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Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax

Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 1: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Game theory and strategicinteractionProf. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax

Page 2: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Course outline, credits and administrative points

Outline– This lecture gives an introduction to models of social interactions in the social

sciences. A focus is on game theoretical models, actor models and models about micro-macro transitions. Typical examples and empirical findings from the social sciences are discussed.

§ Credits:– For BA students: The course is worth 4 ECTS credits. The course is not graded

and is examined on a pass/fail basis. – For MA students: The course is worth 6 ECTS credits. The course is not graded

and is examined on a pass/fail basis.– To receive credit, students are expected to read the literature, participate in

group work and discussions during the lecture and pass the exam. The exam is written in the last session of the course. If the exam is not passed the course is failed. In this case, students are advised to take the course “Modellbildung” in the upcoming spring term 2020.

Page 3: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Course outline, credits and administrative points

Literature– Core literature: Diekmann, Andreas: Spieltheorie. Rowohlt 2009.

– Further literature:Dixit, Avinash K., and Susan Skeath. Games of Strategy. WW Norton & Company, 2015.Braun, Norman & Gautschi, Thomas (2011), Rational Choice Theorie. Juventa; Weinheim, München.Herbert Gintis (2000): Game Theory Evolving. Princeton, NJ.: Princeton University Press.Ken Binmore (1992): Fun and Games. Lexington: Heath.Eric Rasmusen (2000): Games and Information. 3.,veränderte Aufl., Oxford: Blackwell.

Camerer, Colin (2003): Behavioral Game Theory. Experiments in Strategic Interaction. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Shelling, Thomas C.: Micromotives and macrobehavior. WW Norton & Company.

Page 4: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Course outline, credits and administrative points

Course-relevant websites:www.Gametheory.onlinewww.scienceexperiment.online

Page 5: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative
Page 6: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Questions?

Page 7: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

What is game theory?Discuss with your neighbour for about 5 minutes

and present your result!

Page 8: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

John Nash

– Born 13. june 1928

– Ph.D. 1950, Princeton University withwork on «Non-cooperative Games»

– Extension of the game-theoreticalwork of Oskar Morgenstern and John von Neumann by introducing the so-called Nash equilibrium

– Nobel prize 1994 (joint with Reinhard Selten and John Harsanyi)

Page 9: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Terms and definitions in game theory

§ PlayerFinite

Endliche set of interdependent decision makers (e.g. persons, organisations) and possibly nature as fictitious player

§ Choice setPossible moves or choice alternatives of the players. We differentiatebetween simultaneous and sequential games

InformationKnowledge of the player at each time point at the game. This knowledgecan mean the rationality of the players, the structure of the game ormoves of nature. Common knowledge is when all involved players havethe same information and everybody knows that everybody knows thesame etc.

Page 10: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Terms and definitions in game theory

§ StrategyA pure strategy is a rule which defines for each move which choice theplayer has to make given the information. A mixed strategy is a distribution of probabilities over pure strategies.

§ PayoffsExpected utility of the players after every player (and possibly nature)have made their decisions.

Page 11: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Terms and definitions in game theory

§ Sequential gameAt least one player has more than one move and the moves aredetermined by the previous moves of the other players.

§ Iterated gamesThere are games which are played once (one shot), finitely repeatedgames and infinitely repeated games. Typically, it is assumed thatplayers have common knowledge about the iteration protocol.

Page 12: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Games in normal form

– The rows indicate the choice alternatives of the row-player, the columnsindicate the choice alternatives of the column player

Column player

Strategy A Strategie B

Row player

strategy 1

Strategy 2

Page 13: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Games in normal form

– The rows indicate the choice alternatives of the row-player, the columnsindicate the choice alternatives of the column player

– The first number indicates the payoff of the row-player, the secondnumber the payoff of the column player

Column player

Strategy A Strategie B

Row player

strategy 1 4, 4 3, 3

Strategy 2 6, 6 5, 5

Page 14: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Definitions and equilibria concepts

§ Strategy combinationIs defined by the strategies of the players

§ EquilibriumStrategy combination for which no player has an incentive to deviateunilaterally

§ Strictly dominant strategyStrictly the best reply to each possible strategy of all other players.

§ Weakly dominated strategyStrategy which is at least once a better an never a worse reply to all other strategies.

