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© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
1
Brian E. White, Ph.D. The MITRE Corporation 8 April 2010 IEEE International Systems Conference Hyatt Regency Mission Bay Spa and Marina San Diego, CA
Complex Systems Engineering Case Study of a Case Study on Maritime Domain Awareness
See Notes Page
Public Release Case Number: 09-2555
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
Topics for Discussion
Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA)
– Focus: Information sharing across agencies
Templates for characterizing
– Your systems engineering (SE) environment
– What you’re doing about it (in applying SE techniques)
Complex Adaptive Systems Engineering (CASE) methodology
– “Bubble” chart overview
– Description of activities
Takeaways
2
© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
Introduction
Background
– 2003 challenge: “How would all agencies of government … create cross-domain maritime awareness, and ultimately, safety …?”
– Success depended upon
Creating CONOPS to achieve cross-domain maritime awareness
Eliminating barriers to information sharing.
Purpose
– Significant improvements in MDA
2007: Kennedy School at Harvard published a case study
We analyzed this case study with respect to CASE methodology
Stakeholders
– U.S. Customs, Immigration, Navy, Coast Guard, DoT, Intelligence and civilian communities, …
Came with varying perspectives and differing priorities
Each had systems and processes to conduct MDA activities, and did not have the incentive individually to change
Constrained budgets limited their ability
3
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© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
4
Introduction (Concluded) See Notes Page
Challenges
– Dealing with difficult environment across multiple dimensions of Enterprise Systems Engineering (ESE) framework (see below)
Operating in most difficult “messy frontier” regarding Scope of Effort, Implementation Context, and Stakeholder Involvement
System Context, Mission Environment, and Stakeholder Relationship were close to messy frontier
ESE Profiler [4]
© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
Activities
5
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MDA COI goals dictated ESE approach
Each stakeholder managed their systems independently
System development was driven by requirements
At the outset, typical MDA COI member
– Established specific system requirements and adapted systems under their ownership to meet these requirements
– Considered system trade-offs but without formal modeling/ simulation or cost/benefit analyses
– Developed a system architecture and updated the architecture as system evolved to meet new requirements
– Employed existing and new technologies to fulfill requirements
– Pursued alternative solutions within their own system context
– Managed system risks and implemented system improvements
– Separated testing from operational environments to ensure testing was conducted before moving systems into operation
– Addressed operational problems with their system but without attention to interoperability
– Observed operational effectiveness without measures and metrics.
See Notes Page
© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
Typical Systems
Engineering Activity
Left End of
Slider
Left Intermediate Interval Center Intermediate
Interval
Right Intermediate
Interval
Right End of
Slider
Define the System
Problem
Establish
System
Requirements
Adapt to Changing
Requirements; Re-Scope
Revise and Restate
Objectives
Try to Predict Future
Enterprise Needs
Discover Needed
Mission
Capabilities
Analyze Alternatives Conduct
Systems
Tradeoffs
Model/Simulate System
Functionalities
Perform Systematic
Cost-Benefit Analyses
Include Social and
Psychological Factors
Emphasize
Enterprise
Aspects
Utilize a Guiding
Architecture
Apply an
Existing
Framework
Develop Architectural
Perspectives (Views)
Really Define (Not Just
Views of) Architecture
Adapt Architecture to
Accommodate Change
Embrace an
Evolutionary
Architecture
Consider Technical
Approaches
Employ
Available
Techniques
Research, Track, & Plan
for New Technologies
Research and Evaluate
New Technical Ideas
Pro-Actively Plan for
Promising Techniques
Explore New
Techniques and
Innovate
Pursue Solutions Advocate One
System
Approach
Consider Alternative
Solution Approaches
Investigate Departures
from Planned Track
Iterate and Shape
Solution Space
Keep Options
Open While
Evolving Answer
Manage
Contingencies
Emphasize and
Manage System
Risks
Mitigate System Risks
and Watch Opportunities
Sort, Balance and
Manage All Uncertainties
Pursue Enterprise
Opportunities
Prepare for
Unknown
Unknowns
Develop
Implementations
Hatch System
Improvements
Off-Line
Prepare Enhancements
for Fielding
Experiment in
Operational Exercises
Develop in Realistic
Environments
Innovate With
Users Safely
Integrate Operational
Capabilities
Test and
Incorporate
Functionalities
Work Towards Better
Interoperability
Advance Horizontal
Integration As Feasible
Advocate for Needed
Policy Changes
Consolidate
Mission
Successes
Learn by Evaluating
Effectiveness
Analyze and Fix
Operational
Problems
Propose Operational
Effectiveness Measures
Collect Value Metrics and
Learn Lessons
Adjust Enterprise
Approach
Promulgate
Enterprise
Learning
Version 4 – 4 Jan 09
Traditional Systems
Engineering (TSE)
Complex Systems
Engineering (CSE)
Convenient Labels
(Only; interpret them):
“After CASE” “Before CASE”
Aggregate Assessment
of Above Slider Positions
Systems Engineering Activities (SEA) Profiler Showing Maritime Situational Awareness Case Study
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See Notes Page
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7
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Activities (Continued) After the fact, MDA COI became more ESE oriented and
Revised their approach to requirements to better accommodate interoperability objectives
Considered system trade-offs from more enterprise perspective
Focused more on enterprise architecture as systems evolved to enhance participants collective capabilities
Continued to employ existing and new technologies to enable new capabilities
Pursued alternative solutions within larger enterprise context
Managed system risks while pursuing interoperability opportunities
Implemented system upgrades with some attention to collective improvements
Embraced and worked toward integrating interoperable solutions
Addressed operational problems with more attention to interoperability effectiveness.
