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EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
REFERENCE CODE GDPE0697ICR | PUBLICATION DATE NOVEMBER 2013
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 2 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Executive Summary
Egypt is Highly Dependent on Gas-based Power Generation
An overwhelmingly high share of Egypt’s power
generation capacity mix is contributed by gas-
based power generation capacity. In 2012, it
accounted for XX% of the total installed capacity of
the country, which was XX Gigawatts (GW).
Installed hydropower capacity accounted for XX%
of the total installed capacity in 2012, followed by
oil-based capacity with XX% and renewable
sources with XX%. Within the renewables sector,
installed wind capacity contributed XX% of the total
installed capacity and the remaining XX% was
contributed by concentrated solar power.
Power Market, Egypt, Breakup of Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2012
Gas (thermal)
Hydropower
Oil (thermal)
Renewables (onshore wind and solar power)
Source: GlobalData, Power eTrack, Capacity and Generation Database [Accessed on November 5, 2013]
Continuous Increase in Electricity Consumption and Generation
Electricity consumption in Egypt increased from XX
Terawatt-hours (TWh) in 2000 to XX TWh in 2012,
at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of
XX%. During the same period, electricity
generation increased from XX TWh to XX TWh at a
CAGR of XX%. The growth in electricity
consumption was mostly due to increased use of
electric and electronic equipment in the residential
sector. Most of the electricity generation was
contributed by gas-based thermal power plants
during the 2000–2012 period.
Power Market, Egypt, Annual Electricity Consumption and Generation (TWh), 2000–2012
2000 2006 2012
Annu
al c
onsu
mpt
ion
and
gene
ratio
n
Annual consumption (TWh) Annual power generation (TWh) Source: GlobalData, Power eTrack, Capacity and Generation Database [Accessed on November 5, 2013]
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 4 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Table of Contents
1 Table of Contents
1 Table of Contents ....................................................................................................................... 4
1.1 List of Tables .......................................................................................................................... 7
1.2 List of Figures ......................................................................................................................... 8
2 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 9
2.1 GlobalData Report Guidance ................................................................................................ 10
3 Egypt, Power Market, Snapshot ................................................................................................ 11
3.1 Egypt, Power Market, Macroeconomic Factors ..................................................................... 11
3.2 Egypt, Power Market, Supply Security .................................................................................. 14
3.3 Egypt, Power Market, Generation Infrastructure ................................................................... 14
3.4 Egypt, Power Market, Transmission Infrastructure................................................................ 15
3.5 Egypt, Power Market, Opportunities ..................................................................................... 15
3.6 Egypt, Power Market, Challenges ......................................................................................... 16
4 Egypt, Power Market, Market Analysis ...................................................................................... 17
4.1 Egypt, Power Market, Supply Structure ................................................................................ 17
4.2 Egypt, Power Market, Key Market Players ............................................................................ 19
4.3 Egypt, Power Market, Financial Deals .................................................................................. 20
4.3.1 Deal Volume and Value Analysis, 2004–H1 2013 ........................................................... 20
4.3.2 Deals, Split by Type, 2012 .............................................................................................. 21
4.4 Egypt, Power Market, Demand Structure .............................................................................. 22
4.4.1 Breakup of Consumption by Sector, 2012 ....................................................................... 24
5 Egypt, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario ............................................................................... 25
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 5 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Table of Contents
5.1 Egypt, Power Market, Key Electricity Policies ....................................................................... 25
5.1.1 Electricity Law ................................................................................................................. 25
5.1.2 Power Sector Reforms .................................................................................................... 25
5.1.3 Build, Own, Operate, and Transfer Scheme.................................................................... 26
5.1.4 Renewable Energy Policies ............................................................................................ 26
5.2 Egypt, Power Market, Foreign Investment Scenario ............................................................. 27
6 Egypt, Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview ........................................................ 28
6.1 Egypt, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, Breakup by Fuel Type, 2012.............. 28
6.2 Egypt, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Power Generation, 2000-
2030 ..................................................................................................................................... 29
6.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000–
2030 ............................................................................................................................... 32
6.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydro Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000–2030.. 37
6.2.3 Cumulative Installed Nuclear Capacity and Annual Nuclear Power Generation, 2000–
2030 ............................................................................................................................... 40
6.2.4 Cumulative Installed Renewable Capacity and Annual Renewable Power Generation,
