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Disclaimer
Note: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This communication has been prepared by Plato Income Maximiser Limited ABN 63 616 746 215 (PL8). Nothing contained in this communication constitutes investment, legal, business, taxation or other advice. This communication is for general information only. The information in this communication does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Plato Investment Management Limited AFSL 504616 ABN 77 120 730 136 (‘Plato’), is the investment manager of Plato Income Maximiser Limited. Any opinions or forecasts reflect the judgment and assumptions of Plato, PL8 and its representatives on the basis of information at the date of publication and may later change without notice. The information is not intended as a securities recommendation or statement of opinion intended to influence a person or persons in making a decision in relation to investment. Past performance is for illustrative purposes and is not indicative of future performance. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of Plato and PL8, its related bodies corporate, shareholders or respective directors, officers, employees, agents or advisors, nor any other person accepts any liability, including, without limitation, any liability arising out of fault or negligence for any loss arising from the use of information contained in this communication.
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Agenda
01PL8 investment strategy and performance
02Market update
03Questions
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PL8 investment portfolio performance
Including Franking
Half-Year 12 MonthsSince
Inception p.a.**
(28/4/2017)
Portfolio 2.9% 24.2% 10.5%
S&P/ASX200 Tax Exempt 3.8% 25.4% 10.8%
Active -0.9% -1.2% -0.3%
PERFORMANCE TO 31 DECEMBER 2019 AFTER FEES AND COSTS*
*Inclusive of the net impact of GST and Reduced Input Tax Credits. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. **Annualised from Inception date: 28 April 2017
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Longer term performancePLATO AUSTRALIAN SHARES INCOME FUND PERFORMANCE TO 31 DECEMBER 2019 AFTER FEES
Plato Aust. Shares Income Fund v S&P/ ASX200 Accumulation Series (incl. Franking Credits)
Source: Plato, IRESS
0.80
1.30
1.80
2.30
2.80
3.30
Sep-2011 Sep-2012 Sep-2013 Sep-2014 Sep-2015 Sep-2016 Sep-2017 Sep-2018 Sep-2019
Plato Australian Shares Income Fund Total Net Return (incl. Franking Credits)
S&P/ASX 200 Franking Credit Adjusted Daily Total Return Index (Tax Exempt)For
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PL8 delivering strong comparable returns
1.2CASH
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
RBA Cash Rate S&P/ASX 200 PL8
4.2 5.5
0.0FRANKING 1.6 2.3
12 MONTH REALISED YIELD*
Source: Plato. *to 31 December 2019, excluding the 3c special dividend in May 2019
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
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Delivering consistent monthly incomePLUS 3 CENT SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAID MAY 2019
Only Australian LIC paying monthly fully franked dividends
Source: Plato. While monthly income has been consistent since April 2018, this may change in the future. The declaration of dividends by the company is at the full discretion of the board (unlike trusts where income must be fully distributed each financial year).
0.0c
0.1c
0.2c
0.3c
0.4c
0.5c
0.6c
MONTHLY DIVIDENDS PAID
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PL8 NTA performance breakdown for 1HFY20PRE-TAX NTA PER PL8 SHARE*
Source: Plato. *Excludes franking credits.
$1.05
$1.07
$1.09
$1.11
$1.13
$1.15
Pre-tax NTA1 Jul 2019
Portfolioperformance
Company expenses Dividends paid Pre-tax NTA31 Dec 2019
$1.106
+ $0.013 - $0.001 - $0.030
$1.088
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$0.80
$0.90
$1.00
$1.10
$1.20
$1.30
May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18 Aug-18 Nov-18 Feb-19 May-19 Aug-19 Nov-19 Feb-20
Share Price Net Tangible Assets (NTA)
Price has closely tracked NTAPL8 PRICE VERSUS NTA SINCE LISTING
Source: Plato, IRESS. Past performance is illustrative only and not indicative of future performance.