See Notes Page
© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
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8
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Activities (Continued) Approach for most difficult environments called Complex
Adaptive Systems Engineering (CASE) has been developed
For details refer to [2, 3]
Eight CASE activities, and various sub-activities are summarized in Table I of the paper but refer to the next chart
In paper we cite CASE activities that resonate with MDA case study and compile correlations sub-activities
See Notes Page
© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
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CASE Methodology
9
Legend: Segments that are on
The Main Path
An Alternative Path
Architect a
Strategy
2Create Climate
for Change
1
Reward Results
4Target Outcome
Spaces
3
Formulate
Decision-Making
Heuristics
5
Stimulate Natural
Processes
6
Assess, Learn,
and Re-Plan
8
Develop in
Operational
Environs
7
© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved © 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
Activities (Continued)
Detailed analysis is summarized
– Stakeholders, Sponsorship, and Governance
Stakeholders, sponsorship, and governance are important topics, related to CASE Activities 1 and 2, Create Climate for Change, and Architect a Strategy, respectively
MDA COI had Mr. Mike Krieger of DoD’s Networks & Information Integration (NII) organization that served as driving force for change. He was proactive in identifying and engaging with prospective customers or constituents, and did not wait for them
Stakeholders were concerned about risks of participating. Incentives were critical to gain participation. Resistance to exposing one’s data had to be addressed up-front. People have to see benefits of change.
Early on, Mr. Krieger gained sponsorship of MDA COI from Admiral Joseph Nimmich of DHS and Rear Admiral Nancy E. Brown of NORTHCOM. They helped ensure stakeholders were on-board with transformational change and helped judge outcomes and what results to reward. This governing body provided needed focus to stakeholders, particularly those involved in developing solutions.
Resulting cross COI collaboration leveraged organic resources. The co-existence of multiple, competing approaches drove natural evolution and led to better outcomes.
10
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See Notes Page
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
Activities (Continued)
Detailed analysis is summarized (continued)
– Motivating Information Sharing and Interoperability
This is related to CASE Activities 3, 4, and 6 but can involve 1 and 2
Information sharing is against culture of many organizations. There are often good reasons for protecting certain information that
- Poses potential security risks
- Violates individual privacy rights
- Discusses degree of internal compliance with externally imposed policies
- Discloses plans for organizational change before internal decisions are made
- Invites unwarranted outside intervention in operational methods
It is important to protect against information misuse by others but this mindset can be detrimental to sharing information
MDA presented opportunity to share collective “stove-piped” technological data for superior situational awareness
Investment was stimulated by showing beneficial end results to users with relatively little effort, lowering barriers to entry.
Effort was also sustained because cooperative participants looked good to their overseeing stakeholders.
11
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See Notes Page
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
Activities (Concluded)
Detailed analysis is summarized (concluded)
– Enhancing Operational Capabilities
This is related to CASE Activities 5, 6, and 7 but 2, 3, and 4, were also involved
Language/terminology barriers were overcome using simplicity and compromise. Non-interoperability challenge was overcome by creating CONOPS that enabled cross-domain maritime awareness.
Collective outcome space was defined. Each provider standardized and shared their data through network interface that was easy to use.
Partnership across stakeholders, early ownership, and pursuit of opportunities with small, incremental improvements led to success. Progress was facilitated by modicum of bureaucracy.
Lessons learned were continually captured as foundation for future efforts
– Summary
In developing cross-domain maritime sharing capability, MDA COI leveraged existing capabilities and infrastructure. Stakeholders contributed data sources and systems to understand and expand situational awareness picture.
12
© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved © 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
See Notes Page
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
Results Most CASE methodology activities were exemplified, but
mainly Activities 1, 2, and 3, followed by Activities 4 and 6.
