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Foreclosures and Crime: Providence Examples and Evolution
Jim LuchtThe Providence [email protected]
NIJ Conference on Foreclosure and CrimeMarch 31 – April 1, 2009
The Providence Plan
National Institute of Justice
Who is ProvPlan?Mission to promote the economic and social well-being of the city, its people, and its neighborhoods.
• 501(c)3 non-profit created in 1992• Public/Private Partnership
Strong programmatic capacity• Ready to Learn Providence • YouthBuild Providence• Local Learning Partnership/Making Connections• New Roots Providence
“Information for Change” Agenda• Information intermediary and community convener• Investments in GIS, data analysis, and web technology• Expanding our capacity to examine statewide issues
Geography MattersA Variety of Geographic Levels is Needed:
CITY
NEIGHBORHOOD
TRACTS
BLOCK GROUPS
People relate to places they’re most familiar with
Address and parcel-level information provide the greatest flexibilityBLOCKS
PARCEL
Differences are more readily observed at certain scales
Tools
• Neighborhood Profiles
• Special Portals- Health- Reentry
• Internet Map Server
Background
• Slow to start foreclosure mapping
– Seen as purview of City, State
• Dictated by need
– 2nd NIJ Geospatial Solicitation
– Local CDCs
Crime Mapping / Analysis
• Weekly statistics and maps
• Live mapping at staff meetings
• Specialized analysis
CopperTheft
Photo: Providence Journal
Where’s the kitchen?
Foreclosure and Abandonment
• Advertised Initiations
• Student-gathered data on boarding and abandonment
Photo: Providence Journal
Foreclosure and Abandonment
Basic Foreclosure
Mapping
• Thematic
• Hotspot
• Animations
• Parcels
Predominant Race/Ethnicity2000 Census Blocks
Source: 2000 Census SF1
Neighborhood Impact
Data had only addresses. Required link to plat-lot using master lookup table
Preliminary Analysis for NIJ: October 2007
• Overall crime 2.9 times higher within 50 feet of foreclosed property
• Burglary 5x City Avg.
• Vandalism 3x
• Drug Arrests 3.4x
• Time series (q1,q2 v. q3,q4) showed 50% crime and 200% Call for Service increase
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LISC CSI
LISC CSI
• Parcels ID’d
• Crimes pinpointed
LISC CSI
• Combined hot spots
LISC Analysis
Foreclosure Response
Distressed Property Management System
• Open Source: Django, PostGIS
• Commercial and municipal data feeds
• Parcel and address-based
• Asynchronous data linking
• May add crime if funding allows
www.provplan.org
