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August 2, 2011
Sponsor: Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority, Topeka, Kansas
Eric Johnson, President/Director of Airports
Congressional Code: KS-002
Dun & Bradstreet Number: 150947141
Tax Identification Number (EIN): 48-0878790
Application for Federal Support for New Air Service via:
Revenue Guarantees
Advertising/Marketing Program
Start-Up Cost Offsets
In Support of Non-Stop Service between Topeka and Denver
FORBES FIELD AIRPORT, TOPEKA, KANSAS
Proposal Under the Small Community Air Service Development Program Docket DOT-OST-2011-0119
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 2
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Summary Information – Appendix C 3
Introduction 6
The Topeka Air Service Market 7
Historical Service 7
Air Service Development Efforts 13
Air Service Needs and Deficiencies 14
Strategic Plan for New Air Service 19
Proposed New Route 19
Implementation Timeline 27
Alternate Plan 28
Public/Private Partnership 29
Funding Plan 31
Performance Measures and Financial Controls 33
Legal Sponsor 34
Availability of Alternate Airports 35
Airport Information 36
Community Profile 37
Conclusions 46
INTRODUCTORY LETTERS OF SUPPORT
Section Page Number
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 3
SUMMARY INFORMATION – APPENDIX C
Small Community Air Service Development Program
Docket DOT-OST-2011-0119
A. Applicant Information
Not a Consortium Community now receives EAS subsidy
Interstate Consortium Intrastate Consortium
Community previously received a Small Community Grant
If previous recipient, date of Grant: ________________________________
expiration date of Grant: _______________________
B. Public/Private Partnership
Public:
1. Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority
2. City of Topeka
3. Shawnee County Commission
Private:
1. Greater Topeka Area Chamber of Commerce
2. Coalition of Topeka Area Businesses
C. Project Proposal
Marketing Upgrade Aircraft New Route
Travel Bank Service Restoration Subsidy
Surface Transportation Regional Service Revenue Guarantee
Launch New Carrier Start-Up Cost Offset First Service
Study Secure Additional Service Other (Specify)
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 4
D. Existing Landing Aids at Airport
Full ILS Outer/Middle Marker Published Instrument Approach
Localizer Other:
E. Project Cost
1. Federal amount requested: $ 550,000
2. State cash financial contribution: $ 0
Local cash financial contribution:
3a. Airport cash funds: $ 50,000
3b. Non-Airport cash funds: $ 15,000
3. Total local cash funds: $ 65,000
4. TOTAL CASH FUNDING: $ 615,000
In-Kind Contribution:
a. Airport In-Kind contribution: $ Various
b. Other In-Kind contribution: $ Various
5. TOTAL IN-KIND CONTRIBUTION: $ Undetermined
6. TOTAL PROJECT COST: $ 615,000 + In-Kind
F. In-Kind Contributions
For funds in lines 7a (airport in-kind contribution) and 7b (other in-kind contribution),
please describe the source(s) of fund(s) for each.
Fee waivers: landing and terminal fees (airport)
Advertising and marketing match money (media companies)
G. Is Application Subject to Review by State Under Executive Order 12372 Process?
This application was made available to the State on ______.
Program is subject to review, but has not been selected by the State.
Program is not covered.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 5
H. Is Applicant Delinquent on any Federal Debt?
No
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 6
INTRODUCTION
Access to air service in and around Kansas’ capital is getting more difficult. The region
surrounding Topeka has seen total airline seat capacity cut by 27% in the last two years. The
result of the seat cuts has been an increase in the average fare paid by Topeka catchment
area passengers – up 14% in just the last year or $20 each way on average.
Topeka is one of the few state capitals in the country without locally-provided air service.
Topeka’s closest service is provided at Kansas City, which is more than an hour’s drive from the
center of the City. Regional air service is also provided in Manhattan, Kansas, but it is also more
than an hour from Topeka, and destinations are limited.
There is no service from central Kansas to Denver, nor is there effective connecting service to the
western US. While Kansas City does have Denver service, airlines have cut the average number
of seats per day each way between Kansas City and
Denver by 707 in the last two years, or by 32% of all
airline seat capacity in the market.
Realizing this weakness in local air service, the
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority has spent
considerable time building a local coalition of
support for potential air service. This local coalition
has pledged $15,000 in cash funding for this application – new from previous applications for
Small Community Air Service Development Grant funding.
Additionally, the Airport Authority has met with several carriers in 2011 to talk about Denver
service, including SkyWest, operating as United Express, and Frontier. In those meetings, the
airlines made it clear that a risk mitigation program would be a key to their interest in serving the
route. This application lays out a specific strategic plan to support service to Denver, to replace
a small portion of the Denver seats eliminated by airlines serving the larger region, and to
provide the capital of Kansas with its first scheduled, network airline service in eight years.
“[A] local coalition has pledged
$15,000 in cash funding for this
application – new from previous
applications…”
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 7
THE TOPEKA AIR SERVICE MARKET Historical Air Service
In the context of this application, Topeka may be best known as one of the few state capitals in
the country without scheduled air service. The Topeka metro area is home to almost a half
million people. The City is more than 70 miles from its nearest air service – in Kansas City. In 2011,
Topeka suffers from declining airline seat capacity in the region – with seats down 27% in the last
two years in the area surrounding Topeka. Subsequently, fares in the region have gone up by an
average of $20 each way in just the last year.
The 30 minute drive time Topeka catchment area (see within the dotted line in map 1) is home
to 168,139 people as of
the latest US Census
estimates. The one hour
drive time catchment area
(seen inside the solid line in
map 1) is home to 464,809
people.
The areas shaded in green
in map 1 represent areas
where residents must pass
the Topeka – Forbes Field
Airport on their way to
access air service at other
airports in the region –
namely Kansas City
International. The
population of the total
area in green is 199,623,
while the population of the area in dark green is 130,134, or 77.4% of the Topeka’s immediate
catchment area. Topeka is not isolated, but the areas to the north and west of the Airport
certainly are isolated.
MAP 1: Immediate (30 Minute) and Extended (60 Minute) Catchment Areas, Forbes Field Airport, Topeka
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 8
The Forbes Field Airport lost its last scheduled air service in July of 2007. Allegiant Air provided
non-stop flights, twice per week, between Topeka and Las Vegas from March of 2006 through
the summer of 2007. The service performed well, from an analysis of all data points, but it was
ended as Allegiant was beginning to see margins in the 20% to 25% range – slightly higher than
the projected margin it was likely earning in Topeka.
For the full 17-month operation of Topeka – Las Vegas service, Allegiant averaged a load factor
of 79% (see figure 1). The carrier averaged 44 available seats per day each way (SDEW), and
boarded an average of 36 passengers per day each way (PDEW) – despite the fact that the
service operated just twice per week.
Topeka – Las Vegas service performed best just before it was pulled. In the last two months of
Allegiant service, the route averages 40.3 passengers per day each way – the highest two-
month average for the entire duration the route was served (see figure 1). In the last two months
of service in Topeka, Allegiant averaged a load factor just above 91%.
12
40
4445
44
39
4544
40
44 44
48
4445
39
4544
9.4
20.3
30.0
40.839.6
34.2
36.134.8
28.5
35.5
31.1
36.535.7
32.7
29.9
40.6 40.2
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2006-03 2006-04 2006-05 2006-06 2006-07 2006-08 2006-09 2006-10 2006-11 2006-12 2007-01 2007-02 2007-03 2007-04 2007-05 2007-06 2007-07
Available SDEW Onboard PDEW Load Factor
77.7%
50.7%
68.8%
90.6% 91.1% 88.5%
80.1% 79.9%
71.2%
81.5%
71.5%75.7%
82.1%
72.7%77.3%
90.3% 92.3%
FIGURE 1: Departing Seats per Day, Departing Passengers per Day, and Load Factor Topeka – Las Vegas Service, March 2006 – July 2007; Source: US DOT T100 Data
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 9
Topeka lost is last commercial hub service in 2003, when the Department of Transportation
ended its status as an Essential Air Service (EAS) market. The judgment was made due to the
fact that the average subsidy, per passenger, had topped the $200 cap. Otherwise, Topeka
would still qualify as an EAS service point today, as it had commercial service at the end of
deregulation and it lies more than 70 miles from the nearest medium hub airport, in Kansas City.