As detailed separately each citation of MDA case study was allocated to one or more CASE sub-activities. Each such allocation was given a weight or score of 1, 2, or 3, with 3 being the greatest weight.
13
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See Notes Page
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Results (Concluded)
Greatest resonance between CASE methodology and MDA case study were sub-activities of Activities 1, 2, and 3
– Work with other stakeholders to surface issues, harmonize mutual interests, and propose solutions
– Discuss, define, and analyze: Nature of problem; System boundaries; Desired outcome spaces; Relevant organizations; Potential stakeholders
– Describe them in ways that are: Clear, succinct, and compelling: Oriented toward (mostly qualitative) outcome space capabilities; Devoid of specific (mostly quantitative) solutions
Least correlation was found with CASE Activities 5, 6, 7, and 8
MDA COI “Spiral 1” was started in February 2006 and completed in only eight months
So far information in our case study is based upon status of the MDA program circa June, 2007. At that time there were still some challenges to be faced.
14
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Distribution of CASE Activities/Sub-Activities
15
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Epilogue
Since completion of Spiral 1 in late 2006, MDA COI completed
– Spiral 2: three new service lines were developed by early 2008
Self-reporting vessel transmissions were augmented with information from unclassified Navy reference set
Position reports over time enabled vessel tracking
Motion- and/or behavioral-based anomalies were reported
– Spiral 3: two additional service lines by late March 2009
Advanced Notice of Arrival (ANOA)
Single Integrated Look-Out (SILO)
MDA COI is on transition path to provide long-term sustainment and governance for its activities
16
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See Notes Page
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Lessons Learned
What worked
– Finding senior and credible decision makers to serve as “top-cover” sponsors to stimulate action from constituents
– Collaborating within COI to drive and accomplish change
– Being proactive
– Motivating database owners and providers to standardize data
– Reducing cultural barriers against information sharing
– Discussing, understanding, and embracing outcome spaces
– Pursuing multiple competing but co-existing approaches
– Giving early priorities to achieving better gain-to-cost ratios
– Facilitating incremental improvements without large infusions of funding that can be targeted by others
– Rewarding investments with beneficial results, e.g., enhancing capabilities through network centric services
What did not work
– Refer to last paragraph of Section VI of paper.
17
See Notes Page
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18
Putting It All Together…
1. Characterize
Your Environment
3. Apply CASE Methodology
Legend: Segments that are on
The Main Path
An Alternative Path
Architect a
Strategy
2Create Climate
for Change
1
Reward Results
4Target Outcome
Spaces
3
Formulate
Decision-Making
Heuristics
5
Stimulate Natural
Processes
6
Assess, Learn,
and Re-Plan
8
Develop in
Operational
Environs
7
2. Characterize Your
Current Approach
4. Characterize Your
New Approach
© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved © 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved.
© 2009 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
Takeaways
Complex Adaptive Systems Engineering (CASE)
– Is offered as a complementary approach (to conventional or traditional SE) that may work better in our most difficult Government acquisition environments
– Try it, you may like it!
– But CASE needs more case studies to help validate this approach and convince skeptics
19
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20
List of References [1] Z. Turnin, “Maritime domain awareness—a case study in cross-boundary information
sharing among the United States Navy, Coast Guard, and Department of
Transportation,” Case 07-2007, Leadership for a Networked World
Program/Executive Education, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard
University, 2007; http://www.defenselink.mil/cio-nii/docs/MDA.pdf
[2] B. E. White, “Complex adaptive systems engineering,” 3rd Annual IEEE International
Systems Conference, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, 23-26 March 2009
[3] B. E. White, “Complex adaptive systems engineering,” 8th Understanding Complex Systems
Symposium, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, IL. 12-15 May 2008;
http://www.howhy.com/ucs2008/schedule.html
[4] R. Stevens, “Profiling complex systems,” IEEE Systems Conference, Montreal, Quebec,
Canada, 7-10 April 2008
[5] B. E. White, “Systems engineering activity [sic] (SEA) profiler,” 8th Conference on Systems
Engineering Research (CSER), Hoboken, NJ, 17-19 March 2010
[6] B. E. White, “Enterprise opportunity and risk,” INCOSE Symposium, Orlando, FL, 9-13 July
2006; http://tinyurl.com/6om9r8
[7] B. M. Freeman, “A COI Success Story: Maritime Domain Awareness Data Sharing
Community of Interest (MDA DS COI),” Briefing, U.S. Department of Defense,
Assistant Secretary of Defense, Chief Information Officer/Networks & Information
Integration (CIO/NII), 5-6 June 2007; http://www.defenselink.mil/cio-nii/, Enabling Net-
Centric Operations, [email protected]
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Backup
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22
Complex Adaptive Systems Engineering
Conventional SE is insufficient and sometimes counterproductive, in addressing the most difficult SE problems.
