8
15.03.2013 Ticker: Veolia Environnement SA Benchmark: Currency: EN Paris: VIE, Currency: EUR CAC 40 INDEX (CAC) Sector: Utilities Industry: Multi-Utilities Year: Telephone 33-1-71-75-01-67 Revenue (M) Business Segments in EUR Sales (M) Geographic Segments in EUR Sales (M) Website www.veoliaenvironnement.com No of Employees Water 12617 France 11459 Address 36-38 Avenue Kleber Paris, 75116 France Waste Management 9740 Rest of Europe 5536 Share Price Performance in EUR Energy 7290 Germany 2739 Price 10.08 1M Return 7.5% Transportation United Kingdom 2632 52 Week High 12.16 6M Return 5.6% United States 2287 52 Week Low 7.38 52 Wk Return -11.0% Asia 1912 52 Wk Beta 1.07 YTD Return 10.1% Rest of the World 1610 Credit Ratings Bloomberg HY1 S&P BBB+ Date 24.11.2000 Outlook NEG Moody's Baa1 Date 07.02.2012 Outlook STABLE Fitch BBB+ Date 22.05.2012 Outlook NEG Valuation Ratios 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E P/E 17.8x 20.4x - 508.3x 18.3x 13.6x 11.5x EV/EBIT 16.4x 16.3x 23.4x 17.6x - - - EV/EBITDA 8.6x 7.9x 5.9x 6.0x 7.7x 7.2x 6.4x P/S 0.3x 0.4x 0.1x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x P/B 1.5x 1.3x 0.6x 0.7x 0.6x 0.7x 0.7x Div Yield 5.2% 5.5% 8.3% 7.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% Profitability Ratios % 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Gross Margin 17.2 19.2 15.9 15.8 16.2 16.8 - EBITDA Margin 10.0 12.9 12.8 10.2 9.0 9.4 9.9 Operating Margin 5.3 6.2 3.2 3.5 4.3 4.7 5.3 Profit Margin 1.7 1.9 -1.7 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.7 Return on Assets 1.2 1.1 -1.0 0.8 1.6 1.8 0.9 Return on Equity 8.1 7.3 -6.6 5.5 4.0 5.1 6.2 Leverage and Coverage Ratios 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 Current Ratio 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 Current Capitalization in EUR Quick Ratio 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 519.7 EBIT/Interest 2.1 2.1 1.1 1.2 Market Capitalization (M) 5260.0 Tot Debt/Capital 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Cash and ST Investments (M) #N/A N/A Tot Debt/Equity 2.1 2.0 2.1 1.9 Total Debt (M) #N/A N/A Eff Tax Rate % 21.6 28.0 239.8 52.5 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0 LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0 Investments (M) 0.0 Enterprise Value (M) Veolia Environnement operates utility and public transportation businesses. The Company supplies drinking water, provides waste management services, manages and maintains heating and air conditioning systems, and operates rail and road passenger transportation systems. VIE FP 29'439 #N/A N/A Company Analysis - Overview 42% 33% 25% Water Waste Management Energy 40% 20% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 0% France Rest of Europe Germany United Kingdom United States Asia Rest of the World Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

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Page 1: Financial Analysis - Veolia environnement operates utility and public tran…

15.03.2013

Ticker: Veolia Environnement SA Benchmark:

Currency: EN Paris: VIE, Currency: EUR CAC 40 INDEX (CAC)

Sector: Utilities Industry: Multi-Utilities Year:

Telephone 33-1-71-75-01-67 Revenue (M) Business Segments in EUR Sales (M) Geographic Segments in EUR Sales (M)

Website www.veoliaenvironnement.com No of Employees Water 12617 France 11459

Address 36-38 Avenue Kleber Paris, 75116 France Waste Management 9740 Rest of Europe 5536

