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Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail: [email protected]

Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

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Page 1: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

The DEMETER mission: Objectives

and first results M. Parrot

LPCE/CNRS

3A, Avenue de la Recherche

45071 Orléans cedex 2,

France

E-mail: [email protected]

Page 2: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Outlines

The project

Case studies

Statistic with the ELF/VLF electric field

Statistic with the ES turbulence during seismic activities

Conclusions

Page 3: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

The Project

The DEMETER micro-satellite has been launched on June 29, 2004 by a Dnepr rocket from Baïkonour.

The plate-form is under the CNES responsibility and the scientific payload was provided by scientific laboratories.

Page 4: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

The scientific objectives

The scientific objectives of the DEMETER micro-satellite are related to the study of ionospheric perturbations in relation with the seismic and volcanic activities.These perturbations are interesting because they can be considered as short-term precursors (they occur between a few hours and a few days before a quake).

The same payload will allow to survey the ionospheric perturbations in relation with man-made activities.

Page 5: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

The scientific payload

The scientific payload of the DEMETER micro-satellite has several experiments:- A set of electric sensors to measure the 3 components of the electric field from DC to 3.5 MHz (CETP),

- A three orthogonal search coil magnetometer to measure the magnetic field from a few Hz up to 20 kHz (LPCE),- Two Langmuir probes to measure the density and the temperature of the electrons (ESTEC),- An ion spectrometer to measure ion composition (CETP),- An energetic particle analyzer (CESR).

Page 6: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

The operations

The orbit of DEMETER is polar, circular with an altitude of 710 km.DEMETER record data in two modes: a survey mode all around the Earth with low resolution, and a burst mode with high resolution above main seismic zones.The seismic parameters received from IPGP are merged with the orbital parameters in a special file of events.

Page 7: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

d1d3

d2 d4

Earthquakeepicenter

Conjugate point of the epicenter

South conjugate pointof the epicenter at the satellite altitude

North conjugate point of the epicenter at the satellite altitude

DEMETER orbit

dm

dmcN

dmc

dmcS South conjugate pointof the epicenter at the satellite altitude

North conjugate point of the epicenter at the satellite altitude

DEMETER orbit

Page 8: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

The wave experiment

• NEURAL NETWORK – number of whistlers and dispersion.

• BURST MODE– waveforms of 3 electric components up to 15 Hz,– waveforms of 6 components of the EM field up to 1.25 kHz,– waveforms of 2 components (1B + 1E) up to 20 kHz,– spectra of one electric component up to 3.5 MHz,– spectra of 2 components (1B + 1E) up to 20 kHz,– waveforms of one electric component up to 3.5 MHz

(snapshots).

• SURVEY MODE– waveforms of 3 electric components up to 15 Hz,– spectra of 2 components (1B + 1E) up to 20 kHz,– spectra of one electric component up to 3.5 MHz.

Page 9: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Page 10: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

LPCE(IMSC, RNF, BANT)

DEMETER DATA ACQUISITION

ARCHIVE(Science data L0, QL, L1; Earthquake data;

Ancillary data)

WEB DATA SERVER(Data L0, QL, L1, L2; Earthquake events; Ancillary data products;

Mission information)

Science PL TM packetsPL TC

PLAN

SCIENCE PL PROGRAMMATION

GENERATION

CONTROL CENTER

PHYSICAL VALUES PROCESSING [L1]

ANCILLARY DATA - Orbit Parameters - TM station Pass-Planning

- Events (orbit, satellite) - Attitude - HK

OPERATIONBOARDOPERATION

BOARD

DEMETERMISSION GROUP

(Experimenters,CNES)

DEMETERMISSION GROUP

(Experimenters,CNES)

Scienceoperationcoordination

PL and MCevents

Memoryhandling

BURST zones

LPCE(MC)

CETP(IAP, ICE)

8 GHz

SCIENTIFICUSERS

SCIENTIFICUSERS

Science PLTM packets « back-up »

QUICK-LOOKPROCESSING [L0']

PRE-PROCESSING [L0](Decommutation, Good Health)

TM

CESR(IDP) ESTEC

(ISL)

IPGPSEISMIC DATA

Calibrationvalidation

Instrumentconfiguration

2 GHz

CNES

EXCHANGE FILE SERVICE

ANCILLARY DATAPROCESSING

INSTRUMMENT CALIBRATIONS

High resolutiondisplay [L2]

PL status

OPERATIONCOORDINATION

GROUP

OPERATIONCOORDINATION

GROUP

The DEMETER mission center

Page 11: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

One day in the DEMETER life (August 12, 2004)

d = 2800 km

Page 12: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Case studies

Page 13: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Sarkar et al., JASTP, submitted, 2007.