2000–2030...................................................................................................................... 42
7 Egypt, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview ................................................ 45
7.1 Egypt, Power Market, Transmission Overview ...................................................................... 45
7.2 Egypt, Power Market, Distribution Overview ......................................................................... 47
7.3 Egypt, Power Market, Grid Interconnection........................................................................... 49
7.3.1 Electricity Import and Export Trends (2000–2011) .......................................................... 50
7.4 Egypt, Power Market, Electricity Trading .............................................................................. 51
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 6 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Table of Contents
8 Egypt, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of Leading Power Generating
Companies ............................................................................................................................... 52
8.1 Key Company in the Egypt Power Market: Egyptian Electricity Holding Company ................ 52
8.1.1 Company Overview ........................................................................................................ 52
8.1.2 Business Description ...................................................................................................... 52
8.1.3 SWOT Overview ............................................................................................................. 53
9 Appendix................................................................................................................................... 57
9.1 Market Definitions ................................................................................................................. 57
9.1.1 Power ............................................................................................................................. 57
9.1.2 Installed Capacity ........................................................................................................... 57
9.1.3 Active Installed Capacity ................................................................................................. 57
9.1.4 Electricity Generation ...................................................................................................... 57
9.1.5 Electricity Consumption .................................................................................................. 57
9.1.6 Thermal Power Plant ...................................................................................................... 57
9.1.7 Hydropower Plant ........................................................................................................... 57
9.1.8 Nuclear Power ................................................................................................................ 58
9.1.9 Renewable Energy Resources........................................................................................ 58
9.2 Abbreviations........................................................................................................................ 58
9.3 Bibliography.......................................................................................................................... 59
9.4 GlobalData’s Methodology .................................................................................................... 60
9.4.1 Coverage ........................................................................................................................ 61
9.4.2 Secondary Research and Analysis ................................................................................. 61
9.4.3 Primary Research and Analysis ...................................................................................... 62
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 7 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Table of Contents
9.5 Disclaimer ............................................................................................................................ 62
1.1 List of Tables
Table 1: Power Market, Egypt, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (million), and Annual Power
Consumption (TWh), 2000–2018.................................................................................................... 13
Table 2: Power Market, Egypt, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies by Installed Capacity
(%), 2012 ....................................................................................................................................... 19
Table 3: Power Market, Egypt, Annual Deal Value ($bn) and Volume (units), 2004–H1 2013 ......................... 21
Table 4: Power Market, Egypt, Annual Electricity Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 ...................................... 23
Table 5: Power Market, Egypt, Electricity Consumption by Sector (%), 2012 ................................................ 24
Table 6: Power Market, Egypt, Breakup of Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2012 ............... 28
Table 7: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh),
2000–2030 .................................................................................................................................... 31
Table 8: Power Market, Egypt, Leading Active Thermal Power Plants (MW), 2000–2012 ............................. 33
Table 9: Power Market, Egypt, Leading Upcoming Thermal Power Plants (MW), 2013–2020 ....................... 34
Table 10: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Thermal Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power
Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 ....................................................................................................... 36
Table 11: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower
Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 ....................................................................................................... 39
Table 12: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear
Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 ............................................................................................ 41
Table 13: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Renewable Power Capacity (MW) and Annual Renewable Power Generation (GWh), 2000–2030 ......................................................................... 44
Table 14: Power Market, Egypt, Growth in Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2000–2020 .............................. 46
