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Lahore University of Management Sciences
FINN 353 ‐ Investments Fall Semester 2015
Instructor Samir Ahmed
Room No. SDSB‐441
Office Hours TBA
Email [email protected]
Telephone 0302‐8260359
Secretary/TA Hassan Haider/TBA
TA Office Hours TBA
Course URL (if any) suraj.lums.edu.pk
COURSE BASICS Credit Hours 3
Lecture(s) Nbr of Lec(s) Per Week 2 Duration 75 Minutes
Recitation/Lab (per week) Nbr of Lec(s) Per Week Duration
Tutorial (per week) Nbr of Lec(s) Per Week Duration
COURSE DISTRIBUTION Core ‐
Elective Elective
Open for Student Category Junior/Senior
Close for Student Category
COURSE DESCRIPTION An introductory course in the analysis of investments and portfolio management. The course examines various investment opportunities available in modern financial markets, functioning of securities markets, diversification concepts, asset pricing models, analytical techniques for valuation of stocks and fixed income securities using fundamental and technical analysis, portfolio construction and evaluation, and introduction to derivative securities. Central to the investment selection and management process is the notion of portfolio diversification. We will consider how investors allocate their funds by forming and managing portfolios containing stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and alternative investment products. Students are also introduced to the major portfolio management strategies and investment styles pursed by professional investors. An investment game will be played to give students a better understanding of trading strategies and portfolio management. The course focus is on application of theory to the practice of investment management.
COURSE PREREQUISITE(S) Principles of Corporate Finance
COURSE LEARNING OUTCOMES (CLO) Upon successful completion of the course, students should be able to:
1. Demonstrate understanding of the nature and operations of capital markets and trading of securities and other investment vehicles.
2. Demonstrate understanding of the theoretical underpinnings of investment analysis and portfolio concepts within the context of modern portfolio theory and its extensions.
3. Demonstrate understanding of procedures involved in analyzing investment alternatives under conditions of uncertain outcomes.
4. Demonstrate application of empirical evidence, theoretical constructs, and insights from practice to manage investments.
5. Demonstrate understanding of the alternative methodologies to evaluate portfolio performance.
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6. Demonstrate knowledge of derivative markets and instruments with special attention to their application in managing portfolio risk.
7. Present and defend their analysis effectively, both in oral and written forms, while working in teams as well as independently. (General Learning Goal)
UNDERGRADUATE PROGRAM LEARNING GOALS & OBJECTIVES
General Learning Goals & Objectives Goal 1 –Effective Written and Oral Communication Objective: Students will demonstrate effective writing and oral communication skills Goal 2 –Ethical Understanding and Reasoning Objective: Students will demonstrate that they are able to identify and address ethical issues in an organizational context. Goal 3 – Analytical Thinking and Problem Solving Skills Objective: Students will demonstrate that they are able to identify key problems and generate viable solutions. Goal 4 – Application of Information Technology Objective: Students will demonstrate that they are able to use current technologies in business and management context. Goal 5 – Teamwork in Diverse and Multicultural Environments Objective: Students will demonstrate that they are able to work effectively in diverse environments. Goal 6 – Understanding Organizational Ecosystems Objective: Students will demonstrate that they have an understanding of Economic, Political, Regulatory, Legal, Technological, and Social environment of organizations. Major Specific Learning Goals & Objectives Goal 7 (a) – Program Specific Knowledge and Understanding Objective: Students will demonstrate knowledge of key business disciplines and how they interact including application to real world situations. Goal 7 (b) – Understanding the “science” behind the decision‐making process (for MGS Majors) Objective: Students will demonstrate ability to analyze a business problem, design and apply appropriate decision‐support tools, interpret results and make meaningful recommendations to support the decision‐maker
Indicate below how the course learning objectives specifically relate to any program learning goals and objectives.
