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Group Interim Results Presentation31 March 2002
Contents of presentation
Background and environment
Interim results
Nedcor offer
Environment
Turmoil in the banking sector- liquidity- microlending
Volatility in the Rand
Interest rate increases
Consolidation in the banking sector
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
Jan-99 Jul-99 Jan-00 Jul-00 Jan-01 Jul-01 Jan-02
Turmoil in the Banking Sector
A number of banks have failed and this has precipitated a flight by depositors to the large banks
01-Feb-99NRB placed under curatorship
25-Oct-99Both TFS and FBC Fidelity placed under curatorship
01-Mar-00PSG acquires TBB after threat of curatorship
28-Jun-01Regal placed under curatorship
09-Feb-02Saambou placed under curatorship
15-Jan-02Unifer shares suspended
22-Apr-02Nedcorofferto BoE shareholders
BANKS INDEX
14-Mar-02SARB guarantees BoE depositors
6/8-Mar-02Brait andCorpcapitalreturn bankinglicences
Conflicting Demands from Different Stakeholders
Higher growth
Optimal banking model High ROE
Optimal capital structure
Lower risk or higher rates
Require surplus capital
Critical mass
Equity investorsDepositors
There is an increasing conflict for banks between the demands of depositors versus equity investors
Can this be resolved ?Can this be resolved ?
Sequence of Events
Restructuring of the business & funding profile in past two years Initial discussion on sale of NBS Home Loan book Bad debt problems at Unifer Saambou curatorship Liquidity issues regarding NBS/BoE SARB announcement & guarantee of BoE depositors Sale of NBS Home Loan book Nedcor offer
What BoE’s focus has been
Unbundling non-core businesses Returning excess capital
- unbundling- special dividend- buy-backs
Deploying excess capital through acquisitions Disposing of underperforming assets Objective to increase ROE
Group Results
%Change
March2002
March2001
Headline earnings (R’m) 573551(4)
Dividend per share (cents)
Margin (%)Cost to income ratio (%)
Non-interest income:total income (%)
Assets under management (R’m)
Weighted average no. of shares (‘m)
7.0
4.251.7
49.5
120 088
2 287
n/a
3.6
53.9
61.1
153 728
2 190
22
Headline EPS (cents) 25.125.2-Fully diluted headline EPS (cents) 24.524.5-
Return on equity (%) 16.217.7
Why the Interim Results are Flat
Higher provisions in retail divisions Lower margins
- liquidity pressure- competitive pressure
Lower asset growth- retail division- environment
Home loan business continued operating losses prior to sale
Segmental Contribution
Corporate Banking 63%
Investment Management 20%
Retail Banking 1%
Capital & Investments 16%
HeadlineEarnings
R’m
Cost toIncome
%ROE
%
Corporate Banking
Investment Management
Retail Banking
Capital & Investments
343
110
5
93
47.6
66.4
64.6
39.7
25.0
24.9
0.9
13.0
551 53.9 17.7
Retail division turnaround taking longer than expectedRetail division turnaround taking longer than expected
Cost Containment
R’m March2002
March2001
%Change
Cost to income ratio
Adjustment for acquisitions (210) -4969
Cost to income ratio impacted by share buy-backs and new businesses acquiredCost to income ratio impacted by share buy-backs and new businesses acquired
1 005
51.7% 53.9%
Operating expenses 969 251 215
Conservative Provisioning
Levels of provisions increased to reflect changed environmentLevels of provisions increased to reflect changed environment
March 2002 September 2001
ANALYSIS OF ASSET QUALITY AND PROVISIONS FOR DOUBTFUL DEBTS
% of Gross % of GrossR'mAdvances
R'm
Advances
Gross advances 39 526 48 848
Non-performing advances 2 371 6.0 2 543 5.2 Non-performing loans 1 401 3.5 1 428 2.9Properties in possession 970 2.5 1 115 2.3
Total doubtful debts provisions 1 450 3.7 1 390 2.8 Specific provisions and interest in suspense 1 172 3.0 1 071 2.1 General provisions 278 0.7 319 0.7
Bad debt charge to the income statement 318 1.3 671 1.4
Income Drivers
Margin / advances
Other income
Overheads / advances
Bad debts / advances
Sub total
1 – tax rate
Advances / total assets
ROA
GEARING
ROE
3.6% 9.2%
17.7%
10.7
1.6%
72.8%
2.2%
53.9%
36.3%
-1.5%
0.82
2.7%
2.6
-5.0%
multiply
=
multiply
=
multiply
multiply
bad debts / margin
cost / income
less
less
March 2002
ROE improving although still below target of 20%ROE improving although still below target of 20%
4.2%8.4%
16.2%
9.1
1.8%
69.6%
2.6%
51.7%
23.8%
-1.1%
0.83
3.1%
2.0
-4.3%
multiply
=
multiply
=
multiply
