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FUNDAMENTALS OF SYSTEMS THINKING:----- WHO, WHAT, WHEN, WHERE, WHY & HOW?
Rod Dreisbach, PhD - Independent Engineering Simulation ConsultantNAFEMS Technical Fellow; Chair of NAFEMS Americas Region; Member of NAFEMS Council, Multiple Working Groups; Boeing Retired Senior Technical Fellow
Across the entire product lifecycle for the design, manufacture and maintenance of tomorrow’s interconnected multidisciplinary systems
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Pervasive Systems Thinking: Who and What? the basic elements of an engineering organization
Technology• Math & Physics• Engineering• Computing hardware & software• Data management• etc.
Processes• Sharing knowledge• Reusing knowledge• Best practices• etc.
People• Tacit knowledge• Collaboration• Cultures• Global• etc.
Business• Customer knowledge• Market intelligence• Strategic goals• etc.
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Competitive Advantage
Innovation
Critical Thinking--- Knowledge and Wisdom ---
Model Based Enterprise --- Integrated MBx ---
Governance--- Design, Build & Operate ---
Systems Thinking
Pervasive Systems Thinking: Why and How?
Through People,
Processes and
Technology
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Characteristics of Innovation--- the Interaction of the Four Groups
• Innovation– Feeds off of the knowledge of a company– Is based on sharing knowledge across different domain groups and
organizational boundaries– Is generally associated with the development of new products and services– Is generally the result of a series of incremental improvements– Results from well-managed, disciplined business processes---it is not
accidental!
“Invention is 1% inspiration versus 99% perspiration” --- Thomas Edison
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
• Provides a common modeling and simulation environment • Requirements, functional, logical, and physical inter-relationships• 3D CAx parametric, cross-discipline functions• Virtual design, build, test, and certify• Multi-physics modeling & simulation• Common meta-model• Knowledge capture
What ?
Model-Based Engineering: What and Why?
Why? • Allows for rapid prototyping and architecture optimization• Leads to early integration and requirements validation• Creates a truly representative simulation of the product• Supports model-based requirements to suppliers• Increased overall fidelity of the simulations• Reduced development time and cost
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Model-based integration across multiple technical disciplines (Extract from NAFEMS “What is SMS” Flyer)
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Integrated Systems Engineering and Engineering Simulation (Extract from NAFEMS “What is SMS” Flyer)
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Engineering Simulation Governance and Management(Extract from NAFEMS “What is Simulation Governance and Management” Flyer) The “Who and What”
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
• Curiosita: An insatiably curious approach to life and an unrelenting quest for continuous learning
• Dimonstrazione: Tests knowledge through experience, persistence, and willing to learn from mistakes
• Sensazione: Continually refines the senses, especially sight, as a means to enliven experience
• Sfumato: (literally "Going up in smoke") Willing to embrace ambiguity, paradox, and uncertainty
• Arte/Scienza: Develops a balance between art and science, imagination and logic. "Whole-Brain" thinking
• Corporalita: Cultivates grace, ambidexterity, fitness, and poise
• Connessione: Recognizes and appreciates the interconnectedness of all things and phenomena - systems thinking
* Book by Michael J. Gelb
Critical Thinking like Leonardo da Vinci* --- Seven da Vincian Principles
Not Bad For A Man Who Was Born In 1452!
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
The Internet of Things-----Physical and Digital!
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
The Internet of Things-----Physical and Digital!
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
An Autonomous Car???
A Hyperloop Tube???LA to San Francisco in 35 minutes!
The Internet of Things-----Physical and Digital!
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
An Autonomous Car???
A Hyperloop Tube???LA to San Francisco in 35 minutes!
What Advanced Technologies can now be Applied to Engineering Simulation???
The Internet of Things-----Physical and Digital!
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Systems Engineering
Engineering Governance
Systems Thinking---An Essential Skill---
Pervasive Systems Thinking: What and Where?