As an alternative that may work better, we offer a Complex Adaptive Systems Engineering (CASE) methodology.
– Create Climate for Change: Create a climate for engineering the environment of the System. Continually plan for agile, constructive change (accelerating the processes of natural evolution) through proactive dialog with stakeholders, especially customers.
– Architect a Strategy: For the System, within its various system, system of systems (SoS), enterprise, and/or complex system contexts.
– Target Outcome Spaces: Describe the customer’s mission/vision in terms of one or more desired outcome spaces, not solutions.
– Reward Results: Work with the customer and a governing body to create appropriate incentives.
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Complex Adaptive Systems Engineering (Concluded)
CASE (concluded)
– Formulate Decision-Making Heuristics: Discover and promulgate management heuristics that will help the customer better know how and when to make decisions.
– Stimulate Natural Processes: Continually “stir the pot” by introducing variation (innovation) and selection (integration) while shaping and enabling future constructive change, and trying to avoid chaos and stasis, respectively.
– Develop in Operational Environs: Create a bias for developing evolutionary improvements of the System in actual operational environments with real users.
– Assess, Learn, and Re-Plan: Continually evaluate overall results and trends focusing on the “big picture,” and revisit all the above activities in an iterative fashion to improve their application.
© 2010 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved
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Activities 1 and 2: Engineer System’s Environment
Create a Climate for Change (Activity 1)
Architect a Strategy (Activity 2)
24
The Garden Metaphor
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Activities 3 and 4: Engineer System Itself
Target Outcome Spaces (Activity 3)
Reward Results (Activity 4)
25
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Activities 5, 6, and 7: Direct System Interactions
Formulate Decision-Making Heuristics (Activity 5)
Stimulate Natural Processes (Activity 6)
Develop in Operational Environs (Activity 7)
26
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Activity 8: Rinse and Repeat
Assess, Learn, and Re-Plan (Activity 8)
27
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Activity 1: Create Climate for Change
Convince government organizations and leaders (e.g., customers, and other System stakeholders) to adopt a self-organizational approach to creating solutions.
– Understand customers’ environments.
– Pursue a learning process.
– Together suggest potential policy changes.
– Identify and approach those who might adjust policies, formulate new policies, or mandate changes.
– Work with other stakeholders to surface issues, harmonize mutual interests, and propose solutions.
28
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Activity 2: Architect a Strategy
With customers and other System stakeholders, determine how to engineer an environment that enables the System to evolve well.
– Discuss, define, and analyze the
Nature of the problem
System boundaries
Desired outcome spaces
Relevant organizations
Potential stakeholders
– Decide What and Whom to control (if possible) or influence, and How.
– Include and induce the activation of a governing body.
– Keep options open.
29
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Activity 3: Target Outcome Spaces
Describe and share (as widely as possible) the customers’ or users’ mission and vision in terms of desired outcome space(s), including specific goals.
– Describe them in ways that are
Clear, succinct, and compelling
Oriented toward (mostly qualitative) expressions of outcome space capabilities
Devoid of specific (mostly quantitative) solutions
– Continually adapt and reshape the outcome spaces.
30
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Activity 4: Reward Results
Work with System stakeholders and a governing body to
– Establish incentive structures that motivate developers to realize desirable outcomes more rapidly.
– Judge outcomes that ensue, and reward contributors in proportion to how well the mission is satisfied.
– Publicize the rewards with supporting information on what was accomplished and why.
31
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Activity 5: Formulate Decision-Making Heuristics
Discover management heuristics that improve decision-making processes.
– Discuss potential decisions with stakeholders.
– Jointly assess if enough information exists to make such decisions, and take appropriate action otherwise.
– Support the stakeholders as they take action.
– Observe and record System behavior.
– Share useful heuristics with others.
32
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Activity 6: Stimulate Natural Processes
Continually stir the pot seeking to further innovate and integrate.
– Encourage frequent interactions to foster competition and cooperation among System constituents.
– Manage uncertainty considering opportunity and risk.
– Design, propose, conduct, and evaluate new concepts.
33
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Activity 7: Develop in Operational Environs
Develop evolutionary System improvements with users in operational surroundings and circumstances.
– Emphasize safety.
– Participate in field experimentation.
– Use laboratories for prototyping and subsystems.
34
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Activity 8: Assess, Learn, and Re-Plan
Evaluate overall results, revisit CASE activities, and alter the methodology as appropriate.
– Focus on understanding surprises.
– Adjust your strategy.
– Refine CSE principles.
– Record lessons learned and document case studies.
– Celebrate successes
35
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See Notes Page
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