Doug Engelbart’s Unfinished Revolution— Program for the Future

Dino Karabeg

Hermes ExemplarBootstrapping social-systemic evolution

We illustrate

Whole system augmentation paradigm

Bootstrapping strategy

Points of reference

ISSS57 Haiphong

EMCSR 2014 Vienna

Symposium Impacts for Sustainability: Epistemology and Research Activism

Hermes Exemplar: Bootstrapping a paradigm

Historical Introduction

The International Society for the Systems Sciences (ISSS) was conceived at the Stanford Center for Advanced Study in Behavioral Sciences in 1954

Kenneth Boulding

Ludwig von Bertalanffy

Ralph Gerard

Anatol Rappoport

“We may state as characteristic of modern science that this scheme of isolable units acting in one-way causality has proved to be insufficient. Hence the appearance, in all fields of science, of notions like wholeness, holistic, organismic, gestalt, etc., which all signify that, in the last resort, we must think in terms of systems of elements in mutual interaction.”

Ludwig von Bertalanffy

“Anyone who believes exponential growth can go on forever in a finite world is either a madman or an economist.”

Kenneth Boulding

In his teens, Ralph beat the American chess champion playing simultaneous matches in Chicago. He completed high school in two years and entered the University of Chicago at the age of fifteen.

Ralph Gerard

“To gain knowledge, we must learn to ask the right questions; and to get answers, we must act, not wait for answers to occur to us.”

Anatol Rappoport

ISSS past presidents

Ervin Laszlo

ISSS President 2013

Alexander Laszlo

Self-organization in ISSS

Collective Intelligence Enhancement Lab (CIEL)

Global Evolutionary Learning Lab (GELL)

World Evolutionary Learning Tribe (WELTribe)

I came to build a bridge…Toward a scientific understanding and treatment of problems blog post

Bootstrapping social-systemic evolution article

Lecture Prezi

Lecture recording

Hermes DebateGraph map

Thrivability Strategy I: Vision blog post draft

Hermes Exemplar: Bootstrapping a paradigm

EMCSR 2014 Symposium Impacts for Sustainability: Epistemology & Research Activism

Join us in making a breakthrough on three related frontiers: !• Sustainability or thrivability   • Social impact of systems sciences  / evolutionary and moral action-oriented

approaches in systems science • Knowledge federation  / Program for the Future Challenge !The Impact for Sustainability: Epistemology & Research Activism  symposium at the EMCSR 2014  in Vienna, where with your help we will initiate this breakthrough, will consist of two 1.5 hour events:  a  Dialog where we shall co-create a shared vision; and a World Cafe where we shall begin to realize this vision in practice.

EMCSR 2014 Symposium Invitation

EMCSR 2014 Symposium Part I: Dialog

We prime our dialog by sharing a brief Web documentary, where by using stories and pictures it will be shown that

conventional approaches to global issues tend to be systemically misconceived hence strategically misdirected (there are systemic reasons why they don’t and probably cannot work; which might explain the record of achievement so far) a different approach—through social-systemic re-evolution or systemic innovation as we sometimes call it—has not only the potential to bring us to a sustainable course, but even to an ‘end of scarcity’ (as Bucky Fuller predicted) and to global thriving by presenting them from certain angles, and using suitable communication design, this new strategy and the insights on which it is based can be given massive appeal (they can be turned into popular, viral, sticky… public issues)

!This Web documentary will be shared in advance, and only briefly shown at the dialog. The idea is to initiate a good conversation, and give it sufficient time. If we succeed, a shared sense of opportunity, and of commitment, will emerge. !In the dialog, we shall also discuss the closely related possibility to develop a new paradigm (in Thomas Kuhn’s precise sense) in systems science, with new directions in research, new priorities and values, and new kinds of fundamental results. The word epistemology in our title points to this interest.

Why the conventional approaches don’t work

Sustainable growth example

Dennis Meadows

Why the conventional approaches don’t work

Climate change example Tom Brookes at Climate Psychology and Communication, Oslo 2013

About 40% of “bottom-level financial assets” are ‘invested into fossil fuels’

Bill McKibben: Global Warming’s Terrifying New Math

Brokes: “What a way to run an economy!”