Table 15: Power Market, Egypt, Growth in Distribution Line Length (Ckm), 2000–2020 .................................. 48
Table 16: Power Market, Egypt, Electricity Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2011 ....................................... 51
Table 17: Power Market, Egypt, SWOT Profile of Egyptian Electricity Holding Company, 2012 ...................... 53
Table 18: Abbreviations ................................................................................................................................. 58
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 8 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Table of Contents
1.2 List of Figures
Figure 1: Power Market, Egypt, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (million), and Annual Power
Consumption (TWh), 2000–2018 .................................................................................................. 12
Figure 2: Power Market, Egypt, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies by Installed Capacity
(%), 2012 ..................................................................................................................................... 19
Figure 3: Power Market, Egypt, Annual Deal Value ($bn) and Volume (units), 2004–H1 2013...................... 20
Figure 4: Power Market, Egypt, Annual Electricity Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 .................................... 22
Figure 5: Power Market, Egypt, Electricity Consumption by Sector (%), 2012 .............................................. 24
Figure 6: Power Market, Egypt, Breakup of Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2012 .............. 28
Figure 7: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh),
2000–2030 ................................................................................................................................... 30
Figure 8: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Thermal Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power
Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 ..................................................................................................... 35
Figure 9: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower
Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 ..................................................................................................... 38
Figure 10: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear
Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 .......................................................................................... 40
Figure 11: Power Market, Egypt, Cumulative Installed Renewable Power Capacity (MW) and Annual
Renewable Power Generation (GWh), 2000–2030........................................................................ 43
Figure 12: Power Market, Egypt, Electricity Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2011 ..................................... 50
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 9 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Introduction
2 Introduction
Egypt is a developing country, with its economy largely dependent on revenues earned through the
tourism sector and from traffic routed through the Suez Canal. Besides this, it has a well-developed
energy sector with substantial oil and gas exports. More than one-third of the working population is
directly or indirectly engaged in the agricultural sector. However, the contribution of agriculture to
the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was estimated at around XX% in 2012 (CIA, 2013).
Limited land availability, a growing population, and dependence on the Nile River have led to over-
exploitation of available resources.
The government initiated several economic reforms since 2004, including reducing tariffs and
taxes, ensuring transparency in the national budget, and promulgating legislation to promote
private sector development and increase competitiveness. However, the overall development of the
economy is adversely affected by factors like government intervention and the prevalence of
corruption. Several macroeconomic factors, including low consumer confidence, high inflation,
rising debt and labor problems act as major hindrances in the development of the economy. An
insight into the major challenges to the development of the power sector of the country has been
provided in chapter 4 of this report.
The global economic recession of 2008 resulted in a slow-down of the GDP growth rates. Before
the onset of the recession, the economy registered an average annual growth rate of XX% during
2000–2008. The GDP growth rate fell to around XX% in 2009 (IMF, 2013). The annual revenues
earned through the Suez Canal route declined sharply due to a drop in the overall traffic. Besides
that, the subsidy reform program started by the government in 2007 was halted due to the global
economic crisis. However, in 2009, there was some recovery in the economic situation of the
country due to high international oil prices.
Egypt registered a growth rate of XX% in 2011 over 2010 and this increased marginally to XX% in
2012 over 2011 (IMF, 2013). The services sector contributed the highest share of an estimated
XX% to the country’s GDP in 2012, followed by the industrial sector at XX% and the agricultural
sector at XX% (CIA, 2013). The country has good oil and gas reserves. The proven oil reserves
stand at an estimated XX million barrels and proven gas reserves stand at XX trillion cubic feet (BP
Statistical Review, 2013). Petroleum products, cotton, manufactured goods and some agricultural
products are the major export items of the country. The US, European Union, and the Middle East
are the most important export markets for Egypt.
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 10 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Introduction
The Ministry of Electricity and Energy (MOEE) is the apex body responsible for overseeing and
implementing policies related to electricity generation, transmission and distribution. The Egyptian
Electrical Holding Company (EEHC) is the government-owned utility responsible for electricity
generation, transmission and distribution. The company regulates the work of its subsidiary
companies, which are also engaged in electricity-related activities. The New and Renewable
Energy Authority (NREA) was formed in 1986 to promote the development of renewable energy
plants in Egypt. The government formulated the energy strategy in 2008, prioritizing the
diversification of the energy mix and increasing the share of renewable energy in the country’s
power mix. The ministry has set a target of achieving XX% of the country’s generated electricity
through renewable energy sources by 2020.
2.1 GlobalData Report Guidance
The executive summary captures the key growth trends in Egypt’s power market.