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
A Glossary of Some Fundamental Terms• Critical Thinking: the objective analysis and evaluation of facts associated with an issue to form a judgment.• Cybernetics (Cyber-Physical): the study of how humans and machines control and communicate with each other.• Digital Thread: An analytical framework that seamlessly expedites the controlled interplay of technical data and information
in an enterprise data-information-knowledge system.• Digital Twin: a dynamic (real-time) digital surrogate (model) of a physical asset (physical twin), such as a system, device,
process, person or place for use in the operation, monitoring, control, and upgrade of the asset in a cyber-physical mode. • Governance: policies and procedures describing how the rules, norms and actions are structured, sustained, regulated and
held accountable.• Model-Based Engineering: an approach that uses models as an integral part of the engineering processes that includes
the requirements, analysis, design, implementation, verification and validation of a system throughout its lifecycle.• Model-Based Enterprise: an organization where models serve as the authoritative information source for processes
beyond engineering. • Model-Based Systems Engineering: a subset of Model-Based Engineering based on the formalized application of
integrated models of a system.• Reductionist (Traditional) Thinking: an approach that focuses on analysis of the constituent parts of a complex system
by breaking it down into its separate elements by sub-components or by technical disciplines.• System (Product, Process): a group of interacting or interrelated entities with spatial and temporal boundaries that form a
unified whole.• System Lifecycle Management (SysLM): Spans the six phases of a system’s lifecycle; Pre-Definition, Definition,
Acquisition/Development, Implementation, Operations and Maintenance, and Termination.• Systems Thinking: a holistic approach that focuses on synthesis of how a complex system's constituent parts interrelate
and how systems work over time and within the context of the larger systems.
PERVASIVE SYSTEMS THINKING & SIMULATIONWHO, WHAT, WHEN, WHERE, WHY & HOW…
Malcolm PanthakiCo-Founder, RevolutionInSimulation.orgVP of Analysis Solutions, Aras
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
It‘s been all about Product Development...
Product
Product Lifecycle Management (PLM)
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Copyright AUDI AG
Electronics
Physical Interaction Simulation
Control Flow
Simulation
MechanicalCAD
Software
Product
Products & Markets are more complicated…
3-D Simulation
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Materials Advancements & Additive
Verification & Validation
Need for
Simulation
Increasing
Rapidly
Design Space Explorationsource: wirth research
source:yourcar
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Connected & Autonomous
Digital Twin
MBSE / System Models
Future:More & More
Simulations
across the
Lifecyclesource: autoevolution
source: squir
source: bmw
System Simulation
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Silos:Unable to
Achieve
Business of
Engineering
Strategies
Disconnected from Processes
FEA
CFD
Highly Diverse & Increasing
Thermal
EMI
0D / 1D
Composites
EmbeddedSoftware / Firmware
wiring & bonding
Optics
nonlinear analysis
vibro-acoustics
Co-simulation
materialscharacterization plastic
flow metal forming casting
ESD
chips & circuits
Separate & Complicated to Manage
source: centers of grain excellence
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Simulation Management: Challenges
• Statistical correlation withTest results
• Notified about design / model changes
• Aware of Variants / Options
• Mapped to Requirements
• Traceable for Liability issues / Digital Thread
Reduce Physical Test
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Simulation Management: Challenges
• Statistical correlation withTest results
• Notified about design / model changes
• Aware of Variants / Options
• Mapped to Requirements
• Traceable for Liability issues / Digital Thread
Reduce Physical Test
• System architecture representation of product
• Simulation available on-demand
• Co-simulations / trade studies / cross-discipline
• Mixed fidelity models, Different data types
• Tool agnostic
MBSE / Systems
• Repeatable / reuse
• Proceduralized forops environment
• Access to Digital Twin config & performance data
• Simulation data forMachine Learning / AI
Predictive Maintenance
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Future Risks: Without
New Approach
to
System
Management
Risks
Design Quality Problems
Delays / Missed Deadlines
Cost Overruns
Operational Shutdowns
Regulatory Actions
Liability
Safety Issues
Loss of Life
Catastrophic Failures
Ramifications
Misdirected Actions
Wrong Design Simulated
Inaccurate Conclusions
source: ansys
Risks compounded by Multidisciplinary Systems & Use of Machine Learning and AI
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
OBSTACLES
1. Small pool ofSystems Thinkers
2. Ingrained practices (Reductionism: divide-and-conquer)
3. SilosExperts, tools, data
4. Simulation limitedOnly to the experts
5. Multiple/Incompatible digital languages
6. Manual, error-pronedisconnected processes
7. Fragmented, inflexibledata platforms
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
1. Product or System?
QUESTIONS
2. Reductionism or Systems Thinking?
3. Simulation ROI?4. PDM/PLM or
System Lifecycle Mgmt?
