Future Trends of Ifs

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    IABS -International Arab Banking Summit

    "Euro-Arab Economic Dialogue"

    23.- 24. Juni 2005, Frankfurt am Main - Marriott Hotel

    WorkshopIslamic Banking and Europe:

    Exploring Future Trends

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    Current Market

    Statistical data about the market size and growth very limited

    General Council for Islamic Banks and Financial Institutions (CIBAFI):

    2004: market size ca. USD 270 bn

    Noriba: similar size estimated for Islamic windows Totalling around USD 500 bn in 2004

    Growth rates estimatedwith 15 % p.a.; any proof unknown

    New Islamic banks worldwide either as fully licensed banks or windows

    Europe:

    September 2004: Islamic Bank of Britain licensed

    April 2005: European Islamic Investment Bank funded

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    InsuranceMoney lending

    Asset Finance Equity Services

    Non profit area Profit area

    Takafulnext to enter

    Europe

    Interest-freelending:

    niche inSweden

    Dominatingthe Islamic

    financeindustry

    Private Equitygrowth sector

    in the Gulfcountries

    Consultingand services

    not yet

    significantbusiness trend

    Overview

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    Insurance - Takaful

    Solidarity Bahrain plans expansion to Europe

    Islamic Bank of Britain wants to establish Takaful

    Other market players going to enter the takaful market

    Currently integration Banking Takaful weak, cross selling very low Funds under management will be attractive for asset managers:

    Friends Provident will manage Assets in Europe for Solidarity...

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    Asset Finance: Sukuk a megatrend

    Annual volume 2004 below USD 7 bn an extreme niche market

    Drivers: Islamic banks and private client portfolios

    Capital adequacy and liquidity rules for Islamic banks resulting in need

    for Sukuk Private clients dominated by real estate and stock market investments

    fixed income products like Sukuk desperately needed

    Sukuk market will grow: 5 years from now potential USD 150 bn

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    Megatrends in Islamic Banking

    "The Islamic banking industry still needs some big institution to cater tothe needs of primary and secondary markets. Over 82 per cent of theIslamic banks have $25 million or less assets, which really narrows their

    scope to participate in any kind of activity," Dr Al Khoja said.

    Bahrain Tribune - 17/05/2005

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    Megatrends in Islamic Banking

    Capital increase and potential mergers to enable larger deal sizes

    Creation of one or more high capitalised Islamic banks

    European Islamic Investment Bank:

    paid up capital: GBP 110 mn (later GBP 300 mn) GCC: USD 1 bn initial paid up capital in formation (later USD 2 bn)

    Starting to integrate Takaful and Islamic Banking

    Globalisation: Sudan gains Momentum, Nigeria next Singapore committed

    More sophiscated product range

    Higher standardisation

    Professionalization: Corporate Governance standards (IFSB, Kuala Lumpur)

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    Megatrends leads to an industry ...

    2010: Sukuk market USD 150 bn ?

    Total size of Islamic banking niche: USD 1000 bn ?

    ... w e w o r k o n it !

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    Contact Details

    Michael Gassner Phone: +49 7000 42 77 637Consultancy Fax: +49 7000 42 77 637Kyffhuserstr. 8 [email protected] Cologne www.IslamicFinance.deGermany

    What we do as consultant:

    Structuring: Coordination of Shariah, tax, legal and market issues Marketing: Direct investments, roadshows, market strategy Training: Introduction, Sukuk, Wealth Management, Private Equity ... Publications: IslamicFinance.de Executive News - monthly free ofcharge newsletter based on ongoing research

    Independent consultancy firm with international network, e.g. ShapeTM