Chapter three provides a snapshot of the key parameters that affect Egypt’s power sector, as
well as key points about the Egyptian power market.
Chapter four provides a power market analysis of Egypt.
Chapter five details the regulatory scenario of the power market and the inward foreign
investment scenario in Egypt.
Chapter six provides information on Egypt’s cumulative installed capacity and annual
generation trends, as a whole and also by individual generation source.
Chapter seven describes the power transmission and distribution infrastructure of Egypt and
includes information on interconnectors with neighboring countries. The section also covers
electricity imports and exports and upcoming grid-related projects in Egypt.
Chapter eight describes the competitive landscape of Egypt’s power market, with a complete
description and SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the
leading companies.
Note: All 2012 market numbers provided in the report are estimates except where actual data was
available.
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 11 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Egypt, Power Market, Snapshot
3 Egypt, Power Market, Snapshot
3.1 Egypt, Power Market, Macroeconomic Factors
Egypt’s economy grew between 2000 and 2008 on the back of reforms aggressively followed by
the government of the time. The GDP growth rate (constant prices) reached highs of XX% and
XX% in 2007 and 2008, respectively. However, the benefits of this growth failed to trickle down to
the grassroots population and the government had to backtrack due to growing unrest. At the
height of the unrest in 2011, the GDP growth rate reached a low of XX%. It increased marginally in
2012 to XX%. The economy is forecast to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of
XX% between 2013 and 2018.
The population of the country, which was XX million in 2000, increased at a CAGR of XX% to reach
XX million by 2012, and is expected to continue increasing at the same rate until 2018.
Electricity consumption has thus been increasing, backed by the dual effects of a growing economy
(at least up until 2008) and population growth. It might just be observed that growth in electricity
consumption had continued until 2011 at an average of XX% per year (not a CAGR but an average
of year-on-year growth rates). Power consumption drastically reduced in 2012, decreasing by XX%
over 2011, but is expected to pick up by the end of 2013 and maintain an annual growth rate
between XX% and XX% up to 2016. Thereafter, consumption is expected to accelerate even
further, increasing between XX% and XX% per year.
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EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Egypt, Power Market, Snapshot
Figure 1: Power Market, Egypt, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (million), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2018
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Ann
ual e
lect
ricity
con
sum
ptio
n
GD
P a
nd p
opul
atio
n
GDP (constant prices) ($bn) Population (million) Total consumption (TWh) Source: GlobalData; IMF, 2013
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 13 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Egypt, Power Market, Snapshot
Table 1: Power Market, Egypt, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (million), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2018
Year GDP (constant prices) Population Total consumption
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Source: GlobalData; IMF, 2013
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 19 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Egypt, Power Market, Market Analysis
4.2 Egypt, Power Market, Key Market Players
As of 2012, EEHC was the largest electricity company in the Egyptian electricity sector in terms of
installed company accounting for more than XX% of the total installed capacity. If the share is split
into individual shares for the affiliate companies of EEHC, the Cairo generation company had the
largest share of the total installed capacity in 2012 at XX%, followed by West Delta at XX%, Middle
Delta at XX%, East Delta at XX%, Upper Egypt at XX%, Hydro-Power Plants at XX%, renewable
power plants at XX%, and Independent Power Producers (IPP) at XX%.
Figure 2: Power Market, Egypt, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies by Installed Capacity (%), 2012
Cairo
West Delta
Middle Delta
East Delta
Upper Egypt
Hydro
RenewableIPPs
Source: GlobalData; EEHC, 2013a
Table 2: Power Market, Egypt, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies by Installed Capacity (%), 2012
Company Share
Cairo
West Delta
Middle Delta
East Delta
Upper Egypt
Hydro
Renewable
IPPs
Source: GlobalData; EEHC, 2013a
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 57 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Appendix
9 Appendix
9.1 Market Definitions
9.1.1 Power
Power refers to the rate of production, transfer or energy use, usually related to electricity. It is
measured in watts and often expressed in kilowatts (kW) or Megawatts (MW). It is also known as
"real" or "active" power.
