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In Focus: Twitter IPO Term of Week: Merger Defence Mechanism
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November 10, 2013
Volume 16
A Nostalgic week after Diwali Holidays
This past week has been quite a nostalgic affair for all of us. Hope you all
enjoyed Diwali to the fullest and are now back to IMT once again with full
energy and vigor. Term 3 has started for all juniors in its full spirit and the
final placements are about to begin for our Seniors. Its time to once again
update ourselves with the latest happenings of this dynamic and complex
financial world.
Here we bring t o you our In Focus informing you about the latest and the
most discussed about buzz of the stock markets i.e. The Twitter IPO. Con-
tinuing with it we have our Opinion Section on the latest RBI initiative on
the Wholly Owned Subsidiary. To update the people with the basket of fi-
nancial knowledge we have the Term of the Week i.e. Merger Defense
Mechanisms as well news and Market for the week.
Our Flagship Event RISCON ’13 is all set to start next week. We have
speaker sessions, panel discussion on the latest financial happening all
around the world as well inter B-School case study Encephalon to test the
financial planning acumen. Do register yourselves for the knowledge-filled
sessions. For further enquiries, contact your FinNiche representative of
your class.
We hope you enjoy the various articles in this edition of FinXpress. We look
forward to your comments, acknowledgements and your criticisms regard-
ing our online magazine. We plan to invite articles for the different sections
in FinXpress in a few weeks. Hopefully, you would write one for us!
Happy Reading!!!
Regards,
The Editorial Team
FinNiche Club
From The Editorial FinXpress
Volume 16
November
10, 2013
FinXpress
Disclaimer: FinXpress takes no responsibility for the opinions expressed in the magazine.
FinNiche
November 2013 Page 1
CONTENTS
From The Editorial
In Focus: Twitter IPO
Opinion: RBI Initiative on
wholly owned subsidiary:
An Opportunity or a Threat
Term of The Week
Market This Week
News
Fun Corner
Page 2
In Focus
With the end of day 1 of Twitter’s IPO, its
stock price soar to $44.9, a 73% increase
from the initial public offering price of $26.
The company raised a modest of $1.8
billion and after the strong first day
success, Twitter became one of the most
successful IPOs of the year.
The opening bell was rung by actor Patrick
Stewart, a Boston police department
representative and a nine – year old who
sold lemonade to raise money to end child
slavery.
Twitter IPO turned out to be a stark
contrast from the initial public offering of
Facebook Inc in last May . Twitter had
incurred losses amounting to almost $134
Million in the first three quarters of this
year almost double of the net losses of the
same period reported last year. Facebook,
however, had reported $205 Million
earnings in the quarter before it went
public. There were views which suggested
that it was not the right time for Twitter to
go public as Facebook had plummeted soon
after its IPO. To make sure what they did
was right, Twitter selected Goldman Sachs
as its lead underwriter whereas Facebook
had picked Morgan Stanley. Twitter listed
on New York Stock Exchange while
Facebook listed on Nasdaq, to avoid trading
glitches in the initial hours of trading. Basis
the learning that Facebook shares had
dropped after its IPO, Twitter ensured that
its shares were sold for a price low enough
to attract interest. At the outset, the
strategies seem to have been paid off.
Yet even after such a sizzling start, the
frenzy seems to be fading away. At the close
of market on Friday, the Twitter shares
retreated. The stock closed at $41.64, 7.24
percent lower than the previous day. The
view on the company is held positive but
the price seems too high to be able to be
justified. Based on fundamental analysis,
the investors are finding hard enough to
value Twitter at $14 Billion in contrast to
the $24 Billion valuation it reached on the
first day. Concerns about a potential
bubble in the social media sector have also
been raised. Daniel Ernst of Hudson
Square Research issued a “sell”
recommendation saying that the “Bird
should be Flipped”. According to him, the
company is priced at 600 times its
projected earnings and is more than fully
valued. Certain other analysts felt that
valuation is difficult because of
uncertainties in growth of advertising and
costs of market and research borne by the
company. Wedbush, yet another analyst
issued a “neutral” recommendation.
With the significant growth in the social
media sector, the investors are overzealous
lured by the massive number of users, as
against any other sector having uncertain
profitability. Twitter being valued at no
more than $8 Billion and losses of more
than $440 Million since 2010 is gaining
popularity with over 230 Million users and
still growing exponentially. In a period
where the investors are more focused
towards the opportunities and gains than
the risk associated, the Twitter bubble
would rise or burst is yet to be seen.
