59
Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSO Safety Case By: Brendan Fitzgerald, Managing Director, Vanguard Solutions Joe Patrick, Managing Director, Hunter Oil Paul Breen, Technical Director, Vanguard Solutions FPSO Congress September 2010

FPSO Safety Case

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7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 159

Cost Effective Outcomes fromFPSO Safety Case

ByBrendan Fitzgerald Managing Director Vanguard Solutions

Joe Patrick Managing Director Hunter Oil

Paul Breen Technical Director Vanguard Solutions

FPSO Congress September 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

22 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSO SafetyCase

bull Brief Historybull What is a Safety Case

bull The Management of Safety

bull Why do we need a Safety Case

bull Benefits of doing a Safety Case

bull Safety Cases ndash Lessons Learned

bull A suggested Blue Print for success

bull Conclusions

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

33 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull European Union Major Hazard Facilities ndashSeveso 1 (1982) amp Seveso 2 (1996)

bull UK Railways 2000 amp amended 2003

bull European Union Railway Safety Directive(200449EC)

bull Australia Major Hazard Facilities NationalStandard 1996 amp Updated 2002

Safety Cases are required in various

industries in Europe and Australasia

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

44 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull UK Offshore Installations (Safety Case)Regulations 1992 amp Updated 2005

bull Australia Offshore Facilities 1992 1996 2005amp 2009

bull New Zealand Offshore Facilities 1993 amp 1999

bull Timor Leste Offshore Facilities - 2003

OFFSHORE SAFETY CASE REQUIREMENTS

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

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A Brief History

bull UK Defence Forces

bull Australian Defence Forces

bull Some oil companies apply Safety Caseworldwide eg BHP Shell and Woodside

OTHER AREAS OF SAFETY CASE USE

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

66 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull International Review panel ndash 2008

bull Bills amp Agostini ndash 2009

ldquoSafety Case still represents best meansof managing major hazards offshorerdquo

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

77 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

bull H Conlin et al Trans IChemE Part B July 2004

ldquoA consistent and coherent set ofarguments used to justify the safety of a

system at all stages in its lifecyclerdquo

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

88 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

httpwwwnopsagovausafetyasp under the heading Safety Case Approach

bull Identifies the hazards and risks

bull Describes how the risks are controlled

and

bull Describes the safety management system

in place to ensure the controls areeffectively and consistently applied

A safety case is a document produced bythe operator of a facility which

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

99 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

Safety case is a process not just a

documentbull It introduces a need for an audit trail with

documented decisions

bull Brings a greater awareness of hazards andtheir management

bull It always involves a culture change

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

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The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

22 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSO SafetyCase

bull Brief Historybull What is a Safety Case

bull The Management of Safety

bull Why do we need a Safety Case

bull Benefits of doing a Safety Case

bull Safety Cases ndash Lessons Learned

bull A suggested Blue Print for success

bull Conclusions

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

33 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull European Union Major Hazard Facilities ndashSeveso 1 (1982) amp Seveso 2 (1996)

bull UK Railways 2000 amp amended 2003

bull European Union Railway Safety Directive(200449EC)

bull Australia Major Hazard Facilities NationalStandard 1996 amp Updated 2002

Safety Cases are required in various

industries in Europe and Australasia

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

44 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull UK Offshore Installations (Safety Case)Regulations 1992 amp Updated 2005

bull Australia Offshore Facilities 1992 1996 2005amp 2009

bull New Zealand Offshore Facilities 1993 amp 1999

bull Timor Leste Offshore Facilities - 2003

OFFSHORE SAFETY CASE REQUIREMENTS

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

55 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull UK Defence Forces

bull Australian Defence Forces

bull Some oil companies apply Safety Caseworldwide eg BHP Shell and Woodside

OTHER AREAS OF SAFETY CASE USE

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

66 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull International Review panel ndash 2008

bull Bills amp Agostini ndash 2009

ldquoSafety Case still represents best meansof managing major hazards offshorerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

77 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

bull H Conlin et al Trans IChemE Part B July 2004

ldquoA consistent and coherent set ofarguments used to justify the safety of a

system at all stages in its lifecyclerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

