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GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

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Page 1: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

GuruFocus Tutorial

http://www.gurufocus.com

Page 2: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 2

What Can GuruFocus Do For You? Stock Markets covered:

All global market 30-year financial and valuation data, annual and quarterly

Stock Idea Generation All-In-One Stock Screener Guru Stock Picks and Holdings Insider Buys Value Investing Screeners

Stock Idea Validation

Financial Strength and Business Quality What Gurus are doing with the stock What Insiders are doing with the stock Valuation:

• Absolute valuation – DCF Model • Historical valuation – 10-year P/E, P/B, P/S ratios • Relative valuation – Comparable companies • Warning Signs

Page 3: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

All-In-One Stock Screener (I)

All-In-One Screener - the only screener you will need to do all the screening you want.

Covers all stock markets released (US, Canadian, UK, European etc)

More than 200 existing filters, and unlimited number of customized filters Fundamental

Valuation Ratios

Profitability

Growth

Historical valuation

Valuation percentiles

Technical

Dividends

Gurus

Insiders

Customized: create unlimited number of filters

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 3

Page 4: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

All-In-One Stock Screener (I)

Filter from your portfolios

Filtering in specific list of stocks of your interest

Customize and Save. Bring up next time in one click

Pre-existing screeners Peter Lynch screen

Walter Schloss screen

High quality …

Excel download

Save results as portfolios and observe performances

Backtesting

Survival bias free

From 2006

US market

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 4

Page 5: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 5

Guru Idea Generation - Individual Guru Portfolios

Guru quarterly trades Current Portfolio Real Times Picks – Guru trades reported within 2-10 days. Positions/Picks in particular industry / market cap International Picks ETFs Preferred stocks Option holdings (calls, puts) Guru bargains Value ideas in Gurus’ portfolios:

Undervalued Predictable companies Low p/e stocks Top growth companies Top dividend yield companies Top Insider buys

Guru Portfolio reports (PDF) - A comprehensive Guru Portfolio report

Page 6: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 6

Idea Generation From Insider Trades Insider Trades

CEO, CFO Buys Companies that are bought by their CEOs, CFOs.

Insider Cluster Buys Stocks that multiple company officers and directors have bought.

Double Buys Companies that both Gurus and Insiders are buying

Triple Buys Companies that both Gurus and Insiders are buying, and Company is buying back

Excel Download

Insider Trend The aggregated trades of insiders

Page 7: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 7

Proven Value Strategies

Buffett-Munger Screener

Quality stocks young Buffett would buy

Ben Graham Net Current Asset Bargain Screener

Companies Ben Graham would buy, sold at below net cash

Undervalued Predictable companies

DCF calculation applied to predictable companies, large margin of safety exists.

Historical Low P/S Companies

Predictable companies that are sold at historical low P/S ratios

A model portfolio that tracks the performance of the strategy

Historical Low P/B Companies

Predictable companies that are sold at historical low P/S ratios

Page 8: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 8

Performances of Value Strategies

Year S&P 500 Buffett-Munger

Screener top 25

Top 25

Undervalued

Predictable

Companies

Top 25 Historical

Low P/S Ratio

Companies

Top 25 Historical

Low P/B Ratio

Companies

2009 24.7% 28.6% 55.7%

2010 11.6% 19.5% 20.2% 16.4% 19%

2011 -0% 6% -3.3% -1.9% -2%

2012 13.4% 11.8% 5% 17.4% 15.9%

2013 (Jan. 19) 4.2% 4.9% 3.2% 2.5% -2.3%

Since Inception 91% 96.1% 32.1% 37.4%

Outperforming the S&P 26.6% 31.7% 0.2% 5.5%

Screener Links Screener Here Screener Here Screener Here Screener Here

Invest with strategies that have been proven successful over long term * All numbers do not include dividends.

Page 9: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 9

Monthly Newsletters

Ben Graham Net Current Asset Bargain Newsletter

One net-net are highlighted per month

Buffett-Munger bargains

Research reports on one undervalued high quality stocks per month

Micro-cap Magic Formula Newsletter

Page 10: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 10

Other Value Ideas

Broad market valuations based on Total Market Cap/GDP

Shiller P/E Ratios

Global Market Valuation

Other ideas (See All-In-One screener)

52-week low guru/insider stocks

High dividend stocks

S&P 500 grid

Page 11: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Manual of Stocks

“I think I could make you 50% a year on $1 million. No, I know I could. I guarantee that … You have to turn over a lot of rocks to find those little anomalies. You have to find the companies that are off the map – way off the map.”

PDF documents that you can flip through. One page for each company with key fundamental data and valuation ratios.

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 11

Page 12: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Excel Add-In

GURUF: An Excel function that works in both Windows and MAC version of Excel

You can call any company data from Excel

Existing Excel templates

Create your own Excel templates

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 12

Page 13: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Portfolio Tools

Create and track the performances of your portfolios

Private or public portfolios

Set up email alerts from:

Price movements

Guru trades

Insider trades

Valuation thresholds

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 13

Page 14: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 14

Excel Downloads

Individual Portfolios

Aggregated Portfolios in different formats

Guru Stock Picks

Insider Trades

Value Screens

Historical Financial data

Page 15: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 15

Email Alerts

Opt-in daily and weekly email updates.

Follow your favorite gurus, and receive email alerts

Set up watch lists and portfolios and receive email alerts when gurus or insiders trade the stocks.

Page 16: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Part II

Stock Idea Validation

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 16

Page 17: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Getting Started with a Stock

Type a symbol in the search box.

A dropdown menu appears.

Scroll to the page you want to go to.

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 17

Page 18: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Ranking and Valuation

Financial Strength

Profitability

Growth

Valuation ratios

30-year financial and valuation data

Warning signs

Comparison between competitors

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 18

Page 19: GuruFocus Tutorial (II) – Value Idea Validation -

Copyright: GuruFocus.com, LLC. GuruFocus.com – stock picks and market insight of Warren Buffett Gurus 19

Premium Membership

Premium Members have full access to the all the features described in this presentation.

Global member can access the regions they subscribe

7-day Free Trial

The Secured link for signing up: https://www.gurufocus.com/membership/upgrade.php