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Future Trends & Landscape Architecture :
Who designs the future
Annimac www.annimac.com.au Futurist & Trend Forecaster
Hassell Landscape Architecture Discipline Conference 2008 Rottnest Island 13th June 2008
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Speed of change
Change Grandfather experienced in
one year
We experience in one day
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Speed of Change :
Younger
means
faster . . .
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I’m never having kids. I hear they take nine months to download.
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Parallel
Universes
Kids
live
them.
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This morning :
• Three global trends
• Three LA trends
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Three Global Challenges
1. Technology
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Three Global Challenges - Technology
By 2025
70 % jobs not exist now
80 % technology not imagined yet
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Japanese Robanoid 2006
Future Receptionist ? Design assistant ?
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Likely jobs in next 20 years :
• Director of Emerging Thought
• Chief Zookeeper - of people
• Home Mood Enhancement Consultant
• MyPlace Consultant UD planner
• Virtual Community Facilitator
• Telepathic Communications Coach
• Holographic Landscape Modeller
• Robanoid Paralegal “Legaloid”
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Three Global Challenges Technology Call Centre - Asia
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Three Global Challenges
2. Climate change
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Three Global Challenges Climate Change
• Global warming
• Sea levels rising 2° = 1 metre
• Droughts Floods
• Earthquakes
• Volcanoes
• Violent Storms
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Three Global Challenges
3. Peak Oil :
The Big Rollover
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Three Global Challenges Peak Oil
OIL BUYERS MARKET
The Peak of World Oil Production
CHEAP & EASY-TO-EXTRACT OIL
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030
USNorth
SeaForecast oil production
Past oil production
We are here
Previous Rollovers
SELLERS MARKET
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050
BIG ROLLOVER
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Chinese Technology CentreChinese Technology Centre
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Three LA Trends
1. Multidisciplinarity
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Three LA Trends - Multidisciplinarity
Challenges of :
• professional demarcation
• standards of practice
• educational exclusivities
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Three LA Trends
2. Shifting values & attitudes
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Life is drawing
without an eraser
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Chi master class with MIT engineers
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Albany Highway Williams Western Australia 2004
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Three LA Trends
3. Generational gap
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Generations
Baby Boomers 1945 – 60 age 45 - 60
Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45
DotComs 1975 – 90 15 - 30
Ferals 1990 – now to 15
Generation X 1960 – 80 25 - 45
Generation Y 1980 – now to 25
wikipedia
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Baby Boomers$100 for speeding
$250 for misleading the public
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Boomers & technology That’s the phone,
dear,
Here, try the remote
That’s the phone dear. Here try the
remote.
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Boomers Care
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Three LA Trends - Generation Gap
Generation X 30 - 45
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Gen Xers
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Gen X Lifestyle Dog
What !
No lemon wedge ?
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Three LA Trends - Generation Gap
DotComs 15 - 30
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DotComs
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DotComs Relationships
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Three LA Trends - Generation Gap
Ferals to 15
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Ferals to 15
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Parallel
Universes
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Facing the future in Landscape Architecture :
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thank you www.annimac.com.au
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HEADLINES FROM THE YEAR : 2029
* Ozone created by electric cars now killing millions
* Tasmanian Devil plague threatens Australasian crops & livestock * Baby conceived naturally. Scientists stumped
* Iran still closed off; physicists estimate 10 yrs before radioactivity at safe level
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Headlines 2029
* France pleads for global help after being taken over by Jamaica
* No other country helps the beleaguered nation
* George Z. Bush says will run for Pres in 2036
* Postal Service raises price of 1st class stamp to $17.89; mail delivery only on Wednesdays
* 85-year $75.8 B study confirms : Diet & exercise are keys to weight loss.
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Headlines 2029
* Global cooling blamed for citrus crop failure - for third consecutive year * Fuel stations open only on Tues & Fri. * Supreme Court rules punishment of criminals violates their civil rights
* Average height of pro basketballers now 288 cms / 9 ft 7 ins * Law requires all nail clippers, screwdrivers, fly swatters & rolled-up newspapers to be registered by January 2030.
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