FinNiche
TWITTER IPO —- By Himika Choudhary
November 2013
Page 3
Opinion
Background:
Originally foreign banks have presence in
India as branches only. As a result they
follow the rules and regulation of the parent
countries. Further their presence is limited
as they require permission from the central
bank i.e Reserve Bank of India for opening
of any new branch.
During recession it was observed that there
was not enough interconnectedness of these
banks with the Indian Government which
would have helped to reduce the liquidity
crunch during the crisis period. The lessons
learnt during the time lean in favor of
domestic incorporation of foreign banks.
RBI unveils Norms:
RBI allowed foreign banks to setup their
operations in India though a wholly-owned
independent subsidiary (WOS).
The Model:
Setting up of the WOS needs approval
from the home country and RBI.
The banks which never carried any
banking business in India and needs
to carry out now can carry out only
thorough wholly owned subsidiary.
Foreign banks which commenced
banking business in India from August
2010 onwards were required to furnish
an undertaking that they would
convert their branches into wholly
owned subsidiaries if so required by
RBI.
Foreign banks which commenced
banking business in India before
August 2010 shall have the option
either to continue their banking
business through the branch mode or
to convert those branches into a wholly
owned subsidiary.
The initial minimum paid-up voting
equity capital for a WOS shall be 5
billion
Major Opportunities:
These branches now come under the
purview of India banking systems and
hence need to follow the RBI norms.
At least 25% of their branches need to
serve the un-banked rural centers i.e. Tier
5 and Tier 6 cities. This will also increase
the money supply opportunities within the
economy
These banks will be allowed to open
branches without any prior permission
from RBI, hence acquaintance with foreign
banks will increase among the mass there
by decentralizing the banking business
which is mostly dominated by State Bank
of India.
Increased employment opportunities
for the common mass.
Also about one third of senior
management of these WOS have to be
Indian Nationals
Major Threats:
With the independence of opening
branches, the foreign banks may
dominate the Indian Banking system
WOS gets the permission to easy
merger and acquisitions of local lenders in
India which will increase the market
competition
FinNiche
RBI initiative on Wholly-Owned Subsidiary – An Opportunity or A Threat
-By Sutapa Mishra
November 2013
PAGE 4 November 2013
FINANCIAL KNOWLEDGE
A target company in case of a merger
triggers a defense mechanism when it does
not want to get acquired. This generally
happens in case of a hostile takeover. These
measures can be divided into two classes:
(1) pre-offer defenses
(2) post-offer defenses.
As the terms imply, defensive measures can
be taken either before or after a hostile offer
takes place, but most M&A legal experts
recommend that defenses be set up before
an offer occurs, because pre-offer defenses
tend to face less scrutiny in court. Thus a
company sets up pre-emptive defense
mechanisms in order to help ensure that it
remains independent or to increase its
purchase price.
Pre-Offer Defense Mechanisms
Poison Pill: In its most basic form, a poison
pill gives current shareholders the right to
purchase additional shares of stock at
extremely attractive prices (i.e., at a
discount to current market value), which
causes dilution and effectively increases the
cost to the potential acquirer. The pills are
usually triggered when a shareholder's
equity stake exceeds some threshold level
(e.g., 10%).
Staggered board: In this strategy, the board
of directors is split into roughly three equal-
sized groups. Each group is elected for a 3-
year term in a staggered system: in the first
year the first group is elected, the following
year the next group is elected, and in the
final year the third group is elected. The
implications are straight-forward. In any
particular year, a bidder can win at most
one-third of the board seats. It would take a
potential acquirer at least two years to gain
majority control of the board since the
terms are overlapping for the remaining
board members.
Restricted voting rights: Equity ownership
above some threshold level (e.g., 15% or
20%) triggers a loss of voting rights unless
approved by the board of directors. This
greatly reduces the effectiveness of a tender
offer and forces the bidder to negotiate with
the board of directors directly.
Golden parachutes: Golden parachutes are
compensation agreements between the
target and its senior management that give
the managers lucrative cash payouts if they
leave the target company after a merger.
Post-Offer Defense Mechanisms
"Just say no" defense: The first step in
avoiding a hostile takeover offer is to simply
say no. If the potential acquirer goes
directly to shareholders with a tender offer
or a proxy fight, the target can make a
public case to the shareholders concerning
why the acquirer's offer is not in the
shareholder's best interests.
