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FORENSIC PERFORMANCE Dr. Richard Bullock Agenda Item No. 6a

FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

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Agenda Item No. 6a. FORENSIC PERFORMANCE. Dr. Richard Bullock. SETTING THE SCENE. BURGLARY SCENE ATTENDANCE. FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05. Process changes will in coming months improve position given current trends. A WORD OF CAUTION. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Dr. Richard Bullock

Agenda Item No. 6a

Page 2: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

SETTING THE SCENE

Performance Area Delivery Direction

Reducing Crime Good Stable

Investigating Crime Fair Stable

Performance area Delivery DirectionStatutory indicators

6b Percentage of offences brought to justice F S7a Percentage of sanction detections F S7b Burglary sanction detection rate F D7c Violent crime sanction detection rate F S7d Robbery sanction detection rate G S7e Vehicle crime sanction detection rate G SBaseline AssessmentMajor and serious crime investigation F Not gradedTackling cross border crime F Not gradedInvestigating hate crime / victimisation of the vulnerable G SVolume crime investigation F DForensic management F I

Page 3: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

BURGLARY SCENE ATTENDANCESelect Area:

Select Role:

Crime Type:

Visit Type:

Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05Crimes 412 408 #N/AAttendance 272 332 #N/A% Attendence 66.0 81.4 #N/A

Last 3 Months Performance

Scene

ForceTotal

Burglary Dwelling

0

100

200

300

400

Apr-

03

Jun-0

3

Aug-0

3

Oct-

03

Dec-0

3

Feb-0

4

Apr-

04

Jun-0

4

Aug-0

4

Oct-

04

Dec-0

4

Feb-0

5

Apr-

05

Jun-0

5

Aug-0

5

Oct-

05

Dec-0

5

Feb-0

6

Number Visits

Trend in Visits

01000200030004000500060007000

Mar-

04

Apr-

04

May-0

4

Jun-0

4

Jul-04

Aug-0

4

Sep-0

4

Oct-

04

Nov-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jan-0

5

Feb-0

5

Mar-

05

Apr-

05

May-0

5

Jun-0

5

Jul-05

Aug-0

5

Sep-0

5

Oct-

05

Nov-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jan-0

6

Feb-0

6

Mar-

06 61

6263646566676869

12 Month Rolling Crime 12 Month Rolling Visits 12 Month Rolling % Attendance

Trend Crime (12 Month Rolling) Trend Attendance (12 Month Rolling)

THIS ATTENDANCE DATA IS COLLECTED VIA THE WORKLOAD SHEETS FILLED IN BY SOCO OFFICERS. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF CONCERNS OVER THIS DATA, INCLUDING THE FACT ONLY BCU LEVEL DATA IS AVAILABLE, ACROSS LIMITED CRIME TYPES. IT IS PROPOSED THAT CIS BE USED AS A MORE ACCURATE MEASURE, BUT THIS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET ACCURATE DUE TO NECESSARY CHANGES IN WORKING PRACTICES.

Page 4: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05

Process changes will in coming months improve position given current trends

Page 5: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

A WORD OF CAUTION

Over 100% of scenes attended!! - national definition issues on what is a scene and repeat visits

Page 6: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Burglary Family Comparisons to Sept DNA

Improving

Good

Improving

Page 7: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Burglary Family Comparisons to Sept FP

