30
Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014 Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging Requirements Presented by: Dr. W. R. Bottoms

Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Gaps and Technical Limitations for

Future Packaging Requirements

Presented by: Dr. W. R. Bottoms

Page 2: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Format for INEMI TWG Chapters

Page 3: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

The Most Important Part of our Work

Accurately predict Gaps and Showstoppers over a 10 year horizon Recommendation of alternative strategies that

may close these identified Gaps and resolve the difficult challenges before they become showstoppers These tasks are more challenging today than

ever before due to demands for revolutionary new Packaging Solutions

Page 4: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Forces Driving this Packaging Revolution

The impending end of Moore’s Law Scaling Dominance of smart phones and tablets in

electronics markets The emergence of the Internet of Things Movement of data, logic and applications to

the Cloud

Each of these factors present new gaps and showstoppers for Packaging Technology

Page 5: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

The end of Moore’s Law is coming and Packaging is the only near term solution to

Maintain the pace of Progress

Page 6: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

More than Moore is Enabled by Packaging

Interacting with people and environment Non-digital content System-in-Package (SiP)

Beyond CMOS

Information Processing Digital content System-on-Chip (SOC)

Biochips Fluidics

Sensors Actuators

HV Power

Analog RF Photonics

More than Moore : Functional Diversification

65 nm

45 nm

32 nm

22 nm

16 nm

Λ . .

10 nm

Mor

e M

oore

: Sc

alin

g

Baseline CMOS: CPU, Memory, Logic

Page 7: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

The Technology Drivers are Changing

We are still digesting the change from fixed electronics to mobile devices driving the industry and forcing innovation in:

Rf Components Low power processors Power management ICs

The smart phone and tablets added: Increased processing power and data bandwidth Incorporation of MEMS and a growing number of

sensors

Page 8: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Emerging Technology Drivers

There are 2 market driven trends that will force more fundamental change on the industry as they move into position as the technology Drivers.

Rise of the Internet of Things Data, logic and applications moving to the Cloud

Over the next 20 years almost everything will change including the global network architecture and all the components incorporated in it or attached to it.

Page 9: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

IoT With Trillions of Sensors

The projected growth is likely to be driven by applications yet to be imagined: Medical Industrial Agricultural ????

Page 10: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

IP Data Traffic Drives Network Requirements We have seen explosive data traffic growth as both mobile device bandwidth requirement and the number of connected devices expanded rapidly.

Global IP traffic will pass 1.4 Zettabytes (1021) by 2017 Wireless traffic will surpass wired traffic by 2016 Smart phones will grow >80% CAGR The number of mobile-connected devices will exceed the

number of people on earth by the end of this year The Yottabyte era is rapidly approaching

Cisco’s view of near term mobile communications

Page 11: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

The Driving Forces are Changing

Driver Mainframe computers

Fixed personal computer Mobile Consumer Internet of Things

and the Cloud

Key success Parameters

1. Performance 2. Cost

1. Cost 2. Performance

1. Cost 2. Power 3. Performance 4. Size

1. Cost 2. Power 3. Latency 4. Bandwidth

density 5. Size

Time

Wired Wireless

This requires change in packaging

Page 12: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Requirements To Support This View Of The Future

High bandwidth density Low latency Expanded data processing Expanded data storage

All this is needed at no increase in total cost and total Network power. Power and cost/function need >104 improvement over the next 20 years.

Page 13: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Major Gaps and Showstoppers

Power requirements (Particularly package related) Thermal management for high thermal density Cost (lowest system cost may not be lowest package cost) Heterogeneous integration (Both device &material) Physical density of Bandwidth Latency

There are many details associated with each of these issues and solutions will require new materials, new package architectures and new packaging processes.

Page 14: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Reducing power requirements and ensuring reliability and power integrity at

the point of use are major Gaps and potential showstoppers for packaging.

What are the potential solutions?

Page 15: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Potential Power Solutions Distribute power to the PCB/package at 200V and use it in

integrated circuits at low Drop operating voltage as low as possible (dynamically) Drop operating frequency (dynamically) Move photonics as close to the transistors as possible Increase conductivity with new materials Move components as close together as possible (use the

3rd dimension) Decouple inductance with local high k dielectrics Use ULK k dielectrics for isolation Turn off power not needed for short times (sub-microsecond?)

