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Graz, June 2007
The DEMETER mission: Objectives
and first results M. Parrot
LPCE/CNRS
3A, Avenue de la Recherche
45071 Orléans cedex 2,
France
E-mail: [email protected]
Graz, June 2007
Outlines
The project
Case studies
Statistic with the ELF/VLF electric field
Statistic with the ES turbulence during seismic activities
Conclusions
Graz, June 2007
The Project
The DEMETER micro-satellite has been launched on June 29, 2004 by a Dnepr rocket from Baïkonour.
The plate-form is under the CNES responsibility and the scientific payload was provided by scientific laboratories.
Graz, June 2007
The scientific objectives
The scientific objectives of the DEMETER micro-satellite are related to the study of ionospheric perturbations in relation with the seismic and volcanic activities.These perturbations are interesting because they can be considered as short-term precursors (they occur between a few hours and a few days before a quake).
The same payload will allow to survey the ionospheric perturbations in relation with man-made activities.
Graz, June 2007
The scientific payload
The scientific payload of the DEMETER micro-satellite has several experiments:- A set of electric sensors to measure the 3 components of the electric field from DC to 3.5 MHz (CETP),
- A three orthogonal search coil magnetometer to measure the magnetic field from a few Hz up to 20 kHz (LPCE),- Two Langmuir probes to measure the density and the temperature of the electrons (ESTEC),- An ion spectrometer to measure ion composition (CETP),- An energetic particle analyzer (CESR).
Graz, June 2007
The operations
The orbit of DEMETER is polar, circular with an altitude of 710 km.DEMETER record data in two modes: a survey mode all around the Earth with low resolution, and a burst mode with high resolution above main seismic zones.The seismic parameters received from IPGP are merged with the orbital parameters in a special file of events.
Graz, June 2007
d1d3
d2 d4
Earthquakeepicenter
Conjugate point of the epicenter
South conjugate pointof the epicenter at the satellite altitude
North conjugate point of the epicenter at the satellite altitude
DEMETER orbit
dm
dmcN
dmc
dmcS South conjugate pointof the epicenter at the satellite altitude
North conjugate point of the epicenter at the satellite altitude
DEMETER orbit
Graz, June 2007
The wave experiment
• NEURAL NETWORK – number of whistlers and dispersion.
• BURST MODE– waveforms of 3 electric components up to 15 Hz,– waveforms of 6 components of the EM field up to 1.25 kHz,– waveforms of 2 components (1B + 1E) up to 20 kHz,– spectra of one electric component up to 3.5 MHz,– spectra of 2 components (1B + 1E) up to 20 kHz,– waveforms of one electric component up to 3.5 MHz
(snapshots).
• SURVEY MODE– waveforms of 3 electric components up to 15 Hz,– spectra of 2 components (1B + 1E) up to 20 kHz,– spectra of one electric component up to 3.5 MHz.
Graz, June 2007
Graz, June 2007
LPCE(IMSC, RNF, BANT)
DEMETER DATA ACQUISITION
ARCHIVE(Science data L0, QL, L1; Earthquake data;
Ancillary data)
WEB DATA SERVER(Data L0, QL, L1, L2; Earthquake events; Ancillary data products;
Mission information)
Science PL TM packetsPL TC
PLAN
SCIENCE PL PROGRAMMATION
GENERATION
CONTROL CENTER
PHYSICAL VALUES PROCESSING [L1]
ANCILLARY DATA - Orbit Parameters - TM station Pass-Planning
- Events (orbit, satellite) - Attitude - HK
OPERATIONBOARDOPERATION
BOARD
DEMETERMISSION GROUP
(Experimenters,CNES)
DEMETERMISSION GROUP
(Experimenters,CNES)
Scienceoperationcoordination
PL and MCevents
Memoryhandling
BURST zones
LPCE(MC)
CETP(IAP, ICE)
8 GHz
SCIENTIFICUSERS
SCIENTIFICUSERS
Science PLTM packets « back-up »
QUICK-LOOKPROCESSING [L0']
PRE-PROCESSING [L0](Decommutation, Good Health)
TM
CESR(IDP) ESTEC
(ISL)
IPGPSEISMIC DATA
Calibrationvalidation
Instrumentconfiguration
2 GHz
CNES
EXCHANGE FILE SERVICE
ANCILLARY DATAPROCESSING
INSTRUMMENT CALIBRATIONS
High resolutiondisplay [L2]
PL status
OPERATIONCOORDINATION
GROUP
OPERATIONCOORDINATION
GROUP
The DEMETER mission center
Graz, June 2007
One day in the DEMETER life (August 12, 2004)
d = 2800 km
Graz, June 2007
Case studies
Graz, June 2007
Sarkar et al., JASTP, submitted, 2007.
Central Iran22 Feb. 200502:25:26 UT
M = 6.4d = 42.4 km
Lat = 30.7°N, Long = 56.8°E
The Results: DEMETER data
Graz, June 2007
Sarkar et al., JASTP, in press, 2007.
6 days before 4 days before 2 days before
Graz, June 2007
Sarkar et al., JASTP, submitted, 2007.
Electron Density Variation of Ion Density
Graz, June 2007
23 Jan. 200520:10:11 UT
-1.22°S 119.82°EM = 6.2
Graz, June 2007
23 Jan. 200520:10:11 UT
-1.22°S 119.82°EM = 6.2
2.5 daysbefore
140 Hz
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Graz, June 2007
Graz, June 2007
Statistical analysis with the ELF/VLF electric field
Graz, June 2007
15 months of data4385 hours of measurements
Electric field data organized by
- Frequencies (16) below 10 kHz- Magnetic local time (2)- Geographic positions (bin of 4° in longitude, 2° in latitude)- Kp classes (3)- Seasons (2)
Graz, June 2007
Electric field map
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Application of the central limit theoremProbability density functionof the wave intensities
in a bin
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2628 earthquakes with M > 4.8 and d < 40 km
Distance between
epicenter and track of the orbit
< 700 km
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2628 Earthquakes with random position and time
Graz, June 2007
3346 earthquakes with M > 4.8 and d < 40 km
Aftershocks have been removed and data set extended (Feb.2007)
2111 earthquakes with M > 5.0 and d < 40 km
Night time
Graz, June 2007
random
Aftershocks have been removed and data set extended (Feb.2007)
2111 earthquakes with M > 5.0 and d < 40 km
Night time
Graz, June 2007
Statistical analysis of the electrostatic turbulence
Graz, June 2007
22 Nov. 200420:26:25 UT
-46.57°S 164.83°EM = 7.3
1 day before
Graz, June 2007
M = 5.25 days before
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Estimation of the power law (f –α) during a ‘Survey’ mode with ICE
Graz, June 2007
Examples of global maps of the slope
Graz, June 2007
Examples of global maps of the slope
Graz, June 2007
Method of superposed epochs
- 4626 earthquakes of magnitude > 4.8 ; period 2004/08 – 2005/08;
- Distance between the projection of the orbit on the Earth’s surface and the epicenter < 2000 km
- Data selected in the time interval 3 days before the earthquakes and 1 day after the earthquakes.
- Comparison between the current data during the seismic activity and the average background data at the same location during the same condition
Graz, June 2007
Decimal logarithm of the ratio between the current values of the power density and the ‘‘background’’
Graz, June 2007
EQs
Random
Graz, June 2007
Ratio between the current values of the slope and the ‘‘background’’
Graz, June 2007
EQs
Random
Graz, June 2007
Method of superposed epochs
- 2173 earthquakes of magnitude > 4.8 ; period 2004/08 – 2005/12; aftershocks have been removed.
- Distance between the projection of the orbit on the Earth’s surface and the epicenter < 2000 km
- Data selected in the time interval 3 days before the earthquakes and 1 day after the earthquakes.
- Comparison between the current data during the seismic activity and the average background data at the same location during the same condition
Graz, June 2007
Decimal logarithm of the ratio between the current values of the power density and the ‘‘background’’
Graz, June 2007
EQs
Random
Average changeat maximumequal to 2(100.8-0.52)
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Average
Histogram
Comparisonbetween
twomethods
Graz, June 2007
Ratio between the current values of the slope and the ‘‘background’’
Graz, June 2007
Random
EQs
Average maximumchange = 18%
Graz, June 2007
Histogram
Average
Comparisonbetween
twomethods
Graz, June 2007
Conclusions (1/3)
The main points revealed by the statistical studies are:
-The values of the parameters when the satellite is far from the earthquakes are similar to the values obtained when a random data set of events is used. Therefore this study shows that there is an influence of the seismic activity on the ES turbulence at an altitude of 700 km both before and after the earthquakes.
-The perturbations are observed until 2 days before the earthquakes. There is a clear change right after the earthquakes.
- The perturbations are real but they are weak and only statistically revealed. Up to now nothing can be said about the possibility to predict earthquakes with the analysis of the ES turbulence.
Graz, June 2007
Conclusions (2/3)
Statistical analysis are in progress with other parameters:
- Electron density and temperature- Whistler dispersion- Energetic particles- VLF Transmitters
Graz, June 2007
Conclusions (3/3)
Operations will continue until the end of 2008.
Altitude was decreased in December 2005 (660 km).
The web site of the mission: http://demeter.cnrs-orleans.fr