Previous scheduled hub service was not ideal, as service was provided only to Kansas City.
There was virtually no value to the local segment, so all traffic was connecting. The service was
not altogether operationally reliable, which led many to conclude a drive to Kansas City was
easier than the flight. This is what caused the EAS subsidy per passenger to spike. Any future
service in the market must connect through a hub farther away than Kansas City, to ensure
there is value for a local passenger.
The Topeka area currently makes up a small portion of the Kansas City International Airport
catchment area, as there is no current scheduled air service in Topeka. The Topeka – Forbes
Field Airport 30-minute
catchment area represents
6.59% of the total
population of the 90-
minute Kansas City
catchment area (see map
2). The immediate Topeka
catchment area,
represented in map 2 in
purple, includes 168,139
people.
Only those living in the
immediate, 30-minute
Topeka catchment area
are considered in the
origin and destination
passenger analysis
included in this proposal, as Forbes Field would be significantly more convenient for them than
Kansas City International Airport (MCI). For the purposes of these projections, it is assumed
Topeka Would Be Significantly More Convenient for 6.59% of the Kansas City International
Airport Catchment Area
MAP 2: Topeka’s Catchment Area Relative to the Kansas City International Catchment Area
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 10
service at Topeka would draw passengers only from its 6.59% share of the Kansas City catchment
area (see map 2).
When these assumptions are taken into account, it becomes apparent that even the immediate
Topeka catchment area generates enough passengers to support local air service. The Topeka
catchment generated an estimated 593,820 origin and destination passengers in calendar year
2010, or an average of 813 passengers per day each way (see figure 2). Passengers generated
in the Topeka catchment area in 2010 were flat over 2009, despite regional fares increasing by
14%. The average fare paid by passengers from the Topeka catchment area went up by $20
each way in 2010, to $168 each way.
Passengers generated in the immediate Topeka catchment area have fallen by an estimated
13% since 2007, or an average of 121 passengers per day each way (see figure 2). A
combination of volatile fares and reduced capacity in the region – namely at Kansas City
International – have caused the passenger decline.
FIGURE 2: Estimated O&D Passengers from the Topeka Catchment Area CY2002 – CY2010; Sources: US DOT Table OD1A, Sixel Consulting Group Analysis
557,297 550,836574,748 584,886
621,753643,839
606,891560,762 555,340
26,662 26,782
31,20334,300
37,249
38,552
39,184
36,012 38,480
799.9 791.3
830.1848.2
902.7
934.8
885.0
817.5 813.5
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
650,000
700,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
PDEW International Domestic
$132 $132$138
$146
$153 $154
$167
$148
$168
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 11
Nonetheless, at 2010 passenger totals, the Topeka catchment area generates plenty of air travel
to support local air service – even when taking into account only the immediate, 30-minute
catchment area for Forbes Field Airport. The region’s average of 813 passengers per day each
way would be enough to support 17 50-seat regional jet departures per day from the Forbes
Field Airport at a load factor of 96%.
Passengers generated in the Topeka
catchment area travel to destinations in
both directions from the market. Of the
top 20 origin and destination passenger
markets from the Topeka area as of
calendar year 2010, eight are west of the
market while 12 are east of the market
(see figure 3). In 2010, it is estimated that
Chicago ranked as Topeka’s number one
origin and destination domestic
passenger market, generating more than
37,600 annual passengers or an average
of 51.6 passengers per day each way
(PDEW). Chicago was followed by
Denver, with an average of 37.4
passengers per day each way; Dallas/Ft.
Worth, with 37.1 passengers per day each
way; New York/Newark, with 32.7
passengers per day each way; Orlando,
with 28.5 passengers per day each way; Las Vegas, with 27.5 passengers per day each way;
and Atlanta, with 24.8 passengers per day each way.
As previously noted in this proposal, the average fare in the Topeka region is up 14% in just
the last year. The 2010 average one way fare was $168 each way – up from $148 each way
in 2009 (see figure 4). The reason for the regional fare increase is the loss of airline capacity
in the region surrounding the Topeka catchment area – with total available seats down 27%
since the summer of 2008.
FIGURE 3: Topeka’s Estimated Top 20 O&D Passenger Markets, CY2010; Sources: US DOT Table OD1A, Sixel Consulting Group Analysis
37,664
27,302
27,097
23,841
20,801
20,076
18,091
17,377
17,268
16,697
12,815
11,677
11,249
11,005
10,508
9,778
9,390
9,150
8,961
8,761
51.6
37.4
37.1
32.7
28.5
27.5
24.8
23.8
23.7
22.9
17.6
16.0
15.4
15.1
14.4
13.4
12.9
12.5
12.3
12.0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000
Chicago, IL
Denver, CO
Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
New York/Newark, NY
Orlando/Sanford, FL
Las Vegas, NV
Atlanta, GA
Washington, DC
Los Angeles, CA
Phoenix/Mesa, AZ
Houston, TX
Baltimore, MD
Tampa, FL
Seattle/Tacoma, WA
San Diego, CA
Milwaukee, WI
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Nashville, TN
Philadelphia
Boston, MA
Annual Passengers PDEW
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 12
Average fares to most
markets west of Topeka
are well above $300
roundtrip, while eastern
markets generally have
lower fares (see figure
4). For example, the
average fare to
Orlando is $228
roundtrip as of 2010,
while the average fare
to Los Angeles is $314
roundtrip. It should be
noted that these fares
do not take into
account the cost of a
Topeka catchment
area passenger
accessing air service at
other airports in the
region. The cost of
driving from Topeka to Kansas City’s airport has increased by more than 50% in the last year,
as gas prices have gone up.
With rising fares and decreasing capacity in the region surrounding Topeka, access to air
service is more difficult than it has been at any time since the end of 2001. This fact gives
new emphasis to the goal of the Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority in its effort to bring
local air service to Forbes Field.
FIGURE 4: Average One Way Fare at Topeka’s Top 20 O&D Passenger Markets, CY2010; Sources: US DOT Table OD1A, Sixel Consulting Group Analysis
$109
$95
$127
$176
$114
$138
$128
$167
$157
$153
$155
$134
$115
$158
$154
$89
$128
$100
$167
$149
$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 $180
Chicago, IL
Denver, CO
Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
New York/Newark, NY
Orlando/Sanford, FL
Las Vegas, NV
Atlanta, GA
Washington, DC
Los Angeles, CA
Phoenix/Mesa, AZ
Houston, TX
Baltimore, MD
Tampa, FL
Seattle/Tacoma, WA
San Diego, CA
Milwaukee, WI
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Nashville, TN
Philadelphia
Boston, MA
Average Fare: $168
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 13
AIR SERVICE DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS
The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority is dedicated to doing whatever it can to bring viable,
sustainable air service to Kansas’ capital. Since Allegiant Air left the market in 2007, the Airport
has begun a process to bring a network air carrier to the market, to offer connectivity to the
majority of cities Topeka-area business travelers need access to. The Airport has hired a
consulting firm to work on the recruitment of additional service.
The Airport Authority has also spent considerable time building a local coalition of support for
potential air service. This local coalition has pledged $15,000 in cash funding for this application
– new from previous applications for Small Community Air Service Development Grant funding.
The coalition will be of tremendous value in
marketing the new service at Forbes Field Airport
and in ensuring local businesses use the service.
So far in 2011, the Airport has been able to
secure one-on-one meetings with three airlines,
including SkyWest/United Express, Frontier and
SeaPort Airlines. In these conversations airlines did express interest in serving the Topeka market.