multiply
bad debts / margin
cost / income
less
less
March 2001
NBS Home Loan Division
Capital Items R’m
Direct deal costs
Staff retrenchments/redundant systemsProvision for future costs
87
253
16
97
Includes provisions for retrenchments, closure costsand future realisation of residual assets
Loss on sale of book 53
Summary Balance SheetMarch
2002September
2001R'm
ASSETSInvestments 12 218 10 221Advances 38 076 47 458Other assets 16 264 9 557
66 558 67 236
EQUITY AND LIABILITIESCapital and reserves 6 059 6 674Interest-bearing borrowings 715 849Life funds liabilities 8 864 7 420Deposits and other accounts 48 446 49 847Other liabilities 2 474 2 446
66 558 67 236
Movements since year end:
NBS Home Loan book sold (R11 909 m)
Cashbank book purchased R422 m
Organic growth R2 105 m
Includes home loan debtor of R6 808 m
Movements since year end:
Net share buybacks (R529 m)
Headline earnings R551 m
Exceptional items (R365 m)
Dividends paid (R272 m)
Balance sheet expected to reduce as proceeds from home loan sale are receivedBalance sheet expected to reduce as proceeds from home loan sale are received
Bank Capital Adequacy
Capital adequacy within target range for the BankGroup still has excess capitalCapital adequacy within target range for the BankGroup still has excess capital
March2002
10.2%
1.1%
11.3%
41 797 45 379
11.2%
2.3%
8.9%
September2001
Tier 1 - Primary
Tier 2 - Secondary
Risk weighted assets (R’m)
Gross Advances
Sale of home loan bookAdvances growth in focus areasSale of home loan bookAdvances growth in focus areas
R’mMarch
2002September
2001%
Change
Mortgage advances
- Commercial 14 522 14 075 6
- Residential properties
- Residential developments
Corporate loans
Instalment credit agreements
Interbank
Properties in possession
Other advances
5 307
652
6 270
3 027
1 886
970
6 892
16 816
973
6 077
2 772
953
1 115
6 067
(66)
6
18
196
(26)
27
39 526 48 848 (38)
Deposits
R'm
Interbank funding 11 593 298Demand deposits 11 021 15 842Savings deposits 3 323 3 744Fixed and notice deposits 8 309 11 598NCD’s issued 6 337 12 031Foreign funding 1 719 1 420Loans received under repurchase agreement 1 909 811Foreign loan syndication 1 163 1 097Domestic bond issue 1 821 1 823Other funding liabilities 1 251 1 183
Total deposits 48 446 49 847
March2002
September2001
Deposits (continued)
%of total
R'm
Wholesale funding 67% 32 580 31 428 63%
Retail funding 33% 15 866 18 419 37%BoE Private Bank 1 547 1 765BoE Bank Business Division 3 886 4 207BoE Corporate 4 493 6 036NBS Savings & Investments 5 940 6 411
Total deposits 48 446 49 847
March2002
September2001
%of total
Change in funding profile is putting pressure on the GroupChange in funding profile is putting pressure on the Group
Corporate Banking Services
BoE Merchant Bank - strong earnings - good deal flow
BoE Corporate - good earnings - private equity realisation - managing old NBS commercial loans
BoE Bank Business Division - improvements in business are continuing
BoE Treasury - difficult trading due to volatility- good results in circumstances
25% earnings growth and 25% ROE25% earnings growth and 25% ROE
63%
Significant growth prospects off a low baseSignificant growth prospects off a low base
Investment Management Business
20%
Strong offshore earnings
Good results from new acquisitions
Net inflows of assets
Integration progressing well
Off Balance Sheet Assets Under Management
0102030405060708090
100
Sept '99 Sept '00 Mar '01 Sept '01 Mar '02
Fund Services - offshoreUnit Trust - offshore
Asset Mgt - offshoreLinked Products - localPrivate Clients - localUnit Trust - local
Asset Mgt - local
66.4
54.2
52.3
87.2
46.7
R’bn
Integration should lead to a medium term improvement in earningsIntegration should lead to a medium term improvement in earnings
Retail Banking Services
Tough trading conditions
NBS Home Loan sale
Review of provisions and processes in Credcor
Integration starting 1%
Nedcor Offer
Rationale for deal:
A set of strong businesses that are hampered by current liquidity pressure, potential damage to brand and uncertainty about the future
Changed environment for smaller banks
Global trend of consolidation
Provide a measure of certainty for staff and clients
Reduce risk for shareholders
Certainty, security and opportunityCertainty, security and opportunity
Thank You
“BoE is a specialist providerof innovative financial solutions
to businesses, and throughbusinesses to individuals”