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Antipodes Global Investment Company Quarterly Shareholder Update 1Q 2019 For personal use only

For personal use onlyas a securities recommendation or statement of opinion intended to influence a person or persons in making a decision in rela tion to investment. The information

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Page 1: For personal use onlyas a securities recommendation or statement of opinion intended to influence a person or persons in making a decision in rela tion to investment. The information

Antipodes Global Investment Company

Quarterly Shareholder Update

1Q 2019

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Agenda

• Portfolio attribution and portfolio positioning

• Initiatives to close the discount to NTA

• Share Price and NTA performance

2.

4.

3.

1. • Understanding the shareholder returns of APL (Portfolio, Company/NTA, Share Price)

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Understanding LIC returns

• Growth or decline in Net Tangible Assets of the Company

• In addition to portfolio returns, NTA includes tax paid on realised gains, costs of administering the Company and the impact of any capital management (e.g. dividends, options dilution)

• Dividends paid are added back to create ‘total return’ for the Company

• Movement in quoted price of APL on the ASX

• Representative of Company performance but also influenced by supply and demand

• Short term factors (e.g. sentiment) can lead to share price premium/discount relative to NTA

• Performance of the Company’s underlying investments less investment management fees

• Measures returns the Manager has generated from the portfolio

• Comparable to an unlisted managed fund

Company/NTAperformance

Share priceperformance

Portfolioperformance

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Performance

Performance to 31 March 2019Global

Long-ShortAPL

portfolio1 Company2 Benchmark3

3 months 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 11.2%

1 year 0.7% 0.7% -6.7% 10.8%

2 years p.a. 7.4% 7.1% 1.9% 12.5%

Inception4 p.a. 10.1% 9.5% 5.1% 13.6%

Inception4 43.32 25.2% 13.1% 36.9%

Up-market capture 84 73

Down-market capture 53 75

Net equity exposure – current 65.6% 65.7%

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.1 Net of portfolio related fees and costs2 Movement in NTA before all taxes for the period which makes the result comparable to an unlisted managed fund. This figure incorporates the net portfolio performance less costs of managing/administering the Company and any dilution caused by options being exercised, assuming the reinvestment of dividends and adjusted for company taxes paid.3 MSCI All Country World Net Index in AUD4 Since inception, APL 11 Oct 2016, Antipodes Global Fund 1 Jul 20155 Based on net returns to 31 Mar 2019

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Attribution

Performance Portfolio Benchmark Alpha

Long -0.24% 1.47% -1.71%

Short 1.72% 0.00% 1.72%

Currency 1.22% 0.03% 1.19%

Total 2.69% 1.50% 1.19%

Top Five Contribution to alpha

Electricite de France 1.04%

Yamato Holdings Co 0.89%

Cisco Systems 0.83%

TripAdvisor 0.80%

Microsoft 0.74%

Bottom Five Contribution to alpha

General Electric -1.17%

ING Groep NV -0.73%

UniCredit S.p.A -0.71%

JD.com -0.66%

Baidu -0.52%

Performance Portfolio Benchmark Alpha

Long 6.88% 11.34% -4.47%

Short -4.16% 0.00% -4.16%

Currency -0.44% 0.00% -0.43%

Total 2.28% 11.33% -9.06%

Top Five Contribution to alpha

General Electric 0.72%

Ping An Insurance 0.59%

JD.com 0.52%

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery 0.52%

Cisco Systems 0.49%

Bottom Five Contribution to alpha

Short (Global Cyclical Shakeout) -0.45%

Short (Overhyped Growth) -0.37%

Apple (no position) -0.34%

KT Corp -0.32%

Electricite de France -0.32%

Calendar year 2018 March quarter 2019

Contribution to alpha measures over/underperformance relative to the iShares MSCI ACWI ETF in AUDAttribution is based on gross of fees returnsSource: Factset, Antipodes

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Populism is on the riseTail risks are multiplying

• Real incomes have fallen by ~3% for the bottom quintile of households following the GFC

• The wealth effects of QE has accentuated this inequality plus cheap capital has disrupted the labourmarket

• Known points of fragility

• Trade wars/China rebalancing

• Eurozone stability

• Credit excesses

• Quality/growth bubble

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

0%

5%

10%

15%

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25%

30%

35%

40%

199

6199

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8199

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9200

0200

1200

2200

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3200

4200

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5200

6200

7200

8200

8200

9201

0201

1201

1201

2201

3201

4201

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5201

6201

7201

7201

8

% O

F G

DP

% O

F G

DP

US

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

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90%

199

6199

7199

8199

9199

9200

0200

1200

2200

2200

3200

4200

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% O

F G

DP

% O

F G

DP

Eurozone

AAA-A BBB and below Total Corporate Credit (Rated + Unrated, RHS)

Source: FactSet

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-2.4

-1.4

-0.4

0.6

1.6

2.6

3.6

1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Z-S

CO

RE

Global valuation clusteringCrowding into quality has become extreme

Median EV/CE of upper quintile relative to lower quintile

Source: Antipodes Partners

Multiple dispersion (inverted)

Profitability

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Global valuation clusteringCrowding into multinationals/quality to escape geopolitical concerns

Source: Antipodes Partners

22Y Z Score of EV/Sales relative to World (Price/Book for Financials)