Share Price Performance in EUR Energy 7290 Germany 2739

Price 10.08 1M Return 7.5% Transportation United Kingdom 2632

52 Week High 12.16 6M Return 5.6% United States 2287

52 Week Low 7.38 52 Wk Return -11.0% Asia 1912

52 Wk Beta 1.07 YTD Return 10.1% Rest of the World 1610

Credit Ratings

Bloomberg HY1

S&P BBB+ Date 24.11.2000 Outlook NEG

Moody's Baa1 Date 07.02.2012 Outlook STABLE

Fitch BBB+ Date 22.05.2012 Outlook NEG

Valuation Ratios

12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

P/E 17.8x 20.4x - 508.3x 18.3x 13.6x 11.5x

EV/EBIT 16.4x 16.3x 23.4x 17.6x - - -

EV/EBITDA 8.6x 7.9x 5.9x 6.0x 7.7x 7.2x 6.4x

P/S 0.3x 0.4x 0.1x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x

P/B 1.5x 1.3x 0.6x 0.7x 0.6x 0.7x 0.7x

Div Yield 5.2% 5.5% 8.3% 7.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%

Profitability Ratios %

12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Gross Margin 17.2 19.2 15.9 15.8 16.2 16.8 -

EBITDA Margin 10.0 12.9 12.8 10.2 9.0 9.4 9.9

Operating Margin 5.3 6.2 3.2 3.5 4.3 4.7 5.3

Profit Margin 1.7 1.9 -1.7 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.7

Return on Assets 1.2 1.1 -1.0 0.8 1.6 1.8 0.9

Return on Equity 8.1 7.3 -6.6 5.5 4.0 5.1 6.2

Leverage and Coverage Ratios

12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12

Current Ratio 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 Current Capitalization in EUR

Quick Ratio 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 519.7

EBIT/Interest 2.1 2.1 1.1 1.2 Market Capitalization (M) 5260.0

Tot Debt/Capital 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Cash and ST Investments (M) #N/A N/A

Tot Debt/Equity 2.1 2.0 2.1 1.9 Total Debt (M) #N/A N/A

Eff Tax Rate % 21.6 28.0 239.8 52.5 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0

LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0

Investments (M) 0.0

Enterprise Value (M)

Veolia Environnement operates utility and public transportation businesses. The

Company supplies drinking water, provides waste management services, manages and

maintains heating and air conditioning systems, and operates rail and road passenger

transportation systems.

VIE FP

29'439

#N/A N/A

Company Analysis - Overview

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Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 2: Financial Analysis - Veolia environnement operates utility and public tran…

Veolia Environnement SA

Target price in EUR

Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date

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Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings

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Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 3: Financial Analysis - Veolia environnement operates utility and public tran…

15.03.2013

Veolia Environnement SA

Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution

Shares Outstanding (M) 519.7 France 69.26%

Float 73.1% Norway 9.11%

Short Interest (M) United States 7.24%

Short Interest as % of Float Luxembourg 5.72%

Days to Cover Shorts Switzerland 3.02%

Institutional Ownership 42.83% Ireland 1.07%

Retail Ownership 57.12% Britain 0.97%

Insider Ownership 0.05% Others 3.61%

Institutional Ownership Distribution

Investment Advisor 34.83%

Government 25.26%

Corporation 17.39%

Mutual Fund Manager 13.29%

Pricing data is in EUR Others 9.23%

Top 20 Owners:

Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country

CAISSE DES DEPOTS ET 47'873'873 0 482'329'270 9.17% 31.12.2011 Co File FRANCE

GROUPE INDUSTRIEL MA 32'888'732 0 331'353'975 6.30% 31.12.2011 Co File FRANCE

GROUPAMA ASSET MANAG 29'366'758 0 295'870'087 5.62% 31.12.2011 Co File FRANCE

VELO INVEST 24'681'519 0 248'666'304 4.73% 31.12.2011 Co File NORWAY

ELECTRICITE DE FRANC 20'577'271 0 207'316'005 3.94% 31.12.2011 Co File FRANCE

VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT 14'237'927 0 143'447'115 2.73% 31.12.2011 Co File FRANCE

AMUNDI 13'947'585 -16'312'801 140'521'919 2.67% 31.12.2011 13G FRANCE

VANGUARD GROUP INC 6'531'940 158'722 65'809'296 1.25% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES

PICTET & CIE 6'461'052 304 65'095'099 1.24% 30.11.2012 MF-AGG SWITZERLAND

NATIXIS ASSET MANAGE 6'190'509 -64'740 62'369'378 1.19% 31.01.2013 MF-AGG FRANCE

PICTET ASSET MANAGEM 5'783'427 -224'399 58'268'027 1.11% 30.11.2012 MF-AGG BRITAIN

MANDARINE GESTION 5'636'031 -643'999 56'783'012 1.08% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG FRANCE

BLACKROCK 5'122'492 120'729 51'609'107 0.98% 13.03.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES

ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGE 4'776'617 155'025 48'124'416 0.91% 28.02.2013 ULT-AGG GERMANY

AQR CAPITAL MANAGEME -3'701'595 -965'860 -37'293'570 -0.71% 25.10.2012 Short UNITED STATES

ING INTERNATIONAL AD 3'159'183 -1'040'593 31'828'769 0.61% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG LUXEMBOURG

JULIUS BAER MULTIPAR 3'065'847 92'713 30'888'409 0.59% 29.02.2012 MF-AGG LUXEMBOURG

AVIVA PLC 2'974'900 0 29'972'118 0.57% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG BRITAIN

B & G FUND PLC -2'401'599 678'713 -24'196'110 -0.46% 04.03.2013 Short

MARSHALL WACE LLP -2'140'556 678'713 -21'566'102 -0.41% 04.03.2013 Short BRITAIN

Top 5 Insiders:

Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source

PROGLIO HENRI 248'077 2'499'376 0.05% 31.12.2011 Co File

FREROT ANTOINE 10'793 108'739 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File

SCHWEITZER LOUIS 5'828 58'717 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File

MICHEL SERGE 3'094 31'172 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File

BOUTON DANIEL 3'065 30'880 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File

Company Analysis - Ownership

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Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 4: Financial Analysis - Veolia environnement operates utility and public tran…

Veolia Environnement SA

Financial information is in EUR (M)

Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Income Statement

Revenue 30'079 28'603 22'500 25'245 28'620 32'628 35'765 33'952 28'764 29'647 29'439 27'066 27'747 29'586

- Cost of Goods Sold 24'638 23'726 18'346 20'561 23'427 26'930 30'013 28'116 23'255 24'919 24'795

Gross Income 5'441 4'877 4'154 4'684 5'193 5'699 5'751 5'836 5'509 4'728 4'643 4'385 4'661

- Selling, General & Admin Expenses 3'720 3'336 2'673 2'791 3'126 3'308 3'840 4'050 3'714 3'771 3'610

(Research & Dev Costs) 93 95 63 63 66 85 92 90 87 112

Operating Income 1'721 1'541 1'481 1'893 2'067 2'390 1'911 1'786 1'795 957 1'033 1'176 1'315 1'580

- Interest Expense 694 638 829 782 784 970 1'111 864 852 862 839

- Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains) -44 8 14 -14 14 3 43 10 0 8

- Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains) 152 2'431 -181 -99 -135 -280 -275 -196 -196 -138 -109

Pretax Income 919 -1'535 819 1'225 1'404 1'698 1'032 1'108 1'139 225 303 581 744 987

- Income Tax Expense 437 274 184 423 410 420 462 239 319 539 159

Income Before XO Items 481 -1'809 635 802 994 1'278 570 869 820 -314 144

- Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax 106 -1 23 -139 27 -29 2 -386

- Minority Interests 142 246 138 179 236 327 304 258 291 173 136

Diluted EPS Before XO Items 1.24 1.56 1.88 2.18 0.57 1.30 1.10 (0.99) 0.02

Net Income Adjusted* 339 -2'055 231 623 758 933 405 584 605 272 72 294 394 495

EPS Adjusted 0.90 (4.99) 0.30 1.57 1.89 2.17 0.89 1.24 1.26 0.55 0.14 0.55 0.74 0.87

Dividends Per Share 0.81 0.81 0.67 0.84 1.03 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 0.70 0.70 0.66 0.67 0.67

Payout Ratio % 65.7 53.4 53.5 55.0 58.1 215.0 97.8 110.9 1.20 0.90 0.76

Total Shares Outstanding 403 403 397 399 404 457 458 479 485 505 520

Diluted Shares Outstanding 412 403 399 404 435 460 471 482 496 507

EBITDA 3'682 3'481 3'484 3'325 3'262 3'710 3'384 3'392 3'698 3'805 3'014 2'441 2'600 2'940

*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.