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Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

88 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

httpwwwnopsagovausafetyasp under the heading Safety Case Approach

bull Identifies the hazards and risks

bull Describes how the risks are controlled

and

bull Describes the safety management system

in place to ensure the controls areeffectively and consistently applied

A safety case is a document produced bythe operator of a facility which

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

99 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

Safety case is a process not just a

documentbull It introduces a need for an audit trail with

documented decisions

bull Brings a greater awareness of hazards andtheir management

bull It always involves a culture change

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

33 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull European Union Major Hazard Facilities ndashSeveso 1 (1982) amp Seveso 2 (1996)

bull UK Railways 2000 amp amended 2003

bull European Union Railway Safety Directive(200449EC)

bull Australia Major Hazard Facilities NationalStandard 1996 amp Updated 2002

Safety Cases are required in various

industries in Europe and Australasia

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

44 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull UK Offshore Installations (Safety Case)Regulations 1992 amp Updated 2005

bull Australia Offshore Facilities 1992 1996 2005amp 2009

bull New Zealand Offshore Facilities 1993 amp 1999

bull Timor Leste Offshore Facilities - 2003

OFFSHORE SAFETY CASE REQUIREMENTS

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

55 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull UK Defence Forces

bull Australian Defence Forces

bull Some oil companies apply Safety Caseworldwide eg BHP Shell and Woodside

OTHER AREAS OF SAFETY CASE USE

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

66 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull International Review panel ndash 2008

bull Bills amp Agostini ndash 2009

ldquoSafety Case still represents best meansof managing major hazards offshorerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

77 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

bull H Conlin et al Trans IChemE Part B July 2004

ldquoA consistent and coherent set ofarguments used to justify the safety of a

system at all stages in its lifecyclerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

88 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

httpwwwnopsagovausafetyasp under the heading Safety Case Approach

bull Identifies the hazards and risks

bull Describes how the risks are controlled

and

bull Describes the safety management system

in place to ensure the controls areeffectively and consistently applied

A safety case is a document produced bythe operator of a facility which

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

99 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

Safety case is a process not just a

documentbull It introduces a need for an audit trail with

documented decisions

bull Brings a greater awareness of hazards andtheir management

bull It always involves a culture change

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

44 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull UK Offshore Installations (Safety Case)Regulations 1992 amp Updated 2005

bull Australia Offshore Facilities 1992 1996 2005amp 2009

bull New Zealand Offshore Facilities 1993 amp 1999

bull Timor Leste Offshore Facilities - 2003

OFFSHORE SAFETY CASE REQUIREMENTS

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

55 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull UK Defence Forces

bull Australian Defence Forces

bull Some oil companies apply Safety Caseworldwide eg BHP Shell and Woodside

OTHER AREAS OF SAFETY CASE USE

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

66 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull International Review panel ndash 2008

bull Bills amp Agostini ndash 2009

ldquoSafety Case still represents best meansof managing major hazards offshorerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

77 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

bull H Conlin et al Trans IChemE Part B July 2004

ldquoA consistent and coherent set ofarguments used to justify the safety of a

system at all stages in its lifecyclerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

88 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

httpwwwnopsagovausafetyasp under the heading Safety Case Approach

bull Identifies the hazards and risks

bull Describes how the risks are controlled

and

bull Describes the safety management system

in place to ensure the controls areeffectively and consistently applied

A safety case is a document produced bythe operator of a facility which

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

99 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

Safety case is a process not just a

documentbull It introduces a need for an audit trail with

documented decisions

bull Brings a greater awareness of hazards andtheir management

bull It always involves a culture change

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

55 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull UK Defence Forces

bull Australian Defence Forces

bull Some oil companies apply Safety Caseworldwide eg BHP Shell and Woodside

OTHER AREAS OF SAFETY CASE USE

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

66 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull International Review panel ndash 2008

bull Bills amp Agostini ndash 2009

ldquoSafety Case still represents best meansof managing major hazards offshorerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

77 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

bull H Conlin et al Trans IChemE Part B July 2004

ldquoA consistent and coherent set ofarguments used to justify the safety of a

system at all stages in its lifecyclerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