The primary target of discussion with these airlines was service to Denver, which is why Denver
has been made the target of this application for federal support.
“This local coalition has pledged
$15,000 in cash funding for this
application… of tremendous
value marketing the new service.”
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 14
AIR SERVICE NEEDS AND DEFICIENCIES IN TOPEKA
There are a number of challenges to the successful recruitment of a new airline to Forbes Field
Airport in Topeka, just as there are several challenges for Topeka catchment area passengers
accessing air service at other airports in the region. In regard to challenges with access to
service for area passengers, airlines have cut regional capacity by more than a quarter since
the fuel spike of 2008. This has resulted in rising fares – up 14% in just the last year. Moreover, it is
much more expensive now for Topeka catchment area passengers to drive to other airports in
the region due to the increased gas cost.
Detailing, perhaps, the most significant air service deficiency in the region, in just the last three
years Kansas City International Airport has seen its most significant seat cuts in more than a
decade. These seat cuts have the impact of making air service more difficult to access for
those in the Topeka catchment area. Since the summer of 2008, Kansas City has lost an
average of 72 daily departures – a loss of 31% of that Airport’s daily flights (see figure 5). During
that same time period, Kansas City has lost an average of 6,146 daily outbound available seats,
or 27% of all the market’s available airline capacity.
FIGURE 5: Available Seats, Flights, and Passengers per Day at MCI June 2008 – February 2011; Source: US DOT T100 Data
22,653
21,923
21,113
19,968 19,818
18,906 18,810
18,122 18,125 18,209
18,78419,127
20,349 20,317
19,575
18,84119,205
18,942
18,274
17,369 17,261
18,332 18,36418,735
19,55319,272 19,239
18,678 18,65819,039
18,475
16,98316,507
18,542
17,783
16,211
14,271
15,152
13,231
13,916
11,534
12,198
13,925 13,802
14,874
16,71117,027
15,034
13,915
14,882
14,01213,541
11,59111,860
14,05913,802
14,877
16,70216,399
14,951
14,280
14,934
14,397
13,859
11,778 11,813
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
Available SDEW Onboard PDEW Flights DEW
232.4
213.9
206.3
187.2 186.4183.4 181.6
177.5181.4 183.6
191.1 190.3
199.9 198.3
190.3
181.0 182.5 182.8
175.4
166.6 167.5
179.0 178.0 180.7
189.4186.5 187.5
180.4 180.6 181.2175.9
162.7 160.0
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 15
Cuts in available seats in Kansas City had begun to level off, until November of 2010 (see figure
5). Since then, airlines have cut an additional 2,532 seats per day each way on average – or
13% of total capacity at Kansas City. Since summer 2008, airlines have cut the equivalent of 123
50-seat regional jet departures per day from Kansas City International Airport.
These air carrier flight and seat losses not only hurt the immediate Kansas City catchment area,
but also Topeka. Topeka catchment area travelers have had to rely more on service provided
at Kansas City for access to the national air transportation system. This access is becoming more
difficult as the region, as a whole, sees cuts in airline service.
It has been established in this proposal that the Forbes Field Airport in Topeka has a sufficient
passenger base in its local catchment area to support commercial air service. Despite this,
airlines have found the region unattractive due to the relative proximity of Kansas City
International Airport (MCI). While this, in and of itself, represents a hardship for the Airport and
the community it serves, there are additional extenuating circumstances regarding seat loss and
flight declines to consider in the larger region.
To gauge the general
strength of the Topeka
metropolitan statistical
area (MSA), and its ability
to support commercial
flights, the Airport
produced an analysis of
the market’s position in
the region, and an
estimated determination
of the number of local
Topeka MSA passengers
using other airports in the
region. This analysis also
included a projection of
regional travel based on
the economies of the
area’s main airport-
FOE
MCI
ICT
Regional Population
Kansas City (MCI) 2,070,544 70.5%
Wichita (ICT) 637,781 21.7%
Topeka (FOE) 229,619 7.8%
Population Share
FIGURE 6: Regional Population Distribution Source: US Census Estimates
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 16
served metropolitan areas. This analysis helps to validate the projected numbers for new service.
At the same time, the analysis also points out just how underserved the Topeka market is.
The Topeka metropolitan statistical area (MSA) had a population of 229,619 as of the latest US
Census estimates (see Figure 6). The larger region comprised of the metro areas of Kansas City
and Wichita has a current population of 2,937,944. Topeka’s share of that population is 7.8%.
In many markets, an Airport draws a number of
passengers proportional to its overall population in the
region. If that were to be the case in the Topeka
market, one could reasonably expect the Airport to
retain about 8% of the total passengers using all three
airports in the larger region. While the Topeka metro
area is home to almost 8% of the region’s total
residents, without current service, its Airport retains
none of the region’s passengers (see figures 7 and 8).
If the Airport had been able to retain the number of
regional passengers proportional to its share of
population in the region, it would have been used by
805,653 origin and destination passengers as of
calendar year 2010.
The largest beneficiary of Topeka’s passenger
leakage is Kansas City – which is more than an hour
away, on a drive of 74 highway miles by the most
direct route. Kansas City had “reverse leakage” as of
calendar year 2010, when it drew 24% more passengers than its proportion of the regional
population. While Kansas City makes up 70.5% of the region’s population, it boards more than
87% of the region’s total origin and destination passengers (see figures 7 and 8). If Kansas City
retained a number of origin and destination passengers proportional to its regional population
share, it would be expected to generate 7.3 million passengers annually. In 2010, Kansas City
saw a total of 9,010,920 O&D passengers – again, almost a quarter above its regional share.
Many of those “extra” passengers came from the Topeka catchment area.
FIGURE 7: Regional Population Share Source: US Census Estimates
FIGURE 8: Regional O&D Passenger Share Source: US DOT Table OD1A, CY2010
Kansas City 70.50%
Wichita 21.70%
Topeka 7.80%
Kansas City 87.24%
Wichita 12.76%
Topeka 0.00%
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 17
Another way of determining passenger leakage from the Topeka catchment area is by
comparing the economy of Topeka to the economies of the nearest cities with commercially-
served airports. The easiest way to gauge each catchment area’s contribution to the economy
of the region is to compare the gross metropolitan products (GMP) of each. A GMP is much like
a gross national product – an overall gauge of economic activity in an area in dollars earned.
The United States Council of Mayors reports the Topeka metro area produced a GMP of $8.7
billion, which represented 6.4% of the total gross regional product (GRP) of the area including
Kansas City and Wichita
(see figure 9). Kansas City
generated the largest
portion of the GRP, with
$101.2 billion, or 74.6%,
while Wichita produced a
GMP of $25.7 billion – good
for 19.0% of the GRP.
Despite producing 6.4% of
the total gross regional
product (GRP), the Topeka
area doesn’t retain its
share of passengers due to
the fact the Airport has no
current airline service (see
figures 10 and 11). If the
Airport had been able to
retain the number of regional passengers proportional to its share of the GRP, it would have
been used by 661,048 passengers as of calendar year 2010.
FOE
MCI
ICT
Kansas City (MCI) $101.2 Billion 74.6%
Wichita (ICT) $25.7 Billion 19.0%
Topeka (FOE) $8.7 Billion 6.4%
Gross Metropolitan Product (GMP)
GMP Share
FIGURE 9: Regional Gross Metro Product (GMP) Distribution Source: US Council of Mayors
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 18
The major beneficiary of Topeka’s passenger leakage
is, again, Kansas City. Kansas City experienced
“reverse leakage” as of the year ended first quarter
2010, when it drew 16% more passengers than its
proportion of the gross regional product (GRP). While
Kansas City generates 74.6% of the GRP, it boards
more than 87% of the region’s total origin and
destination passengers (see figures 10 and 11). If
Kansas City retained a number of origin and
destination passengers proportional to its GRP share, it
would be expected to generate 7.7 million
passengers annually. In 2010, Kansas City saw a total
of more than nine million O&D passengers.