5. Advanced technologies,standards?
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
It should be about System Management
The Productis a
System
The Productis a
System
Performance Optimization
Hardware
Software
Electronics
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
It should be about System Management
The Productis a
System
System of SystemsExpand BeyondProduct-Centric
Approach
The Productis a
System
Performance Optimization
Cost Optimization
Sustainability
Manufacturability (global supply chain)
Operating EnvironmentSystem of Systems Connected Systems
Hardware
Software
Electronics
Maintainability / Upgradeability
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
It should be about System Management
The Productis a
System
System Lifecycle Management (SysLM)*
* Martin Eigner, Thomas Dickopf, Hristo Apostolov. System Lifecycle Management: An Approach for Developing Cybertronic Systems in Consideration of Sustainability Aspects, 24th CIRP Conference on Life Cycle Engineering, Procedia CIRP 61 (2017) 128-133.
System of SystemsExpand BeyondProduct-Centric
Approach
The Productis a
System
Performance Optimization
Cost Optimization
Sustainability
Manufacturability (global supply chain)
Operating EnvironmentSystem of Systems Connected Systems
Hardware
Software
Electronics
Maintainability / Upgradeability
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
source: tesla
System Sub-Systems PartsSub-Systems
Systems Thinking VS Reductionism?
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
source: tesla
System Parts
Requirements? Responsibilities, Tasks System Behavior? System comprehension? System tradeoffs?Holistic/emergent system behavior? System optimization?Blinders!
Systems Thinking VS Reductionism?Sub-Systems Sub-Systems
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
source: tesla
System Parts
Systems Thinking AND ReductionismAchieving balance between holism and divide-and-conquer
Systems Thinking VS Reductionism?
Systems: Interactions Patterns Complexity & Uncertainty
Requirements? Responsibilities, Tasks System Behavior? System comprehension? System tradeoffs?Holistic/emergent system behavior? System optimization?Blinders!
Sub-Systems Sub-Systems
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
source: tesla
Pervasive Systems Thinking, Requirements & Simulation:Connected by a Customizable Digital Thread
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Systems Thinkingunderstand
System Requirementsgoals/purpose
source: tesla
MBSErepresent
System Architectureorganize
Systems Engineeringintervene/design
Simulation (and Test)explore/validate
Pervasive Systems Thinking, Requirements & Simulation:Connected by a Customizable Digital Thread
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Systems Thinkingunderstand
System Requirementsgoals/purpose
source: tesla
MBSErepresent
System Architectureorganize
Systems Engineeringintervene/design
Simulation (and Test)explore/validate
Open, Customizable, Upgradeable SysLM Platformcaptures/supports your lifecycle Digital Thread – content & intent
Pervasive Systems Thinking, Requirements & Simulation:Connected by a Customizable Digital Thread
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Product Development Process:The System V is Not Reality…
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
An agile, iterative, spiral design processthat starts at any level of completeness
of the design
Spiral Design Process: Continuous Exploration & Validation
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
ContinuousDesign Evolution
Continuous Exploration & Validation
An agile, iterative, spiral design processthat starts at any level of completeness
of the design
Spiral Design Process: Continuous Exploration & Validation
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Multidisciplinary Silos: Reductionism at work
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Seamless IntegrationSystems Modeling to 3-D SimulationMultidisciplinary Systems Modelling
Systems
When systems models sit at the center of all product data,
they become the connective tissue.
The Digital Thread runs through them.