88 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

httpwwwnopsagovausafetyasp under the heading Safety Case Approach

bull Identifies the hazards and risks

bull Describes how the risks are controlled

and

bull Describes the safety management system

in place to ensure the controls areeffectively and consistently applied

A safety case is a document produced bythe operator of a facility which

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

99 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

Safety case is a process not just a

documentbull It introduces a need for an audit trail with

documented decisions

bull Brings a greater awareness of hazards andtheir management

bull It always involves a culture change

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

66 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A Brief History

bull International Review panel ndash 2008

bull Bills amp Agostini ndash 2009

ldquoSafety Case still represents best meansof managing major hazards offshorerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

77 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

bull H Conlin et al Trans IChemE Part B July 2004

ldquoA consistent and coherent set ofarguments used to justify the safety of a

system at all stages in its lifecyclerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

88 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

httpwwwnopsagovausafetyasp under the heading Safety Case Approach

bull Identifies the hazards and risks

bull Describes how the risks are controlled

and

bull Describes the safety management system

in place to ensure the controls areeffectively and consistently applied

A safety case is a document produced bythe operator of a facility which

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

99 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

Safety case is a process not just a

documentbull It introduces a need for an audit trail with

documented decisions

bull Brings a greater awareness of hazards andtheir management

bull It always involves a culture change

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

77 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

bull H Conlin et al Trans IChemE Part B July 2004

ldquoA consistent and coherent set ofarguments used to justify the safety of a

system at all stages in its lifecyclerdquo

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

88 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

httpwwwnopsagovausafetyasp under the heading Safety Case Approach

bull Identifies the hazards and risks

bull Describes how the risks are controlled

and

bull Describes the safety management system

in place to ensure the controls areeffectively and consistently applied

A safety case is a document produced bythe operator of a facility which

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

99 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

Safety case is a process not just a

documentbull It introduces a need for an audit trail with

documented decisions

bull Brings a greater awareness of hazards andtheir management

bull It always involves a culture change

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

88 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

httpwwwnopsagovausafetyasp under the heading Safety Case Approach

bull Identifies the hazards and risks

bull Describes how the risks are controlled

and

bull Describes the safety management system

in place to ensure the controls areeffectively and consistently applied

A safety case is a document produced bythe operator of a facility which

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

99 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

Safety case is a process not just a

documentbull It introduces a need for an audit trail with

documented decisions

bull Brings a greater awareness of hazards andtheir management

bull It always involves a culture change

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

99 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

What is a Safety Case

Safety case is a process not just a

documentbull It introduces a need for an audit trail with

documented decisions

bull Brings a greater awareness of hazards andtheir management

bull It always involves a culture change

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1010 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1111 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Commonly used modification from Heinrich

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1212 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Not holding the handrail

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

Serious Leak

Rig Explodes

We needanother

model

We needanother

model

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1313 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

PersonalSafety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1414 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

PersonalSafety

ProcessSafety

These are two differentprocesses

So management systems

must recognise they aretwo different processes

with different drivers

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1515 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of Safety

Different elements of safetymanagement systemsaddress personal safety fromthose that address processsafety

So it is not enough to saythat SMS addresses safety

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1616 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The Management of SafetyRecent observations suggest that industry focus is on

slips trips and falls hellip

Personal

Safety

Fall from Stairs

Fatal Fall

No Handrail

ProcessSafety

Rig Explodes

Serious Leak

Minor Leak

hellip with reducing attentionpaid to maintenance oftechnical integrity and majorhazard controls

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1717 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ldquoBut the more profound problem is a failure toput risks in perspective BP and othercompanies tend to measure safety andenvironmental compliance on a day-to-day

checklist basis to the point of basingexecutive bonuses on those metrics But evenif worker accident rates fall to zero that mayreveal nothing about the risk of a majordisasterrdquo

The Management of Safety

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1818 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

Traditional means of the management of safetyhas been prescriptive in nature

The Management of Safety

bull Quickly out of date as industry changes

bull Industry only performs to minimum ndash no incentive to

exceed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 1959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

1919 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Widely accepted failings of prescription include