Equivalent Estimates

Company Analysis - Financials I/IV

Fiscal Year

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 5: Financial Analysis - Veolia environnement operates utility and public tran…

Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Balance Sheet

Total Current Assets 15358.7002 15609.9004 15169.3 13541.6 15023.7 17214 19084.3 20221.7 20371.9 21948.5 22038.4

+ Cash & Near Cash Items 2'382 2'538 4'660 2'336 2'658 3'116 3'850 5'614 5'407 5'724 5'548

+ Short Term Investments 169 1'113 189 61 66 0 0

+ Accounts & Notes Receivable 11'146 10'433 7'292 8'239 9'779 9'304 9'702 9'081 9'252 8'493 10'306

+ Inventories 1'175 1'068 589 676 732 839 1'022 997 1'131 1'021 1'018

+ Other Current Assets 488 458 2'439 2'229 1'789 3'955 4'511 4'529 4'582 6'711 5'166

Total Long-Term Assets 26'568 23'221 20'657 22'768 25'100 29'093 30'042 29'595 31'055 28'457 22'574

+ Long Term Investments 1'522 1'368 2'914 3'053 5'953 5'529 6'319 6'204 6'159 5'931 3'317

Gross Fixed Assets 24'143 24'722 21'314 24'092 16'912 18'886 19'492 19'990 21'116 18'673

Accumulated Depreciation 9'602 10'303 10'356 11'741 8'993 9'683 10'064 10'608 11'413 10'185

+ Net Fixed Assets 14'541 14'419 10'958 12'352 7'919 9'203 9'427 9'382 9'703 8'488 6'838

+ Other Long Term Assets 10'506 7'433 6'784 7'363 11'229 14'361 14'296 14'009 15'193 14'038 12'419

Total Current Liabilities 15'404 15'291 16'150 13'793 15'514 18'069 18'274 17'657 18'116 19'680 18'682

+ Accounts Payable 6'308 6'242 9'576 10'374 5'734 12'945 13'592 13'076 13'774 12'599 11'599

+ Short Term Borrowings 3'796 3'827 5'846 2'645 3'360 4'264 3'685 3'438 3'214 4'383 3'918

+ Other Short Term Liabilities 5'300 5'222 728 774 6'420 860 997 1'143 1'128 2'699 3'166

Total Long Term Liabilities 17'700 17'375 14'728 16'823 18'056 18'047 21'320 22'029 22'507 20'890 16'804

+ Long Term Borrowings 12'913 12'586 12'157 13'723 14'002 13'948 17'064 17'647 17'896 16'707 13'084

+ Other Long Term Borrowings 4'787 4'788 2'571 3'100 4'055 4'099 4'256 4'382 4'610 4'184 3'720

Total Liabilities 33'104 32'666 30'878 30'616 33'570 36'116 39'594 39'686 40'623 40'571 35'486

+ Long Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Minority Interest 2'585 2'680 1'726 1'891 2'193 2'578 2'531 2'670 2'929 2'765 1'974

+ Share Capital & APIC 8'287 8'287 8'500 8'539 8'704 11'538 11'373 11'714 11'823 12'207 11'077

+ Retained Earnings & Other Equity -2'049 -4'802 -5'277 -4'736 -4'344 -3'925 -4'372 -4'253 -3'947 -5'137 -3'925

Total Shareholders Equity 8'823 6'165 4'948 5'694 6'553 10'191 9'532 10'131 10'804 9'835 9'126

Total Liabilities & Equity 41'927 38'831 35'826 36'309 40'124 46'307 49'126 49'817 51'427 50'406 44'612

Book Value Per Share 15.49 8.66 8.12 9.54 10.79 16.67 15.30 15.58 16.25 13.99 13.76 15.63 14.97 14.98

Tangible Book Value Per Share -5.59 -5.60 -12.54 -8.75 -10.70 -8.83 -9.56 -9.17 -6.36

Company Analysis - Financials II/IV

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 6: Financial Analysis - Veolia environnement operates utility and public tran…

Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Cash Flows

Net Income 339 -2'055 392 623 759 928 405 584 559 -490 394 281 371 473

+ Depreciation & Amortization 1'961 1'940 2'003 1'432 1'195 1'319 1'473 1'606 1'903 2'848 1'981

+ Other Non-Cash Adjustments 480 2'816 828 1'294 951 838 1'106 249 81 -115 -471

+ Changes in Non-Cash Capital -463 398 294 -52 -112 -167 -81 432 106 -41 103

Cash From Operating Activities 2'317 3'098 3'517 3'296 2'793 2'919 2'902 2'872 2'648 2'203 2'007