These statistics illustrate that the Topeka market is
strong enough in both population, and in its economic
health, to generate at least 660,000 annual origin and
destination passengers. If none of Topeka’s
passengers “leaked” to other airports in the region, it
would generate enough local passengers to fill 19 50-
seat regional jet departures per day at a 95% load factor.
While these estimates illustrate the relative strength of the Topeka catchment area, challenges
remain in the successful recruitment of a new airline to Forbes Field Airport. Foremost, in its
meetings with various airlines in 2011, Airport leadership has learned that many airlines are
worried about breaking passenger habits in the catchment area, and convincing those
passengers to use their local airport instead of driving to Kansas City to access service. This
Grant application is a key to funding an adequate marketing program to accomplish the goal
of retaining passengers, and to convincing airlines the proper amount of funding is available to
achieve this goal.
FIGURE 10: Regional GMP Share Source: US Council of Mayors
FIGURE 11: Regional O&D Passenger Share Source: US DOT Table OD1A, CY2010
Kansas City 74.60%
Wichita 19.00%
Topeka 6.40%
Kansas City 87.24%
Wichita 12.76%
Topeka 0.00%
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 19
STRATEGIC PLAN FOR NEW AIR SERVICE
In order to address the challenges to air service in the region surrounding the Topeka catchment
area, the Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority has developed this plan for local service
provided at Forbes Field Airport. The strategic plan aims to correct deficiencies in service that
include the lack of access to the air transportation system within 70 miles of the Topeka area, the
decline in available airline seats and capacity in the region, and the increased cost of flying to
and from Topeka through other airports.
Under this plan, the Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority proposes to use a combination of
$65,000 in locally raised funding in conjunction with federal Small Community Air Service
Development Grant money in support of the addition of scheduled network airline service to the
market. The proposed route
is between Topeka and
Denver, based on direct
airline feedback from one-
on-one meetings in 2011 (see
map 3). It is believed this
route will have the best
chance of success due to
the fact it is not duplicated
at the nearest regional
airport, in Manhattan,
Kansas. It is proposed the
route be operated by a
United Express carrier, to
access the widest potential
array of one-stop
destinations beyond Denver.
The Airport proposes two daily flights on the route in each direction. The route between Topeka
and Denver would cover 486 miles in a block time of one hour and 40 minutes, on average,
assuming an average groundspeed of 400 knots on a Canadair CRJ200 regional jet aircraft
seating 50 passengers in an all-economy layout.
MAP 3: Proposed Route: Topeka – Denver
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 20
The proposed schedule would allow for the overnight of an aircraft at the Forbes Field Airport,
which positions the aircraft for an early morning departure to Denver to connect to the first
departing block of flights of the day on the United Airlines network (see figure 12). This schedule
connects into the main midday and evening banks at Denver, as well, with a late evening
arrival. The schedule is designed for the Topeka area business traveler to be able to make a two
day trip to most Intermountain and West Coast markets – providing the best possible
competition with the schedule at Kansas City.
Origin Destination Departs Arrives Block Time Equipment
FOE DEN 6:30am 7:10am 1:40 CRJ
DEN FOE 10:15am 12:55pm 1:40 CRJ
FOE DEN 1:55pm 2:35pm 1:40 CRJ
DEN FOE 8:10pm 10:50pm 1:40 CRJ
The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority seeks a Small Community Air Service Development
Grant, in the amount of $550,000, to help mitigate the initial monetary risk in serving the Topeka –
Denver route, primarily for a United Express carrier. In addition to the federal portion, the Airport
Authority has developed local cash commitments of $65,000 in support of this project. The total
project cost is projected to be $615,000
The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority projects that the bulk of the grant money be available
to provide insurance in case the new carrier incurs a loss during the first year of operations. With
demonstrated demand for service in the Topeka market, and demand for connectivity over the
Denver hub, the Airport projects the new flights will be profitable within one year. A total of
$550,000 will be available for this revenue guarantee. The additional $65,000 in funding will be
used in support of marketing and advertising programs. Start-up expenses will be provided to
the new carrier outside of this proposal, with additional airport cash.
If, for some unforeseen reason, service is not commenced in a timely manner by a carrier serving
the United Airlines hub at Denver, the Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority proposes to use
federal grant money awarded under the Small Community Air Service Development Program for
FIGURE 12: Proposed Schedule: Topeka – Denver
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 21
service to another hub with wide-ranging connectivity. Among the options the Airport will
consider would be service to Denver on Frontier or another affiliated carrier; service to Memphis
on Delta or one of its affiliated carriers; service to Dallas/Ft. Worth on American or one of its
affiliated carriers; service to Minneapolis/St. Paul on Delta or one of its affiliated carriers; service
to Chicago on a United Express or American Connection carrier, or service to Detroit on Delta or
one of its affiliated carriers.
Should these options, for an unforeseen reason, not be available for new service at the Forbes
Field Airport, the Airport will continue its discussions with all other carriers that can provide
service. Since the community has never before received a Small Community Air Service
Development Grant, it will have no limitations on which new hub the DOT could fund.
Route Specific Data: Topeka – Denver
The United Airlines Denver hub would provide Topeka area travelers the most wide-ranging
collection of one-stop destinations of any hub to the west of the market. There is no current
service from
central Kansas to
Denver on any
airline. The
Metropolitan
Topeka Airport
Authority has had
recent discussions,
in the spring of
2011, with SkyWest,
about serving the
Topeka – Denver
market under the
United code. It
was made clear in
these discussions
that a risk
mitigation program
MAP 4: One-Stop Connections over Denver on United August 2011; Source: Sixel Consulting Group Hub Builder
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 22
would be a key to new service.
United Express service from Topeka to Denver on the United code would connect to 66 one-stop
cities throughout the western US, Mexico, Canada, Hawaii and Alaska (see map 4). Denver
provides the best possible connectivity to destinations on the West Coast – which rank as some
of the region’s largest origin and destination passenger markets.
It’s important to understand the dynamics of current Denver service from other airports in the
region surrounding Topeka. In the last two years, the Kansas City – Denver route has seen major
flight and seat reductions, outpacing national averages. As of June of 2009, airlines offered an
average of 2,209 seats per day each way between Kansas City and Denver (see figure 13). By
February of 2011, the average number of seats per day each way between Kansas City and
Denver dropped to just 1,502 – a loss of 707 seats per day each way, or 32% of all airline seat
capacity in the market.
FIGURE 13: Available Seats, Flights, and Passengers per Day between MCI and DEN June 2009 – February 2011; Source: US DOT T100 Data
2,2092,185
2,086
2,015 1,994 1,994 1,9821,938
1,967 1,972
1,9001,856
1,892 1,8681,922 1,936
1,894 1,898
1,825
1,494 1,502
1,739
1,867
1,641
1,509 1,509
1,3251,381
1,2101,258
1,437
1,319
1,400
1,664 1,681
1,578
1,500 1,4851,437
1,384
1,075
1,154
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2,500
2009-06 2009-07 2009-08 2009-09 2009-10 2009-11 2009-12 2010-01 2010-02 2010-03 2010-04 2010-05 2010-06 2010-07 2010-08 2010-09 2010-10 2010-11 2010-12 2011-01 2011-02
Available SDEW Onboard PDEW Flights DEW
16.5 16.3
15.6
15.014.6
15.0 15.2 15.015.3 15.4 15.4
15.0
15.8 15.6 15.9 15.715.4
15.1 15.1
12.4
13.9
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 23
At the same time, airlines have cut Denver flights from the region surrounding Topeka. Between
June of 2009 and February of 2011, airlines have cut an average of 2.6 flights per day each way
between Kansas City and Denver, or 16% of all flights in the market (see figure 13). The impact
of these flight and seat cuts has been increased difficulty for local travelers heading to
destination west of the market. It should also be noted, the number of daily average seats
between Topeka and Denver, as noted in this proposal, is just 100. In the last two years, 707 seats
have been cut from the Kansas City – Topeka market. The seats proposed in this application will
replace only a small proportion of those already cut from the local region.