The Management of Safety

bull Industry lets regulator work out what is needed andcomply verbatim ndash so operator fails to identify orunderstand the hazards and risks they aresupposed to manage ndash controls may be inadequateor inappropriate

bull Prescriptive regulations become a hurdle to be

cleared with the focus on the hurdle not onmanaging the hazard

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2020 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

The witnessesrsquo reliance on merely a qualitativeopinion showed in my view a dangerouslysuperficial approach to a major hazard

Piper Alpha Inquiry report Lord Cullen criticised attitudeto management of risk from a high pressure gas fire

The Management of Safety

hellip hellip I consider that management were remiss in notenquiring further into the risks of a rupture of one of

the gas risers and in such an event the risk ofstructural damage and injury to personnel

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2121 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Do we really understand our facilities

Here are some you may recognise

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2222 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

27 July 2005 Mumbai High North ndash 22 fatalities

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2323 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

August to November 2009 Montara ndash total loss ofWHP and rig - unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2424 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

20 April 2010 ndash Deepwater Horizon Macondo Blowout ndash

11 fatalities massive amp unknown environmental impact

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2525 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Thatrsquos all well and good ndash but what has

that got to do with FPSOs

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2626 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 August 2010 MT Gagasan Merak FSO

ndash Cargo tank explosion ndash 4 injured

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2727 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

2009 Formosaproduct Brick Product Tanker

ndash Ship Collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2828 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

28 August 2009 Tanker Elli breaks back in ballastingerror for tank entry

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 2959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

2929 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

Ship collisions donrsquot happen with

offshore facilities do they

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3030 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

11 August 2010 ndash Kodeco Platform ndash unknown vessel collision

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3131 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

8 June 2009 ndash Big Orange XVIII collision with Ekofisk Complex

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3232 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

ndash Nothing could possibly go wrongright

ndash Yoursquove carefully thought out all the angles

ndash It comes naturally to you

ndash Yoursquove done it a thousand times

ndash Youknow what yoursquore doing itrsquos whatyoursquove been trained to do your whole life

Why do we need a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3333 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Think Again

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3434 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Case

bull How do you demonstrate adequacy of safetymanagement to Company Board otherwise

bull ISO 9000 process amp ISO 31000 elements link directlyto the Safety Case process

bull So good quality management requires a Safety Case

bull Demands of duty of care ndash how do you demonstrateadequacy without a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3535 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Why do we need a Safety Casebull International companies ndash consistency of application

across assets ( eg Shell BP Union Carbide)

bull How do you demonstrate safety in design withoutSafety Case ndash Are standards Class enough

bull How else could hazards and the SMS be linked

bull HAZOP is an integrity assurance process ndash not hazardidentification

bull So if just apply codes and standards what other

hazards risk mitigation measures would bemissed

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3636 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learnedThe Enemies of Safety are

Complacency

Arrogance

Ignorance

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in ProcessSafetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3737 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Factors in Complacency

bull Discounting risk

bull Over-relying on redundancy

bull Unrealistic risk assessment

bull Ignoring low-probability high-consequence events

bull Assuming risk decreases over time

bull Ignoring warning signs

Reflecting on recent major accident events -does any of the above sound familiar

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo

Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3838 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Schedule

bull Cost

bull Performance

bull Safety

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell UserGroup Summit June 2007

Do we effectively put this into practice

Managing TradeoffsGood risk management requires

understanding the outcomes implicationsimpact and tradeoffs between

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 3959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

3939 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Example Schedule Pressure and Safety Priority

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

0

02

04

06

08

1

12

14

Safety Priority

S c h

e d u l e

P r e s s u

r e

Low High

Low

High

Overly aggressiveschedule enforcement haslittle effect on completiontime (lt2) amp cost but hasa large negative impact on

safety

Priority of safety activitieshas a large positive impact

including a positive costimpact (less rework)

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4040 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Cost

983111983141983150983141983154983145983139 983145983149983152983137983139983156 983151983142

983148983137983156983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141 983151983150

983120983154983151983146983141983139983156 983139983151983155983156 983159983145983156983144 983156983145983149983141

Impact of Safety CaseTo influence Project Costs

Concept Construction Operations

983107983151983155983156 983151983142 983145983149983152983148983141983149983141983150983156983145983150983143983123983137983142983141983156983161 983107983137983155983141