9.1.2 Installed Capacity
This term refers to the generator’s nameplate capacity, as stated by the manufacturer, or the
maximum rated output of a generator under given conditions. It is given in MW on a nameplate
affixed to the generator.
9.1.3 Active Installed Capacity
This refers to the component of electric power that actually performs work, given in kW or MW.
9.1.4 Electricity Generation
This refers to the production of electric energy, achieved through the transformation of other forms
of energy. It also refers to the amount of electric energy produced and is measured in Gigawatt-
hours (GWh).
9.1.5 Electricity Consumption
Electricity consumption is the sum of electricity generated, plus imports, minus exports, minus
transmission and distribution losses. It is measured in GWh.
9.1.6 Thermal Power Plant
A thermal power plant is a plant in which the turbine generators are driven by burning fossil fuels.
9.1.7 Hydropower Plant
A hydropower plant is a plant in which the turbine generators are driven by falling water.
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 58 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Appendix
9.1.8 Nuclear Power
Nuclear power refers to electricity generated by the use of thermal energy released from the fission
of nuclear fuel in a reactor.
9.1.9 Renewable Energy Resources
Renewable energy resources are naturally replenishing energy resources that are limited in the
amount of energy available per unit of time. Biomass, geothermal, solar and wind energy are all
examples of renewable resources.
9.2 Abbreviations
Table 18: Abbreviations AUPTDE Arab Union of Electricity
BOOT Build, Own, Operate, and Transfer
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
CCGT Combined-Cycle Gas Turbine
Ckm Circuit kilometer
EEA Egyptian Electricity Authority
EEHC Egyptian Electrical Holding Company
EETC Egyptian Electricity Transmission Company
EIJLLPST Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Libya, Lebanon, Palestine, Syria, and Turkey
FDI Foreign Direct Investment
GAFI General Authority for Investment and Free Zones
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GW Gigawatt
IPP Independent Power Producer
kV kilovolt
MOEE Ministry of Electricity and Energy
MW Megawatt
NREA New and Renewable Energy Authority
SWOT Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
T&D Transmission and Distribution
TPA Third-Party Access
TSO Transmission System Operator
TWh Terawatt hour
Source: GlobalData
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EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Appendix
9.3 Bibliography
Al-Baqmi S (2013). “Saudi Arabia and Egypt sign historic electricity exchange agreement”,
Asharq Al Awsat, June 4, 2013. Available from:
http://www.aawsat.net/2013/06/article55304373 [Accessed on November 2, 2013].
AUPTDE (2013). Exchange Energy (GWh). Arab Union of Electricity, 2012. Available from:
http://www.auptde.org/Article_Files/main2012.pdf
BP Statistical Review, 2013. BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 2013 [database].
Available from: http://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/excel/Statistical-
Review/statistical_review_of_world_energy_2013_workbook.xlsx [Accessed on November 2,
2013].
CIA (2013). Egypt: The World Factbook. Central Intelligence Agency. Available from: https
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/eg.html [Accessed on
November 2, 2013].
Daily News Egypt (2013). “Energy Ministry: 5500 Megawatts to be allocated to private sector”,
Daily News Egypt, March 2, 2013. Available from:
http://www.dailynewsegypt.com/2013/03/02/energy-ministry-5500-megawatts-to-be-allocated-
to-private-sector/ [Accessed on November 4, 2013].
EEHC (2013a). Annual Report, 2011/2012. Egyptian Electricity Holding Company. Available
from: http://www.moee.gov.eg/english_new/report.aspx [Accessed on November 3, 2013].
EEHC (2013b). Distribution Companies. Egyptian Electricity Holding Company. Available from:
http://www.egelec.com/mysite1/eehc/distributioncomp.htm [Accessed on November 2, 2013]
EIA (2013a). Total Electricity Imports [database]. Available from:
http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/XMLinclude_3.cfm?tid=2&pid=2&pdid=&aid=3&cid=EG&
titleStr=Total%20Electricity%20Imports%20(Billion%20Kilowatthours)&syid=2000&eyid=2012&f
orm=&defaultid=0&typeOfUnit=STDUNIT&unit=BKWH&products= [Accessed on November 2,
2013].