+ Disposal of Fixed Assets 198 226 316 174 141 213 330 259 205 169 174

+ Capital Expenditures -2'603 -2'456 -1'964 -2'082 -2'018 -2'519 -2'781 -2'105 -2'084 -2'258 -2'302 -1'724 -2'199 -2'222

+ Increase in Investments -1'131 -474 -511 -1'213 -1'652 -2'240 -1'308 -661 -915 -736 -580

+ Decrease in Investments 1'573 494 2'314 338 645 542 719 978 923 1'728 3'182

+ Other Investing Activities -146 -903 19 244 -20 -16 -296 178 41 -53 -46

Cash From Investing Activities -2'109 -3'112 175 -2'540 -2'904 -4'018 -3'335 -1'352 -1'830 -1'150 428

+ Dividends Paid -300 -309 -390 -374 -479 -564 -754 -434 -736 -547 -547

+ Change in Short Term Borrowings -2'032 399 1'789 -2'936 -239 -1'535 -1'437 -1'324 -938 -535 -1'269

+ Increase in Long Term Borrowings 4'194 4'133 931 3'134 1'997 2'060 3'590 3'301 538 745 1'326

+ Decrease in Long Term Borrowings -3'870 -3'791 -3'469 -2'319 -1'001 -1'363 -185 -1'515 -149 -315 -1'660

+ Increase in Capital Stocks 1'554 10 167 81 247 3'058 3 162 137 5 3

+ Decrease in Capital Stocks 0 0 -183 0 0 0 -80

+ Other Financing Activities -208 -210 -617 -753 -41 -103 23 66 191 -142 -314

Cash From Financing Activities -662 231 -1'772 -3'167 484 1'554 1'160 256 -957 -789 -2'459

Net Changes in Cash -454 217 1'920 -2'411 373 454 728 1'776 -140 264 -25

Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX) -287 643 1'553 1'214 776 400 122 767 564 -56 -295 187 -170 -31

Free Cash Flow To Firm 77 2'196 1'726 1'331 1'130 736 1'444 1'177 -1'260 103

Free Cash Flow To Equity -1'797 1'609 -224 2'420 1'488 220 9

Free Cash Flow per Share -0.76 1.56 3.85 3.06 1.94 0.93 0.26 1.63 1.17 -0.11 -0.58

Company Analysis - Financials III/IV

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 7: Financial Analysis - Veolia environnement operates utility and public tran…

Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E

Ratio Analysis

Valuation Ratios

Price Earnings 24.3x 21.2x 23.9x 30.3x 28.2x 38.4x 17.8x 20.4x 508.3x 18.3x 13.6x 11.5x

EV to EBIT 14.8x 15.5x 17.1x 16.3x 19.4x 19.3x 15.5x 16.4x 16.3x 23.4x 17.6x

EV to EBITDA 6.9x 6.9x 7.3x 9.3x 12.3x 12.5x 8.7x 8.6x 7.9x 5.9x 6.0x 7.7x 7.2x 6.4x

Price to Sales 0.3x 0.3x 0.5x 0.6x 0.8x 0.8x 0.3x 0.3x 0.4x 0.1x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x

Price to Book 1.4x 2.4x 3.2x 3.9x 5.3x 3.7x 1.5x 1.5x 1.3x 0.6x 0.7x 0.6x 0.7x 0.7x

Dividend Yield 3.7% 3.9% 2.6% 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% 5.5% 5.2% 5.5% 8.3% 7.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%

Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 18.1% 17.1% 18.5% 18.6% 18.1% 17.5% 16.1% 17.2% 19.2% 15.9% 15.8% 16.2% 16.8%

EBITDA Margin 12.2% 12.2% 15.5% 13.2% 11.4% 11.4% 9.5% 10.0% 12.9% 12.8% 10.2% 9.0% 9.4% 9.9%

Operating Margin 5.7% 5.4% 6.6% 7.5% 7.2% 7.3% 5.3% 5.3% 6.2% 3.2% 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 5.3%

Profit Margin 1.1% -7.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.7% 2.8% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% -1.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7%

Return on Assets 0.8% -5.1% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% -1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 1.8% 0.9%

Return on Equity 5.7% -42.3% 11.7% 17.7% 18.6% 15.5% 5.5% 8.1% 7.3% -6.6% 5.5% 4.0% 5.1% 6.2%