983144983137983154983140983159983137983154983141 983139983144983137983150983143983141983155

DetailedDesign

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4141 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Blowdown philosophy set early with late applicationof safety case ndash identified problem resulting in

expensive change

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull People competence skills gaps ndash a major ongoingissue - with an ageing workforce how do we

effectively manage current and future projects andoperations

bull Managing the wrong thing ndash ie managing the detail

and overlooking the big picture (example is OHS vsMAE risk)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4242 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull The Myth of major shutdown In-Water Surveys withno time off riser ndash how many projects achieve it

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull But we build this into the design basis and hence intothe risk profilehellip

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4343 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor RelationshipsSafety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Typical contract arrangement gives minimalincentives for overall safe performance but generallypenalties for being unsafe

bull The FPSO Contractor is contractually incentivized to

keep producing - they generally lose money ifproduction stops ndash is there another way

bull The Safety Case can and should give the FPSO

Contractor a route to cost recovery

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4444 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

bull Lump sum low cost Safety Case v quality andunderstanding

bull The outcomes of the Safety Case are not known tillwell after the contract is signed ndash is lump sum a fairand realistic contract strategy

Oil Company and FPSO Contractor Relationships

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4545 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Quote from Conlin et al

Often the Safety Case is produced by following a prescriptive setof instructions which stifle true thought about whether definedactivities are as safe as they need to be because it is easier towrite a Safety Case that way and then to audit the Safety Caseagainst the internal procedure

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4646 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

And further from Conlin et alBecause of the practice of describing the organisationthat is in place rather than debating what options have

been considered the fact that safety science(engineering) has had insufficient input into thedesign is not being revealed

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4747 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases are not off-the-shelf production lineexercises in documentation

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

Just producing a book ticking a box does not meet

the intent

To be effective the safety case process must be

allowed to take its course to examine critically andinteract with the design and the organisation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4848 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Safety Cases ndash lessons learned

If you want a Ferrari but only specify something withwheels and an engine donrsquot complain when a secondhand Toyota needing maintenance work appears on

the driveway

Some problems with Safety Case implementation

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 4959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

4949 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Management leadership ndash must have this to work

bull Apply realistic schedule and budget

bull Develop and apply safety design philosophy

bull Do it early

bull

Embed experienced Safety Engineer in engineeringdesign team as interface to Formal SafetyAssessment team

bull Apply risk based decision-making process

bull Create an audit trail

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5059

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5050 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Successbull Safety Engineering will provide linkage across the

interfaces

bull Marine

bull Production

bull Mooring

bull Subsea

bull

Sub-surface

bull Expect amp support this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5159

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5151 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

A suggested Blue Print for Success

bull Operating envelope management of risk ndash ie theSafety Case should define the operating envelopeand hence allows you to understand the area inwhich your operational risk controls need to be

applied and are designed to work

bull How do you know you are operating outside theenvelope if you have not defined it or passed the

knowledge on to operations

For Operations

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5259

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5252 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

bull Manage carry forward of residual risk ndash the SafetyCase provides a means of doing this in a way that

allows the residual risk to be actively managedrather than forgotten

bull Basis for SMS ndash ie the Safety Case will provide ameans of linking the facility the hazards identified

the operations and the hazard and risk controlswhether via hardware or the SMS

bull Clarify and manage separation of OHS risk

(personal safety) and MAE risk (process safety) ndash thetwo triangles rather than one

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5359

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5353 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Identifies low probability high consequence eventsand assists to understand and manage them

bull Provides an Audit Trail for quality safetydevelopment and risk management deliverables

bullDo it early enough and you should get optimumdesign (from safety risk amp cost viewpoint)

bull Without Safety Case would you ever have a blastwall

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5459

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5454 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

Benefits of Doing a Safety Case

bull Enable targeted maintenance ndash ie to safety

critical elements through performance standards

bull Culture change ndash always occurs with safety caseprocess always positive

bull So the Safety Case should allow you to efficientlyfocus resources ndash ie manage the right thing

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5559

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5555 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