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Diversified alpha clusters

Long clusters Weight Examples

Global Cyclical 14.9% GE, Samsung Electronics, Siemens

Consumer Incumbent 14.4% Ping An, Sony, Tapestry

Domestic Cyclical Recovery 13.2% ING, KB Financial, UniCredit

Online Services 9.3% Facebook, Baidu, Expedia

Software Incumbent 9.0% Cisco, Microsoft

Natural Gas 8.7%Electricite de France, Range Resources Corporation

Telco. Incumbent 5.9%KT Corporation, China Telecom, China Unicom

Connectivity 5.8% Qualcomm, Nokia

Healthcare 5.5% Roche, Novartis

Low Cost Oil 3.6% Technip FMC, Saipem

Gold 2.7% Barrick Gold, Newcrest Mining

Total 92.9%

As at Mar 2019

Short clusters Weight

Global Cyclical Shakeout -8.7%

Overhyped Growth -7.1%

Bond Proxy -4.0%

Domestic Cyclical Shakeout -3.8%

Domestic Defensive Shakeout -2.1%

High Cost Oil -0.5%

Global Defensive Shakeout -0.4%

Total -27.4%

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Global financialsEntrenched retail franchises

Source: Factset, Antipodes Partners

Domestic Cyclical cluster examples

Developed markets: Unicredit, ING Groep, Capital One Financial

Emerging markets: KB Financial, China Construction Bank, ICICI

Cluster: Domestic Cyclical

Developed Asia

EEMEA

EM Asia

LATAM

North America

Oceania

PortfolioWestern Europe

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19

Pric

e /

Book (

2019e)

ROE (2019e)

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Enterprise software“Disruptors” no match for the scale of incumbents

Source: Factset, Antipodes Partners

R&D

Sales

-

5

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Incumbent "Disruptors"

Bill

ions

USD

6x

-

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Incumbent "Disruptors"

Bill

ions

USD

Incremental sales

Cluster: Software Incumbent

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Incumbent "Disruptors"

EV/F

CF

Valuation3x

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“Some” of the parts

Source: Factset, Antipodes

Conglomerates simplifying

-3

-2

-1

0

1

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41

98

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EV/S

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S R

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E TO

TH

E W

OR

LD (Z-S

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RE)

Industrial Conglomerates Medical Devices/Specialties Automation Aerospace/Defence

Pure play

Our portfolio: GE, Siemens

Global Cyclical cluster breakdown

Conglomerates: GE, Siemens

Memory: Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix

Autos: Honda Motor

Cluster: Global CyclicalF

or p

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Investment summary

Rare event protection

Diversified alpha clusters

Quant & macro risk assessment

Margin of safety

Multiple ways of winning

Stock level

Portfolio construction

Tail risk awareness• Tail risks are multiplying; a cycle

of QE driving disruption and populism

• Look for quality and growth in less obvious places

• Be active

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NTA and share price performance

-16.0%

-12.0%

-8.0%

-4.0%

0.0%

4.0%

8.0%

12.0%

16.0%

$0.80

$0.90

$1.00

$1.10

$1.20

$1.30

$1.40

Antipodes Global Investment Company

Share Price Net Tangible Assets (NTA) Premium/Discount (RHS)

Options expiry 15 Oct12.6c per share

Maiden Dividend 19 Oct5c per share

Interim Dividend 07 Mar2c per share

Source: Bloomberg & CompanyDividend dates are ex dates; Option expiry impact is total impact on per share NTA since inception

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Global Equity LICs - share price vs NTA 09/04/19

Source: Bloomberg

Average -7.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

VG1 PMC FGG MFF EGD MGG GVF APL PIA WGB LSF PGF WQG TGG EGI FPC MEC GFL

Prem

ium

/dis

count

(9/0

4/2

019

)

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Initiatives to close discount to NTA

• Investor communication - Quarterly portfolio and company shareholder call; 2 minute monthly portfolio update videos; Pinnacle listed products / investor relations team

• Investor Events - Pinnacle Listed Products Summit (July); Manager roadshows; Industry events

• Transparency - Weekly NTA; NTA history chart on website

• Independent research – Recommended ratings from Zenith & IIR; Bronze rated by Morningstar

Shareholder engagement

Alignment of Interest with Shareholders

Portfolio positioning

• Tail Risk awareness – Risks are multiplying and have not gone away

• Portfolio construction – Look for quality and growth in less obvious places

• At a stock level – Be active, have margins of safety and multiple ways of winning

• Ownership - Antipodes Partners and staff; APL board; Pinnacle

• Scale – $600m+ NTA allows for reduced operating cost per share, improved liquidity and a more diverse shareholder base

• Independence - Majority independent board

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Disclaimer

This communication has been prepared by Antipodes Partners Limited (‘Antipodes Partners’, ‘Antipodes’) ABN 29 602 042 035 AFSL 481580.

Antipodes Partners is the investment manager of Antipodes Global Investment Company Limited ABN 38 612 843 517 (‘APL’ or the ‘Company’). While APL

and Antipodes Partners believe the information contained in this communication is based on reliable information, no warranty is given as to its accuracy and

persons relying on this information do so at their own risk. Subject to any liability which cannot be excluded under the relevant laws, Antipodes Partners and

APL disclaim all liability to any person relying on the information contained in this communication in respect of any loss or damage (including consequential

loss or damage), however caused, which may be suffered or arise directly or indirectly in respect of such information. Any opinions and forecasts reflect the

judgment and assumptions of Antipodes Partners and its representatives on the basis of information at the date of publication and may later change without

notice. Disclosure contained in this communication is for general information only and was prepared for multiple distribution. The information is not intended

as a securities recommendation or statement of opinion intended to influence a person or persons in making a decision in relation to investment. The

information in this communication has been prepared without taking account of any person’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Persons considering

action on the basis of information in this communication are to contact their financial adviser for individual advice in the light of their particular

circumstances. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Unless otherwise specified, all amounts are in Australian Dollars (AUD).

Unauthorised use, copying, distribution, replication, posting, transmitting, publication, display, or reproduction in whole or in part of the information

contained in this communication is prohibited without obtaining prior written permission from APL and Antipodes Partners.

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