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FORTUM Investor / Analyst material February 2016

FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

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Page 1: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

FORTUM

Investor / Analyst material

February 2016

Page 2: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Disclaimer

This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for,

or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Fortum shares.

Past performance is no guide to future performance, and persons needing

advice should consult an independent financial adviser.

2

Page 3: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Content

3

Fortum today pages 4 – 14

European and Nordic power markets pages 15 – 24

Fortum’s nuclear fleet pages 25 – 28

Russia pages 29 – 31

Fortum’s investment programme page 31

Historical achieved prices page 32

Financial statements 2015 pages 33 – 47

Fortum’s Vision and strategy pages 48 – 51

Page 4: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Appr. 139,000 shareholders

• Power and heat company in the Nordic countries, Russia, Poland and the Baltics

• Listed at the Helsinki Stock Exchange since 1998

• Among the most traded shares on the Nasdaq Helsinki stock exchange

• Market cap ~12 billion euros

4

31 January 2016

Foreign investors 25.2% Finnish State 50.8%

Other Finnish investors 9.6%

Finnish households 11.7%

Financial and insurance institutions 2.7%

Page 5: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Capital returns: 2015 EUR 1.10 per share ~ EUR 1 billion*

• Fortum’s dividend policy is based on the following preconditions:

– The dividend policy ensures that shareholders receive a fair remuneration for their entrusted capital,

supported by the company’s long-term strategy that aims at increasing earnings per share and thereby

the dividend.

– When proposing the dividend, the Board of Directors looks at a range of factors, including the macro

environment, balance sheet strength as well as future investment plans.

5

Fortum's target is to pay a stable,

sustainable and over time increasing

dividend of 50-80% of earnings per share

excluding one-off items

Fortum has since 1998 annually paid dividends

in total ~12,625 MEUR*

* According to the BoD proposal for the AGM

2011

50% 2012

63%

2013

81%

2014

37%

1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1*

1.3

5 year dividend per share (EUR) history

1.1

2015

24%

0.2

Page 6: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Our strategic route

6

Birka Energi

50% → 100%

Gullspång

Neste

Divestment of

non-strategic

heat business

2007

Skandinaviska

Elverk

Länsivoima

45% → 65%

Birka Energi

50% Fortum

50% Stockholm Gullspång merged

with Stockholm Energi

TGC-10 Divestment of

Fingrid shares

Divestment of

heat operations

outside of

Stockholm

Divestment

of Lenenergo shares

1996

IVO Fortum

Divestment of

small scale

hydro

2012 2008 2015

1997

Lenenergo

shares →

Stora Kraft

Länsivoima

→100%

2000

Elnova

50% → 100%

Østfold

Shares in

Lenenergo

Shares in

Hafslund

District heating

in Poland →

2003

Oil business

spin-off

TGC-1

established

2005

2011

1998 2002

Divestment of electricity

distribution and heat

businesses

Divestment of electricity

distribution business

Divestment of

Grangemouth power plant

Divestment

of Gasum

shares

2014

2006

E.ON

Finland

Divestment of

electricity

distribution

business

Page 7: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Our current geographical presence

7

Nordic countries

Power generation 48.8 TWh

Heat sales 3.1 TWh

Electricity customers 1.3 million

Power

generation

Electricity

sales

Heat

OAO Fortum

Power generation 25.7 TWh

Heat sales 25.4 TWh

Russia

Poland Power generation 0.7 TWh

Heat sales 3.4 TWh

Baltic countries Power generation 0.7 TWh

Heat sales 1.2 TWh

India Power generation 26 GWh

Key figures 2015 Sales EUR 3.5 bn

Comparable operating profit EUR 0.8 bn

Balance sheet EUR 23 bn

Personnel 7,800

Page 8: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum mid-sized European power generation player; major producer in global heat

8

1) Veolia incl. Dalkia International and EDF incl. Dalkia's activities in France

Source: Company information, Fortum analyses, 2014 figures pro forma

Largest global producers, 2014 TWh

Largest producers in Europe and Russia, 2014 TWh

Power generation Heat production

Electricity customers in EU, 2014 Millions

Customers

TGC-2

KDHC

Quadra

Tatenergo

Minskenergo

DTEK

EuroSibEnergo Fortum

Dong Energy Enel

Lukoil

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Sibgenco

T Plus

Vattenfall

PGNiG

Inter RAO UES

1) EDF

RusHydro

1 ) Veolia

Gazprom

Fortum Värme

Beijing DH

EnBW

E.ON

Gazprom

DEI

EuroSibEnergo Iberdrola

Fortum

Vattenfall

CEZ

RWE

T Plus

DTEK

PGE

Rosenergoatom

NNEGC Energoat.