Improving

Good

Improving

Page 8: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

5.5

Force

Burglary Dwelling

Proportion Crimes Attended where DNA Taken

Select Area

Select Crime

Select Analysis

5.5

6

6.5

7

7.5

8

8.5

9

Mar

-04

Apr

-04

May

-04

Jun-

04

Jul-0

4

Aug

-04

Sep

-04

Oct

-04

Nov

-04

Dec

-04

Jan-

05

Feb-

05

Mar

-05

Apr

-05

May

-05

Jun-

05

Jul-0

5

Aug

-05

Sep

-05

Oct

-05

Nov

-05

Dec

-05

Jan-

06

Feb-

06

Mar

-06

EXHIBIT RECOVERY DNA

Page 9: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

20.1

Force

Burglary Dwelling

Proportion Crimes Attended where FP Taken

Select Area

Select Crime

Select Analysis

20.1

21.1

22.1

23.1

24.1

25.1

26.1

27.1

28.1

Mar

-05

Apr

-05

May

-05

Jun-

05

Jul-0

5

Aug

-05

Sep

-05

Oct

-05

Nov

-05

Dec

-05

Jan-

06

Feb

-06

Mar

-06

EXHIBIT RECOVERY FP

Page 10: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

39.6

File updated to Nov-05

Select FP / DNA / Both Both

Force

Domestic Burglary

Proportion of Idents after Elimination

Select Area

Select Crime

Select Analysis

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35A

pr-

04

Ma

y-0

4

Jun

-04

Jul-

04

Au

g-0

4

Se

p-0

4

Oct

-04

No

v-0

4

De

c-0

4

Jan

-05

Fe

b-0

5

Ma

r-0

5

Ap

r-0

5

Ma

y-0

5

Jun

-05

Jul-

05

Au

g-0

5

Se

p-0

5

Oct

-05

No

v-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jan

-06

Fe

b-0

6

Ma

r-0

6

FORENSIC IDENTS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Jun-

04

Jul-

04

Aug

-04

Sep

-04

Oct

-04

Nov

-04

Dec

-04

Jan-

05

Feb

-05

Mar

-05

Apr

-05

May

-05

Jun-

05

Jul-

05

Aug

-05

Sep

-05

Oct

-05

Nov

-05

Dec

-05

Jan-

06

Feb

-06

Mar

-06

Page 11: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

CONVERSION OF IDENTS - DOMESTIC BURGLARY

Select AreaSelect Crime TypeSelect Type of Ident

Action Taken Number PercentMove to Finalised - Detected 34 31.5Trying to Locate Suspect 12 11.1Suspect Eliminated 16 14.8Decision Made Not to Progress 11 10.2Other - Miscellaneous 14 13.0Suspect on Bail 7 6.5Undetected: More Evidence Required 6 5.6No Action 6 5.6Suspect in Prison 0 0.0Suspect in Custody 2 1.9Suspect in another Force Area 0 0.0Unable to Progress - Currently Abstrated 0 0.0Total 108

Figures are for the period Sep-05 to Dec-05

ForceDomestic Burglary

Both

31%

11%

15%

10%

13%

6%

6%

6% 0%2%

0%

0%

Move to Finalised - Detected

Trying to Locate Suspect

Suspect Eliminated

Decision Made Not to Progress

Other - Miscellaneous

Suspect on Bail

Undetected: More Evidence Required

No Action

Suspect in Prison

Suspect in Custody

Suspect in another Force Area

Unable to Progress - CurrentlyAbstrated

Page 12: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select Area

Select Crime Type

Time Period Forecast Based On

Number or RateDetection TypeForecast Forward

ValueCurrent Total 15.6Forecasted Total 18.4

3 MonthsSanction

Force

Domestic Burglary

6 Months

Rate

18.4

12.4

9.9

10.9

11.9

12.9

13.9

14.9

15.9

16.9

17.9

18.9

De

c-0

4

Jan

-05

Fe

b-0

5

Ma

r-0

5

Ap

r-0

5

Ma

y-0

5

Jun

-05

Jul-

05

Au

g-0

5

Se

p-0

5

Oct

-05

No

v-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jan

-06

Fe

b-0

6

Ma

r-0

6

Ap

r-0

6

Ma

y-0

6

Jun

-06

Jul-

06

Au

g-0

6

Se

p-0

6

Oct

-06

No

v-0

6

De

c-0

6

DETECTION FORECASTS

12 month rolling total of selected crime Previous Year End totalYear End Forecast Target