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 60 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Appendix
EIA (2013b). Total Electricity Exports [database]. Available from:
http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/XMLinclude_3.cfm?tid=2&pid=2&pdid=&aid=4&cid=EG&
titleStr=Total%20Electricity%20Exports%20(Billion%20Kilowatthours)&syid=2000&eyid=2012&
form=&defaultid=0&typeOfUnit=STDUNIT&unit=BKWH&products= [Accessed on November 2,
2013].
IMF (2013). World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013 [database]. Available from:
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2013/01/weodata/download.aspx [Accessed on
September 16, 2013].
Norton Rose Fullbright (2013). Renewable energy in Egypt: hydro, solar and wind. Norton
Rose Fulbright, January 2013. Available from:
http://www.nortonrosefulbright.com/knowledge/publications/74735/rene [Accessed on
November 2, 2013].
Solayman H (2013). “Who's investing in Egypt? A look at economic trends following the
revolution [Report]”, Wamda, June 9, 2013. Available on: http://www.wamda.com/2013/06/who-
s-investing-in-egypt-economic-trends-after-revolution-report [Accessed on November 2, 2013].
The World Bank (2013). Ease of Doing Business in Egypt, Arab Rep. The World Bank Group,
2013. Available from: http://www.doingbusiness.org/data/exploreeconomies/egypt/ [Accessed
on November 6, 2013].
US Department of State (2013). 2013 Investment Climate Statement – Egypt. Bureau of
Economic and Business Affairs, US Department of State, February 2013. Available from:
http://www.state.gov/e/eb/rls/othr/ics/2013/204635.htm [Accessed on November 2, 2013].
9.4 GlobalData’s Methodology
GlobalData’s dedicated research and analysis teams consist of experienced professionals with
backgrounds in marketing, market research and consulting in the power industry, and advanced
statistical expertise.
GlobalData adheres to the codes of practice of the Market Research Society (www.mrs.org.uk) and
the Strategic and Competitive Intelligence Professionals (www.scip.org) .
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EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
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Appendix
The following research methodology is followed for all country outlook reports.
9.4.1 Coverage
This report gives detailed information on Egypt’s power market. It examines Egypt’s power market
structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for generation, capacity and consumption
up to 2030. The report provides insights on the market’s regulatory structure, import and export
trends, competitive landscape and leading active and upcoming power projects.
9.4.2 Secondary Research and Analysis
The capacity, generation and consumption data is collected and validated using a number of
secondary resources, including, but not limited to:
Government agencies, ministerial websites, industry associations, the World Bank, statistical
databases
Company websites, annual reports, financial reports, broker reports and investor presentations
Industry trade journals, market reports and other literature
GlobalData’s proprietary databases, including the Capacity and Generation Database, the
Power Plant Database and the Transmission and Distribution Database
Further to this, the following secondary information is collected and analyzed to project Egypt’s
power market scenario through to 2030, analyzing factors such as the following:
Egypt’s macroeconomic scenario
Government regulations, policies and targets
Government and private sector investments
Contract and deal announcements
Utility expansion plans
The sector’s historic track record
Other qualitative insights built through secondary research and analysis of company websites,
annual reports, investor presentations, industry and trade journals, and data from industry
associations
Egypt Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape 62 © GlobalData. This report is a licensed product and is not to be copied, reproduced, shared or resold in any form.
EGYPT POWER MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2030 - MARKET TRENDS, REGULATIONS AND
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Appendix
9.4.3 Primary Research and Analysis
Secondary research is further complemented through primary interviews with industry participants
to verify and fine-tune the market numbers obtained through secondary research and gain first-
hand information on industry trends.
The participants are drawn from a diverse set of backgrounds, including equipment manufacturers,
industry associations, government bodies, utilities, distributors, and academia. The participants
include, but are not limited to, C-level executives, industry consultants, academic experts, business
development and sales managers, purchasing managers, plant managers, government officials,
and industry spokespeople.
9.5 Disclaimer
All Rights Reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any
form by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior
permission of the publisher, GlobalData.
This report is a licensed product and should not to be reproduced without prior permission.