Enel EDF

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

ENGIE

Statkraft

Inter RAO UES

RusHydro

EDP

Gas Natural Fenosa

PGE

ENGIE

E.ON

DEI

CEZ

Enel

Centrica

EDP

Iberdrola

SSE EnBW

Fortum

EDF

RWE

Tauron

Hafslund

Dong Energy

0 20 40 10 30

Vattenfall

Page 9: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Biggest nuclear and hydro generators in Europe and Russia

9

1) Formerly GDF SUEZ

Source: Company information, Fortum analyses, 2013 figures pro forma

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

ED

F

Ro

sen

erg

oa

tom

Ru

sH

ydro

NN

EG

C E

ne

rgo

ato

m

En

el

E.O

N

Va

tten

fall

Eu

roS

ibE

ne

rgo

EN

GIE

Sta

tkra

ft

Fo

rtum

Ibe

rdro

la

RW

E

CE

Z

En

BW

Axpo

Ve

rbu

nd

ED

P

Hid

roe

lectr

ica

Ukrh

ydro

ene

rgo

Ce

ntr

ica

Gazpro

m

Alp

iq

EP

S,

Se

rbia

No

rsk H

ydro

E-C

O E

ne

rgi

Ga

s N

atu

ral F

en

osa

Agder

Energ

i

BK

K

Lyse

Ene

rgi

DE

I

SS

E

Inte

r R

AO

UE

S

PG

E

DT

EK

IES

Other

Nuclear

Hydro

TWh

Total generation

1)

Page 10: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain

10

Power generation

Nordic wholesale market

Power exchange and

bilateral agreements

Large customers

Retail customers

Private customers, small businesses

Page 11: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum's power and heat production by source

11

Natural gas 32%

Hydro power

33%

Coal 4%

Biomass 1%

Total generation 75.9 TWh

(Generation capacity 13,692 MW)

Nuclear power 30%

Fortum's power generation

in 2015

Total production 32.2 TWh

(Production capacity 16,611 MW)

Fortum's heat production

in 2015

Waste 1%

Heat pumps, electricity 1%

Biomass 6%

Natural gas

75%

Coal 15%

Oil 1% Peat 1%

Page 12: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum's European power and heat production

12

Hydro power

50%

Coal 2%

Nuclear power 45%

Biomass 2%

European generation 50.2TWh

(Generation capacity 8,774 MW)

Fortum's European

power generation in 2015

Other 1%

Biomass

31%

Fortum's European

heat production in 2015

Peat 4% Oil 1%

Waste 6%

Natural gas 8%

Heat pumps, electricity 4%

Coal 45%

European production 6.4 TWh

(Production capacity 3,915 MW)

Others 1%

Page 13: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum a forerunner in sustainability

We are highly committed to sustainability. Our purpose is to create energy

that improves life for present and future generations.

We provide sustainable solutions for society while delivering excellent value

to our shareholders. We want to act responsibly, both in the short term and

long term.

Fortum is listed in several sustainability indexes:

• Nordic Climate Disclosure Leadership Index (CDLI)

• STOXX® Global ESG Leaders indices

• oekom

• OMX GES Sustainability Finland Index

• ECPI® Indices

13

Emissions-free production is Fortum’s strategic choice

Page 14: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

DE

I

RW

E

Dra

x

SS

E

CE

Z

Vattenfa

ll

ED

P

E.O

N

A2A

Enel

Gas N

atu

ral F

enosa

EnB

W

EN

GIE

Do

ng

En

erg

y

Iberd

rola

Fort

um

tota

l

PV

O

ED

F

Verb

und

Fort

um

EU

Sta

tkra

ft

39

g CO2/kWh electricity, 2014

2015

64% of Fortum's total power generation CO2-free

97% of Fortum’s power generation in the EU CO2-free

Average 313 g/kWh

177

Fortum's carbon exposure among the lowest in Europe

14

Note: Only European generation except “Fortum total“ which includes Russia.

Fortum’s specific emissions of the power generation in 2015 in the EU were 21 g/kWh and in total 181 g/kWh.

Source: PWC, Novembre 2015, Changement climatique et Électricité, Fortum

Page 15: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Market coupling milestones - cross-border power flows optimised by power exchanges

• Market coupling between NL, BE and FR since 2006

• Germany – Nord Pool Spot coupling started 11/2009

• Market coupling for Central Western Europe (DE, FR, NL, BE) since 11/2010 with a continued coupling with Nord Pool Spot

• Poland coupled with Nord Pool Spot since December 2010

• NorNed (NO-NL) and BritNed (UK-NL) included in 2011

• Estonian price area in Nord Pool Spot since 2010 and Lithuanian area since 6/2012. Latvia joined in June 2013

• Czech, Slovakia and Hungary coupled together since September 2012. Romania joined in November 2014

• A common day-ahead market coupling for the whole north-western Europe was started in February 2014. Iberia (Spain & Portugal) joined in May 2014. Italy and Slovenia joined in February 2015

• Flow-based cross-border capacity allocation for further trade optimisation taken into use in May 2015 for the CWE region

• Lithuania-Poland (LitPol Link) coupling started in December 2015

• CEE (Central Eastern Europe) market coupling region to join in 2017. Switzerland waiting for agreement with the EU

• In addition to day-ahead coupling, intraday market coupling and balancing market integration under development as well

15

2009

2015

2012-2014

2010-

2013

2017

2014

Page 16: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Current transmission capacity from Nordic area is over 5,000 MW

16

• Theoretical maximum in transmission capacity ~40 TWh

per annum, but restrictions especially between DK & DE

• Net export from the Nordic area to Continental Europe

and Estonia during year 2015 was 19 TWh

• During 2014 the net export was 13 TWh

• Approximately 25 TWh of net export is now reachable

Countries Transmission capacity MW

From Nordics To Nordics

Denmark - Germany 2,225 2,100

Sweden - Germany 615 615

Sweden - Poland 600 600

Norway - Netherlands 723 723

Finland - Estonia 1,000 1,016

Finland - Russia 320 1,300

Total 5,483 6,354

723

2,225 615 600

1,000

320

Page 17: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Nordic, Baltic, Continental and UK markets are integrating – interconnection capacity will double by 2021

17

Two 1,400 MW NO-UK links as EU

Projects of Common Interest: NSN

link to England agreed to be ready

in 2021, NorthConnect to Scotland

still requiring Norwegian permission

First direct 1,400 MW NO-DE link

contracted to be built by end-2019

EU financial support for a 700 MW

DK-NL link, due to be ready by 2019

Jutland – DE capacity planned to

grow by 860 MW by 2020, with

further 500 MW increase by 2022 Svenska Kraftnät and 50Hertz

signed 11/2015 a cooperation

agreement to build 700 MW Hansa

PowerBridge DC link between

Sweden and Germany by 2025

The Northern Seas Offshore Grid and the Baltic

Energy Market Integration Plan are included as

priority electricity corridors in EU’s Infrastructure

Guidelines, approved in April 2013

New interconnections will

double the export capacity

to over 10,000 MW by 2021

LitPol Link (500 MW in operation

since 12/2015) with another 500

MW by 2020. It has opened a new

transmission route from the Nordic

market to the Continent

EU’s European Energy Programme

for Recovery co-financing 700 MW

NordBalt (operation to start 2/2016)

New internal Nordic grid

investments provide for increased

available capacity for export to the

Continent and Baltics

EU’s Connecting Europe Facility

co-financing 3rd EE-LV transmission

line, due to be ready by 2020

New 400 MW Zealand – DE

Kriegers Flak connection by 2019

New 1,400 MW DK-UK Viking Link

not yet decided, but planned to be

built by end-2022

New interconnectors

New Nordic lines

Existing interconnectors

Page 18: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Nordic water reservoirs

18

Source: Nord Pool

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

20

40

60

80

100

120

rese

rvo

ir c

on

ten

t (T

Wh)

0

2000 2003 2015 2014 reference level 2016

Page 19: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Nordic year forwards

19

Source: Nasdaq Commodities

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

€/MWh 1 February 2016

Year15 Year17 Year19 Year10 Year11 Year12 Year13 Year14 Year16 Year18 Year20

2014

Q1

2008

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2009

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2010

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2011

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2012

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2013

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2015

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2016

Q1

Page 20: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Wholesale price for electricity

20

Source: Nord Pool, Nasdaq Commodities

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

EUR/MWh Nord Pool System Price Forwards

1 February 2016

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

Page 21: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Wholesale prices for electricity

21

Source: Nord Pool, Nasdaq Commodities, Bloomberg Finance LP, ATS, NP “Market Council”, Fortum

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

* Including weighted average capacity price

German

Nordic

Russian*

Spot prices Forward prices EUR/MWh

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1 February 2016

Page 22: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

0

30

60

90

120

150

US

D /

bb

l

Crude oil price (ICE Brent)

2007 2008 20112009 2010 20132012 2014 2015 20160

7

14

21

28

35

EU

R /

tC

O2

CO2 price (ICE EUA)

2007 2008 20112009 2010 20132012 2014 2015 2016

0

50

100

150

200

250

US

D /

t

Coal price (ICE Rotterdam)

2007 2008 20112009 2010 20132012 2014 2015 20160

20

40

60

80

100

GB

p /

th

erm

Gas price (ICE NBP)

2007 2008 20112009 2010 20132012 2014 2015 2016

Fuel and CO2 allowance prices

22

Source: ICE

Market prices 1 February 2016; 2016 future quotations

Page 23: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Nordic power generation – dominated by hydro, but fossil needed

23

Source: ENTSO-E Statistical Factsheet 2014 *) Normal annual Nordic hydro generation 200 TWh, variation +/- 40 TWh.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Denmark Norway Sweden Finland

Fossil fuels

Nuclear

Biomass

Solar

Wind

Hydro *

TWh/a

Total Nordic generation

390 TWh in 2014

Net export in 2014: 10 TWh

23

85

TWh %

39

214

28

6

22

10

55

7

1 0

Page 24: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Wholesale electricity price too low to attract investments

24

NOTE: The presented figures are calculated based on data from recent public reports and do not represent Fortum’s view. Average achieved price (€/MWh) for the production

type depends on availability and flexibility. There are large variations in the cost of hydro, wind and solar depending on location and conditions.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Source: Nord Pool spot, Nasdaq Commodities

EUR/MWh

Futures

1 February 2016

1995 2015 2026

Commodity prices are forward prices as of September 2015, extended with inflation

EUR/MWh

Average levelised costs of new electricity generation

Solar PV In Spain

Coal condensing

Gas Onshore wind

Nuclear Large hydro

Offshore wind

Page 25: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Overview of Fortum’s nuclear fleet

25

LOVIISA OLKILUOTO OSKARSHAMN FORSMARK

Commercial operation started

Unit 1: 1977

Unit 2: 1981

Unit 1: 1978

Unit 2: 1980

Unit 3: (Under construction)

Unit 1: 1972

Unit 2: 1974 (out of oper.)

Unit 3: 1985

Unit 1: 1980

Unit 2: 1981

Unit 3: 1985

Generation Capacity

Fortum’s share

Unit 1: 498 MW

Unit 2: 500 MW

Total: 997 MW

Unit 1: 880 MW

Unit 2: 880 MW

(Unit 3: 1,600 MW)

Total: 1,760 MW (3,360)

27% 468 MW

Unit 1: 473 MW

Unit 2: 638 MW

Unit 3: 1,400 MW

Total: 1,873 MW

43% 812 MW

Unit 1: 984 MW

Unit 2: 1,120 MW

Unit 3: 1,167 MW

Total: 3,271 MW

22% 727 MW

Yearly production

Fortum’s share of

production

8 TWh

8 TWh

14 TWh

4 TWh

12 TWh

5 TWh

26 TWh

6 TWh

Share of Fortum’s

Nordic production 18% 9% 12% 13%

Majority owner

Fortum’s share

Fortum

Pohjolan Voima

26.6%

Uniper

43.4%

Vattenfall

22.2%

Operated by Fortum Teollisuuden Voima (TVO)

OKG Aktiebolag Forsmarks Kraftgrupp

Responsibilities Loviisa: Fortum is the owner, licensee and operator with all the responsibilities specified in the Nuclear Energy Act, Nuclear Liability Act, and other relevant nuclear legislation

Other units: Fortum is solely an owner with none of the responsibilities assigned to the licensee in the nuclear legislation. Other responsibilities are specified in the

Companies Act and the Articles of Association and are mostly financial.

Page 26: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Olkiluoto

Loviisa Forsmark

Oskarshamn

Fortum's nuclear power in the Nordics

26

• Finnish units world class in availability

• Overview of production and consumption:

www.fortum.com/investors - energy related links

Source: Fortum

Load factor (%) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Oskarshamn 1 80 51 63 85 68 77 72 1 12 74 60

Oskarshamn 2 90 78 76 86 75 90 77 81 33 0 0

Oskarshamn 3 85 95 88 70 17 31 68 69 77 75 79

Forsmark 1 85 76 81 88 88 93 79 88 87 94 79

Forsmark 2 94 72 85 79 64 38 94 82 89 89 91

Forsmark 3 95 92 88 69 86 81 85 93 88 83 58

Loviisa 1 95 93 94 86 96 93 94 84 92 92 93

Loviisa 2 95 88 96 93 95 89 94 91 93 89 92

Olkiluoto 1 98 94 97 94 97 92 95 90 97 94 96

Olkiluoto 2 94 97 94 97 95 95 91 96 93 97 89

Page 27: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Variety of technologies and ages

27

Planned capacity increase:

• Forsmark 1, potential capacity increase of total ~110 MW in 2017-2020.

Closing of the units:

• OKG AB's Extraordinary shareholders' meeting decided on 14 October 2015 on the closure of Oskarshamn nuclear power plant units

1 and 2 in Sweden. Unit 1 will be taken out of operation and transferred into service mode after the applied environmental permit has

been received, approximately during 2017– 2019. Unit 2 has been out of operation since June 2013 due to an extensive safety

modernisation, and it will not be put back into operation. The closing process for both units is estimated to take several years.

PWR = (Pressurized Water Reactor) The most common reactor type in the world (e.g. all French units, most US units). Also the Loviisa units are PWRs, but based on Russian design. High pressure

prevents water from boiling n the reactor. The steam rotating the turbine is generated in separate steam generators.

BWR = (Boiling Water Reactor) Similar to the PWR in many ways, but the steam is generated directly in the reactor. Popular reactor type e.g. in Sweden, the US and Japan.

1) Generation refers to technical resemblence based on KSU classification and not to reactor design generations. All reactors are of Generation II except Olkiluoto-3 (EPR) which is of Generation III.

Unit MWe

(Net)

Share

(%)

Share

(MWe)

Commercial

operation

Age Type/

Generation 1)

Supplier

Loviisa 1

Loviisa 2

498

500

100,0

100,0

498

500

1977-05-09

1981-01-05

38

35

PWR / 1

PWR / 1

AEE (Atomenergoexport)

AEE (Atomenergoexport)

Olkiluoto 1

Olkiluoto 2

Olkiluoto 3

880

880

(1,600)

26,6

26,6

25,0

234

234

(400)

1979-10-10

1982-07-10

(end of 2018)

37

35

BWR / 3

BWR / 3

PWR / 3

Asea-Atom / Stal-Laval

Asea-Atom / Stal-Laval

Areva / Siemens

Oskarshamn 1

Oskarshamn 2

Oskarshamn 3

473

638

1,400

43,4

43,4

43,4

205

277

607

1972-02-06

1975-01-01

1985-08-15

43

41

30

BWR / 1

BWR / 2

BWR / 4

Asea-Atom / Stal-Laval

Asea-Atom / Stal-Laval

Asea-Atom / Stal-Laval

Forsmark 1

Forsmark 2

Forsmark 3

984

1,120

1,167

23,4

23,4

20,1

230

262

236

1980-12-10

1981-07-07

1985-08-18

35

34

30

BWR / 3

BWR / 3

BWR / 4

Asea-Atom / Stal-Laval

Asea-Atom / Stal-Laval

Asea-Atom / Stal-Laval

Page 28: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Third party nuclear liability in case of severe accident

28

Sweden

(new, not

in force)

Finland,

temporary

legislation

Current,

Sweden

700 M€

200 M€ 360 M€

500 M€ Responsibility of company

(insurance or guarantee)

Unlimited

company

responsibility

Convention

parties 300 M€

State

responsibility

300 M€

500 M€

700 M€

New Paris

convention

700 M€

145 M€

145 M€

Old,

Finland

240 M€

145 M€

In force since 1.1.2012

Law approved by Parliament

in 2010, requires separate

decision from Government to

come into force.

Requires ratification by 2/3

of member states to come

into force. In Finland

approved by Parliament in

2005

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Fortum - a major player in Russia

OAO Fortum (former TGC-10)

• Operates in the heart of Russia’s oil and gas producing region, fleet mainly gas-fired CHP capacity

• 26 TWh power generation, 26 TWh heat production in 2015

• Investment programme to add 85%, almost 2,400 MW to power generation capacity

TGC-1

• 29.5% of territorial generating company TGC-1 operating in north-west Russia

• ~7,000 MW electricity production capacity (more than 40% hydro),

~24 TWh electricity, ~27 TWh heat in 2015

In December 2014, Fortum and Gazprom Energoholding signed a protocol to start

a restructuring process of TGC-1. Currently Gazprom Energoholding owns 51.8%

of the TGC-1 shares and Fortum 29.5%. As part of the restructuring, Fortum will

establish a joint venture together with Rosatom to own the hydro assets of TGC-1,

while Gazprom Energoholding continues with the heat and thermal power businesses of

TGC-1. By utilising its present stake in TGC-1, Fortum would obtain a 75-plus-percent ownership

in the new hydro power company, and Rosatom a 25-minus-percent minority holding.

In October 2015, Fortum announced that the discussions related to the potential restructuring of TGC-1 will continue,

and it is not possible to estimate the time schedule or outcome of the discussions.

29

OAO Fortum

Tyumen

Tobolsk

Chelyabinsk

Nyagan

TGC-1

St. Petersburg

Moscow

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30

Day ahead wholesale market prices in Russia

Key electricity, capacity and gas prices in the OAO Fortum area

IV15 IV/14 2015 2014

Electricity spot price (market

price), Urals hub, RUB/MWh 1,064 1,041 1,047 1,089

Average regulated gas price,

Urals region, RUB 1000 m3 3,614 3,362 3,488 3,362

Average capacity price for CCS

”old capacity”, tRUB/MW/month 157 180 149 167

Average capacity price for CSA

”new capacity”, tRUB/MW/month 701 603 641 552

Average capacity price,

tRUB/MW/month 396 331 359 304

Achieved power price for Fortum

in Russia, RUB/MWh 1,552 1,448 1,555 1,508

Achieved power price for Fortum

in Russia, EUR/MWh 21.3 28.0 22.5 30.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

€/

MW

h0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

RU

B /

MW

h

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

In addition to the power price generators receive a capacity payment. Source: ATS

Day ahead power market prices for Urals

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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85% increase in power generation capacity in Russia through the investment programme

Year Supply

starts

Power plant Fuel type Existing

capacity

2,785 MW

New

investments

2,388 MW

Production type Total

capacity

5,173 MW

< 2011 Tyumen CHP-2 Gas 755 CHP/Condensing 755

Chelyabinsk CHP-2 Gas, coal 320 CHP/Condensing 320

Argayash CHP Gas, coal 195 CHP/Condensing 195

Chelyabinsk CHP-1 Gas, coal 149 CHP/Condensing 149

2011 Feb/2011 Tyumen CHP-1 Gas 472 209 CHP/Condensing 681

June/2011 Chelyabinsk CHP-3 Gas 360 216 CHP/Condensing 576

Oct/2011 Tobolsk CHP Gas 452 213 CHP/Condensing 665

2013 April/2013 Nyagan 1 GRES Gas 418 Condensing 418

Dec/2013 Nyagan 2 GRES Gas 418 Condensing 418

2015 Jan/2015 Nyagan 3 GRES Gas 418 Condensing 418

Dec/2015 Chelyabinsk GRES Gas 82 248 CHP/Condensing 330

Q1/2016 Chelyabinsk GRES Gas 248 CHP/Condensing 248

2,785 MW 2,388 MW 5,173 MW

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Hedging improves stability and predictability

32

2009 onwards thermal and import from Russia excluded

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Financial Statements 2015

Fortum Corporation

3 February 2016

Page 34: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

IFRS restatement relating to discontinued operations

Distribution segment has been reclassified as discontinued operations in Q1/2015.

As a result, continuing operations and discontinued operations are presented

separately for Fortum Group. Comparative period information for 2014 has been

restated accordingly

Restated information for the interim periods of 2014 can be found in a stock

exchange release published 15 April 2015

34

Page 35: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Q4 and FY 2015 Results

35

Key figures (MEUR) IV/2015 IV/2014 2015 2014

Sales, continuing operations 964 1,133 3,459 4,088

Comparable EBITDA, continuing operations 315 458 1,102 1,457

Operating profit:

Continuing operations 38 584 -150 1,296

Discontinued operations - 66 4,395 2,132

Fortum total 38 650 4,245 3,428

Comparable operating profit:

Continuing operations 243 370 808 1,085

Discontinued operations - 67 114 266

Fortum total 243 436 922 1,351

Profit before taxes:

Continuing operations 20 574 -305 1,232

Discontinued operations - 65 4,393 2,128

Fortum total 20 639 4,088 3,360

Earnings per share:

Continuing operations 0.02 0.59 -0.26 1.22

Discontinued operations 0.00 0.05 4.92 2.33

Fortum total 0.02 0.64 4.66 3.55

Net cash from operating activities, continuing operations 332 394 1,228 1,406

Page 36: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum’s performance in 2015

– Distribution divestment completed in June 2015, EPS effect 4.82 for the year

– Low electricity prices due to exceptionally 1) high inflow and high hydro power production 2) mild

weather 3) increased wind power production 4) low commodity prices

– Increased cost burden, especially in Swedish nuclear

– Write-downs and provisions regarding • Closure of Oskarshamn nuclear units 1 and 2, in Sweden

• Cancelled Olkiluoto 4 nuclear power project in Finland

• Dismantling of Inkoo coal-fired plant in Finland

• Impairment loss of Fortum’s share of Meri-Pori coal-fired plant in Finland

– New opportunities • Decision to participate in the Fennovoima nuclear power plant project in Finland with a 6.6% share

• Launch of a 10 MW greenfield solar PV plant and successful bid (2016) for 70 MW solar plant in India

• Decision to build a multifuel CHP plant and to make a public tender offer (2016) for an electricity and gas sales

company in Poland

• Decision to start to build a 35 MW wind farm in Russia

– The operating profit level (EBIT) for the Russia segment, RUB 18.2 billion, is targeted to be reached

during 2017-2018.

36

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Market conditions 2015

Nordic countries

• Power consumption in the Nordic countries slightly higher than in 2014

• Nordic system spot prices approximately EUR 9 per MWh lower than in 2014; area prices in Finland

EUR 6 per MWh lower and in Sweden (SE3) EUR 10 per MWh lower

European business environment and carbon market

• The EU Council formally adopted the European Commission’s proposal to create a reserve to hold

surplus CO2 permits under the EU Emissions Trading System

• The proposed Market Stability Reserve will become operational in January 2019

• Paris COP 21 agreement

Russia

• Power consumption in Fortum’s operating area in Russia was slightly lower than in 2014

• Electricity spot price (in RUB) in the Urals hub declined by 4% compared to 2014

37

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Comparable and reported operating profit

IV/2015 IV/2014 IV/2015 IV/2014 2015 2014 2015 2014

Power and Technology 142 276 -65 318 561 877 -396 855

Heat, Electricity Sales

and Solutions 53 49 54 221 108 104 105 337

Russia 69 59 69 59 201 161 203 161

Other -21 -14 -21 -14 -63 -57 -62 -58

Total, continuing

operations 243 370 38 584 808 1,085 -150 1,296

Discontinued

operations - 67 - 66 114 266 4,395 2,132

Total, Fortum 243 436 38 650 922 1,351 4,245 3,428

38

Comparable

operating profit

Reported

operating profit MEUR

Reported

operating profit Comparable

operating profit

Fortum’s fourth quarter 2015 operating profit was impacted by items affecting comparability EUR -205 (214) million due impairments and

provisions EUR -119 (0) and by sales gains EUR 1 (238) million as well as fair value changes in derivatives and nuclear fund adjustments EUR

-87 (-24) million.

In 2015, operating profit was impacted by EUR -918 (0) million due to impairments and provisions, and by sales gains totalling EUR 22 (305)

million as well as fair value changes in derivatives and nuclear fund adjustment EUR -62 (-94) million.

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Q4: Lower electricity prices and volumes burdened result

39

Comparable operating profit, EUR million

• 7.8 EUR/MWh lower achieved price

• 1 TWh lower volumes (mainly nuclear)

• Positive effect from new units

• EUR 20 million CSA provision release

• Russian rouble effect (-16 MEUR)

• More accurate consumption estimates

in Electricity Sales (+7 MEUR)

• Lower power prices

Page 40: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

2015: Clearly lower achieved power price

40

Comparable operating profit, EUR million

• 8.4 EUR/MWh lower achieved price

(33 EUR/MWh compared to 41.4)

• 1 TWh higher volume

• Positive impact from new capacity

• EUR +52 million CSA provision release

• Russian rouble effect (-71 MEUR)

• More accurate consumption

estimates in Electricity Sales

• Lower fuel costs

Page 41: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Outlook

Nordic markets

• Fortum continues to expect that the annual electricity demand growth will be approximately 0.5% on

average in the coming years

• Electricity is expected to continue to gain share of total energy consumption

Russia

• The targeted operating profit (EBIT) level of RUB 18.2 billion in the Russia segment is targeted to be

reached during 2017-2018

Annual capex estimate, excluding potential acquisitions

• 2016 approximately EUR 650 million (maintenance capex approximately EUR 300-350 million)

Hedging

• 2016 approx. 50% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 33/MWh

• 2017 approx. 20% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 30/MWh

Taxation

• Effective tax rate for 2016 for the Group 19-21%

41

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Annual General Meeting 2016 and dividend distribution proposal

• Fortum’s Annual General Meeting will be held at 14:00 on Tuesday,

5 April 2016, at the Finlandia Hall, Mannerheimintie 13, in Helsinki, Finland

• The Board of Directors’ dividend proposal EUR 1.10 per share for 2015

• Dividend-related dates planned for 2016

• Ex-dividend date 6 April 2016

• Record date for dividend payment 7 April 2016

• Dividend payment date 14 April 2015

42

Page 43: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Long-term financial targets

43

The updated financial targets give guidance of Fortum's view on

the company's long-term value creation potential, its new growth

strategy and business activities.