MBSE
Systems Models at the Core: Connecting silos
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Open Digital Thread PlatformTraceabilityAgile DevelopmentConfiguration Mgmt, Variant MgmtCollaborative, Continuous Engineering
Design Evolution
Exploration & Validation
Spiral, Agile, CollaborativeProcess
Pervasive Requirements-Aware Digital Thread
Enterprise Digital Thread: For Content & Intent
Systems
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Open Digital Thread PlatformTraceabilityAgile DevelopmentConfiguration Mgmt, Variant MgmtCollaborative, Continuous Engineering
Open, Extensible, Upgradeable SysLM Platformcaptures/supports full lifecycle Digital Thread – content & intent
Design Evolution
Exploration & Validation
Spiral, Agile, CollaborativeProcess
Pervasive Requirements-Aware Digital Thread
PDM/PLM SysLM
Enterprise Digital Thread: For Content & Intent
Systems
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Open Digital Thread PlatformRequirements & System Architectureat the core of all data including simulation data
Design Evolution
Exploration & Validation
Right-Fidelity Simulation on-demand across the lifecycle Effective Enterprise SPDMSystem ExplorationSystem OptimizationSystem ValidationEmergent Behavior
Mixed-Fidelity simulationSystems3D
Multidisciplinary simulationSoftware, controls
Intelligent simulation automation
Pervasive Requirements-Driven Digital Thread
Spiral, Agile, Collaborative Process
Pervasive Simulation: Provides Systems Thinking Context
Systems
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Open Digital Thread PlatformRequirements & System Architectureat the core of all data including simulation data
Design Evolution
Exploration & Validation
Right-Fidelity Simulation on-demand across the lifecycle Effective Enterprise SPDMSystem ExplorationSystem OptimizationSystem ValidationEmergent Behavior
Pervasive Simulation for continuous System Exploration & Validationprovides necessary context for Systems Thinking
Mixed-Fidelity simulationSystems3D
Multidisciplinary simulationSoftware, controls
Intelligent simulation automation
Pervasive Requirements-Driven Digital Thread
Spiral, Agile, Collaborative Process
Pervasive Simulation: Provides Systems Thinking Context
Systems
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
• Systems Thinking and Reductionism: complementary, pervasive
• Requirements-Driven Systems Models: connective tissue of the Digital Thread
• Simulation connected to the Digital Thread: need growing exponentially‾ Current silo’ed & manual simulation is not adequate
• Effective enterprise SPDM: provides the Systems Thinking context
• System Lifecycle Management (SysLM) Platform: enhance your product-centric PDM/PLM platforms
Here are the Key Takeaways…
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
• Better understanding of product behavior, resulting in optimized products (engineering and manufacturing costs, brand retention, warranty costs…)
• Capture and reuse a growing pool of corporate knowledge
• Better management of complexity growth – current and future
• Better management of risk – current and future
• Better management of unanticipated market drivers – current and future
With Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation, supported by an enterprise Digital Thread, comes collaborative and continuous engineering, resulting in
designs that better meet requirements and a reduction of physical tests
…and the Benefits
SPACE- & GROUND-BASED OPTICAL SYSTEMSCASE STUDIES IN SYSTEM COMPLEXITY
David Thomas, PhD, Sr. Optical Engineer, Giant Magellan Telescope Organization
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Large Telescopes
Hubble Space TelescopeGiant Magellan Telescope
• Highly complex, one-of-a-kind products• Multiple Engineering Disciplines involved
• Optics, Mechanical, Structures, Thermal, Electronics, Software and Controls• Large, expensive high-quality optics and tight alignment tolerances• Harsh operational environments• Must be highly reliable - no to limited opportunity for repair
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Reductionist System EngineeringMission
Observatory
Instruments
Subsystems
Engineering Disciplines
• Single string flow down of Requirements from top to bottom• Document centered process – 100’s to 1000’s in databases
(DOORS, Docushare) to link them together.• Low-fidelity statistical error budget views of system performance
used to allocate requirements to the pieces.• Interface Control Documents (ICD’s) to specify interfaces
between related subsystems.• Work performed to and evaluated against local flowed down
requirements only – assumes the product will work if you meet your error budget allocations.