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Cash rates are very low for “an extended period”OFFICIAL RBA CASH RATE EXPECTATIONS
“It is reasonable to expect that an extended period of low interest rates will be required in Australia ...”Philip Lowe, RBA Governor: Monetary Policy Decision 3 September 2019.
Source: Macquarie Macro Strategy January 2019
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Safe assets lose you moneyNEGATIVE REAL RATES OF RETURN
Safe options = going backwards!*
-$60,000
-$40,000
-$20,000
$-
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Real Earnings on $1m
Real Overnight Real 1 Yr TD Real 10 Yr Bond
*Depending on your risk profile. Source: Plato, RBA
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Don’t forget the franking!S&P/ASX 300 1 JULY 2005 TO 31 DECEMBER 2019
2.9% p.a. price, 7.5% accumulation, 9.1% p.a. including frankingTotal returns 52%, 185% and 251% respectively
$-
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
Jul-2
00
5
Jul-2
00
6
Jul-2
00
7
Jul-2
00
8
Jul-2
00
9
Jul-2
010
Jul-2
011
Jul-2
012
Jul-2
013
Jul-2
014
Jul-2
015
Jul-2
016
Jul-2
017
Jul-2
018
Jul-2
019
ASX300 Price ASX300 Accum ASX300 Accum + Franking
Source: S&P, Plato
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Tax effective buy-backs are very advantageous
• A$443M OFF MARKET BUYBACK – 5.1% OF SHARES ON ISSUE
• WORTH 12% FOR PENSIONERS, 85% SCALE BACK, 5.2BPS AFTER TAX AT PORTFOLIO LEVEL
QANTAS BUYBACK – WORTH 12% AFTER TAX FOR ZERO TAX INVESTORS
Highlights value of franking credits
Source: Plato, Qantas announcement 4/11/2019. * market price on the 4/11/2019. May not be suitable depending on your circumstances. Investors should seek their own tax advice.
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Big Aussie income stocks doing it tough!
“…Australia is poorly diversified”
6 STOCKS ACCOUNT FOR NEARLY HALF OF ALL DIVIDENDS
% of Gross Dividend Income 2019
BHP CBA Westpac NAB ANZ Rio Tinto Other
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
Price Performance
ASX200 Telstra Big 4 Banks
Source: Plato, IRESS, S&P200
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Largest Contributors to Income YEAR TO 31 DECEMBER 2019
Top 10 Contributors to Excess Income(Last 12mths) Investment Reasoning
Stock Excess Income(%)
Return(%)
Capital(%)
Income(%) Yield Run up Value Momentum Reasoning
Commonwealth 0.40 18.9 10.4 8.5 Bank Rotation
Westpac 0.32 6.7 -3.2 9.9 Bank Rotation
BHP 0.31 27.6 13.7 13.9 Increased yield, good total return, benefiting from high iron ore prices
NAB 0.30 12.2 2.3 9.9 Bank Rotation
Rio Tinto 0.28 44.3 28.0 16.3 Increased yield, good total return, benefiting from high iron ore prices
ANZ 0.28 9.6 0.7 8.9 Bank Rotation
Wesfarmers 0.24 40.8 28.5 12.3 Pay good stable yield, paid special dividend in February 2019
Macquarie 0.13 33.5 26.9 6.6 Paid good stable yield
Alumina 0.09 16.2 0.0 16.2 Paid high yield, particularly in Feb-19
Woolworths 0.08 27.9 22.9 5.0 Paid good stable yield
Off-mkt Buybacks (Caltex/Woolworths/McMillan Shakespeare/Qantas)
1.44 Extra Income and Total Return
Source: Plato
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Largest Contributors to Active PerformanceYEAR TO 31 DECEMBER 2019
Top 10 Contributors To Active Performance (Last 12mths) Investment Reasoning
StockActive
Performance(%)
Return(%)
Capital(%)
Income(%) Yield Run up Value Momentum Reasoning
Magellan Financial 0.50 152.3 141.9 10.4
Good business momentum and price sentiment, benefiting from good investment performance and fund inflows.