PROGRAM LEARNING GOALS AND OBJECTIVES
COURSE LEARNING OBJECTIVES COURSE ASSESSMENT ITEM
Goal 1 –Effective Written and Oral Communication
Students will be given a number opportunities to demonstrate their ability to communicate effectively (CLO #7)
CP, Project write up & presentation, Exams
Goal 2 –Ethical Understanding and Reasoning
Goal 3 – Analytical Thinking and Problem Solving Skills
Analytical Thinking and Problem Solving Skills are an essential component of the course (CLO 1‐7)
CP, Quizzes and exams
Goal 4 – Application of Information Technology
Application of information technology in for assignments, projects
Project write up & presentation
Goal 5 – Teamwork in Diverse and Multicultural Environments
Students work in groups for group projects
Group project
Goal 6 – Understanding Organizational Ecosystems
Develop student’s understanding of the interaction of micro (firm specific) variables with the macro (securities markets, industry, and the economy) variables
CP, Project write up & presentation, Exams, quizzes
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Goal 7 (a) – Program Specific Knowledge and Understanding
A detailed introduction to the various of topics in Investments (CLO 1‐6)
CP, quizzes and exams
Goal 7 (b) – Understanding the “science” behind the decision‐making process
GRADING BREAKUP AND POLICY CLASS ROOM POLICY Attendence and Class Participation: 10%. Students are expected to attend all classes. If you are not present at the beginning of a class or leave class during the session, without instructor’s prior permission, you will be considered absent for the day. Students must review the assigned materials in advance of the class in order to contribute meaningfully to class discussions. A significant portion of the course grade depends on the quality and level of your involvement and input in class discussions. POLICY REGARDING EXAMINAIONS QUIZZES AND OTHER GRADING INSTRUMENTS. There is a zero tolerance policy for any undesirable behavior or undeserving attempt to improve your grades during the quizzes and examinations. Such action can result in cancelling your examination paper. It may also result in disciplinary actions by Disciplinary Committee. Please carefully weigh in your action’s costs and benefits and always show an ethical and moral deportment and behavior. Quiz(s) and Assignments: 20%. Several unannounced quizzes will be given on the assigned material during the term. No make‐up quizzes will be given. However, the lowest quiz grade including a zero for a missed quiz will be disregarded. No sharing of calculators, or any help sheet be allowed. There will be several graded assignments during the term to reinforce financial concepts and to encourage usage of spreadsheets such as Excel in performing financial analysis. The format and other requirements will be specified by the instructor. All assignments must be submitted on the due date. Late submissions will not be accepted. In addition, non‐graded end‐of‐chapter problems may be assigned to stimulate class discussions. Midterm Examination: 20% The examination could be mix of MCQ short exercise and short explanations. There is a zero tolerance for any undesirable behavior to undeserving attempt to improve your grades during the quizzes and examinations. Group Projects 25%: Students are required to form teams of 3‐4 students (depending on class size) by session 4 for group tasks. (i) Sector Report: Each group will select an industry sector/subsector and perform industry and fundamental analysis of at least 2 leading companies in that sector. The sectors for the analysis must be approved by the instructor. The sector analysis reports will be
due at the beginning of the 27th class session. Late submissions will not be accepted. A peer evaluation form will be provided to
evaluate contribution of each group member. Your peer evaluation will impact your grade on the project report. (ii) Investment Game: Each group will be entrusted with the same amount of initial investment and will be asked to manage a portfolio of stocks on behalf of a client for a certain amount of time. Portfolio performance will be evaluated on the basis of total return at the end of the game. (iii) Money Masters Report: Multiple teams will be assigned an investment “guru” from the Money Masters to prepare a brief writ‐up and be ready for a presentation on the assigned person as per the class schedule. The presentation should focus on the investment strategies, investment insights (Dos and Don’ts of investments), including key personal traits. Students are encouraged to use the Internet to obtain more current information. FINAL EXAMINATION: 25%. The examination could be mix of MCQ short exercise and short explanations. Students may also expect a question or two from the assigned report or a case or a situation analysis. Calculator Requirement: You will need a financial calculator capable of performing present value/future value functions. For example, Texas Instrument BA II meets these criteria. Many other brands are equally suitable for this course.
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EXAMINATION DETAIL
Midterm Exam
Yes/No: Yes Combine Separate: ‐ N/A Duration: 2 Hours Preferred Date: Week 8 Exam Specifications:
Final Exam
Yes/No: Yes Combine Separate: N/A Duration: 2 Hours Exam Specifications:
COURSE OVERVIEW/SCHEDULE
LECTURE/ MODULE TOPICS RECOMMENDED READINGS
OBJECTIVES/ APPLICATION
Module 1: Overview of Investment Environment and Management Process
Session 1 • Investments: Backgrounds and Issues • Asset Classes and Financial Instruments
• BKM Ch 1,2
Overview of investment environment, type of financial markets, and introduction to the portfolio construction process.
Session 2 • Asset Classes and Financial Instruments: Stock and Bond Market Indexes
• BKM Ch 2
Examine the various asset classes, instruments, and understand the use and construction of market indexes.
Session 3 • Functioning of Security Markets and Trading Mechanisms
• BKM Ch 3
Review the functioning of financial markets and its key players.