Leverage & Coverage Ratios

Current Ratio 1.00 1.02 0.94 0.98 0.97 0.95 1.04 1.15 1.12 1.12 1.18

Quick Ratio 0.89 0.92 0.75 0.77 0.81 0.69 0.74 0.83 0.81 0.72 0.85

Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I) 2.48 2.42 1.79 2.42 2.64 2.47 1.72 2.07 2.11 1.11 1.23

Tot Debt/Capital 0.65 0.73 0.78 0.74 0.73 0.64 0.69 0.68 0.66 0.68 0.65

Tot Debt/Equity 1.89 2.66 3.64 2.87 2.65 1.79 2.18 2.08 1.95 2.14 1.86

Others

Asset Turnover 0.70 0.71 0.60 0.70 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.69 0.57 0.58 0.62

Accounts Receivable Turnover 2.59 2.65 2.54 3.25 3.18 3.42 3.76 3.62 3.14 3.34 3.13

Accounts Payable Turnover 3.81 3.76 2.26 2.07 2.92 2.89 2.28 2.11 1.74 1.88 2.05

Inventory Turnover 18.13 21.16 22.15 32.51 33.28 34.28 32.25 27.85 21.86 23.17 24.32

Effective Tax Rate 47.6% 22.5% 34.5% 29.2% 24.7% 44.8% 21.6% 28.0% 239.8% 52.5%

Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 8: Financial Analysis - Veolia environnement operates utility and public tran…

VEOLIA

ENVIRONNE

SUEZ

ENVIRONNEMEEDF GDF SUEZ RWE AG PENNON GRP PLC UNITED UTILITIES SEVERN TRENT FORTUM OYJ ENEL SPA E.ON SE

AMER STATES

WATEELEC DE STRASBRG SABESP GAS NATURAL SDG

12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 03/2012 03/2012 03/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2011 12/2012

13.06 12.23 18.99 20.35 37.12 797.00 816.00 1'836.00 18.90 3.30 19.80 56.14 108.00 97.20 15.85

16.03.2012 16.03.2012 19.03.2012 21.08.2012 20.03.2012 19.07.2012 14.08.2012 14.08.2012 15.03.2012 14.01.2013 14.09.2012 05.03.2013 03.04.2012 28.02.2013 08.03.2013

7.38 7.81 13.39 14.05 26.36 589.00 590.00 1'442.71 12.81 2.02 12.42 34.90 88.00 66.57 8.36

16.11.2012 19.11.2012 29.11.2012 01.03.2013 08.02.2013 19.11.2012 12.04.2012 05.04.2012 23.07.2012 24.07.2012 08.02.2013 10.04.2012 04.12.2012 19.03.2012 23.07.2012

1'268'525 231'213 477'625 1'654'346 1'282'796 820'874 2'282'284 383'751 598'767 42'407'694 3'798'839 164'954 193 271'800 992'050

10.08 10.01 14.67 14.52 28.64 629.00 693.50 1'636.00 15.15 2.60 13.04 55.26 96.00 92.70 15.56

-22.8% -18.1% -22.8% -28.6% -22.9% -21.1% -15.0% -10.9% -19.8% -21.3% -34.1% -1.6% -11.1% -4.6% -1.9%

36.6% 28.1% 9.5% 3.3% 8.7% 6.8% 17.5% 13.4% 18.3% 28.5% 5.0% 58.3% 9.1% 39.3% 86.1%

519.7 506.9 1'846.7 2'357.3 614.7 360.6 681.8 237.6 888.4 9'403.4 1'906.8 18.8 7.2 227.8 1'000.7

5'260.0 5'107.4 27'113.6 35'034.2 17'559.8 2'293.7 4'728.9 3'899.6 13'458.8 24'411.1 26'093.0 1'064.5 688.3 21'120.5 15'565.7

17'001.6 10'070.8 64'501.0 57'552.0 19'946.0 2'529.9 5'855.2 4'398.8 8'777.0 66'539.0 25'944.0 342.7 7.1 8'596.3 20'432.0

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

1'973.6 1'871.1 4'854.0 11'462.0 1'613.0 - - 7.9 616.0 16'387.0 3'862.0 - 0.8 - 1'618.0

5'547.8 2'508.2 22'307.0 11'383.0 5'276.0 425.3 321.2 295.1 963.0 9'891.0 6'097.0 1.3 232.2 2'150.0 5'693.0

