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GHG, Renewables, and Reliability IEP ANNUAL MEETING SEPTEMBER 29, 2015 Carrie Bentley Resero Consulting [email protected]

GHG, Renewables, and Reliability IEP ANNUAL MEETING SEPTEMBER 29, 2015 Carrie Bentley Resero Consulting [email protected]

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GHG, Renewables, and Reliability

GHG, Renewables, and ReliabilityIEP ANNUAL MEETINGSEPTEMBER 29, 2015

Carrie BentleyResero [email protected] not about reliability- its about reliability through marketsThe ISO can maintain grid reliability through manual dispatch and procurementEnergy: exceptional dispatch, pro-rata curtailmentsCapacity: risk-of-retirement backstop mechanismsManual intervention is only a short-term solutionIn the long-term the ISO must adapt the market to transparently and competitively price all resource capabilities needed for grid reliability

State policy green goals affect the energy and resource adequacy marketsEnergy market:Directly increase the variable costs of thermal generationIndirectly lower the variable costs of renewable resources Resource Adequacy:Lower demand for thermal generationIncrease in demand for renewable resources

Energy and reserves are not the only products needed to maintain grid reliabilityThe grid can no longer take for granted that the bulk of the fleet will provide sufficient:Ramping capabilities upward and downwardFrequency responseVoltage supportShort start-up and shut-down capabilitiesThese needed grid attributes are not currently priced in the energy market

Markets and planning must change to account for state policy green goalsISO has many initiatives/processes that are in response to grid reliability challenges:Frequency response, Reactive power, FRAC MOO II, Flexible Ramping Product, EIM and Pac integration initiatives, LTPP, Interconnection enhancementsIf you are only going to follow two ISO initiatives; FRAC MOO flexible resource adequacy capacity requirementFlexible Ramping Product energy market enhancement to compensate for flexible ramping

What does the grid look like in 10 - 15 years?There is a need to question big assumptions and let the little assumptions goAre all new wind and solar resources built between now and 2030 going to self-schedule? Is economic curtailment of renewables a bad thing?How much can the grid rely on imports and exports for balancing and flexible ramping, i.e. what are the physical constraints?How much should the grid rely on imports and exports for balancing and flexible ramping?