• No System Thinking or Ownership for Product Success.• A tedious, overhead focused process that is slow and difficult to
adjust to emerging product realities (Change Control Boards).
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
A “Humpty Dumpty” Approach“If I break my whole product down into 100’s of pieces according to a set of rules, I can get it back by gluing the pieces back together according to those rules.”
An approach born of Adam Smith at the start of the Industrial Revolution – High volume manufacture of high quality, affordable products by breaking complex product manufacture into a series of specialized steps.
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Why Reductionism Doesn’t Really Work
• Lack of Systems Thinking – focus on the trees, but not the forest.• Interactive complexity is not accounted for
• Changes in any of the physics affect all the others in ways that are nontrivial to evaluate.• Coordinating effort across organizational and technical boundaries is complex and fluid in
complex endeavors.• Whole products have emergent properties that are greater than the sum of the properties
of its parts in ways that can be hard to predict.• Important failure modes can be hard to anticipate in complex systems (Ref. 3)
• Practical drift always happens• Design and hardware reality diverge from documented baselines over time, sometimes
with catastrophic results (Ref. 3)• Limited access to data in making design decisions
• The technical data needed by team members to understand salient features of the product outside of their own area of expertise to make informed decisions is generally not available to them.
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
What do we Need vs. What do we Have?Characteristic Properties What we have todaySystem Thinking Work organized around whole products,
attention to component parts and their harmonious integration into a whole at all stages of design and fabrication, ownership for product success by every team member
Reductionism - making sure each part meets its flowed down requirement allocations.
Pervasive Simulation Simulation at the appropriate level of fidelity at every program stage from start to finish as it is needed.
High fidelity only for each technical discipline. System performance predicts are low fidelity (error budgets)
Assured data consistency
Project design file structure ensures version control and model consistency as design evolves, and all discipline models stem from a common CAD design.
Relies on conformance to documents and drawings archived in large databases
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
What do we Need vs. What do we Have?Characteristic Properties What we have todayRobust access to relevant design data
Full access to all CAD/CAE data relevant to product design and problem resolution by all team members across discipline boundaries. Data display permits spatial comparisons across discipline boundaries during design reviews and problem diagnoses.
High fidelity data accessible only to discipline specialists. System level performance is low fidelity - block diagrams and error budgets. PowerPoint culture – information presented in fragments over many charts.
Capture and reuse of multidisciplinary analyses
Multidisciplinary engineering knowledge captured for reuse in Simulation Processes that can be run by all team members.
Serial manual handoffs between technical disciplines, with delays and errors at each handoff point.
Highly collaborative work style, agile response to change
Regular concurrent design sessions alternate with off-line detailed work to a common data model.
Stove piped approach from beginning to end with limited product level focus.
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A Different Organizational Model is Needed
• A “Knights of the Round Table” product organization.• A Team Lead (Arthur) and a small team of equals
(Knights) – one for each technical discipline area.• Work is organized around a whole product having
simple interfaces to other system components.• Individuals are responsible for delivering their
specialty as usual.• The team is collectively responsible for the delivery
and success of the whole product.• System Engineering that is focused always on the
hardware, not on overhead documentation.
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A Concurrent Engineering Environment
An example of this new paradigm developed for Electro-Optical Systems design at JPL and The Aerospace Corp.
• CAD/CAE shared across discipline boundaries with Model Based System Engineering (MBSE) software tools
• Engineers use the CAD/CAE tools they prefer.
• Project Tree file structure for version control and model consistency.
• Discipline models derive from a common CAD model at each product design iteration.
• All models project to a common screen.
• Design Reviews held directly from the design – no PowerPoint charts.
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Motivations for these new design environments• Development of proposals for new work
• Proposals for new optical instrument funding at NASA and in the National Security Space communities must now be done at an advanced preliminary design level to a short schedule for limited B&P funding.
• Enabled by a Concurrent Engineering Environment.
• Diagnosis of unexplained hardware test anomalies• The environment was initially developed and applied successfully to the diagnosis of
a thermal focus anomaly with a critical camera system during thermal vacuum testing of the hardware.