Page 13: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

BurglaryNov-05

Rate

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Mer

seys

ide

North

ampt

onsh

ire

Linc

olns

hire

Hum

bers

ide

Clev

elan

d

Leice

ster

shire

War

wick

shire

Suss

ex

North

umbr

ia

Surre

y

Kent

Hertf

ords

hire

Derb

yshi

re

Bedf

ords

hire

Met

ropo

litan

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

North

Yor

kshi

re

Avon

and

Som

erse

t

Tham

es V

alle

y

Durh

am

Suffo

lk

Staf

ford

shire

Glo

uces

ters

hire

Dors

et

Sout

h W

ales

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Wilts

hire

Esse

x

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire

Cum

bria

Lanc

ashi

re

Norfo

lk

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Ches

hire

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

Wes

t Mer

cia

North

Wal

es

Gwe

nt

City

of L

ondo

n

Ham

pshi

re

NATIONAL PERFORMANCE DETECTION RATES

Page 14: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select Area:

Select Role:

Crime Type:

Visit Type:

Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05Crimes 249 312 #N/AAttendance 99 159 #N/A% Attendence 39.8 51.0 #N/A

Last 3 Months Performance

Scene

ForceTotal

Theft of Motor Vehicle

0

50

100

150

200

Apr-

03

Jun-0

3

Aug-0

3

Oct-

03

Dec-0

3

Feb-0

4

Apr-

04

Jun-0

4

Aug-0

4

Oct-

04

Dec-0

4

Feb-0

5

Apr-

05

Jun-0

5

Aug-0

5

Oct-

05

Dec-0

5

Feb-0

6

Number Visits

Trend in Visits

0500

1000150020002500300035004000

Mar-

04

Apr-

04

May-0

4

Jun-0

4

Jul-04

Aug-0

4

Sep-0

4

Oct-

04

Nov-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jan-0

5

Feb-0

5

Mar-

05

Apr-

05

May-0

5

Jun-0

5

Jul-05

Aug-0

5

Sep-0

5

Oct-

05

Nov-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jan-0

6

Feb-0

6

Mar-

06 0

10

20

30

40

50

12 Month Rolling Crime 12 Month Rolling Visits 12 Month Rolling % Attendance

Trend Crime (12 Month Rolling) Trend Attendance (12 Month Rolling)

THIS ATTENDANCE DATA IS COLLECTED VIA THE WORKLOAD SHEETS FILLED IN BY SOCO OFFICERS. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF CONCERNS OVER THIS DATA, INCLUDING THE FACT ONLY BCU LEVEL DATA IS AVAILABLE, ACROSS LIMITED CRIME TYPES. IT IS PROPOSED THAT CIS BE USED AS A MORE ACCURATE MEASURE, BUT THIS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET ACCURATE DUE TO NECESSARY CHANGES IN WORKING PRACTICES.

THEFT OF VEHICLE SCENE ATTENDANCE

Page 15: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05

Page 16: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select Area:

Select Role:

Crime Type:

Visit Type:

Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05Crimes 833 853 #N/AAttendance 257 314 #N/A% Attendence 30.9 36.8 #N/A

Last 3 Months Performance

Scene

ForceTotal

Theft from Motor Vehicle

0100200300400500

Apr-

03

Jun-0

3

Aug-0

3

Oct-

03

Dec-0

3

Feb-0

4

Apr-

04

Jun-0

4

Aug-0

4

Oct-

04

Dec-0

4

Feb-0

5

Apr-

05

Jun-0

5

Aug-0

5

Oct-

05

Dec-0

5

Feb-0

6

Number Visits

Trend in Visits

02000400060008000

100001200014000

Mar-

04

Apr-

04

May-0

4

Jun-0

4

Jul-04

Aug-0

4

Sep-0

4

Oct-

04

Nov-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jan-0

5

Feb-0

5

Mar-

05

Apr-

05

May-0

5

Jun-0

5

Jul-05

Aug-0

5

Sep-0

5

Oct-

05

Nov-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jan-0

6

Feb-0

6

Mar-

06 27

28

29

30

31

32

12 Month Rolling Crime 12 Month Rolling Visits 12 Month Rolling % Attendance

Trend Crime (12 Month Rolling) Trend Attendance (12 Month Rolling)

THIS ATTENDANCE DATA IS COLLECTED VIA THE WORKLOAD SHEETS FILLED IN BY SOCO OFFICERS. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF CONCERNS OVER THIS DATA, INCLUDING THE FACT ONLY BCU LEVEL DATA IS AVAILABLE, ACROSS LIMITED CRIME TYPES. IT IS PROPOSED THAT CIS BE USED AS A MORE ACCURATE MEASURE, BUT THIS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET ACCURATE DUE TO NECESSARY CHANGES IN WORKING PRACTICES.