As regional fares have stabilized over the last five years, the number of passengers traveling
between Topeka and Denver, itself, has grown by more than 50%. In 2010, the local Topeka –
Denver market generated an average of 37.4 passengers per day each way, on average, at an
average one way fare of $95 (see figure 14).
Since 2005, the local Topeka – Denver market has grown by an average of 12.4 passengers per
day each way, or 50% (see figure 14). In that time, the average fare paid in the Topeka
FIGURE 14: Estimated O&D Passengers from the Topeka Catchment Area to/from Denver CY2001 – CY2010; Sources: US DOT Table OD1A, Sixel Consulting Group Analysis
23,086
20,145
16,69418,200 18,267
25,619
31,121
28,47226,759 27,295
31.6
27.6
22.9
24.9 25.0
35.1
42.6
39.0
36.737.4
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Estimated DEN PDEW Estimated DEN Pax
$124
$113
$126 $125
$137
$99
$87
$97$91 $95
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 24
catchment area for local travel to Denver has gone down by 30%. In 2010, the local Topeka –
Denver market is large enough to support one regional jet flight per day in each direction with a
75% load factor – not taking into account any connecting traffic or any traffic stimulation with
new non-stop service.
The Topeka catchment area currently generates an estimated average of 211 origin and
destination passengers per day each way to destinations that naturally connect over the United
Airlines Denver hub. As of calendar year 2010, Topeka is estimated to have generated 154,253
total origin and destination passengers that would flow over Denver on United and the Star
Alliance (see figure 15). In all, the Topeka – Denver route has the potential to capture 26% of the
passengers currently estimated to be flying to and from the Topeka catchment area through
other airports, without taking into account any passenger stimulation through the addition of
local non-stop service.
At the same time, the United Airlines Denver hub could capture 23% of the current estimated
revenue generated in Topeka catchment area (see figure 15). It is estimated that markets from
Topeka that flow over the United Denver hub generate more than $22.8 million in annual airline
revenue, or $31,240 in revenue per day each way (RDEW).
FIGURE 15: Estimated Topeka O&D Passengers and Revenue Flowing over Denver on United CY2010; Sources: US DOT Table OD1A, Sixel Consulting Group Analysis
Denver 26%
Other Hubs 74%
Denver 23%
Other Hubs 77%
Estimated Topeka O&D Revenue $99,807,439 100%
Revenue Flowing Over Denver $22,804,881 23%
Estimated Topeka O&D Passengers 593,820 100%
Passengers Flowing Over Denver 154,253 26%
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 25
The United/Star Alliance hub at
Denver has potential to capture
large portions of traffic in many of
Topeka’s largest estimated origin
and destination markets. The
Denver hub is especially well
positioned to capture traffic
traveling to the West Coast and the
Intermountain West, along with
many destinations in Mexico and
Canada. Among the large markets
that would be served over Denver
on United is Denver, itself, which is
estimated to have produced 37.4
passengers per day each way
(PDEW) to and from Topeka in 2010;
Los Angeles, which produces 29.8
PDEW; Las Vegas, which produces 27.5
PDEW; Phoenix, which produces 22.9 PDEW;
Seattle/Tacoma, which produces 15.1
PDEW; and San Diego, which produces 14.4
PDEW as of calendar year 2010 (see figure
16).
Should it launch service between Topeka
and Denver, United, or one of its affiliated
carriers, would be adding service in markets
that have current fares averaging $148
each way at Kansas City International
Airport (see figure 17). United Express would
provide another alternative in many
markets where fares are above the Midwest
regional average. Examples include Los
FIGURE 16: Topeka’s Top 20 Passenger Markets over DEN on United CY2010; Sources: US DOT Table OD1A, Sixel Consulting Group Analysis
FIGURE 17: Average One Way Fare at Top 20 Passenger Markets Over DEN on UA, CY2010; Sources: US DOT Table OD1A
27,302
21,785
20,076
16,697
11,005
10,508
8,069
6,316
5,731
5,096
4,720
4,040
2,735
1,681
1,448
1,277
1,130
980
819
532
37.4
29.8
27.5
22.9
15.1
14.4
11.1
8.7
7.9
7.0
6.5
5.5
3.7
2.3
2.0
1.7
1.5
1.3
1.1
0.7
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000
Denver
Los Angeles Basin
Las Vegas
Phoenix
Seattle/Tacoma
San Diego
San Francisco Bay Area
Portland, OR
Salt Lake City
Cancun
Sacramento
Albuquerque
Tucson
Spokane
Boise
Puerto Vallarta
Anchorage
Los Cabos
Colorado Springs
Billings
PDEW
$95
$156
$138
$153
$158
$154
$172
$171
$153
$202
$157
$138
$142
$147
$162
$223
$283
$253
$155
$182
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250
DenverLos Angeles Basin
Las VegasPhoenix
Seattle/TacomaSan Diego
San Francisco Bay AreaPortland, OR
Salt Lake CityCancun
SacramentoAlbuquerque
TucsonSpokane
BoisePuerto Vallarta
AnchorageLos Cabos
Colorado SpringsBillings
Average Over DEN: $148
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 26
Angeles, where the average roundtrip fare was $312 in 2010; Phoenix, where the average
roundtrip fare was $306; Seattle/Tacoma, where the average roundtrip fare was $316 in 2010;
San Francisco, where the average fare was $344 roundtrip; and Portland, Oregon, where the
average roundtrip fare was $342 in 2010.
The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority believes there is sufficient passenger traffic and
revenue that would flow over United’s Denver hub to make the service profitable. United would
not be forced to offer rock-bottom fares in Topeka to be competitive – even fares slightly higher
than those found in other regional markets, such as Kansas City, would be low enough to
capture local traffic and end some of the leakage the market experiences today. The Airport
Authority believes this is the best plan for local, network air service, moving forward.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 27
IMPLEMENTATION TIMELINE
The proposed implementation timeline for the project assumes the Department of Transportation
will award Small Community Grant Funding in September of 2011. Once the award is
announced, the Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority will conduct additional airline meetings
to secure new service. Based on airline planning lead times and the need for advance
bookings, we assume the new carrier would not be able to begin service until at least June of
2012.
The first three milestones on the Airport's timeline are to execute the grant agreement with the
Department of Transportation, meet with prospective airlines to negotiate for service, and sign
the minimum revenue guarantee agreement with the appropriate airline partner. Once service
is announced and schedules are published, the Airport would begin marketing the new route
and working with the new carrier to monitor advance bookings. The Airport will continue its
marketing program and continue to work with the new carrier to monitor the route once service
begins. The Airport would submit grant status reports on a quarterly basis to the Department
throughout the proposed two year term of the minimum revenue guarantee.
While the estimated dates are targets, it is possible service could be secured and launched on a
more aggressive timeline once Grant funding is awarded. It is also possible that new service
could slip to 2013 should an airline require additional risk mitigation, beyond that included in this
proposal, from the community.