• Problem was not explained by contractor’s own analysis.• Needed an analysis tool that would permit the requisite Structural/Thermal/Optical
analysis of system performance to be executed on the same time scale as hardware testing while providing physical insight into the root causes of underlying problems.
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
STOP Analyses of Optical System PerformanceCAD and Structures
Thermal
Optics
• STOP analysis computes changes in telescope image quality due to thermally induced changes in telescope optical components and metering structure
• Requires expertise in thermal control, mechanical CAD and structural analysis, and optical design.
• Normally done with manual handoffs between discipline experts.
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Re-usable STOP Simulation Process• Our Concurrent
Engineering Environment integrated the sequence of engineering analysis steps needed for STOP into a re-usable Simulation Process in the MBSE software that reduced STOP analysis cycle times from days to hours.
• Allowed data analysis to be done in parallel with hardware testing for a mission-critical space flight hardware lens assembly.
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Concurrent Engineering Diagnosis of Design IssuesTelescope WFE is very large – about 200 waves of spherical aberration
Almost all of the WFE is coming from the primary mirror
Structures model shows WFE to be due to bending of the mirror due to excess clamping force at cold temperatures. Remedy = thermal design change and/or more
compliant primary mirror mount.
• Multidisciplinary engineering teams can view all the relevant engineering data in a single eye span to discover and diagnose design performance issues in a more robust and effective way.
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Features of Model Based System Engineering
• Logistical complexity and software costs are higher• Higher fidelity designs earlier in the acquisition cycle saves program cost and schedule• Design problems and conflicts are caught early and often• Reduces errors and delays at handoffs between disciplines• Enables and promotes System Thinking among product team• Enables capture and re-use of multidisciplinary engineering knowledge• Reduces design cycle time by 2x to 3x• Allows models at different levels of fidelity to be integrated• Ensures design consistency and captures design history through an integrated Project Tree File
Structure• Prevents over-design through high fidelity view of integrated product performance• Improves decision making by enabling spatial comparisons between all relevant engineering data• Creates ownership for overall product success among team members• Trains young engineers to become more senior, product-focused engineers more quickly• It’s just fun to work this way
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References
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Thank You!Thank you!
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Q&A
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Thank you!
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Next Webinar TitleDate/Time
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EXTRA SLIDES
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80
Systems Thinking and Simulation are Pervasive…Technology Areas Involving Simulation
Systems Thinking
MBSE (Requirements
& Systems Modeling)
Automated Design Space
Exploration (Generative
Design)
New Manufacturing
Techniques (Additive
Manufacturing)
Predictive Maintenance &
Improved Product Design (Digital Twins)
SPDM (Digital Thread)
AI/ML
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81
1. Systems Thinking Applied to Product Lifecyle Simulation 2. Bringing MBSE (Requirements Engineering & System
Modeling)& Simulation Together3. SPDM & the Digital Thread4. Automated Design Space Exploration (Generative Design &
Additive Manufacturing)5. Digital Twins and Predictive Maintenance
Important: Each presentation must tie back to the main theme of “Systems Thinking Applied to Simulation.”
Systems Thinking Webinar Series – NAFEMS & Rev-Sim
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Democratization Simulation Governance Business Challenges
Expert Knowledge Capture & Reuse
Usability Accessibility Next-Generation Computing
Architectures
Simulation Governance and Model Management
Risk Mitigation Managing Simulation Verification, Validation &
Uncertainty Quantification
ROI Licensing Models Communication Influence of SMEs Vendor & End-User
Collaboration
Started: August 2015Ended: November 2015
Started: December 2015Ended: June 2016
Anticipated Start Date: July 2016Anticipated End Date: November 2016
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Previous NAFEMS Democratization Webinar Series• In 2015/16:
– Simulation 20/20 series, which addressed Democratization, Simulation Governance, and Business Challenges.
– 15 webinars
– 2,231 attendees
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source: tesla
Systems Thinkingunderstand
MBSErepresent
System Architectureorganize
Systems Engineeringintervene/designCredits
Dave Long, VitechPawel Chadzynski, Aras
Systems Analysisexplore/validate
System Requirementsgoals
Systems Terms – in a word or two…
AIRCRAFT here?