18'687.4 15'042.8 74'161.6 92'665.2 33'842.8 4'466.7 10'555.7 8'072.0 21'888.8 97'446.1 49'802.0 1'365.8 575.2 27'928.9 31'922.7

LFY 29'438.5 15'102.0 72'729.0 97'038.0 50'771.0 1'233.1 1'564.9 1'770.6 6'159.0 82'699.0 132'093.0 466.9 707.3 9'941.6 24'904.0

LTM 29'438.5 15'102.0 72'729.0 97'038.0 50'771.0 1'224.2 1'595.1 1'802.3 6'159.0 82'699.0 132'093.0 466.0 707.3 10'488.9 24'904.0

CY+1 27'066.4 15'331.7 72'654.4 80'580.1 53'031.9 1'225.5 1'643.6 1'832.8 6'262.5 79'507.9 110'567.7 473.0 - 10'677.0 24'059.1

CY+2 27'746.7 15'911.4 75'121.5 80'720.6 53'783.0 1'286.8 1'700.5 1'877.5 6'483.4 80'500.8 112'480.4 484.3 - 10'778.3 24'929.1

LFY 0.8x 0.9x 1.0x 1.0x 0.7x 3.9x 6.8x 4.6x 3.4x 1.2x 0.4x 2.5x 0.8x 2.6x 1.2x

LTM 0.8x 1.0x 1.0x 1.0x 0.7x 3.9x 6.7x 4.5x 3.4x 1.2x 0.4x 2.6x 0.9x 2.5x 1.2x

CY+1 0.7x 1.0x 1.0x 1.0x 0.6x 3.8x 6.2x 4.5x 3.5x 1.0x 0.4x - - 2.7x 1.3x

CY+2 0.6x 0.9x 1.0x 1.0x 0.6x 3.8x 6.2x 4.4x 3.4x 1.0x 0.4x - - 2.7x 1.2x

LFY 3'014.4 2'077.9 14'342.0 18'401.0 9'055.0 413.0 900.0 786.7 2'360.0 16'150.0 8'443.0 133.3 129.2 3'123.2 4'865.0

LTM 3'604.0 1'980.7 14'342.0 18'401.0 9'201.0 407.0 905.1 777.5 2'403.0 16'150.0 8'443.0 146.1 130.7 3'395.5 4'885.0

CY+1 2'441.3 2'513.8 15'963.9 14'006.2 8'775.6 410.8 964.3 828.6 2'433.7 16'076.7 9'478.0 151.0 - 3'576.0 4'896.8

CY+2 2'600.1 2'682.1 16'809.5 14'153.5 8'605.6 433.1 1'008.4 852.5 2'434.3 16'301.5 9'661.2 156.5 - 4'276.3 5'041.2

LFY 7.6x 6.9x 5.1x 5.1x 3.9x 11.6x 11.9x 10.4x 8.9x 6.3x 6.0x 8.7x 4.4x 8.2x 6.2x

LTM 6.4x 7.2x 5.1x 5.1x 3.9x 11.8x 11.8x 10.5x 8.7x 6.3x 6.0x 7.9x 4.3x 7.6x 6.1x

CY+1 7.2x 5.9x 4.6x 5.8x 3.9x 11.3x 10.6x 9.9x 9.0x 5.1x 5.1x - - 8.0x 6.5x

CY+2 6.8x 5.5x 4.5x 5.6x 4.0x 11.3x 10.4x 9.7x 9.0x 4.9x 5.0x - - 6.7x 6.0x

LFY 0.02 0.68 2.06 1.33 1.95 0.47 0.47 0.88 - 0.09 1.81 2.82 8.14 5.37 1.45

LTM 0.78 0.49 1.80 0.71 2.13 0.48 0.48 0.94 1.59 0.09 1.14 2.82 8.14 7.20 1.45

CY+1 0.55 0.65 1.76 1.36 3.88 0.42 0.40 0.92 1.28 0.34 1.30 2.75 - 7.05 1.35

CY+2 0.74 0.76 1.91 1.41 3.55 0.44 0.43 0.96 1.26 0.36 1.39 2.76 - 8.67 1.46

LFY 12.9x 20.3x 8.1x 20.4x 13.4x 13.1x 14.6x 17.5x 9.6x 28.8x 11.4x 19.6x 11.8x 12.9x 10.7x