Session 4 • Functioning of Security Markets and Trading Mechanisms
• BKM Ch 3
Understand the trading practices in stock exchanges and mechanics of buying on margin and short selling.
Session 5 • Mutual Funds and Other Investment Companies
• BKM Ch 4
Examine the benefits of investing through investment companies, classification of mutual funds by objectives and styles, fee structures, and performance.
Session 6 • Mutual Funds and Other Investment Companies – Pakistani Context • The Investment Management Process
• BKM Ch 4 • BKM Ch 22
Review the mutual funds industry of Pakistan. Overview of the portfolio management process.
Session 7 • The Investment Management Process
• BKM Ch 22
Learn to develop Investment Policy Statement (IPS) for individual and institutional investors.
Session 8 • Macroeconomic and • BKM Ch 12 Analyze the effects of
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Industry Analysis
macroeconomic and industry factors on firm performance and industry earning prospects over time.
Session 9 • Macroeconomic and Industry Analysis – Applications of Fundamental Analysis
• BKM Ch 12
Understand the relevance of macroeconomic and industry factors in fundamental analysis – the Top‐Down approach.
Session 10 • Equity Valuation –Discounted Cash Flow Models
• BKM Ch 13
Apply discounted cash flow models and alternative approaches to value securities.
Session 11 • Equity Valuation – Other Valuation Approaches
• BKM Ch 13
Examine relative and other security valuation methodologies.
Session 12 • Risk and Return: Past and Prologue • Efficient Diversification
• BKM Ch 5,6
Review historical risk‐return relationship, modern portfolio theory, and estimation of risk measures.
Session 13 • Diversification and Portfolio Risk • Single Index Model and Beta Estimation
• BKM Ch 6
Develop understanding to construct optimal portfolios, and use index models to analyze risk characteristics of securities and portfolios.
Session 14 • Capital Asset Pricing and Arbitrage Pricing Theory
• BKM Ch 7
Understand the implications of capital market theory for asset pricing, use security market line, APT and multifactor models to identify mispriced securities.
Session 15 • The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)
• BKM Ch 8
Review empirical evidence that supports and conflicts with the efficient market hypothesis.
Session 16 • EMH Implications for Portfolio Strategies
• BKM Ch 8 Evaluate the implications of EMH for portfolio management strategies.
Session 17 • Behavioral Finance and Technical Analysis
• BKM Ch 9
Review the behavioral finance critique of standard finance and its relevance for investments.
Session 18 • Technical Analysis –Momentum Trading
• BKM Ch 9
Overview of technical analysis tools and mechanics of momentum trading.
Session 19 • Bond Prices and Yields
• BKM Ch 10
Develop understanding of the bond markets, pricing and yield determination, and how different bond features impact bond yields.
Session 20 • Managing Bond Portfolios
• BKM Ch 11
Analyze bond features impacting price sensitivity to interest rates using duration and convexity measures.
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Session 21 • Managing Bond Portfolios
• BKM Ch 11
Evaluate active versus passive bond portfolio strategies and immunization for various investment horizons.
Session 22 • Portfolio Performance Evaluation
• BKM Ch 18
Understand various risk‐adjusted measures to evaluate performance and decompose portfolio return into components attributable to asset allocation and security selection.
Session 23 • Globalization and International Investing
• BKM Ch 19
Examine the benefits and risks of international portfolio investments with special reference to emerging markets.
Session 24 • Overview of Options Markets
• BKM Ch 15
Overview of the options market and their usage in changing the portfolio risk profile.
Session 25 • Futures Markets and Risk Management
• BKM Ch 17
Understand the use of derivatives in managing portfolio risk.
Session 26 Presentations Session 27
Session 28
• Final Examination (Comprehensive)
TEXTBOOK(S)/SUPPLEMENTARY READINGS Required Text:
Bodie, Kane, and Marcus, Essentials of Investments, 9thEdition, McGraw Hill, 2013. (BKM)
• Selected readings from The Money Masters and The New Money Masters by John Train, 1980 and 1989, respectively. Other Reference Books:
• Reilly, Frank and Brown, K., Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management, 8thEdition, Thomson South‐Western, 2006. ( RB ‐
selected chapters only)
• Malkiel, Burton, A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time Tested Strategy for Successful Investing, 10 th Edition, W. W. Norton
& Company, 2012. Supplementary Readings: • Students are encouraged to read financial publications such as The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times; Business Recorder to stay abreast of developments related to this course. • Supplemental readings in the form of notes or articles on investments with practical and topical applications may be posted on the course website from time to time.