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INCOSE
• The idea of a system as 'a set of parts which, when combined, have qualities that are not present in any of the parts themselves' is a very productive way of looking at the world – which turns out to be full of systems. Many engineered systems are much broader than the association with 'engineering' might imply: the 'elements' or 'parts' of a system may include, for example, people, processes, information, organizations and services, as well as software, hardware and complex products.
• The qualities that 'emerge' at the level of the whole also deserve a special mention. They arise when system elements interact with each other and their environment, and indeed only exist when the components of a system are able to interact. A system may be buffeted, constricted, triggered or driven by outside forces. But the system’s response to these forces is characteristic of itself, and that response is seldom simple in the real world, giving the impression of emergent behavior.
• Although 'emergence' brings the risk of unintended consequences, a major cause of embarrassing system failures, skilled systems engineers can create higher value for less cost by using emergence to deliver desired system qualities.
What Are Systems? Why are they important?
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INCOSE
• "Systems Thinking enables you to grasp and manage situations of complexity and uncertainty in which there are no simple answers. It’s a way of learning your way to effective action by looking at connected wholes rather than separate parts. It is sometimes called practical holism." [Open University definition]
• "Systems thinking is a framework for seeing interrelationships rather than things, for seeing patterns rather then static snapshots. It is a set of general principles spanning fields as diverse as physical and social sciences, engineering and management." [Peter Senge , The Fifth Discipline]
• Systems Thinking is a way of thinking used to address complex and uncertain real world problems. It recognizes that the world is a set of highly interconnected technical and social entities which are hierarchically organized producing emergent behavior.
NOTE:Systems Thinking is not a better way of seeing systems than the reductionist way – these are complementary approaches that should be applied simultaneously when designing or analyzing a complex system. These approaches can be used at any level of the system, in any domain.
Systems Thinking: What is it?
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INCOSE
• Systems thinking provides a rigorous way of seeing (understanding) and integrating people, purpose, process and performance holistically, and also:
– relating systems to their environment;
• understanding the behavior of complex systems in complex situations;
• avoiding or minimising the impact of unintended consequences (understanding inherent system behavior);
– maximising the outcomes that can be achieved by a system;
– aligning teams, disciplines, specialties and interest groups;
– managing uncertainty and risk;
– identifying root causes of problems and seeing new opportunities.
Benefits of Systems Thinking
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• Their engineering is complex– Even when the product is not– Often need sophisticated CAE tools– Need good engineers and tool experts
• They are multidisciplinary– In their performance attributes– In their Interaction with the environment
• They require teams – To design, validate manufacture,
maintain & upgrade
Is It Quiet Enough?
Is It Strong Enough?
Which Is Better?
Will It Last?
Does It Work?
Is It Safe?
The vast majority of manufacturing companiesdesign, manufacture and sell families of products
All Products are Systems…
NAFEMS.org/SystemsThinking Pervasive Systems Thinking and Simulation RevolutionInSimulation.org/SystemsThinking
Gearbox Consumer Products
Heat Exchangers
Control Arms
PneumaticComponents
Hitch Products
Beverage Containers
Faucets
Most Companies Develop Families of ProductsCommon Architecture - Different Geometry/Topology
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Unified Data Model: Open & extensible Across all physics, levels of model fidelity and disciplines Simulation data captured mostly independent of the underlying tools
Vendor- & tool-agnostic
Support for any required standards through input/output Connectors
Connector Architecture: Open & extensible Cover in-house tools & data Enable commercial tools covering all required physics and levels of fidelity
Tight integration between parametric CAD & parametric mixed-fidelity CAE models
Robust Automation: Across design changes & configuration variants Simulation rules not based on CAD, instead product engineering / system architecture
Digital Thread: Integral to mainstream processes across the lifecycle Connected to Requirements, System Architecture, Product Engineering (BOMs), ALM, Test Data Mgmt
Foundations of Effective Simulation Management