Fire Estimate Summary - Nonresidential Building Fire ... Estimate Summary Nonresidential Building Fire Trends | May 2017. Nonresidential Building Fire Trends (2006-2015) Fire Estimate

Nonresidential Building Fire Trends | May 2018Fire Estimate Summary

Nonresidential Building Fire Trends (2007-2016)

Fire estimate summaries present basic data on the size and status of the f ire problem in the United States as depicted through data reported to the U.S. Fire Administration’s (USFA’s) National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS). Each Fire Estimate Summary addresses the size of the specific fire or fire-related issue, and highlights important trends in the data. Note: Fire estimate summaries are based on the USFA’s “National Estimates Methodology for Building Fires and Losses” (https://www.usfa.fema.gov/downloads/pdf/statistics/national_estimate_methodology.pdf ). The USFA is committed to providing the best and most current information on the U.S. fire problem and, as a result, continually examines i ts data and methodolog y. Because of this commitment, changes to data collection strategies and estimate methodologies occur, causing estimates to change slightly over time. Previous estimates on specific issues (or similar issues) may have been a result of different methodologies or data definitions used and may not be directly comparable to current estimates.

National estimates for nonresidential building fires and losses in 2016, the most recent year for which data are available, are as follows:

ĵ Fires: 96,800. ĵ Deaths: 145. ĵ Injuries: 1,550. ĵ Dollar loss: $2,007,300,000.

Overall trends for nonresidential building fires and losses for the 10-year period of 2007 to 2016 show the following:

ĵ A 5 percent increase in fires. ĵ A 5 percent increase in deaths. In 2016, in Oakland, California, a

fire at a former warehouse that had been converted to mixed-use properties with an assembly area contributed to the peak in fire deaths. Thirty-five fire deaths were reported to the NFIRS as a result of this incident. Excluding these 35 deaths from the 10-year trend analysis results in an overall 15 percent decrease in nonresidential building fire deaths.

ĵ An 8 percent increase in injuries. ĵ A 36 percent decrease in dollar loss. (Note: This overall constant

dollar-loss trend takes inflation into account by adjusting each year’s dollar loss to its equivalent 2016 value.)

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

120,000

TrendFires

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

Estim

ate

of fi

res

Year

Nonresidential building fires

96,800

103,000

97,100

89,20084,900 85,400

92,800 93,700

99,500104,600

020406080

100120140160

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

Estim

ate

of d

eath

s

Year

Nonresidential building fire deaths145

90100

90

8065 65 60

70

Fire deathsTrend

80

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

2,000

TrendFire injuries

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

Estim

ate

of in

juri

es

Year

Nonresidential building fire injuries

1,550

1,275 1,250

1,5001,375

1,450 1,425

1,2001,325

1,100

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007Estim

ate

of d

olla

r lo

ss

($bi

llion

s)

Year

Nonresidential building fire dollar loss Adjusted to 2016 dollars

2.0

3.3

3.8

3.12.6 2.6 2.5

2.6 2.7

Fire dollar lossTrend

2.6

National Fire Data Center16825 S. Seton Ave.Emmitsburg, MD 21727www.usfa.fema.gov/data/statistics/

Nonresidential Building Fire Causes | May 2018Fire Estimate Summary

Nonresidential Building Fire Causes (2007-2016)

Fire estimate summaries present basic data on the size and status of the f ire problem in the United States as depicted through data reported to the U.S. Fire Administration’s (USFA’s) National Fire Incident Repor ting System. Each Fire Estimate Summar y addresses the size of the specific fire or fire-related issue, and highlights important trends in the data. Note: Fire estimate summaries are based on the USFA’s “National Estimates Methodology for Building Fires and Losses” (https://www.usfa.fema.gov/downloads/pdf/statistics/national_estimate_methodology.pdf). The USFA is committed to providing the best and most current information on the U.S. fire problem and, as a result, continually examines its data and methodology. Because of this commitment, changes to data collection strategies and estimate methodologies occur, causing estimates to change slightly over time. Previous estimates on specific issues (or similar issues) may have been a result of different methodologies or data definitions used and may not be directly comparable to current estimates.