1 The Safety Case is not a silver bullet cure for all ills Itdoes offer however the best means available foreffective management of major hazard risks andprocess safety

Conclusions

2 Effective development and implementation of theSafety Case process requires significant effort by any

organisation This effort is well worthwhile as it candeliver

ndash Cost benefits in project performance

ndash Increased performance in operations due to greater reliability in

plant equipment and resources

ndash Improved communication of hazard management for the lifetimeof the facility (ie a corporate memory)

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5659

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5656 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

3 Safety Case provides a competent and auditableprocess for senior management to demonstratemanagement of development project andoperational risk to satisfy corporate requirements

Conclusions

4 There is a trend that our industry may be focussingon occupational HSE with diminished attention tomanagement of residual and process risk Safety

Case provides management focus to overcome this

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5759

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5757 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

5 Quality and quantity of risk assessment combinedwith industry shortages of skilled personnel is a

concerning issue going forward

Conclusions

6 With ongoing cost schedule and implementation

pressures there are better ways to contract andmanage the preparation of Safety Cases

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5859

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5858 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References1Seveso I 1982 Directive 82501EEC on the control of industrial major accident hazards involving dangerousgoods 1982 European Economic Community

Seveso II 1996 Council Directive 9682EC of 9 December 1996 on the control of major-accident hazards involvingdangerous substances European Community

Control of Major Hazard Facilities ndash National Standard NOHSC1014(2002) National Occupational Health and

Safety Commission declared under s38(1) of the National Occupational Health and Safety Commission Act 1985Commonwealth of Australia

The Offshore Installations (Safety Case) Regulations 2005 Statutory Instrument 2005 No 3117 London HMSOISBN 0 11 073610 9

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Schedule of Specific Requirements as to Offshore Petroleum Exploration

and Production 1992 Commonwealth of Australia

Petroleum (Submerged Lands) (Management of Safety on Offshore Facilities) Regulations 1996 Statutory Rules1996 No 298 as amended made under the Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967 Commonwealth of Australia

Draft Petroleum Regulations 1993 Petroleum Inspectorate Ministry of Commerce New Zealand made under theHealth and Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Health and Safety in Employment (Petroleum Exploration and Extraction) Regulations 1999 made under the Healthand Safety in Employment Act 1992 Department of Labour New Zealand

Offshore Petroleum (Safety) Regulations 2009 made under Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act2006 Commonwealth of Australia Interim Regulations issued under Article 37 of the Interim Petroleum MiningCode Specific Requirements as to Petroleum Exploration and Exploitation in the Joint Petroleum DevelopmentArea Timor Sea Designated Authority for the Joint Petroleum Development Area Dili Timor Leste

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007

7242019 FPSO Safety Case

httpslidepdfcomreaderfullfpso-safety-case 5959

Cost Effective Outcomes from FPSOSafety Case

5959 FPSO Congress 2010 Singapore

References2

Railway Safety Directive 2004 Directive 200449EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April2004 on safety on the Communityrsquos railways and amending Council Directive 9518EC on the licensing of railwayundertakings and Directive 200114EC on the allocation of railway infrastructure capacity and the levying of chargesfor the use of railway infrastructure and safety certification

Future Arrangements for the Regulation of Offshore Petroleum Safety ndash Australian Offshore Petroleum Safety CaseReview 2001 Department of Industry Science amp Resources Commonwealth of Australia

Bills K and Agostini D 2009 Offshore Petroleum Safety Regulation ndash Better practice and the effectiveness of theNational Offshore Petroleum Safety Authority Australian Government Commonwealth of Australia

H Conlin PG Brabazon amp K Lee Exploring the Role and Content of the Safety Case Trans IChemE Part B July

2004HW Heinrich Industrial Accident Prevention A Scientific Approach 1931

Jop Groeneweg Leiden University 2010 APPEA Safety Conference

Andrew Hopkins Energy Bulletin 10 May 2010

Lord Cullen 1990 The Public Inquiry into the Piper Alpha Disaster Department of Energy London HMSO ISBN0 10 113102

Professor Nancy Leveson MIT ldquoFuture Trends in Process Safetyrdquo Honeywell User Group Summit June 2007