Final Regression Project

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    Robbery Rate 2.24

    A criminologist studying the relationship between population density and

    robbery rate in medium sized U.S. cities collected the following data from a random sample of sixteen

    cities; X is the population density of the city( number of people per unit area) and Y is the robbery rate

    last year number of robberies per 100000 people). Assume that the first order regression model (2.1)

    is appropriate.

    a) Obtain the estimated regression function. Plot the estimated regression function and the data

    does the linear regression appear to give a good fit here? Discuss.

    sol. we will find first Y=bo+b1X

    Therefore

    Y= 182.972+.262X_________________________Equ.(1)

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    the graph shows that fit is not good because the data points lie far from the ploted regression line.

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    b) Obtain point estimates of the following. (1). the difference in the mean robbery rate in cities

    that differ by one unit in population density. (2). the mean robbery rate in last year in cities

    with population density X=60. (3). 10 (4). 2

    Sol. (1). If there is one unit chane in X.then there will be b1=.262 change in Y.

    (2) now we will put X=60 in Equation (1)

    then estimated value of Y will be 198.692

    (3). 10 = -3.68316

    (4). 2=114.067

    Q 3.30. Refer to Robbery rate problem 2.24

    a) Test whether or not there is a linear association between robbery rate and population density

    using t test using a= .01. state the alternatives; decesion rules and conclusions. what is the

    P-Value of the test.

    b) test wheather or not bo=0 Control the risk of type I Error at .01; State the alternatives. decesion

    the rules and conclusions. why might there be interest in resting whether or not bo=0

    c) Estimate b1 with a 99 percent confidence interval. inerpret your interval estimate.

    sol: (1). Ho:There is linear association between robbery rate and populaion density.

    H1:There is no linear association between robbery rate and population density.

    level of significance =.01

    test statistics: t =1.467

    critical region: p value > , .164 > .01

    conclusion: Accept Ho because our P value is greater than our a value

    so There is linear association between robbery rate and population density.

    P-value of the test = .164

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    (2). Ho: Bo=0

    H1: B10

    Level of significance =.01

    Test statistics: t=14.382

    Critical region: p value

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    b). Prepare a Normal probability plot of the residuals. Also obtain the coefficient of correlation

    between the ordered residuals and there expected values under normality. What do you

    conclude?

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