THEFT FROM VEHICLE SCENE ATTENDANCE

Page 17: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05

Page 18: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select AreaSelect Crime TypeSelect Type of Ident

Action Taken Number PercentMove to Finalised - Detected 26 31.0Trying to Locate Suspect 11 13.1Suspect Eliminated 13 15.5Decision Made Not to Progress 10 11.9Other - Miscellaneous 10 11.9Suspect on Bail 6 7.1Undetected: More Evidence Required 3 3.6No Action 0 0.0Suspect in Prison 3 3.6Suspect in Custody 0 0.0Suspect in another Force Area 2 2.4Unable to Progress - Currently Abstrated 0 0.0Total 84

Figures are for the period Sep-05 to Dec-05

ForceTheft of Vehicle / TWOC

Both

31%

13%

15%

12%

12%

7%

4%0%4% 0%2% 0%

Move to Finalised - Detected

Trying to Locate Suspect

Suspect Eliminated

Decision Made Not to Progress

Other - Miscellaneous

Suspect on Bail

Undetected: More Evidence Required

No Action

Suspect in Prison

Suspect in Custody

Suspect in another Force Area

Unable to Progress - CurrentlyAbstrated

CONVERSION OF IDENTS - THEFT OF VEHICLE

Page 19: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select AreaSelect Crime TypeSelect Type of Ident

Action Taken Number PercentMove to Finalised - Detected 28 41.2Trying to Locate Suspect 3 4.4Suspect Eliminated 14 20.6Decision Made Not to Progress 4 5.9Other - Miscellaneous 4 5.9Suspect on Bail 7 10.3Undetected: More Evidence Required 2 2.9No Action 2 2.9Suspect in Prison 1 1.5Suspect in Custody 2 2.9Suspect in another Force Area 1 1.5Unable to Progress - Currently Abstrated 0 0.0Total 68

Figures are for the period Sep-05 to Dec-05

ForceTheft from Vehicle

Both

42%

4%21%

6%

6%

10%

3%

3%

1%3%

1%

0%

Move to Finalised - Detected

Trying to Locate Suspect

Suspect Eliminated

Decision Made Not to Progress

Other - Miscellaneous

Suspect on Bail

Undetected: More Evidence Required

No Action

Suspect in Prison

Suspect in Custody

Suspect in another Force Area

Unable to Progress - CurrentlyAbstrated

CONVERSION OF IDENTS - THEFT FROM VEHICLE

Page 20: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

Vehicle CrimeNov-05

Rate

0

5

10

15

20

25

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Met

ropo

litan

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Hum

bers

ide

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Suss

ex

Mer

seys

ide

Durh

am

Hertf

ords

hire

Linc

olns

hire

Clev

elan

d

Sout

h W

ales

Surre

y

North

ampt

onsh

ire Kent

Suffo

lk

Bedf

ords

hire

North

Yor

kshi

re

Wilts

hire

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

Avon

and

Som

erse

t

Ham

pshi

re

Esse

x

Norfo

lk

Derb

yshi

re

Staf

ford

shire

City

of L

ondo

n

Tham

es V

alle

y

North

umbr

ia

Leice

ster

shire

War

wick

shire

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire

Dors

et

Lanc

ashi

re

Glo

uces

ters

hire

North

Wal

es

Ches

hire

Cum

bria

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Wes

t Mer

cia

Gw

ent

NATIONAL PERFORMANCE DETECTION RATES

Page 21: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select Area:

Select Role:

Crime Type:

Visit Type:

Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05Crimes 10633 10167 #N/AAttendance 1296 1467 #N/A% Attendence 12.2 14.4 #N/A