Activity/Project Milestone Estimated DateSCASD Grant Award Announcement September 2011Executive Grant Agreement with DOT October 2011Meet With Prospective Airlines Oct/Nov 2011Negotiate Minimum Revenue Guarantee (MRG) With Airline Jan - Mar 2012Announce Service March 2012Publish Schedule March 2012Begin Marketing of New Route March 2012Monitor Advance Bookings March - June 2012Service Launch June 2012MRG Available for Service June 2012 - October 2014Monitor Route Performance June 2012 - October 2014Submit Grant Status Reports to DOT Quarterly Q4 2011 - Q4 2014Close Grant October 2014
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 28
ALTERNATE PLAN
If, for some unforeseen reason, service is not commenced in a timely manner by a carrier serving
the United Airlines hub at Denver, the Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority proposes to use
federal grant money awarded under the Small Community Air Service Development Program for
service to another hub with wide-ranging connectivity. Among the options the Airport will
consider would be service to Denver on Frontier or another affiliated carrier; service to Memphis
on Delta or one of its affiliated carriers; service to Dallas/Ft. Worth on American or one of its
affiliated carriers; service to Minneapolis/St. Paul on Delta or one of its affiliated carriers; service
to Chicago on a United Express or American Connection carrier, or service to Detroit on Delta or
one of its affiliated carriers.
Should these options, for an unforeseen reason, not be available for new service at the Forbes
Field Airport, the Airport will continue its discussions with all other carriers that can provide
service. Since the community has never before received a Small Community Air Service
Development Grant, it will have no limitations on which new hub the DOT could fund.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 29
PUBLIC/PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP
A number of local partners will be working with the Airport to promote participation in this air
service development project. The Airport has already generated $15,000 in non-Airport cash
matching funding for this proposal. Additionally, contacts will be made to all Topeka members
of chambers of commerce and similar organizations, and those with an interest in growing the
economic base of the community through local business growth, attraction of new businesses
and the promotion of tourism and visitor traffic via the Airport.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority owns and operates Forbes Field Airport in Topeka. The
Authority has long been advocating for increased commercial air service at the Airport, and this
application is just part of that advocacy. The Airport Authority has already approved the money
to be spent to match this Grant, recognizing how important the addition of viable air service is to
the region.
Greater Topeka Area Chamber of Commerce The Greater Topeka Chamber of Commerce has the mission of working to get the things done
that a company cannot do alone. A Chamber membership is seen as an investment in both a
company's and the community's future.
The membership of the Greater Topeka Chamber of Commerce represents the entire
community with members from business and industry, private associations, civic organizations,
home based businesses, social service agencies, education, government, and individuals. Over
1,200 member firms, representing over 1,900 individuals, are Chamber members, joining in their
support of the Forbes Field Airport in Topeka.
City of Topeka As the State’s second largest city, and Kansas’ capital, the City of Topeka is glad to have the
opportunity to partner with Forbes Field Airport to bring competitive air service to the City.
Community leaders have long been working to recruit additional air service to the region.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 30
Shawnee County Commission This three person board oversees the operation of Shawnee County, the home of the City of
Topeka and Forbes Field Airport. The Commission is publically elected, and in charge of a multi-
million dollar annual budget. The Commission has a current emphasis on economic
development and, as such, supports the effort to bring air service to Forbes Field.
Coalition of Topeka Area Businesses Dozens of local businesses will work together to support the push to bring air service to eastern
Kansas. These businesses will not only pledge to use new service at Forbes Field Airport, but also
work to make sure the air service marketing message is spread throughout the community.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 31
FUNDING PLAN
Revenue Guarantee The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority proposes to make available $550,000 in funds for a
revenue guarantee to the new carrier, to cover start-up losses that may occur during the first
twelve months of service. Subject to negotiation, payments will be made to the new carrier
quarterly when income derived from passengers and cargo is less than agreed expenses on the
route. Revenue generated that exceeds expenses will be carried forward and tapped before
any grant funds are used.
Marketing and Advertising The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority proposes to spend at least $65,000 in funds on
marketing and advertising promotions in support of new service introductions. The goal is to
increase ridership and usage of new local service through targeted regional campaigns.
In-Kind Services The following organizations will help promote the new service through their various membership
groups. There is no estimated value to these services.
• Greater Topeka Chamber of Commerce
• City of Topeka
• State of Kansas
• Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority
• Coalition of Topeka Area Businesses
Startup Cost Offsets The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority proposes to spend only existing airport funds and
matching funds to pay for start-up costs in support of new service introductions. The Airport, and
its partners, will provide essential terminal space and equipment to handle the new service.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 32
Additional Costs As part of this program, the Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority understands that additional
expenses will be incurred, such as monitoring the results of the program and reporting those
results back to the US DOT. In addition, the Airport Authority expects to incur some expenses in
the recruitment of a new airline to serve the region. The Airport will not use DOT funding in these
efforts – but instead, will use its own internal funding.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 33
PERFORMANCE MEASURES AND FINANCIAL CONTROLS
The success of new service in the Topeka market will be based on three measurable variables:
the increase in available seats in the market, the number of enplanements on the route, and the
average airfares charged in the affected city pairs. The first two measurements will include a
monthly comparison once the program begins to post numbers. The second measurement will
be derived from US DOT OD1A reports.
The sponsor, the Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority will be the responsible party for all fiscal
matters and DOT reporting requirements. As a public entity the DOT can be assured that proper
financial controls are in place to guarantee that the DOT’s grant will be used in accordance
with any subsequent agreement. The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority understands that
the grant is a reimbursable grant, meaning the Airport is responsible for program expenditures
and will submit invoices to the DOT for reimbursement, based on a percentage of the total grant
request.
The Airport has developed this proposal as a one-time grant. The advertising and marketing
program will commence a few months before service starts and last for at least twelve months.
The revenue guarantee program will also be in place for twelve months, with two additional
twelve-month periods available for negotiation. It is projected that the service on the new route
will be financially self-sustaining within the second twelve months of service.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 34
LEGAL SPONSOR
The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority is the legal sponsor responsible for administering the
program. The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority is a government entity.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority Forbes Field Airport PO Box 19053 Topeka, Kansas 66619 Eric Johnson, President/Director of Airports 785.862.2362 [email protected]
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 35
AVAILABILITY OF ALTERNATE AIRPORTS
Currently, the Topeka catchment area is only served by its alternate airports, as Forbes Field
Airport has no scheduled air service. The primary alternate for Topeka travelers is Kansas City
International, which lies 71 miles from downtown Topeka (see figure 18). The drive to Kansas
City’s Airport can take as long as two hours in normal traffic.
A smaller percentage of
Topeka catchment area
travelers use Wichita’s
Mid-Continent Airport as
an alternate (see figure
18). Mid-Continent isn’t
as popular as Kansas
City, due to the fact it lies
a two and a half hour
drive from most of
Topeka. Other alternates
include Salina and
Manhattan, but neither
airport offers truly
competitive service, so
neither draws significantly
from the Topeka market.
FIGURE 18: Alternate Airports in the Topeka Area As of August 2011
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 36
AIRPORT INFORMATION
Forbes Field Airport in Topeka was built as a military outpost, located in the heart of America,
and has remained so for many years. In 1976, commercial air services moved from Topeka’s
“other” airport, Billard Municipal, to Forbes Field, largely due to its available infrastructure,
including a 12,000-foot runway and an 8,000-foot runway. Work to build Forbes Field began
weeks after the Japanese
bombing of Pearl Harbor,
in 1941, when the military
sought an air base in
middle America. It
operated solely in a
military role, hosting the
Strategic Air Command,
until 1976. The military left
behind an outstanding
physical plant, capable
of becoming an air-hub
for all of eastern Kansas
and western Missouri.
FIGURE 19: Aerial Photo of Forbes Field Airport, Topeka, Kansas
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 37
COMMUNITY PROFILE
Topeka is the capital of the State of Kansas, the economic and cultural center of all of east
central Kansas, and one of Money Magazine’s “Best Places to Live.” The City of Topeka has a
population of roughly 125,000 people, according to statistics from the US Census Bureau.
Topeka’s Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), as defined by the Census Bureau, includes the
counties of Shawnee (where Topeka is the County Seat), Jackson, Jefferson, Osage, and
Wabaunsee. Roughly, 230,000 people live within the Topeka MSA.
Government and related services jobs comprise more than half of the Topeka job base.
Additionally, a number of Fortune 500 companies have major offices or facilities in the Topeka
MSA, including Goodyear, Frito-Lay, Hallmark Cards, Payless ShoeSource (headquarters), Westar
Energy
(headquarters),
and Burlington
Northern Santa Fe.
The cities
surrounding Topeka
are home to some
of the world’s truly
great universities,
including the University of Kansas at Lawrence, Kansas State University at Manhattan, Washburn
University, and Emporia State University. Together these schools enroll more than 65,000 full-time
students, and employ more than 15,000 highly educated, and nationally regarded faculty and
staff members.
Topeka is increasingly becoming a regional tourist destination. In addition to high profile, and
highly attended Division I collegiate athletics at the University of Kansas and Kansas State, the
region offers new and original historical and cultural destinations that can’t be found anywhere
else. The National Park Service has opened a museum commemorating the Brown vs. the Board
of Education decision, desegregating schools in Kansas. In addition, Topeka’s rose gardens and
botanical parks draw visitors from around the country.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 38
What’s New in Topeka
Topeka isn’t the largest City in the State of Kansas, but new developments have made it the
fastest growing economy in the State. With a total of 1,575 retained jobs, 463 new jobs with an
average wage of $50,000 and corporate investment of $352.25 million the Topeka area
economy continues its stability from 2010 to 2011.
• The announced projects include a new Home Depot rapid deployment center, the
purchase of the former Payless ShoeSource distribution center by PTMW, Inc. and
expansions at the existing U.S. Foodservice, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company and Frito-
Lay plants.
• The benefits will continue to grow over the next ten years, with 3,770 direct and indirect
jobs added, resulting in 762 new residents in Shawnee County.
• The salaries to be paid to direct and indirect workers over the next ten years exceeds $2
billion, with nearly $777 million worth of taxable sales and purchases expected in the
county over that decade.
The following companies have made major new investments in the Topeka economy:
The Home Depot Jobs: 300 Investment: $25 million Frito-Lay Investment: $60 million U.S. Foodservice Retained Jobs: 175 New Jobs: 24 Investment: $13 million The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company Retained Jobs: 1,400 Investment: $250 million PTMW, Inc. New jobs: 138 Investment: $4.25 million
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 39
Topeka Economic Overview
As the capital of Kansas, Topeka also serves as the economic capital of the region. Almost half
of the Topeka-area workforce has jobs in state and federal government. Almost all of the State
of Kansas’ service offices are located in Topeka. Additionally, the federal government has more
than a thousand employees based in Topeka, in administration-related jobs. Topeka is also
home to high finance companies, major manufacturing facilities, and distribution centers.
While Money Magazine reports the annual average family purchasing power for a family in
Topeka was $65,000, just below the national average of $68,000, Topeka offers a much lower
cost of living than most other
cities of equal or greater size. In
the same report, Money reports
the national average cost of a
home was $260,000, while the
average home in Topeka sold for
just $95,000. Thus, the annual
“family income” of $65,000 in
Topeka goes much further in east
central Kansas than it would in
most other comparable cities.
The US Census Bureau reports the
median income for a Topeka
household is $36,000, while the
median family income is $46,000.
The per capita income for Topeka was $20,000, as reported in current US Census Bureau
estimates.
The City’s location, near the geographic center of the US, makes it the perfect location for
almost any industry. Flour mills, printing and publishing companies, medical providers, iron
foundries, food processing plants, and rail and highway transportation companies have all
realized the value of Topeka’s location, opening major operations, employing tens of thousands
of highly skilled workers.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 40
STATE OF KANSAS 8,074 GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER COMPANY 1,600 TOPEKA CITY GOVERNMENT 1,500 BLUE CROSS AND BLUE SHIELD 1,362 U.S. GOVERNMENT 1,192 DILLON STORES DIVISION 1,170 BNSF RAILWAY COMPANY 1,100 HILLS PET NUTRITION, INC. 919 WESTAR ENERGY 881 FRITO-LAY, INC. 840 PAYLESS SHOES 810 JOSTENS PRINTING & PUBLISHING 703 RESER’ S FINE FOODS 700 HALLMARK CARDS, INC. 680 ALORICA, INC. 600 SECURITY BENEFIT 600 TARGET DISTRIBUTION CENTER 600 JOINT FORCE HEADQUARTERS & NATIONAL GUARD 556 MIDWEST HEALTH MANAGEMENT 550 VETERANS HEALTH RESOURCE CENTER 468 AT & T KANSAS 460 COREFIRST BANK & TRUST COMPANY 408 190th AIR REFUELING WING KANSAS AIR GUARD 361 Bold indicates headquarters location
Select Company Profiles
Payless ShoeSource
The nationally recognized provider of designer shoes at discount prices, Payless ShoeSource was
founded in Topeka in 1956, and it still has its corporate headquarters in the City. In 2005, Payless
sold more than 182 million pairs of shoes, at a value of $2.7 billion,
at retail stores in all 50 states and in a number of foreign
companies. Payless currently employs more than 1,730 people in
its corporate administration and distribution offices in Topeka,
and, as such, is one of the City’s most important private
employers.
FIGURE 20: Top Employers in Topeka Source: Greater Topeka Chamber of Commerce
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 41
Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNSF)
Created by a merger of six major railways, Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad is the nation’s
second largest, in terms of the number of track miles. BNSF is one of just four true national
transcontinental railways in the US. The company is
based in Fort Worth, Texas, but it operates one of its
largest rail yards in Topeka, where it has a major
transcontinental transfer hub. BNSF also has major rail
yards in Los Angeles, Kansas City, and Alliance,
Nebraska.
Jostens Printing and Publishing
Jostens is the country’s leading provider of school portraits, class rings,
and yearbooks, along with graduation caps, gowns, and diplomas.
The company is headquartered in Minneapolis, but it has its major
printing and publishing division headquarters in Topeka. Jostens’ Topeka facility not only prints
school photos, but also diplomas and yearbooks, with more than 1,000 employees in east
central Kansas.
Frito-Lay
Frito-Lay is a wholly owned subsidiary of Pepsi-Co, best known for its snack foods. Frito-Lay had
2008 revenue of $43 billion, while the company employed more than
198,000 people nationally, including more than 800 in Topeka. Frito-Lay’s
Topeka plant currently produces a number of its brands of chips, along
with cookies, and some of Pepsi-Co’s soft drinks.
Hallmark Cards
Hallmark is one of the best known companies, with one of the most
recognized service marks in corporate America. The company was
founded in 1910, in Kansas City, and has grown to become with
world’s foremost designer, printer, and seller of greeting cards. Hallmark currently has more than
43,000 retail outlets around the world. Hallmark’s Topeka plant currently produces about 46% of
the company’s greeting cards. It also includes Hallmark’s largest export center. Together, those
two Topeka operations employ 750 people in east central Kansas.
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Goodyear Tire and Rubber
One of the most admired companies in the world,
according to Fortune Magazine, Goodyear employs more
than 1,700 people at its rubber manufacturing plant in Topeka. Headquartered in Akron, Ohio,
Goodyear has major facilities in North Carolina, Virginia, California, Alabama, Arizona, New York,
Florida, and Texas – not to mention overseas facilities in Canada, Belgium, France, Germany,
Turkey, South Africa, Brazil, Chile, China, India, Taiwan, Japan, Indonesia, and Australia.
Goodyear is one of the largest users of the national and international air transportation system.
Westar Energy
Westar ranks 936 on the Fortune 1000 list, as of the year ended 2007. The
company has its corporate headquarters in Topeka. Westar is the largest
energy provider in Kansas, and one of the largest in the Midwest, with more than 675,000
customers. Westar employs more than 2,200 people in the region.
Higher Education in the Topeka Area
The region surrounding Topeka is a center for higher education that is
recognized around the world. Two of the best universities in the United
States are located just miles from Topeka: the University of Kansas (KU) and
Kansas State University (KSU). The region is also home to the smaller, and well
regarded Washburn University, which is located in Topeka itself, and Emporia
State University, which lies less than 50 miles from the State Capitol.