National estimates for the leading causes of fires in nonresidential buildings for 2016, the most recent year for which data are available, are as follows:1. Cooking: 28,900 fires.2. Other unintentional, careless: 10,700 fires.3. Intentional: 9,000 fires.

Overall trends in the leading fire causes for the 10-year period of 2007 to 2016 show the following:

ĵ Cooking as the leading cause of nonresidential building fires for the 10-year period.

ĵ An 18 percent increase in nonresidential cooking fires. ĵ A 31 percent increase in nonresidential other unintentionally-

or carelessly-set fires. ĵ A 13 percent decrease in nonresidential intentionally-set fires.

Leading causes of nonresidential building fires (2007-2016)

Estim

ate

of fi

res

Year

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

Heating

Electrical malfunction

Intentional

Other unintentional, careless

Cooking


Fire Estimate Summary

Nonresidential Building Fire Dollar-Loss Causes (2007-2016)

Nonresidential Building Fire Dollar-Loss Causes | May 2018

Fire estimate summaries present basic data on the size and status of the f ire problem in the United States as depicted through data reported to the U.S. Fire Administration’s (USFA’s) National Fire Incident Repor ting System. Each Fire Estimate Summar y addresses the size of the specific fire or fire-related issue, and highlights important trends in the data. Note: Fire estimate summaries are based on the USFA’s “National Estimates Methodology for Building Fires and Losses” (https://www.usfa.fema.gov/downloads/pdf/statistics/national_estimate_methodology.pdf). The USFA is committed to providing the best and most current information on the U.S. fire problem and, as a result, continually examines its data and methodology. Because of this commitment, changes to data collection strategies and estimate methodologies occur, causing estimates to change slightly over time. Previous estimates on specific issues (or similar issues) may have been a result of different methodologies or data definitions used and may not be directly comparable to current estimates.

National estimates for the leading causes of nonresidential building fire dollar loss for 2016, the most recent year for which data are available, are as follows:1. Other unintentional, careless: $380,300,000.2. Cause under investigation: $208,500,000.3. Electrical malfunction: $207,800,000.

Overall trends in the leading causes of fire dollar loss for the 10-year period of 2007 to 2016 show the following:

ĵ A 13 percent decrease in nonresidential other unintentionally- or carelessly-set fire dollar loss.

ĵ A 0.7 percent increase in cause under investigation fire dollar loss.

ĵ A 51 percent decrease in nonresidential electrical malfunction fire dollar loss.

Note: The overall constant dollar-loss trends take inflation into account by adjusting each year’s dollar loss to its equivalent 2016 value.

Leading causes of nonresidential building fire dollar loss (2007-2016)Adjusted to 2016 dollars

Estim

ate

of d

olla

r lo

ss ($

mill

ions

)

Year

0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

Other unintentional, careless

Cause under investigation

Electrical malfunction

Exposure

Other equipment

Intentional

Other heat

Open flame

Equipment malfunction

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007


Nonresidential Building Cooking Fire Trends | May 2018Fire Estimate Summary

Nonresidential Building Cooking Fire Trends (2007-2016)

Fire estimate summaries present basic data on the size and status of the f ire problem in the United States as depicted through data reported to the U.S. Fire Administration’s (USFA’s) National Fire Incident Reporting System (NFIRS). Each Fire Estimate Summary addresses the size of the specific fire or fire-related issue, and highlights important trends in the data. Note: Fire estimate summaries are based on the USFA’s “National Estimates Methodology for Building Fires and Losses” (https://www.usfa.fema.gov/downloads/pdf/statistics/national_estimate_methodology.pdf). The USFA is committed to providing the best and most current information on the U.S. fire problem and, as a result, continually examines its data and methodology. Because of this commitment, changes to data collection strategies and estimate methodologies occur, causing estimates to change slightly over time. Previous estimates on specific issues (or similar issues) may have been a result of different methodologies or data definitions used and may not be directly comparable to current estimates.

