Quality upcoming projects to enhance upcoming projects to enhance shareholder valueshareholder value� � � � � �� � � � � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � �

  • 3

    �������������������������������� ����������������� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �

    Aggregate average daily traffic rose 17% to 429K����� � � � � �� � � � �� �

    HHI’s net cash on hand HK$ 3.3 billion (excluding JV Entity)�� � � � � � � � � � � ! " ##$ % &' ( ) �* + , -

    6 months ended6 months ended31.12.05 31.12.0631.12.05 31.12.06

    +30.4%15.0011.50DPS (HK cents)���� �� � �

    +17.8%22.9919.52EPS (HK cents)��� �� � �

    +20.9%682564Net profit attr. to equity holders of the Co. (HK$’ m)

    � �� � �� ( � � � � � )

    +16.8%1,004860Net toll revenue (HK$’ m) �� � � � ( � � � � � )

    % Change% Change

  • 4

    429366

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    1H06 1H07

    Aggregate daily traffic Aggregate daily traffic ��������������������������������������������������������Traffic (‘000)

    + 17%

    #����������������#���������������� � � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �Aggregate average daily traffic of the Group’s 3 toll expressways +17% to 429,000 vehicles. / 0 1 #2 3 4 5 6 � � ����� � � 7 8 � �� � � � �� �

    RR RR � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

    8284

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    1H06 1H07

    Traffic (‘000)

    - 2 %

    Phase I West Phase I West

    ����

    ���� I I ��������

    2722

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    1H06 1H07

    Traffic (‘000)

    + 21%

    320260

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    1H06 1H07

    GS GS � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � Traffic (‘000)

    + 23%

    Average daily traffic

  • 5

    10,15511,532

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    1H06 1H07

    Aggregate daily revenue Aggregate daily revenue ����� ������ ������ ������ ������ ������ ������ ������ �

    Rmb (‘000) + 14%

    Aggregate average daily toll of the Group’s 3 toll expressways +14% to Rmb11.5 million. / 0 1 #2 3 4 5 6 � � ����� 4 3 9 7 8 � �: ; " < = > �%

    #����������������#���������������� � � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �

    9,9688,668

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    1H06 1H07

    GS GS � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

    + 15%Rmb (‘000)

    RR RR � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

    1,1681,160

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1H06 1H07

    + 1 %Rmb (‘000)

    Phase I West Phase I West

    ����

    ���� I I ��������

    396327

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    1H06 1H07

    + 21%

    Rmb (‘000)

    Average daily toll revenue

  • 6

    HK$’M ��������( � � �� � �� � �� � � ) 31.12.05 31.12.06 % Change

    Net toll revenue �������������������� 860 1,004 17%Exchange gain ���� 97 86

    Interest income �� � � 62 107

    Other revenue ���� 25 25 Total Revenue ������������ 1,043 1,222 17% Opex � � � � (122) (123)

    Depn & amortn exp � � � � (153) (188)

    EBIT � � � � � �� � � � � �� � � � � �� � � � � � 769 911 18%

    Finance costs � � � � (134) (161)

    Tax expenses � � � � (61) (56)

    Net Profit ������������ 574 694

    Attributable to: Minority interests � � � � � � � � � 10 12 Equity holders of the Co. � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � � 564 682 21%

    574 694

    Op. margin (excl. exchange gain & interest income)(1)

    � � ! � " ( # $ % & ' ( � � � ) ��)(1)89% 90%

    EBITDA/Interest (x) � ) * + , (-) 6.9 6.8

    6 months ended

    "������������"������������ ����������������

    Note: (1) EBITDA (excl exchange gain & interest inc.)/ net toll revenue

    �� ��� � ��� � � � � � � � � � �� � �� � / �� �� �

  • 7

    361430

    564

    682

    1,128

    733

    899

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    FY03/04 FY04/05 FY05/06 FY06/07

    HK$Million

    Interim Result ended 31-Dec Annual Result ended 30-Jun

    $���%������&����'���'������()�������������������*�+$���%������&����'���'������()�������������������*�+

    � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � �� � � � � � � �� � � � � � � �� � � � � � � �� � � � � � � �� � � � � � � �� � � � � � � �

    ����21%

  • 8

    "�����,�-�������������"�����,�-������������� �� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� �

    88% 74% 75%Total DividendPayout Ratio

    10.00 10.25 11.5015.00

    12.50 12.7517.00

    05

    10152025303540

    FY03/04 FY04/05 FY05/06 FY06/07

    Interim Dividend Final DividendHK cents/sh

    Target 75% dividend payout ratio �������������������� � � �� � �� � �� � �

    Group DividendGroup Dividend

    23.022.5

    28.5

  • 9

    !�.���$���%��.����!�.���$���%��.���� � � � � �� � � � �� � � � �� � � � �� � � � �� � � � �� � � � �� � � � �

    Approx. Rmb7b (Equity/Debt: 0%/100%)

    ����� � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � �

    Expansion from current dual 3 to dual 5 lanes

    � � � � � �� � � � � � � �� �

    GS Expansion ! " # � �

    (HHI: 50%)

    Approx. Rmb3.6b (Equity/Debt: 35%/65%)

    �����$ � � � � � � � ��� �$ �� �

    Approx. Rmb4.9b (Equity/Debt: 35%/65%)

    ����% & � � � �� � � ���� �$ �� �

    Planned Inv.*Planned Inv.* ����������������������������������������**Description Description ����������������Projects Projects � �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �

    Zhongshan – Zhuhai expressway of approx. 38km

    ' ( � ) * ��+ , - ." # , /

    Phase III West ) 0 12 2 2 3

    (HHI: 50%)

    Shunde – Zhongshan expressway of approx. 46km

    4 5 � ' ( �% $ , - ." # , /

    Phase II West ) 0 12 2 3

    (HHI: 50%)

    /�������%��.����/�������%��.���� � � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �� � � �

    Depends on scope of project

    6 7 8 9 : .; <

    Planned Planned Inv.* Inv.* ����������������������������������������**DescriptionDescription � � � � � � � �Projects Projects � �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �Proposed 29km bridge linking Hong Kong, Zhuhai & Macau

    = > .? & , - @ A B C D E � ) *F G H

    HK-Zhuhai-Macau BridgeE ) G @ A

    (HHI: planned 50%)

    •Present planning, subject to change; excluding finance cost������� � � � � � � � � �

  • 10

    !�.���%��.�����%�����!�.���%��.�����%����� � � � � � �� � � � � �� � � � � �� � � � � �� � � � � �� � � � � �� � � � � �� � � � � �

    * Based on exchange rate of Rmb1 = HK$0.9954 as of closing on 31-12-2006

    ^ Present planning, subject to change; excluding finance cost

    # HHI’s interest in GS: 50% Jul 97-Jun 07, 48% Jul 07-Jun 17, 45% Jul 17 - Jun 27

    Sufficient funding for new projects from: I J K L M N O P 9 : :

    1. net cash of $3.3billion on hand (approx.$1.1 per share) Q R S � M E �33� � (�T E �1.1�)

    2. operating cash inflow of over HK$1.3 billion per year U V � M W X T Y Z E �13� �- Annual net cash reserve of approx. HK$390m in the past 3 years on average[ \ 3 Y L M S ] X ^ _ T Y ` a �E �3.9 � �

    3. HK$3.6 billion 5-year syndicated bank loan facility - no need to draw for above projectsb c 9 : d e L M fe g h i E ��$ � �.�Y 3j k l m

    Projects PlannedInvestment ^

    Interest Equityrequired

    HHI's PlannedEquity

    Portion *^

    Rmb'm % % HK$'M FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10

    Phase II West����II � 4,900 50% 35% 854 256 341 256

    Phase III West����III � 3,600 50% 35% 627 188 251 188

    GS expansion�� � �

    7,000 50%# 0% -

    Total��������

    15,500 1,481 256 530 507 188

    HHI's Planned EquityInjection*^ (HK$'M)

  • 11

    ���$���*�����������$���*��������� � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � ! " # $

    Annual net cash reserve of approx. HK$390m in past 3 years on average (after payment of dividend to HHI shareholders & HHI opex)

    ��3 � � � � � � � � � � � � 3.9 � � ( � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! � � � � � � " # $ % & )

    215

    384

    572

    256

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    FY04 FY05 FY06 1H07

    HK$M

    HHI Net Cash InflowHHI Net Cash Inflow

  • 12

    %�����-�������������������'��&�����������%�����-�������������������'��&�����������% & ' ( ) * + , - . /% & ' ( ) * + , - . /% & ' ( ) * + , - . /% & ' ( ) * + , - . /% & ' ( ) * + , - . /% & ' ( ) * + , - . /% & ' ( ) * + , - . /% & ' ( ) * + , - . /

    As at 31 Dec 2006

    USD loans: 72%

    ������ � �

    RMB loans: 28%

    � ���� � �

    Revenue in RMB but majority of loans in non-RMB

    � � � � � �� � � �

    Exchange gain HK$86m

    � � � � � � $8,600 � �

    USD72%

    RMB28%

    Breakdown of Total Loans Breakdown of Total Loans By CurrencyBy Currency

  • 13

    01,2�!3�(4����������!�-�����01,2�!3�(4����������!�-�����0 1 2 % & ' 3 4 5 60 1 2 % & ' 3 4 5 60 1 2 % & ' 3 4 5 60 1 2 % & ' 3 4 5 60 1 2 % & ' 3 4 5 60 1 2 % & ' 3 4 5 60 1 2 % & ' 3 4 5 60 1 2 % & ' 3 4 5 6

    Source: PBOC

    USD:RMB Exchange Rate

    0.1160

    0.1180

    0.1200

    0.1220

    0.1240

    0.1260

    0.1280

    0.13001-

    Jan-

    0522

    -Mar

    -05

    1-Ju

    n-05

    27-J

    ul-0

    512

    -Aug

    -05

    30-A

    ug-0

    515

    -Sep

    -05

    9-O

    ct-0

    525

    -Oct

    -05

    10-N

    ov-0

    528

    -Nov

    -05

    14-D

    ec-0

    530

    -Dec

    -05

    19-J

    an-0

    613

    -Feb

    -06

    1-M

    ar-0

    617

    -Mar

    -06

    4-A

    pr-0

    620

    -Apr

    -06

    15-M

    ay-0

    631

    -May

    -06

    16-J

    un-0

    64-

    Jul-0

    620

    -Jul

    -06

    7-A

    ug-0

    623

    -Aug

    -06

    8-S

    ep-0

    626

    -Sep

    -06

    19-O

    ct-0

    66-

    Nov

    -06

    22-N

    ov-0

    68-

    Dec

    -06

    26-D

    ec-0

    616

    -Jan

    -07

    USD/RMB1

    2% RMB appreciation announcedon 21-7-2005 (USD0.1233/RMB1)

    As at 30-6-06 :USD0.12507/RMB1(RMB7.9956/USD1)� +3.51% since 20-7-05

    As at 20-7-05 : USD0.12083/RMB1(RMB 8.276/USD1)

    As at 31-12-06 :USD0.12806/RMB1(RMB7.8087/USD1)� +5.98% since 20-7-05� +2.39% since 30-6-06

    As at 18-1-07 :USD0.12855/RMB1(RMB7.7758/USD1)� +6.39% since 20-7-05

    As at 31-12-05 :USD0.12391/RMB1(RMB8.0702/USD1)� +2.55% since 20-7-05

  • 14

    Notes: (1) Included pledged bank deposits $282M (31.12.06) and $473M (31.12.05)

    (2) Majority of the debt has long maturity of over 5 years

    (3) HHI’s proportionate share of joint venture’s debts

    (4) Net debt refers to total debt less pledged bank deposits, bank balances and cash

    *������������3�������1����������*������������3�������1����������7�89:;

  • 15

    Source: CEIC & various car manufacturer associations* Total vehicles incl. passenger & commercial vehicles but excl. motorcycles** Latest data is up to 2003

    5�����!�����6�����5�����!�����6�����77 1��������!�.���*��������1��������!�.���*��������

    1,630,310Canada10

    1,834,000**Russia9

    1,959,488Spain8

    2,484,166Italy7

    2,547,911France6

    2,828,127U.K.5

    3,614,886Germany4

    5,757,391China3

    5,852,067Japan2

    17,296,100U.S.A.1

    20052005Total vehicleTotal vehicle

    SalesSalesCountryCountryRankingRanking

    *�������8����������5�����6������1�����!��8����������*�������8����������5�����6������1�����!��8��������������������������� � � � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � � � � � � � � �

    China 2006: 7.2m

    China 2006: China 2006: 7.2m7.2m

    China 1994: 1.6m

    China 1994: China 1994: 1.6m1.6m

    (in Unit)

  • 16

    1�����*�����������'�������"�������",%�����"1�/������1�����*�����������'�������"�������",%�����"1�/������� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! " # $� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! " # $

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,50019

    94

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    GDP (Rmb'bn)

    0

    30,000

    60,000

    90,000

    120,000

    150,000

    180,000

    210,000

    240,000

    270,000Traffic (unit)

    Guangdong GDP

    Avg. Daily Traffic

    Source: GD Statistical Yearbooks and Company data

  • 17

    ∼∼∼∼∼∼∼∼ %������������(���%������������(���∼∼∼∼∼∼∼∼

  • 18

    1�����������������1�����������������9&�������!�����:9&�������!�����:

    "1�1��������"1�1��������

    (15���������(15���������

    %�����5���%�����5���

    �������%��.�����������%��.����

  • 19

    "1�1���������"1�1���������;; &-+�,�����/������&-+�,�����/������

    * Chinese New Year in 2007 started on 18 Feb 2007 (2006 started on 29 Jan 2006)

    0

    40

    80

    120

    160

    200

    240

    280

    320

    360

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    20072006200520042003200220012000199919981997199619951994

    No. of Vehicle (‘000)

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg. Daily Traffic 260K 320K ↑↑↑↑ 23%

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg. Daily Traffic 260K 320K ↑↑↑↑ 23%