Why the evolutionary approach can work

Financial system example Charles Ferguson: Inside Job

Charles Ferguson: No End in Sight

David McCandless: Billion-Dollar-o-Gram

See ‘Vision Quest’ section in The Game-Changing Game—a practical way to craft a future

See Toward a scientific understanding and treatment of problems blog post and Prezi

Why the evolutionary approach requires bootstrapping Results of systems science have not been communicated

Norbert Wiener

There is a belief, current in many countries, which has been elevated to the rank of an official article of faith in the United States, that free competition is itself a homeostatic process: that in a free market, the individual selfishness of the bargainers, each seeking to sell as high and buy as low as possible, will result in the end of a stable dynamics of prices, and with redound to the greatest common good. This is associated with the very comforting view that the individual entrepreneur, in seeking to forward his own interest, is in some manner a public benefactor, and has thus earned the great reward with which society has showered him. Unfortunately, the evidence, such as it is, is against this simple-minded theory. (...)

Why the evolutionary approach requires bootstrapping Results of systems science have not been communicated

Erich Janosch

The task is nothing less than to build a new society and new institutions for it. With technology having become the most powerful change agent in our society, decisive battles will be won or lost by the measure of how seriously we take the challenge of restructuring the “joint systems” of society and technology [...].

Why the evolutionary approach requires bootstrapping Results of systems science have not been communicated

Erich Janosch

“[T]he university should make structural changes within itself toward a new purpose of enhancing the society’s capacity for continuous self-renewal. It may have to become a political institution, interacting with government and industry in the planning and designing of society’s systems, and controlling the outcomes of the introduction of technology into those systems. This new leadership role of the university should provide an integrated approach to world systems, particularly the ‘joint systems’ of society and technology.”

Why the evolutionary approach requires bootstrapping Results of systems science have not been communicated

Jay Forrester

Fundamental reasons cause people to misjudge the behavior of social systems. Orderly processes in creating human judgment and intuition lead people to wrong decisions when faced with complex and highly interacting systems. Until we reach a much better public understanding of social systems, attempts to develop corrective programs for social troubles will continue to be disappointing.

(talking to the US House of Representatives about the counterintuitive behavior of social systems)

Why the evolutionary approach requires bootstrapping Results of systems science have not been communicated

Bela Banathy

“Today we are at the crossroads of societal evolution. We have a choice to make. We can continue our journey on the well-traveled road of unguided evolution and continue to be the spectators—and often the victims—of relentless undirected evolutionary change. Or, we can choose the less-traveled road, become the players on the evolutionary scene and guide the second crucial metamorphosis of the evolution of our species. If we elect the road less traveled, we have the enormous task of developing the evolutionary epistemology of guided evolution.”

Why the evolutionary approach requires bootstrapping Results of systems science have not been communicated

Ronald Reagan

Government is not a solution to our problem; government is the problem.

World Cafe !To prime the creative process, we share a draft of a plan for a systemic remedy to the above anomaly, to be completed at our World Cafe . !Our proposed system design can be imagined, metaphorically, as a three-stage rocket, whose purpose is to use the power of new information technology to give the results and insights of systems scientists substantially higher visibility and impact. !In the first stage, the systems scientists propose, select, organize, explain… the insights that have the largest potential to positively impact society. !Initially, this first stage is envisioned as an application of the tools and processes of DebateGraph; Dr. David Price, DebateGraph’s co-founder, has agreed to advise us. !From an academic or fundamental point of view, the challenges that this first stage presents to systems scientists illustrate the mentioned new paradigm . !In the second stage, the insights created, selected and explained in the first stage are made transparent, and more impactful, by using the skills and techniques of contemporary communication design. Fredrik Eive Refsli— a reputed Norwegian communication designer—has agreed to creatively contribute to this stage. !In the third stage, the results of the second stage are strategically placed into media and political campaigns. The choice of collaborators—to complete this minimal real-world model or prototype—is  under negotiation.

EMCSR 2014 Symposium Part II: World Cafe

!At the first table, we will discuss and select the insights to be federated. What can systems science contribute to the world, that can make a difference that makes a difference? How can we make those insights palpable, and obvious? !At the second table, we will co-design the federation process. How will systems scientists  be selecting their impactful ideas, reaching consensus on their validity and value, and making them accessible—in the second stage—to media, policy makers and general public? What technology should be used to implement those processes? !At the third table, we will co-create the strategy for the third stage. How to put systemic insights  into the media? And into politics and policy? In what way will the insights of systems scientists inform the evolution of key real-world systems?   !

Hermes Exemplar: Bootstrapping a paradigm

EMCSR 2014 Symposium Highlights !

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Bootstrapping social-systemic re-evolution

Creating a global C-community

Developing the state-of-the-art in real-world system design

Prospective demo for PFTF Challenge 2018