LTM 12.9x 26.4x 8.1x 10.9x 13.4x 13.3x 14.2x 15.9x - - 7.2x 19.6x 11.8x 12.9x -

CY+1 18.3x 15.4x 8.3x 10.7x 7.4x 14.9x 17.4x 17.7x 11.8x 7.7x 10.0x 20.1x - 13.1x 11.5x

CY+2 13.6x 13.2x 7.7x 10.3x 8.1x 14.4x 16.0x 17.0x 12.1x 7.2x 9.4x 20.1x - 10.7x 10.6x

1 Year (0.7%) 1.8% 11.4% 7.0% 3.3% 6.4% 3.4% 3.5% (0.0%) 6.6% 16.9% 11.4% 25.8% 7.7% 18.2%

5 Year (2.9%) - 6.1% 7.2% 4.1% 7.9% (5.1%) 3.5% 7.7% 9.1% 16.4% 9.2% 9.6% 13.6% 19.2%

1 Year (20.8%) - 1.7% 14.5% 9.3% 3.2% 0.0% (0.7%) (1.5%) (6.1%) 97.8% - - (3.1%) 3.6%

5 Year (4.1%) 3.6% (1.7%) 20.7% 3.1% 5.7% 0.9% 2.7% 3.4% 10.7% (5.3%) 8.3% 5.0% 4.2% 17.0%

LTM 12.0% 13.4% 19.7% 19.0% 18.1% 33.2% 56.7% 43.1% 39.0% 19.5% 6.4% 32.5% 21.5% 32.4% 19.6%

CY+1 9.0% 16.4% 22.0% 17.4% 16.5% 33.5% 58.7% 45.2% 38.9% 20.2% 8.6% 31.9% - 33.5% 20.4%

CY+2 9.4% 16.9% 22.4% 17.5% 16.0% 33.7% 59.3% 45.4% 37.5% 20.3% 8.6% 32.3% - 39.7% 20.2%

Total Debt / Equity % 237.7% 203.6% 249.4% 96.3% 134.6% 307.7% 331.8% 451.9% 86.0% 181.0% 74.2% 83.9% 2.6% 81.5% 154.1%

Total Debt / Capital % 65.1% 59.6% 67.7% 44.7% 54.8% 75.5% 76.8% 81.8% 44.8% 55.6% 40.1% 45.6% 2.5% 44.9% 57.9%

Total Debt / EBITDA 5.500x 5.131x 4.497x 3.128x 2.168x 6.466x 6.606x 5.673x 3.653x 4.120x 3.073x 2.357x 0.077x 2.529x 4.183x

Net Debt / EBITDA 4.238x 4.038x 2.942x 2.509x 1.594x 5.339x 6.438x 5.355x 3.252x 3.508x 2.351x 2.063x -0.871x 2.005x 3.017x

EBITDA / Int. Expense 3.593x 4.988x 5.871x 7.468x 7.250x 2.156x 2.853x 2.337x 7.867x 6.247x 2.900x 5.630x 1218.642x 7.174x 5.266x

S&P LT Credit Rating BBB+ - A+ A *- BBB+ - - BBB- A- BBB+ A- A+ - BB+ BBB

S&P LT Credit Rating Date 24.11.2000 - 17.01.2012 29.01.2013 27.07.2012 - - 28.01.2010 27.11.2012 08.03.2012 27.07.2012 30.07.2010 - 01.12.2011 17.12.2010

Moody's LT Credit Rating Baa1 A3 Aa3 A1 A3 - - Baa1 A2 Baa2 A3 A2 - - WR

Moody's LT Credit Rating Date 07.02.2012 20.05.2009 14.01.2009 03.07.2012 19.07.2011 - - 08.09.2009 15.07.2005 05.11.2012 05.10.2011 12.08.1993 - - 27.10.1999

52-Week High Date

52-Week Low

Latest Fiscal Year:

52-Week High

Total Debt

Market Capitalization

Daily Volume

52-Week Low % Change

Current Price (3/dd/yy)

52-Week High % Change

Cash and Equivalents

EBITDA

EV/EBITDA

Enterprise Value

Valuation

Preferred Stock

52-Week Low Date

Minority Interest

Total Common Shares (M)

P/E

Revenue Growth

Total Revenue

EV/Total Revenue

EPS

EBITDA Growth

EBITDA Margin

Credit Ratings

Leverage/Coverage Ratios

Company Analysis - Peers Comparision

Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |