Forensic Statistical Mechanics Applied to Public Documents Prove Poll-Worker Fraud

John R. Brakey was the Democratic Cluster Captain for four predominately Hispanic precincts belonging to Arizona Legislative District 27, which is part of Arizona Congressional District 7.

This study is based on John’s Election-Day-2004 experiences, as well as his compilations on Excel spreadsheets of all public voter registration data

John McCain’s office January 4, 2005

and all paper records of the 2004 balloting at the Pct. 324 polling place.(more than 1,000 hours invested!)

Typical Paper Records Generated at AZ Polling StationsTypical Paper Records Generated at AZ Polling Stations

The “Signature Roster”

In Pct 324 there were1986 registered voters

on the “Signature Roster”

The voter signs the block next to his/her name.The Judge of the Same Party marks voter Registration No. on “Notice-to-Voter Slip”

“E” means this voter must vote provisional

A. Anwar Abraham

Examples of Paper Records Actually Generated at the Pct 324 Polling StationExamples of Paper Records Actually Generated at the Pct 324 Polling Station

The “Notice-to-Voter Slip”

Voter Reg. Numbersare filled in by Judgeof Opposite Party

N.B. Red ink means this voter was instructed to

vote a Provisional Ballot

Non-standard consecutive-order numbering used by Pct-324 poll workers (Clerk?).

The very same numbers appear on other slips as “dup”s (meaning duplicate?)

Voter Reg. Numbersare filled in by Judgeof Opposite Party

The “Notice-to-Voter Slip”

but the Voter Reg. Numbers are different!

Examples of Paper Records Actually Generated at the Pct 324 Polling StationExamples of Paper Records Actually Generated at the Pct 324 Polling Station

The “Consecutive Number Register” (CNR)a.k.a. “The Poll List”

The Clerk copies the Voter Registration No. from the “Notice-to-Voter Slip” here…

then hand prints the corresponding voter name here.

CHARLIE BROWN35

82

83

282

750

804

699

CLARK KENTLOIS LANE

JOHN Q. TAXPAYERJOE SIXPACK

HOMER SIMPSONMARGE SIMPSON

Wait a minute! There are blank spaces in this Pct. 324 CNR!

Typical Paper Records Generated at AZ Polling StationsTypical Paper Records Generated at AZ Polling Stations

The height of each column is proportional to the number of names it contains.

I. Voter signs one

of two* “Signature Rosters”

II. The Clerk enters voter names in Consecutive Number Register (CNR).

“Regular” Signature Roster: 847 unique names

Provisional Ballot Signature Roster: 40 unique names

19 of the names on CNR

are not found on either

roster

11 names are not found on

CNR.

11 voterswho cast provisional ballots signed both rosters

IIIa. “Regular” voters are instructed to scan their completed ballots into the Diebold AccuVote-OS voting machine which records their vote and serves as a “paper trail.”

IIIb. “Provisional” voters seal their ballots in signed envelopes, which are delivered to the Recorder

55 unique-name provisional voterssigned SignatureRoster

781 “Regular” ballots cast at polling place

847 unique names

884 unique names

6

787

97

Audit of 2 Nov 2004 Voting at Pct 324 of Arizona Congressional District 7Audit of 2 Nov 2004 Voting at Pct 324 of Arizona Congressional District 7

“Notice to Voter Slips”

But there arefour more

Irregularities!

Improperly!

Signatures Hand PrintedNames

Normally…Normally…

55

29 13

11 names are not found on CNR




are not found

on either roster



6

787

97

Irregularity!

55

29 13

These 11 ballots also “disappeared”


These 11 ballots “disappeared”! (Officially, they were never issued.)

Had the poll workers moved 10 unique names into those 10 blank spaces on the CNR, they might have successfully covered up 10 of the 11 double votes

Felony Double-VotesFelony Double-Votes

Now there are 11 more ballots in the box than there are unique names on the CNR!

895ballotscast

11 double votes

884 unique names


Provisional Ballot “Irregularity”Provisional Ballot “Irregularity”




are not found

on either roster



6

787Irregularity!

55

29


10 double votes

884 unique names 39

591 double vote

After the polls closed, the poll workers removed 39 Provisional Ballots from their envelopes and scanned them into the ballot box.

36 of these 39 purloined Provisional Ballots were cast by voters not registered in the precinct. Therefore, they are likely to be double votes!

39 provisional ballots are transmogrified into “regular” ballots!!!9

4

895ballotscast

Provisional Ballot FraudProvisional Ballot FraudAudit of 2 Nov 2004 Voting at Pct 324 of Arizona Congressional District 7Audit of 2 Nov 2004 Voting at Pct 324 of Arizona Congressional District 7


11 registered voters who did

not sign any roster at all11

voterswho cast provisional ballots signed both rosters

6

787

55

29

11 double votes

884 unique names 39

59

11 “disappeared”provisional ballots

9

4

895ballotscast


Recorder’s Office

11 “new” names not found on CNR or any roster!