National estimates for nonresidential building cooking fires and loss for 2016, the most recent year for which data are available, are as follows:

ĵ Fires: 28,900. ĵ Dollar loss: $41,300,000.

Overall trends for nonresidential building cooking fires and loss for the 10-year period of 2007 to 2016 show the following:

ĵ An 18 percent increase in fires. ĵ A 6 percent decrease in dollar loss. (Note: This overall

constant dollar-loss trend takes inflation into account by adjusting each year’s dollar loss to its equivalent 2016 value.)

Deaths and injuries by individual causes are not shown, as small numbers of nonresidential building casualties are reported to the NFIRS, and a large number of the fires that caused these casualties have insufficient information to determine fire cause.

Estim

ate

of fi

res

Year

Nonresidential building cooking fires

23,000

24,000

25,000

26,000

27,000

28,000

29,000

30,000

31,000

32,000

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

FiresTrend

28,900

26,400

25,900

26,800

24,100

27,200

30,900

27,400

29,000

24,200

Estim

ate

of d

olla

r lo

ss

($m

illio

ns)

Year

Nonresidential building cooking fire dollar loss Adjusted to 2016 dollars

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007


41.3

48.9

57.0

71.1

45.1 45.3

70.0

53.9

57.3

40.8



Nonresidential Building Other Unintentional, Careless Fire Trends (2007-2016)

Nonresidential Building Other Unintentional, Careless Fire Trends | May 2018

Fire Estimate Summaries present basic data on the size and status of the f ire problem in the United States as depicted through data reported to the U.S. Fire Administration’s (USFA’s) National Fire Incident Repor ting System. Each Fire Estimate Summar y addresses the size of the specific fire or fire-related issue and highlights important trends in the data. Note: Fire Estimate Summaries are based on the USFA’s “National Estimates Methodology for Building Fires and Losses” (http://www.usfa.fema.gov/downloads/pdf/statistics/national_estimate_methodology.pdf). The USFA is committed to providing the best and most current information on the U.S. fire problem and, as a result, continually examines its data and methodology. Because of this commitment, changes to data collection strategies and estimate methodologies occur, causing estimates to change slightly over time. Previous estimates on specific issues (or similar issues) may have been a result of different methodologies or data definitions used and may not be directly comparable to current estimates.

National est imates for nonresidential building other unintentional, careless fires and loss for 2016, the most recent year for which data are available, are as follows:


Overall trends for nonresidential building other unintentional, careless fires and loss for the 10-year period of 2007 to 2016 show the following:

ĵ A 31 percent increase in fires. ĵ A 13 percent decrease in dollar loss. The 2008 dollar-loss

peak was caused by a $50,400,000 Virginia Beach, Virginia, warehouse fire. Additionally, a $100,000,000 West, Texas, fertilizer plant fire and a $40,000,000 Burlington, Wisconsin, manufacturing plant fire contributed to the 2013 dollar-loss peak. A $31,000,000 reported fire in a Los Angeles, California, religious property contributed to the 2015 dollar-loss peak. (Note: This overall constant dollar-loss trend takes inflation into account by adjusting each year’s dollar loss to its equivalent 2016 value.)


Estim

ate

of fi

res

Year

Nonresidential building other unintentional, careless fires

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

9,500

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

FiresTrend 10,700

8,800

8,200

8,400

8,400

9,100

10,900

8,600

10,000

8,500

Estim

ate

of d

olla

r lo

ss

($m

illio

ns)

Year

Nonresidential building other unintentional, careless fire dollar loss

Adjusted to 2016 dollars

0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007


380.3435.5

543.8

606.4

296.1

347.8

537.7580.7

391.4411.4



Nonresidential Building Heating Fire Trends (2007-2016)

Nonresidential Building Heating Fire Trends | May 2018


National estimates for nonresidential building heating fires and loss for 2016, the most recent year for which data are available, are as follows:


Overall trends for nonresidential building heating fires and loss for the 10-year period of 2007 to 2016 show the following:

ĵ A 1 percent decrease in fires. ĵ A 3 percent decrease in dollar loss. (Note: This overall



Estim

ate

of fi

res

Year

Nonresidential building heating fires

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

FiresTrend

7,100

8,500 8,200

7,700

6,200

7,4007,900

8,4009,000

6,700

Estim

ate

of d

olla

r lo

ss

($m

illio

ns)

Year

Nonresidential building heating fire dollar loss Adjusted to 2016 dollars

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007


98.284.5

176.6 184.2

49.9

71.0

121.8

204.1

105.3

59.2



Nonresidential Building Intentional Fire Trends (2007-2016)

Nonresidential Building Intentional Fire Trends | May 2018


National estimates for nonresidential building intentional fires and loss for 2016, the most recent year for which data are available, are as follows:


Overall trends for nonresidential building intentional fires and loss for the 10-year period of 2007 to 2016 show the following:

ĵ A 13 percent decrease in fires. ĵ The peak in 2007, caused by a $40,000,000 Bartow, Florida,

manufacturing fire, followed by the 2011 and 2013 to 2016 lows, contributed to a 73 percent decrease in dollar loss. (Note: This overall constant dollar-loss trend takes inflation into account by adjusting each year’s dollar loss to its equivalent 2016 value.)


Estim

ate

of fi

res

Year

Nonresidential building intentional fires

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

FiresTrend

9,000

11,400

10,1009,500

8,900

9,700 9,800

9,100 8,8008,500

Estim

ate

of d

olla

r lo

ss

($m

illio

ns)

Year

Nonresidential building intentional fire dollar loss Adjusted to 2016 dollars

0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007


145.2

506.3

388.9346.9

197.1

281.2

196.0

196.1 188.3

406.8


Nonresidential Building Cause Under Investigation Fire Trends | May 2018Fire Estimate Summary

Nonresidential Building Cause Under Investigation Fire Trends (2007-2016)


National estimates for nonresidential building cause under investigation fires and loss for 2016, the most recent year for which data are available, are as follows:


Overall trends for nonresidential building cause under investigation fires and loss for the 10-year period of 2007 to 2016 show the following:

ĵ A 49 percent increase in fires. ĵ A 0.7 percent increase in dollar loss. (Note: This overall



0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

TrendFires

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

Estim

ate

of fi

res

Year

Nonresidential building cause under investigation fires

1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200

1,100

1,400

1,300

1,600 1,700 1,600

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007


Estim

ate

of d

olla

r lo

ss

($m

illio

ns)

Year

Nonresidential building cause under investigationfire dollar loss


179.9

221.8

146.1

204.0

145.6 142.8

206.6

171.6

208.5

148.3


Nonresidential Building Electrical Malfunction Fire Trends | May 2018Fire Estimate Summary

Nonresidential Building Electrical Malfunction Fire Trends (2007-2016)


National estimates for nonresidential building electrical malfunction fires and loss for 2016, the most recent year for which data are available, are as follows:


Overall trends for nonresidential building electrical malfunction fires and loss for the 10-year period of 2007 to 2016 show the following:

ĵ A 21 percent decrease in fires. ĵ A continued decline from 2009 to 2011 and a 2016 low

contributing to an overall 51 percent decrease in dollar loss. (Note: This overall constant dollar-loss trend takes inflation into account by adjusting each year’s dollar loss to its equivalent 2016 value.)


Estim

ate

of fi

res

Year

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

FiresTrend

7,100

9,700

7,800

9,400

7,800

6,400

8,200

7,400

8,000

7,900

Nonresidential building electrical malfunction fires

Estim

ate

of d

olla

r lo

ss

($m

illio

ns)

Year

Nonresidential building electrical malfunctionfire dollar loss


0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007


207.8

467.0

504.3

616.9

322.8 328.9

394.6384.5

298.9

376.4


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Fire Estimate Summary - Nonresidential Building Fire ... Estimate Summary Nonresidential Building Fire Trends | May 2017. Nonresidential Building Fire Trends (2006-2015) Fire Estimate