Greenmail: Essentially, greenmail is a
payoff to the potential acquirer to terminate
the hostile takeover attempt. Greenmail is
an agreement that allows the target to
repurchase its shares from the acquiring
company at a premium to the market price.
The agreement is usually accompanied by a
second agreement that the acquirer will not
make another takeover attempt for a
defined period of time.
Crown jewel defense: After a hostile
takeover offer, a target may decide to sell a
subsidiary or major asset to a neutral third
party. If the hostile acquirer views this
asset as essential to the deal (i.e., a crown
jewel), then it may abandon the takeover
attempt.
FinNiche
Merger Defense Mechanisms —- By Mukul Gupta
Page 5
FINANCIAL KNOWLEDGE FinNiche
Market This Week
BSE tanked almost 600 points closing at 20,666 level amid fears of possible QE ta-
pering from FED. Financial, Oil & Gas, FMCG stocks were the biggest losers while
TATA groups gained significantly. RBI formally announced a frame work for setting
up 100% subsidiaries by foreign banks in India.
SENSEX Simple Moving Averages
BSE SENSEX
CNX Nifty
Thirty Days 20,504.91
Fifty Days 20,074.16
Hundred and Fifty Days 19,575.18
Two Hundred Days 19,530.53
November 2013
Page 6
FINANCIAL KNOWLEDGE FinNiche
Bank Rate 8.75%
Repo Rate 7.75%
Reverse Repo Rate 6.75%
Cash Reserve Ratio 4%
Statutory Liquidity Ratio 23%
INR / 1 USD 62.73
INR / 1 Euro 84.06
INR / 100 Jap. YEN 63.94
INR / 1 Pound Sterling 100.92
Commodity Unit Rs / Unit % Change
Gold 10 grams 29715.00 -0.69%
Silver 1 Kg 48165.00 -0.57%
Crude Oil 1 bbl 5998.00 0.98%
Base Rate 9.8%-10.25%
Savings Deposit Rate 4.0%
Term Deposit Rate 8%-9.05%
Nifty Simple Moving Averages
Commodities
Lending / Deposit Rates
Thirty Days 6146.20
Fifty Days 6002.64
Hundred And Fifty Days 5900.24
Two Hundred Days 5901.80
Key Policy Rates and Reserve Ratios
Exchange Rates
November 2013
Page 7
FINANCIAL KNOWLEDGE
Twitter shares soar in frenzied NYSE debut Twitter Inc shares jumped 73 percent in a frenzied trading debut that drove the seven-year-old company's market value to around $25 billion and evoked the heady days of the dot-com bubble. The strong performance on Thursday was encouraging for the venture capitalists who have backed other consumer Web startups, such as Square or Pinterest, though it sounded alarm bells for some investors who cautioned that the froth was unwarranted. The stock closed its first day of trade on the New York Stock Exchange at $44.90 a share after hitting a session-high of $50, nearly double the initial public offering price of $26 set late on Wednesday. India squeezes its oil firms to meet fiscal deficit target State-run oil companies are feeling the pain of the finance minister's determination to meet his fiscal deficit target, with officials warning that exploration is under threat and losses at oil firms could steepen. Oil Minister M. Veerappa Moily warned the Finance Minister, P. Chidambaram, that the subsidy burden placed on upstream companies was making oil fields unviable. His ministry also forecast that revenue losses further downstream at fuel retailers Indian Oil Corp, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum will rise to 803.16 billion rupees in October-March, from 623.32 billion rupees in April-September. India budgeted fuel subsidies for the fiscal year to March 2014 at 650 billion rupees. The oil ministry said that is likely to be more like 1.4 trillion rupees. India’s forex reserves down $1.65 bn to $281 bn India's foreign exchange (forex) reserves declined by $1.65 billion to touch $281.29 billion for the week ended Nov 1, official data showed. The forex
reserves had risen by $1.82 billion to touch $282.95 billion for the week ended Oct 25. According to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Weekly Statistical Supplement, India's foreign currency assets (FCA), the biggest component of the forex reserves, decreased by $894.2 million to $253.60 billion for the week under review. RBI said the FCA expressed in US dollar terms included the effect of appreciation or depreciation of non-US currencies held in reserve such as the pound sterling, euro and yen. China Inflation hits 8-month high amid tightening fear China's annual inflation climbed to an eight-month high of 3.2 percent in October as food costs soared, fanning market worries about policy tightening as factory output and investment data pointed to signs of stabilisation in the economy. Inflation, which quickened slightly from 3.1 percent in September, was still lower than a median forecast of 3.3 percent in a Reuters poll and was below the official target of 3.5 percent for 2013. US jobs market dodges blow from government shutdown U.S. job growth unexpected ly accelerated in October as employers shrugged off a partial government shutdown, suggesting the economy was on firm footing and raising the prospect the Federal Reserve may soon decide to temper its bond-buying stimulus. Employers added 204,000 new jobs to their payrolls last month, and 60,000 more jobs were created in September and August than previously reported, the Labor Department said on Friday. The unemployment rate, however, edged up to 7.3 percent from September's nearly five-year low as federal workers were idled. Economists expect a reversal in coming months.