BHP Billiton 0.36 27.6 13.7 13.9 Good business momentum and price sentiment at reasonable price, benefiting from increase in iron ore prices.
FortescueMetals 0.28 194.0 155.1 38.9
Good business momentum and price sentiment at reasonable price, benefiting from increase in iron ore prices.
Aristocrat Leisure 0.23 57.8 54.1 3.7
Good business momentum and price sentiment at reasonable price, benefiting from good performance of its land-based and digital gaming platforms.
CSR 0.22 73.6 61.9 11.7 Good business momentum and price sentiment at reasonable price, benefiting from rebound in Australian housing.
Wesfarmers 0.22 40.8 28.5 12.3 Good business momentum and price sentiment at reasonable price, benefiting from rebound in Australian housing. Paid special dividend in Feb-19 after spinning out Coles.
Macquarie 0.19 33.5 26.9 6.6 Good business momentum and price sentiment at reasonable price, benefiting from strong global markets.
Scentre 0.18 4.3 -1.8 6.1 Underweight, suffering from a challenging retail environment affecting rents.
Beach Petroleum 0.17 88.7 86.6 2.1
Good business momentum and price sentiment at reasonable price, benefiting from increase in oil price.
AMP 0.16 -19.6 -21.9 2.3 Underweight, suffering after royal commission troubles.
Source: Plato
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Dividend TrapsYEAR TO 31 DECEMBER 2019
Dividend Traps Investment Reasoning
Stock Date of Divd Div’d Cut(%)
Return(%) Yield Runup Value Momentum Reasoning
AMP 27-Feb-19 -72% -0.2 Poor business momentum, suffering after royal commission troubles.
Lend Lease 1-Mar-19 -65% 2.6 Poor business momentum, suffering after reporting problems in its engineering business and weakening housing market.
Pact Group 1-Mar-19 -100% -21.8 Poor value and business momentum, cut its dividend to zero after its business is under sustained pressure.
Adelaide Brighton 1-Mar-19 -8% -0.6 Poor business momentum, suffering from weakening housing market.
Nufarm Apr-19 -100% -41.5 Poor value and business momentum, cut its dividend to zero after its business is under sustained pressure.
AMP Aug-19 -100% -20.7 Poor business momentum, suffering after royal commission troubles.
Blackmores 27-Aug-19 -55% -25.4 Poor business momentum, suffering from poor sales into Asian market.
Adelaide Brighton Sep-19 -100% -27.9 Poor business momentum, suffering from weakening housing market.
Source: Plato
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Winning by not losing - avoiding dividend trapsAMP UP TO 15% GROSS HISTORICAL YIELD
AMP
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Jan-2018 Mar-2018 May-2018 Jul-2018 Sep-2018 Nov-2018 Jan-2019 Mar-2019 May-2019 Jul-2019 Sep-2019 Nov-2019
His
toric
al Y
ield
(%)
Pric
e
Price (LHS) Historical Gross Yield (RHS)
Source: Plato, Iress
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Update on results season February 2020
• Strong results from JB Hi Fi in retail, Resmedand CSL, iron ore miners
• Solid CBA result, dividend maintained, only bank not to cut so far in this cycle
• Dividends were flat including specials, whilst normal dividends rose nearly 10%. Note ALP franking policy conducive to specials in 2019. Median growth 0% either way.
• Covid 19 is starting to impact future earnings
– Blackmores, Treasury Wines, Cochlear, tourism, oil stocks
SIMILAR THEMES TO AUGUST 2019
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
Including Specials Excluding Specials
Change in Dividend pcp
Average Median*
Source: Plato, Iress, S&P200. Past performance is not illustrative of future performance. *Medians = 0%
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