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Finance Lecture 3

Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

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Page 1: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Finance Lecture 3

Page 2: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008

Outline Lecture 3

• A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies

• New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

• Principal-Agent Problems in Corporations

Page 3: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-3 Spring 2008

Last Lecture, We Talked AboutOptions For Raising Money

• Retained earnings are easiest

• Debt is tax-advantaged, but it comes with bankruptcy risk

• New equity dilutes existing equity, may send a negative signal

Page 4: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-4 Spring 2008

Many Firms Have A“Target Capital

Structure”• A pre-determined ratio of debt to equity finance that management is to follow, e.g., 40% debt, 60% equity

• As earnings are retained (profits not paid out as dividends), equity investment grows

A moderate amount of new debt can be taken on in proportion to growth in retained earnings, preserving target capital structure

Page 5: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-5 Spring 2008

A Target Capital Structure ImpliesHiggins’ Sustainable Growth Rate

• Profits generate new retained earnings

• New retained earnings allow new borrowing in accord with target capital structure

• Sales can grow “sustainably” in parallel to the “natural” increase in equity and debt levels

“Sustainability,” in this context, means growth without need for new equity finance (beyond new retained earnings)

Page 6: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-6 Spring 2008

Suppose You Want A Sales Growth Rate

Greater Than The “Sustainable” Rate• You can cut the dividend rate, increasing retained earnings

• You can change the target capital structure to tilt more toward debt

• You can issue new equity (along with commensurate new debt)

Page 7: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-7 Spring 2008

Empirical Evidence On “Target Capital Structure”Is Less Overwhelming Than The Theory Is Elegant

• Most firms, in fact, use both equity and debt

• Firms with tangible assets, e.g., factories, do borrow more

Tangible assets can be put up as collateral, reducing borrowing costs

• Actual debt levels vary widely across apparently similar firms

Page 8: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-8 Spring 2008

Modigliani And Miller Wrote A FamousNihilistic Paper On Capital Structure

• A firm’s value is unaffected by its capital structure

It doesn’t matter how a firm finances itself in equilibrium“A pizza is still a pizza no matter how you slice it”

• Perturbations of MM tend to lead to corner solutions

The corporate income tax code favors debt financing so firms should take on as much debt as possible

• More on MM in Higgins’ Chapter 6

Page 9: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-9 Spring 2008

As A Practical Matter, Debt PastA Certain Level Is Impossible

• Real world bankruptcy costs discourage 100% debt financing

Legal costs of bankruptcy Employees quit Suppliers want cash up-front

• Most bonds have covenants limitingfuture bond issuances

• Bondholders don’t want to lend to asafe firm today that transforms into arisky firm

Page 10: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-10 Spring 2008

Outline Lecture 3

• A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies

• New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

• Principal-Agent Problems in Corporations

Page 11: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-11 Spring 2008

A Stock Issuance StartsWith Some Preliminary Steps

• Existing stockholders’ preemptiverights must be honored

Existing stockholders have the first chance to buy any new shares issue Prevents fraudulent dilution, e.g., management sells under-valued shares to cronies to maintain control

• Choice must be made between privateplacement and public offering

Page 12: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-12 Spring 2008

A Private Placement DirectlySells Stock To A Large Investor

• Can reduce flotation costs

• Can be done quietly

• But have you obtained a fair price?

Page 13: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-13 Spring 2008

If You Do A Public Offering,SEC Paperwork Is Considerable

• Registration Statement

• Prospectus

• Must report on insider trading activities

• Must follow proxy rules

• Goal is to make markets fair, open

Page 14: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-14 Spring 2008

You Probably Need An InvestmentBroker To Do Public Offering

• Are market conditions favorable?

• Best efforts assistance or underwriting?

• Investment banker owns then re-sellsstock in underwriting (often leading asyndicate)

Page 15: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-15 Spring 2008

Even Without Underwriting Trading Profits,

Investment Banking Costs Are Non-Trivial

Source: Higgins, p. 171

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Bonds ConvertibleBonds

AdditionalCommon

IPO Common

Type of Security

Rep

rese

nta

tive

Issu

ance

Cost

%

Page 16: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-16 Spring 2008

One Wants Issuing Price To BeFairly Close To Market Price

• Underwriter loses if issue is overpriced

• Firm forfeits possible funds if issueunderpriced

• Investment bank doesn’t wantreputation for gross underpricing(though it is tempting!)