Last 3 Months Performance

Scene

ForceTotalTotal

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Apr-

03

Jun-0

3

Aug-0

3

Oct-

03

Dec-0

3

Feb-0

4

Apr-

04

Jun-0

4

Aug-0

4

Oct-

04

Dec-0

4

Feb-0

5

Apr-

05

Jun-0

5

Aug-0

5

Oct-

05

Dec-0

5

Feb-0

6

Number Visits

Trend in Visits

020000400006000080000

100000120000140000160000

Mar-

04

Apr-

04

May-0

4

Jun-0

4

Jul-04

Aug-0

4

Sep-0

4

Oct-

04

Nov-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jan-0

5

Feb-0

5

Mar-

05

Apr-

05

May-0

5

Jun-0

5

Jul-05

Aug-0

5

Sep-0

5

Oct-

05

Nov-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jan-0

6

Feb-0

6

Mar-

06 11.2

11.4

11.6

11.8

12

12.2

12.4

12 Month Rolling Crime 12 Month Rolling Visits 12 Month Rolling % Attendance

Trend Crime (12 Month Rolling) Trend Attendance (12 Month Rolling)

THIS ATTENDANCE DATA IS COLLECTED VIA THE WORKLOAD SHEETS FILLED IN BY SOCO OFFICERS. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF CONCERNS OVER THIS DATA, INCLUDING THE FACT ONLY BCU LEVEL DATA IS AVAILABLE, ACROSS LIMITED CRIME TYPES. IT IS PROPOSED THAT CIS BE USED AS A MORE ACCURATE MEASURE, BUT THIS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET ACCURATE DUE TO NECESSARY CHANGES IN WORKING PRACTICES.

TOTAL CRIME SCENE ATTENDANCE

Page 22: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05

Page 23: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Total Crime Family Comparisons to Sept DNA

Improving

Good

Good

Page 24: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Total Crime Family Comparisons to Sept FP

Improving

Good

Improving

Page 25: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select AreaSelect Crime TypeSelect Type of Ident

Action Taken Number PercentMove to Finalised - Detected 226 36.8Trying to Locate Suspect 77 12.5Suspect Eliminated 67 10.9Decision Made Not to Progress 63 10.3Other - Miscellaneous 62 10.1Suspect on Bail 45 7.3Undetected: More Evidence Required 28 4.6No Action 25 4.1Suspect in Prison 7 1.1Suspect in Custody 7 1.1Suspect in another Force Area 7 1.1Unable to Progress - Currently Abstrated 0 0.0Total 614

Figures are for the period Sep-05 to Dec-05

ForceTotal Crime

Both

37%

13%11%

10%

10%

7%

5%

4%1%1%1% 0%

Move to Finalised - Detected

Trying to Locate Suspect

Suspect Eliminated

Decision Made Not to Progress

Other - Miscellaneous

Suspect on Bail

Undetected: More Evidence Required

No Action

Suspect in Prison

Suspect in Custody

Suspect in another Force Area

Unable to Progress - CurrentlyAbstrated

CONVERSION OF IDENTS - TOTAL CRIME

Page 26: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

Total CrimeNov-05

Rate

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Met

ropo

litan

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Hum

bers

ide

North

ampt

onsh

ire

Durh

am

Hertf

ords

hire

Clev

elan

d

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire

Mer

seys

ide

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Sout

h W

ales

Bedf

ords

hire

Avon

and

Som

erse

t Kent

Norfo

lk

War

wick

shire

Ches

hire

Surre

y

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Suss

ex

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Linc

olns

hire

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Ham

pshi

re

Gwe

nt

Staf

ford

shire

Suffo

lk

Derb

yshi

re

Esse

x

Glo

uces

ters

hire

North

Yor

kshi

re

Wilts

hire

Lanc

ashi

re

Dors

et

Leice

ster

shire

Cum

bria

North

Wal

es

Tham

es V

alle

y

North

umbr

ia

Wes

t Mer

cia

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

City

of L

ondo

n

NATIONAL PERFORMANCE DETECTION RATES

Page 27: FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

CONCLUSIONS

• Some Areas of Improvement

• Other Areas need further review and improvement

• Forensic Performance Group

• Lanner / Carrier Reports

• Performance Reviews

• Crime Scene Managers

• SOCRATES implementation

• Process Reviews

• Intelligence Led - in line with Targets, Priorities and Control Strategy