FinNiche
NEWS
November 2013
Page 8
FINANCIAL KNOWLEDGE
Rupee weaker after ECB rate cut The rupee is trading at 62.68/69 versus its close of 62.41/42, tracking the dollar's strength versus other Asian currencies and weakness in domestic shares. The BSE Sensex trading down 0.38 percent. Most Asian currencies trading weaker compared with the dollar. The euro struggled in early Asian trade after the ECB's surprise interest rate cut sent the
single currency plunging to near eight-week lows, but the dollar's gains were tempered ahead of the key U.S. payrolls report later on Friday. Investors to keep focus on Fed for tapering clues The U.S. stock market's rally could be put to the test next week if comments from Federal Reserve officials including Janet Yellen add to views the central bank could be scaling back its stimulus plan sooner rather than later. While next week is light on economic news, bond yields have been rising, giving further credence to the idea the Fed may soon temper its bond-buying program in the near future. With less than two months left in the year, many investors are bracing for something that could shake up the stock market and the Standard & Poor's 500's 24 percent year-to-date gain. That could come from the Fed, even if it's just that investors begin to anticipate the Fed is ready to make a move soon. India seeks Kuwait’s support for GCC free trade agreement India Friday sought Kuwait's support for early conclusion of a free trade agreement with the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). At an interactive meeting organised by the industry chambers here, Commerce and Industry Minister Anand Sharma urged visiting Kuwaiti Prime Minister Sheikh Jaber Al-Mubarak Al-Hamad Al-Sabah to play an active role for ensuring an early conclusion of the trade deal.
The interactive meeting was organised jointly by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI), the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry (Assocham). India has been negotiating a free trade agreement with six-nation GCC grouping since 2004. The two sides had signed a framework agreement on
economic cooperation in August 2004, and have held several round of talks for the free trade agreement. Kingfisher Airlines posts $114 million loss in Q2 Kingfisher Airlines Ltd, which has been grounded for more than a year, reported yet another quarterly loss with no income from operations. Net loss was 7.16 billion rupees for its fiscal second quarter ended September 30, compared with a net loss of 7.54 billion rupees a year earlier, Kingfisher said in a filing to the stock exchanges on Friday. Kingfisher, once India's no.2 carrier and headed by flamboyant liquor baron Vijay Mallya, has not flown since October last year for want of cash. Bids to revive operations have seen little success so far. The company reiterated on Friday that it was exploring various options to recapitalise and resume operations and that talks were on with prospective investors. Uflex revenue rises to Rs. 1516 crore Flexible packaging firm Uflex said its revenue rose to Rs.1,516 crore for the quarter ended September as compared to Rs.1,250 crore recorded in the same period last year. However, the company's net profit dropped to Rs.46 crore for July-September quarter from Rs.57 crore recorded in the same period last year. The company had posted Rs.43 crore profit in the first quarter of the current financial year.
FinNiche
November 2013
FinNiche
Fun Corner
FinQuiz 1. A _________ investment has both debt and equity fea-tures.
2. A short term loan until long term financing is obtained is
called _________ loan.
3. __________ serves as the largest bank in terms of capi-
talization in the world.
4. A mortgage with low down payment is called
__________ mortgage..
5. Buying put option maximizes _______ _ in a bearish mar-
ket while putting a cap on maximum _______ that can be
incurred.
CARTOONS
FUN CORNER
Page 9
**Rush in your entries to : [email protected]
The right entries will get their name featured in the next
issue of FinXpress. So hit the quiz fast & get yourself
visible among 1000 odd in the campus.
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Volume 16 Publisher: Vipul Kumar Singh
November 2013
Last Week’s answers 1. Bootstrapping 2. 2010 3. Wholesale Price Index 4. Fall 5. Shareholders, Management