Together, these four universities employ more than 15,000 people, and enroll
more than 65,000 full-time students. Moreover, KU and KSU draw hundreds of
thousands of alumni and fans every year to their outstanding Division I
athletic programs, as the “Jayhawks” and the “Wildcats” fight for Big XII Conference
championships.
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The University of Kansas
The University of Kansas at Lawrence sits less than 40 miles to the east of Topeka. The University is
widely regarded as one of the nation’s preeminent teaching and research universities, currently
enrolling almost 30,000 full-time students. KU is the State’s flagship liberal arts institution. KU’s
mission is to serve as a “center for learning, research, scholarship, and creative endeavor” for
the State of Kansas, the country, and the world. Kansas offers what students and alumni call an
“ideal campus,” historic, yet wireless at the same time, close to the State’s capital, yet bordering
the prairie, with high-tech labs, interactive classrooms, and world-class performing arts venues.
The University of Kansas is best known as a “basketball school,” with its Jayhawks continually
battling for championships in the Big XII Conference and in the NCAA’s Division I. The University
offers outstanding athletic facilities, and its sports programs draw several hundred thousand fans
each year, from all over the country.
Kansas State University
Kansas State (KSU) is the State’s flagship engineering and technology institution. Its main
campus is located in Manhattan, which lies less than 50 miles to the northwest of Topeka. KSU
currently enrolls more than 23,000 full-time students from all 50 states
and more than 90 foreign countries. KSU is known as one of the “best
buys” in a college education. Princeton Review ranks Kansas State as
the fifth best buy in the country, while Consumers’ Digest ranks it 16th.
KSU offers more than 250 different undergraduate programs, and it
grants doctoral degrees in 45 areas of study. Each year the University
grants more than $150 million in scholarships and grants.
Like the University of Kansas, Kansas State is a member of the Big XII athletic conference. The
Wildcats compete in more than two dozen sports, and draw a few hundred thousand fans to
on-campus sporting events each year.
Washburn University
While no match for the University of Kansas or Kansas State, in terms of the size of the student
body, Washburn University in Topeka is considered one of the Midwest’s best master’s level
institutions. US News and World Report ranks Washburn the sixth best Midwest liberal arts college.
Washburn currently enrolls more than 7,000 full-time students. Washburn provides a broad-based
liberal arts education, with special emphasis on professional skills. The University offers small class
sizes, accomplished faculty, one-on-one instruction, and state-of-the-art technology.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 44
Emporia State University
The University is located just 50 miles from Topeka, in the town
of Emporia, which lies in heart of northeastern Kansas’
Bluestem region of the Flint Hills, Emporia State University enrolls
6,400 full-time students, who study in more than 100 different majors. Emporia State provides the
community with not only an outstanding institution for higher learning, but with a pair of libraries,
a museum, recreational facilities, and other cultural offerings.
Topeka Tourism
As a quintessential piece of America’s heartland, Topeka offers the very best of Midwest culture.
As the capital of Kansas, Topeka offers a number of government-related attractions, as the City
provides families the best, hands-on opportunities to learn about how government really works.
Topeka also has a number of regionally recognized attractions that draw hundreds of thousands
of visitors each year, including a national park dedicated to the Brown vs. the Board of
Education decision desegregating public schools. Topeka is home to a dozen art galleries, five
performing arts centers, two botanical gardens, a zoo, a number of nationally known museums,
dozens of unique restaurants, and some of the best shopping in the Midwest.
Brown vs. Board of Education National Historic Site
Opened in May of 2004, on the 50th anniversary of the Brown vs. Board of Education
decision to desegregate public schools in Kansas, this National Historic Site offers a
unique look back at what led up to the decision, and insight into how the decision
was made. It’s a story of hope and courage, and the plaintiffs in the case never
knew the impact they would have on the history, not just of Kansas, but of the country. This
museum tells the story of these “ordinary people” who stood up for what was right, and
changed history.
Kansas Museum of History
The Kansas Museum of History offers a true “look back” at how the State was settled,
and what life was really like when Kansas was the western frontier of the United States.
The museum has award-winning exhibits about the colorful characters, and the
everyday folks, who helped to turn the prairies of the region into the most fertile
agricultural area in the world. The museum has restored a full-scale wagon from the
Oregon Trail, along with a full-size Cheyenne tipi, as a tribute to those who called the
land home long before any European settlers arrived. The museum is home to one of
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 45
the few remaining 1880 locomotives, displayed in an exhibit that explains the Topeka, Atchison,
and Santa Fe railroad.
Reinisch Rose Garden and Doran Rock Garden
The Reinisch garden features more than 400 varieties of roses, amidst more than 6,500 species of
plants. The garden is one of 23 test plots in the country for “hybridizers,” or cross-bred roses. The
garden was conceptualized in 1926, and it opened in 1930, at a cost of $30,000. The garden
typically blooms from late-May through mid-September.
Ward-Meade Park Botanical Gardens
The Ward-Meade gardens compliment the Reinisch Rose Garden,
offering more than 500 varieties of flowers, shrubs, and trees on a
2.5 acre area of land. Each individual plant is labeled, making the
garden a perfect place to learn botany and horticulture. Ward-
Meade Park is also home to Topeka’s only “water garden.”
Topeka Zoo
The Topeka Zoo is the passport to discovering hundreds of species of
exotic animals, without ever leaving east central Kansas. The zoo
offers innovative animal exhibits such as “Discovering Apes,” the
tropical rain forest, “Lion’s Pride,” the children’s zoo, and the “Black
Bear Woods.” The zoo also offers exhibits featuring animals commonly
found in the region surrounding Topeka.
Combat Air Museum
Much more than a mere collection of aircraft, the
Combat Air Museum, located at Forbes Field, houses
a wide variety of aviation artifacts dating back to the
First World War. The museum offers one of the world’s
best collections of aircraft engines, with descriptions
and explanations as to how they were developed
and how they work. The museum also offers
battlefield dioramas, which are full-scale mock-ups of
World War One and World War Two battlefield installations.
Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority • Small Community Air Service Development Grant Proposal • August 2, 2011 46
CONCLUSIONS
In its meetings with airlines in 2011, the Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority has learned that
one of the biggest challenges it faces in recruiting local air service is the fact that many airlines
are worried about breaking passenger habits in the catchment area. Passengers in the Topeka
catchment area are conditioned to drive to Kansas City to access air service. This Grant
application is a key to funding an adequate marketing program to accomplish the goal of
retaining passengers, and to provide an airline with a revenue guarantee to cover potential
losses during the start-up phase of service.
This application takes on new importance in 2011, as airlines have cut regional capacity by
more than a quarter since the fuel spike of 2008. This has resulted in rising fares – up 14% in just
the last year, or $20 each way. Moreover, it is
much more expensive now for Topeka
catchment area passengers to drive to other
airports in the region due to the increased gas
cost.
Denver has the potential to serve as an excellent
hub for service for much of central Kansas. There
is no other Denver service offered in either the Topeka or Manhattan catchment areas.
Moreover, the number of daily average seats between Kansas City and Denver has been cut by
32% in the last two years. The Kansas City – Denver market has seen a loss of 707 available seats
per day each way. The 100 available seats per day each way proposed in this application will
replace only a small portion of those already cut from the region.
The Metropolitan Topeka Airport Authority has spent considerable time building a local coalition
of support for the air service proposed in this application. This local coalition has pledged
$15,000 in cash funding for this application – new from previous applications for Small
Community Air Service Development Grant funding. Additionally, the Airport will contribute
$50,000 in cash funding as part of this project. With this funding in place, the DOT can be
assured it has a committed partner in Topeka.
“This application takes on new
importance in 2011, as airlines
have cut regional capacity by
more than a quarter since the fuel
spike of 2008.”