The updated, long-term over-the-cycle financial targets are:

Return on capital employed (ROCE) at least 10%

Comparable net debt to EBITDA around 2.5 times

Page 44: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum has a strong financial position

MEUR 2015 2014 Target

Comparable EBITDA, continuing operations 1,102 1,457

Comparable EBITDA, total Fortum 1,265 1,873

Interest-bearing net debt, total Fortum -2,195 4,217

Comparable net debt/EBITDA, total

Fortum

-1.7 2.3 ~2.5

44

ROCE % Return on capital employed,

total Fortum

22.7 19.5 At least

10%

Liquid funds totalled EUR 8.2 billion

Committed credit lines total EUR 2.2 billion

Page 45: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Cash flow statement

MEUR IV/2015 IV/2014 2015 2014

Cash from operating activities:

Realised FX gains/losses 43 136 292 352

Other funds from operations 320 399 907 1,096

Change in working capital -31 -141 29 -42

Cash from operating activities, cont. operations 332 394 1,228 1,406

Cash from operating activities, discontinued operations 0 58 154 356

Cash from operating activities, total Fortum 331 452 1,381 1,762

Cash used in investing activities:

Paid capital expenditures -180 -200 -527 -622

Proceeds from divestments 2 384 55 499

Other investment activities 143 -1 437 364

Total investing activities, continuing operations -35 183 -35 241

Total investing activities, discontinued operations

- -44 6,303 2,574

Cash used in investing activities, total Fortum

-35 139 6,268 2,816

Cash flow before financing activities, total Fortum 296 591 7,650 4,578

45

Page 46: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Debt portfolio and average interest rate at the balance sheet date 31 December 2015

In addition Fortum has received EUR 202 million based on Credit Support Annex agreements with several counterparties. This amount has been booked as a short term liability.

• Total interest-bearing debt

EUR 6,007 million

– Average interest 3.7%

(2014: 3.7%)

– Portfolio mainly in EUR and

SEK with average interest

cost 2.6% (2014: 2.9%)

– EUR 641 million (2014: 681)

swapped to RUB, average

interest cost including cost

for hedging 12.8%

(2014: 11.3%)

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

1500

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026+

Bonds Financial institutions Other long-term debt Other short-term debt

Maturity profile

46

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Fortum targets to lower the fixed cost base of existing operations by EUR 100 million

• Target is to reduce the fixed cost base by EUR 100 million in current

operations by the end of 2017. This is a natural continuation to the cost

savings completed in 2013-14

• Our industry is facing significant pressures from the persistently demanding

business environment, including low commodity prices.

– Continuous cost improvement in our existing operations is a must

– We will further streamline our organisation

– Improve our operational efficiency

– Put more focus on procurement

47

Page 48: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum’s vision and strategy

48

Page 49: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Global megatrends shaping the energy sector

49

Climate change and

resource efficiency

• Decarbonisation

• Renewables

• Circular economy

Digitalisation, new technologies

• Competitive solar and wind

• New digitally-enabled solutions

• Storage

Urbanisation • Growth of cities – especially in Asia

• Need for sustainable utility services

• Electrification

Active customers

• Customers make conscious choices

• Decentralised production

• Demand response

Page 50: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Transition towards Solar Economy is ongoing

50

Page 51: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum – Forerunner in clean energy

51

Page 52: FORTUM€¦ · Nordic countries Power generation 48.8 TWh Heat sales ... Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain 10 Power generation Nordic wholesale market Retail customers

Fortum Investor Relations For more information, please visit www.fortum.com/investors

Follow us on:

www.slideshare.net/FortumCorporation/

www.twitter.com/Fortum www.linkedin.com/company/fortum

Fortum ForEnergy blog at

http://fortumforenergyblog.wordpress.com www.youtube.com/user/fortum

Sophie Jolly Vice President

+358 (0)10 453 2552

[email protected]

Rauno Tiihonen

Manager

+358 (0)10 453 6150

[email protected]

Marja Mäkinen Manager (SRI)

+358 (0)10 452 3338

[email protected]

Meeting requests:

Arja-Tuula Tiainen Executive Assistant

+358 (0)10 453 4487

[email protected]

Next events:

AGM on 5 April 2016

Q1/2016 results on 28 April 2016

52