Central Iran22 Feb. 200502:25:26 UT

M = 6.4d = 42.4 km

Lat = 30.7°N, Long = 56.8°E

The Results: DEMETER data

Page 14: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Sarkar et al., JASTP, in press, 2007.

6 days before 4 days before 2 days before

Page 15: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Sarkar et al., JASTP, submitted, 2007.

Electron Density Variation of Ion Density

Page 16: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

23 Jan. 200520:10:11 UT

-1.22°S 119.82°EM = 6.2

Page 17: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

23 Jan. 200520:10:11 UT

-1.22°S 119.82°EM = 6.2

2.5 daysbefore

140 Hz

Page 18: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Page 19: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Page 20: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Statistical analysis with the ELF/VLF electric field

Page 21: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

15 months of data4385 hours of measurements

Electric field data organized by

- Frequencies (16) below 10 kHz- Magnetic local time (2)- Geographic positions (bin of 4° in longitude, 2° in latitude)- Kp classes (3)- Seasons (2)

Page 22: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Electric field map

Page 23: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Application of the central limit theoremProbability density functionof the wave intensities

in a bin

Page 24: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

2628 earthquakes with M > 4.8 and d < 40 km

Distance between

epicenter and track of the orbit

< 700 km

Page 25: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

2628 Earthquakes with random position and time

Page 26: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

3346 earthquakes with M > 4.8 and d < 40 km

Aftershocks have been removed and data set extended (Feb.2007)

2111 earthquakes with M > 5.0 and d < 40 km

Night time

Page 27: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

random

Aftershocks have been removed and data set extended (Feb.2007)

2111 earthquakes with M > 5.0 and d < 40 km

Night time

Page 28: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Statistical analysis of the electrostatic turbulence

Page 29: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

22 Nov. 200420:26:25 UT

-46.57°S 164.83°EM = 7.3

1 day before

Page 30: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

M = 5.25 days before

Page 31: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Estimation of the power law (f –α) during a ‘Survey’ mode with ICE

Page 32: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Examples of global maps of the slope

Page 33: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Examples of global maps of the slope

Page 34: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Method of superposed epochs

- 4626 earthquakes of magnitude > 4.8 ; period 2004/08 – 2005/08;

- Distance between the projection of the orbit on the Earth’s surface and the epicenter < 2000 km

- Data selected in the time interval 3 days before the earthquakes and 1 day after the earthquakes.

- Comparison between the current data during the seismic activity and the average background data at the same location during the same condition

Page 35: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Decimal logarithm of the ratio between the current values of the power density and the ‘‘background’’

Page 36: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

EQs

Random

Page 37: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Ratio between the current values of the slope and the ‘‘background’’

Page 38: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

EQs

Random

Page 39: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Method of superposed epochs

- 2173 earthquakes of magnitude > 4.8 ; period 2004/08 – 2005/12; aftershocks have been removed.

- Distance between the projection of the orbit on the Earth’s surface and the epicenter < 2000 km

- Data selected in the time interval 3 days before the earthquakes and 1 day after the earthquakes.

- Comparison between the current data during the seismic activity and the average background data at the same location during the same condition

Page 40: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Decimal logarithm of the ratio between the current values of the power density and the ‘‘background’’

Page 41: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

EQs

Random

Average changeat maximumequal to 2(100.8-0.52)

Page 42: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Average

Histogram

Comparisonbetween

twomethods

Page 43: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Ratio between the current values of the slope and the ‘‘background’’

Page 44: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Random

EQs

Average maximumchange = 18%

Page 45: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Histogram

Average

Comparisonbetween

twomethods

Page 46: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Conclusions (1/3)

The main points revealed by the statistical studies are:

-The values of the parameters when the satellite is far from the earthquakes are similar to the values obtained when a random data set of events is used. Therefore this study shows that there is an influence of the seismic activity on the ES turbulence at an altitude of 700 km both before and after the earthquakes.

-The perturbations are observed until 2 days before the earthquakes. There is a clear change right after the earthquakes.

- The perturbations are real but they are weak and only statistically revealed. Up to now nothing can be said about the possibility to predict earthquakes with the analysis of the ES turbulence.

Page 47: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Conclusions (2/3)

Statistical analysis are in progress with other parameters:

- Electron density and temperature- Whistler dispersion- Energetic particles- VLF Transmitters

Page 48: Graz, June 2007 The DEMETER mission: Objectives and first results M. Parrot LPCE/CNRS 3A, Avenue de la Recherche 45071 Orléans cedex 2, France E-mail:

Graz, June 2007

Conclusions (3/3)

Operations will continue until the end of 2008.

Altitude was decreased in December 2005 (660 km).

The web site of the mission: http://demeter.cnrs-orleans.fr