Page 17: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-17 Spring 2008

Allegedly Chronic IPOUnderpricing Is Controversial

• Underpricing, if it occurs, takes money away from the issuing firm

• Do investment bankers use underpriced IPOs to reward important insiders?

• Do issuing firms underprice as a form of advertising?

• Does underpricing help firm’s future issuances?

Page 18: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-18 Spring 2008

The Magnitude Of Stock PriceDecrease From New Issuance Is Unclear

• New issuance thought to be a negativesignal

• How profitably are you investing extra funds?

• How horizontal is demand curve forfirm’s stock?

Page 19: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-19 Spring 2008

Some Firms Pay DividendsWhile Issuing New Stock

• Seems wasteful: New stock issuanceis costly, dividend recipients payincome taxes

• Clientele effect: Existing stockholdersmay have come to count on dividends

• Stockholders may not trust managersso may welcome scrutiny accompanyingnew stock issuance

Page 20: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-20 Spring 2008

From A Tax Perspective, A StockRepurchase May Be Preferred To Dividends

• Corporation buys up some existingshares

• Smaller pool of remaining stockholdersto share future flows

• (Hopefully) Resultant stock price increase a capital gain, not ordinary income

Page 21: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-21 Spring 2008

Stock Repurchases Have Other Advantages

• Sale of stock is up to investor;receipt of taxable dividend is involuntary

• Allows use of short-term excess cashwithout commitment of dividend increase

• A mechanism for large scale reductionin equity share in capital structure, if so desired

Page 22: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-22 Spring 2008

The IRS Can Get ConcernedAbout Repurchases, However

• Not supposed to take actions solelyto reduce income taxation of stockholders

• Management needs a “businessjustification”

• Probably not a problem if done inmoderation

Page 23: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-23 Spring 2008

In Contrast To Repurchases, Splits AndStock Dividends Are Fairly Meaningless

• Split of stock gives everyone more shares, but of lower value

• Stock dividend similar

• Want to keep price in “optimal” range?

• Perhaps a favorable signal

• Much ado about very little?

Page 24: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-24 Spring 2008

Outline Lecture 3

• A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies

• New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

• Principal-Agent Problems in Corporations

Page 25: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-25 Spring 2008

There Is A Motif Of StockholdersNot Trusting Managers

• One rationale presented, for instance, for new stock issuances concurrent with dividend payments is that stockholders welcome the scrutiny accompanying new stock issuances

• Another example is that stockholders may not want managers to have an open line of credit

Credit access allows quick action if opportunities arise But will managers just buy private jets for themselves?

→ This is a Principal-Agent problem

Page 26: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-26 Spring 2008

Principal-Agent Problems AreHeavily Studied In Economics

• Principal: Stockholders

• Agent: Corporate management

• How do stockholders (the principal) make sure managers (the agent) behave in a way that maximizes stockholder wealth?

Effort is not directly observable Observed outcomes include randomness and external factors not within managers’ control

Page 27: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-27 Spring 2008

It Is Widely SuspectedManagers Want To Build Empires

• Compensation believed to be related to the size, not the profitability, of an enterprise

• The same theory has been presented for managers/bureaucrats in government agencies

Page 28: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-28 Spring 2008

One Incentive Correction Is To TieCompensation To The Stock’s Price

• You want managers to “think like stockholders”

Risk averse managers probably don’t want too high a percentage of their wealth in the firm’s stock

• Call options provide especially strong incentives

A call option is only valuable if the stock price is above the option exercise price upon expiration of the option Some executive have made gargantuan amounts from options There are issues about how options are handled from a tax perspective

Page 29: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases

Keating F&A 3-29 Spring 2008

Takeover Threat Is AMajor Check On Managers

• If a company is poorly run, an outsider could take on debt to buy out its stockholders and replace management

“Takeover artists,” “Corporate raiders” Leveraged buyout

• While negatively depicted (by hardly disinterested managers), even the threat of takeover benefits stockholders by improving manager motivation

• “Poison pills” that discourage takeovers are not in shareholders’ best interests

Page 30: Finance Lecture 3. Keating F&A 3-2 Spring 2008 Outline Lecture 3 A Target Capital Structure and What It Implies New Stock Issuances, Stock Repurchases