  • 20

    "1�1���������"1�1���������;; &-+�,�����/������-����&-+�,�����/������-����

    01,0002,0003,000

    4,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,000

    10,00011,00012,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    RMB '000

    20072006200520042003200220012000199919981997199619951994

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Toll Rev 8,668K 9,968K ↑↑↑↑15%

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Toll Rev 8,668K 9,968K ↑↑↑↑15%

    * Chinese New Year in 2007 started on 18 Feb 2007 (2006 started on 29 Jan 2006)

  • 21

    "1�1���������"1�1���������;; /�������'��*��������6�������/�������'��*��������6�������

    63.2% 65.5% 67.1%68.7% 67.5%

    13.6% 11.0% 8.7% 7.2% 5.9%

    17.9% 18.2% 18.4% 17.7% 17.9%

    1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.9%6.7%4.9%

    4.3%3.7%3.9%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    FY 2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 1H2007

    Class 5

    Class 4

    Class 3

    Class 2

    Class 1

  • 22

    (15����������(15����������;; &-+�,�����/������&-+�,�����/������

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2007

    2006

    2005

    2004

    2003

    2002

    2001

    2000

    1999

    1998

    1997

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Traffic 84K 82K ����2%

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Traffic 84K 82K ����2%

    No. of vehicle(‘000)

    * Chinese New Year in 2007 started on 18 Feb 2007 (2006 started on 29 Jan 2006)

  • 23

    (15����������(15����������;; &-+�,�����/������-����&-+�,�����/������-����

    0100200300400500600700800900

    1,0001,1001,2001,300

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    RMB '000

    2007

    2006

    20052004

    2003

    2002

    2001

    2000

    19991998

    1997

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Toll Rev 1,160K 1,168K ↑↑↑↑ 1%

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Toll Rev 1,160K 1,168K ↑↑↑↑ 1%

    * Chinese New Year in 2007 started on 18 Feb 2007 (2006 started on 29 Jan 2006)

  • 24

    (15����������(15����������;; /�������'��*��������6������/�������'��*��������6������

    46.1% 45.9% 50.7%55.0% 59.6%

    15.6% 15.8%13.5%

    11.4%9.4%

    27.3% 26.4% 24.8%23.3% 20.7%

    3.3% 3.3% 2.9% 2.6% 2.4%7.7% 8.5% 8.1% 7.9%7.6%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    FY 2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 1H2007

    Class 5

    Class 4

    Class 3

    Class 2

    Class 1

  • 25

    %�����5����%�����5����;; &-+�,�����/������&-+�,�����/������

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2007

    2006

    2005

    2004

    No. of vehicle(‘000)

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Traffic 22K 27K ↑↑↑↑ 21%

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Traffic 22K 27K ↑↑↑↑ 21%

    * Chinese New Year in 2007 started on 18 Feb 2007 (2006 started on 29 Jan 2006)

  • 26

    %�����5����%�����5����;; &-+�,�����/������-����&-+�,�����/������-����

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2007

    2006

    2005

    2004

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Toll Rev 327K 396K ↑↑↑↑ 21%

    1H06 1H07 ChangeAvg Daily Toll Rev 327K 396K ↑↑↑↑ 21%

    RMB’000

    * Chinese New Year in 2007 started on 18 Feb 2007 (2006 started on 29 Jan 2006)

  • 27

    %�����5����%�����5����;; /�������'��*��������6������/�������'��*��������6������

    52.1% 52.2% 51.5% 51.8%

    17.0% 14.1% 12.0% 10.4%

    25.1%24.8% 26.4% 26.1%

    1.2%1.6% 1.8% 2.0%

    4.6% 7.2% 8.3% 9.6%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 1H2007

    Class 5

    Class 4

    Class 3

    Class 2

    Class 1

  • 28

    Project DescriptionProject Description

    %����

    �5���%����

    �5���

    �������%��.�����������%��.����

    Route: Shunde - Zhongshan

    Length: approx. 46km

    JV Partners: Same as GSSuperhighway

    Planned Approx. Rmb 4.9 billionInvestment * (35% equity, HHI & PRC

    partner each tocontribute Rmb857.5 million)

    Construction: Started in Dec 2005

    Completion: Approx. 3 years

    * Present planning, subject to change; excluding finance cost

  • 29

    %����

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    �5����9��'.��������-�+������-��:

    Project DescriptionProject Description

    �������%��.�����������%��.����

    Route: Zhongshan - Zhuhai

    Length: approx. 38km

    JV Partners: Same as GSSuperhighway

    Planned Approx. Rmb 3.6 billionInvestment * (35% equity, HHI & PRC

    partner each tocontribute Rmb 630million)

    Note: All subject to govt. approval

    * Present planning, subject to change; excluding finance cost

  • 30

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