Page 15: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

§ Equilibrium selectionA rule which defines which equilibrium is to be selected based on all possible strategy combinations and payoffs (e.g. equilibrium in dominant strategies)

Definitions and equilibria concepts

Page 16: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Equilibrium in dominant strategies

– Step 1: Assume you are one of the players

– Step 2: Assume the opponent has chosen a given strategy

– Step 3: Determine your best reply and delete the otheralternative

– Step 4: Look for the best reply for all other choice alternatives and delete the alternatives

– Step 5: If a complete choice alternative is cancelled out, thisalternative is dominated

– Step 6: Repeat steps 1-5 for the opponent

– Step 7: If there is only one combination left, this is the equilibriumin dominant strategies

Page 17: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Column player

strategy A strategy B

Row player

strategy 1 4, 4 3, 3

strategy 2 6, 6 5, 5

Equilibrium in dominant strategies

Page 18: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 19: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 20: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 21: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 22: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 23: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 24: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 25: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 26: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Column player

strategy A strategy B

Row player

strategy 1 4, 4 3, 3

strategy 2 6, 6 5, 5

Equilibrium in dominant strategies

Page 27: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Column player

strategy A strategy B

Row player

strategy 1 4, 4 3, 3

strategy 2 6, 6 5, 5

Equilibrium in dominant strategies

Page 28: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Column player

strategy A strategy B

Row player

strategy 1 4, 4 3, 3

strategy 2 6, 6 5, 5

Equilibrium in dominant strategies

Page 29: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Equilibria concepts

§ Nash-equilibriumA Nash equilibrium is a combination of best replies, i.e. if each playerchooses the best strategy given the choices of the opponent. A Nash equilibrium can exist in pure strategies and in mixed strategies.

Page 30: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Nash equilibrium

– Step 1: Assume you are one of the players– Step 2: Assume the opponent chooses a given alternative– Step 3: Determine the best reply and mark it– Step 4: Look for the best reply for each of the alternatives of teh

opponent and mark it– Step 5: Each combination of both-sided marked entries is a Nash

equilibrium

Page 31: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Example: A simple coordination game

– You are in holidays in Paris and loose your travel partner

– Your battery of your mobile is off– You want to meet him or her without communication possibility

Column player

Eifel tower Hotel

Row player

Eifel tower 3, 3 1, 0

Hotel 0, 1 2, 2

Page 32: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 33: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 34: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 35: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 36: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 37: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 38: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 39: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 40: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Column player

Eifel tower Hotel

Row player

Eifel tower 3, 3 1, 0

Hotel 0, 1 2, 2

Example: A simple coordination game

– You are in holidays in Paris and loose your travel partner

– Your battery of your mobile is off– You want to meet him or her without communication possibility

Page 41: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Column player

Eifel tower Hotel

Row player

Eifel tower 3, 3 1, 0

Hotel 0, 1 2, 2

Example: A simple coordination game

– You are in holidays in Paris and loose your travel partner

– Your battery of your mobile is off– You want to meet him or her without communication possibility

Page 42: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

«Golden Balls»

§ What is the normal form of the game?§ How do you think will the players decide?

Page 43: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

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Page 44: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

«Golden Balls»

§ What is the normal form of the game?§ How do you think will the players decide?

Page 45: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

split steal

split

stealSteven

Sarah

Page 46: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

split steal

split 50’075, 50’075

steal 0, 0Steven

Sarah

Page 47: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

split steal

split 50’075, 50’075 0, 100’150

steal 100’150, 0 0, 0Steven

Sarah

Page 48: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

split steal

split 50’075, 50’075 0, 100’150

steal 100’150, 0 0, 0Steven

SarahEquilibrium in weakly dominant strategies

Page 49: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

«Beautiful Mind»

§ What is the normal form of the game?

Page 50: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

18.9.2012 Einführung Spieltheorie, PD Dr. Heiko Rauhut Seite 50

Page 51: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Reduktion to two players

Bob

Blonde Friend B

John Blonde

Friend A

Page 52: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Reduktion to two players

Bob

Blonde Friend B

John Blonde 0, 0 2, 1

Friend A 1, 2 1, 1

Page 53: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Reduktion to two players

Bob

Blonde Friend B

John Blonde 0, 0 2, 1

Friend A 1, 2 1, 1

Page 54: Game theory and strategic interaction · 2019-02-25 · Game theory and strategic interaction Prof. Dr. Heiko Rauhut, PD Dr. Heinrich Nax. Course outline, credits and administrative

Reduktion to two players

Bob

Blonde Friend B

John Blonde 0, 0 2, 1

Friend A 1, 2 1, 1