11 names on CNR no longer correspond to actual ballots! 11 provisional

ballots rejected by Recorder

48 provisional ballots accepted by Recorder

11 “disappeared” regular ballots

The “Rule of 11”The “Rule of 11”

11 too many spoil-replacement ballots(intended to cover up double votes?)

The odds are less than one chance in 214 million of these being eight independent accidents. Conclusion: The poll workers contrived them.

AbsolutelyImpossible without a system!

Type of Irregularity How Many

Voters Who Signed a Roster but Their Ballots “Disappeared:”22

Voters Who Didn’t Sign Any Roster but Whose Ballots Were Still Counted: 19

Double Votes: 11

Valid Ballots Recycled as Spoiled Ballots to Cover Up Double Voting: 11

Poll Workers Issue Themselves 11 New Ballots to Replace Ballots Recycled as Ersatz Spoils. 11

Provisional Ballots Illegally Scanned into Diebold Opt-Scan Machine on Election Day: 39

Total Swing 113

Percentage Swing (100 x 113/884) 12.8%

Suppose only Kerry ballots would have been destroyed.

Suppose these unidentified voters were for Bush.

Assume all of these were cast for Bush.

Assume these were validly cast votes for Kerry.

Presume all were for Bush.

IfIf the intent were to swing the vote toward Bush… the intent were to swing the vote toward Bush…


Assume all cast for Bush.

Official Results

Registration by Party

DEM

REP

OTHERNOP

Mail-In Voting At-the-Polling-Place Provisional Ballots

KERRY KERRY KERRY

BUSH BUSHBUSH

NO CHEATING POSSIBLE on ballots in voter-signed-and-sealed envelopes accepted by Recorder.


The 1.94w memory card in Diebold optical-scanners used to tabulate Early Ballots IS HACKABLE!!!

POLL-WORKER SHENANIGANS DOCUMENTED

IN THIS AUDIT!!!

65% votedfor Bush!

20% registered Republican

The 24 smallest Florida counties that used optical-scan ballot boxes on 2 November 2004


The “Balance Sheet”The “Balance Sheet”• Result of about 1,500 hours research by Brakey and Griscom

• Audits every paper record of voting on Election Day 2004, except the ballots

This Audit

This Audit, Modified by Assuming that 39 Provisional Ballots Were Scanned into the Ballot Box on Election Day

Discrepancie

s

by David L. Griscom [email protected] utilizing tabulations of voter data compiled by John R. Brakey [email protected] 2 May 2005

Total Number of Signatures

on Each Roster

Unique Signatures (omitting

signatures also found

on "regular" Sig Roster)

This Audit

This Audit as Modified [1]: Assume 39 provisional ballots were counted as

"regular" ballots

Official Ballot Report and

Certificate of Performance

(If no double votes supposed)

[2]

Discrep-ancies: Official Report minus

Modified Audit

Foo

tnot

es

Total number of signatures on "regular" Signature Roster 837 837Total signatures on Inactive Signature Roster 11 10Total signatures on Provisional Ballot Signature Roster 51 40Total signatures, including multiples by same voter, on all rosters 899 899Total number of unique names on all signature rosters combined 887 887Total number of names on Consecutive Number Register (CNR) that also appear on a signature roster 865 865Total number of names on CNR that are different from signatures on rosters (these people voted without signing!) 19 19Total number of unique names on CNR 884 884Overall number of unique voter names from all signature rosters plus the CNR 906 906Total number of voters who signed a roster but whose votes were not counted ("disappeared ballots") 22 22

The following "balance sheet" is based on the CNR, as annotated by the poll workers:Total cast ballots recorded on the CNR, both "regular" and provisional, including any double votes 895 895 895 0Total unique-name voters listed on the CNR as having cast at least one vote, regular or provisional 884 884 895 11Number of unique-name voters who cast one "regular" ballot at the polling place that was not a double vote 787Number of unique-name voters who cast one provisional ballot at the polling place that was not a double vote 97Number of suspected "regular" double votes 10Number of suspected provisional double votes 1Total number of "regular" ballots cast "From Tape" at the polling place (counting double votes, if any) 797 836 836 0Total number of provisional ballots cast (counting double votes if any) 98 59 59 0Total number of spoiled-ballot replacements issued 20 20 31 11 [3]Total number of ballots issued 915 915 926 11 [3]Number of provisional ballots assumed to have been scanned into the ballot box on Election Day 0 39 0 -39 [1]

likely in the names of innocent voters, making these incidents appear as conspicuous as possible, e.g., 3 of the doubles were separated by exactly 100 entries. Presumably,

he visited the polling place 1 1/2 hours after the polls had closed. Indeed, this visit by the intrepid Precict Captain likely rattled the poll workers, causing them to forget to enter

their brazen double-voting fraud completely transparent, and indefensible.

An Audit of 2 November 2004 Voting at Pct 324 of Arizona Congressional District 7

Serious Disagreements

Official Report Signed by 7Poll Workers