Page 16: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

How Can We Reduce Power? Continue Moore’s Law Scaling Reduce leakage currents

– Transistors are less than 10% of IC power today and going down

Reduce on-chip Interconnect power by: – Improved conductor conductivity – Decrease capacitance

Reduce interconnect length Reduce operating frequency Reduce operating voltage

– Voltage regulator per core Reduce high speed electrical signal length

– Move photons closer to the transistors

(new transistor designs)

(new material) (new material) (3D integration) (increased parallelism) (increased parallelism)

(On-package photonics)

Page 17: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Moore’s Law Scaling Is Nearing Its End The advantages of scaling still increase density but cost

and performance no longer Scale with Moore’s Law This vector cannot address the future challenges, Packaging is the

only near term solution

Source: IMEC

Page 18: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Speed And Power Advantages Of 3D

3D interconnect decreases path lengths. – For “n” TSV stacked layers, this may reduce global

interconnect path lengths by square root of “n” – Reduction in interconnect length

• Faster circuit speed • Reduced power consumption

– Standby power reduced by 75% compared to PoP and MCP packages

– Smaller physical size – Eventually, lower cost

We have not yet come down the learning curve

Page 19: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Qi Wang, Cadence technical marketing group director

“In the last 10 to 20 years, there has been a lot of effort devoted to performance, but we have left a lot of margin on the power side. Why do we keep Vdd at 1 volt? There’s no point. You can drop Vdd to 0.3 or 0.4. People need a safer way to do circuit design.”

Decrease The Operating Voltage

This decreases power requirement but increases need for low cost high k dielectrics

for 3D-TSV stacking

Page 20: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Thermal management is critical due to higher circuit density and lower

operating temperature requirement.

What are the potential solutions?

Page 21: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Thermal Management Challenges Finding solutions is not going to be easy

High thermal dissipation density Hot spots Differential thermal expansion Heterogeneous integration

– Both circuit type and material The result is thermal limitations for:

– Bandwidth – Power density – Cost – Reliability

Page 22: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Potential Thermal Management Solutions

Don’t make heat in the first place Improved thermal conductivity through new

materials Incorporation of microfluidics, heat pipes Segregation of high temperature components

Page 23: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Microfluidic Cooling Is One Solution

T. Brunschwiler et al., 3D-IC 2009 (IBM)

It works but It is likely to remain too expensive for most applications

Page 24: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

NanoTubes Have Been Limited By Poor Connection to the Package

Intel and Berkeley developed a technique to adher carbon nanotubes to metal Results are impressive:

– Six-fold increase in heat flow from the metal to nanotubes. – Technique can be integrated into production

Page 25: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Package Cost has not scaled with device cost and now poses

a significant Gap that will become a showstopper with

out major innovation

Page 26: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Increase parallelism in package manufacturing

Panel Processing FO-WLP WLP

ParallelismWiring Density2

Page 27: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Reduce Processing Steps

Remove package underfill New materials and lower processing

temperature to reduce stress – Reduce CTE differential

Lower modulus materials with improved fracture toughness Improved interfacial adhesion Reduce stress concentration by design

Alchimer metal

Ziptronix DIB

Cu nano-solder

Ultra-conducting CU

Simulation

New ULK dielectrics

Page 28: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Specific Gaps for Consideration by the Breakout Groups

Component substrates with improved thermal and electrical conductivity, greater wiring density and incorporation of photonic signals Conductors with higher thermal and electrical

conductivity and lower CTE Low power, high density O to E conversion on

package through sub-wavelength confinement of photon energy Cost reduction in assembly and packaging

Page 29: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

A Potential Solution: 2.5D Photonic Co-integrated SiP

Silicon Substrate with TSV interconnects and Si Waveguides Photonic engine CMOS logic

Memory controller DRAM DRAM DRAM

DRAM

Power Controller Memory controller

DRAM Flash memory

DRAM

Flash memory Flash memory Flash memory

Photonic/electronic Circuit Board

Electronics, Photonics and Plasmonics on an

SOI Substrate

Multiple voltage regulators to match power delivery to

each component to the work in process

TSV memory stack, direct bonding

interconnect, serdes in controller

PCB with electronic and photonic signals

with embedded components

Large on-package memory cache with serdes in controller

Page 30: Gaps and Technical Limitations for Future Packaging

Substrate & Package Technology workshop April 22-23, 2014

Thank You for Your Attention