National Capitol Region HAZUS User Group Call

September 24, 2015 10:00 AM EST

Listen to the recording here to follow along with the presentation: http://www.freeconferencecalling.com/recordings/Recording.aspx?fileid=LAF3494_09242015070238199_1192468&bridge=697620&email=&accountid=1116753

NCR HUG Call Details Conference Call Details: 1. Dial-in: 1-302-202-1110 2. Conference code: 697620

Join the Meeting through Adobe Connect: (No Registration Required)Click here to access the Adobe Connect meeting

The call will be recorded and the audio will be combined with the presentation and sent out at the end of the call. The audio and presentation will also be made available on the following websites:

NCR HUG Use HAZUS page - http://www.usehazus.com/ncrhugNCR HUG LinkedIn page - http://www.linkedin.com/groups/National-Capitol-Region-HAZUS-User-4790251?trk=myg_ugrp_ovr

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Agenda• Welcome + Announcements

• Upcoming 8th Annual Hazus User Conference – Atlanta, Georgia – December 9-11, 2015

• Hazus Earthquake Seismic Risk Assessment for Cairo, Egypt– Jesse Rozelle, FEMA Region VIII

• Hazus Data Preparation and Data Exporter Tool– Casey Zuzak, FEMA Region VIII

• Request for Volunteers – Next NCR HUG Call

• Adjourn

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AnnouncementsUpcoming HAZUS Courses at EMI

The Emergency Management Institute (EMI) has the following HAZUS training course available:

E179 Application of Hazus-MH for Disaster Operations: September 28-October 1, 2015E190 ArcGIS for Emergency Managers: October 5-8, 2015E170 Hazus-MH for Hurricane: October 26-29, 2015E174 Hazus-MH for Earthquake: November 16-19, 2015E313 Basic Hazus-MH: December 7-10, 2015E176 Hazus-MH for Floodplain Managers: December 14-17, 2015E317 Comprehensive Data Management for Hazus-MH: January 4-7, 2016

Please note that enrollment is closed for each course, 6 weeks prior to the course!

• To apply for a HAZUS training course, please visit: http://training.fema.gov/Apply/

• To enroll, download the Admission Application or contact the HAZUS Training Specialist at EMI: Jordan Manos – Jordan.manos@fema.dhs.gov

For further information on registration, please visit training.fema.gov/emiweb

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For further information on registration, please visit

Announcements8th Annual Hazus User Conference Hosted by the Georgia Hazus User Group in Atlanta Georgia – December 9-11, 2015

Location: CDC Conference Center - 1600 Clifton Road, Atlanta, GA 30333 Registration is free and you can reserve your ticket at http://www.hazusconference.com/Theme: "Hazus and the Emergency Management Life Cycle: From Practice to Policy."

Abstracts: Participants and attendees are encouraged to submit presentation abstracts that address this theme and any of the four phases of the Emergency Management Life CycleSubmissions can incorporate Hazus-related applications such as but not limited to: the use of Hazus in flood, earthquake, or hurricane studies; international applications of Hazus; academic uses; or enhancements of Hazus hazard and exposure inputs.

Details for submitting an abstract:• Abstracts should be around 150 words in length and submissions should also include the presenter’s complete contact information and a brief biography• All abstract submissions should be emailed to the Hazus Outreach Team at hazus@arcaspicio.comand must be received no later than October 1st, 2015.

Stay Connected to the Hazus Community through this website, on LinkedIn or follow us on Twitter@HazusCommunity to get the latest news about Hazus and the 2015 Conference!

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11, 2015

New Geospatial Resources and Information!Crowd Sourced – Wildfire Web Maphttp://www.esri.com/services/disaster-response/wildlandfire/latest-news-map?utm_source=esri&utm_medium=email&utm_term=128310&utm_content=header&utm_campaign=arcwatch_sep_2015

Mapping Hurricane Katrina’s Aftermathhttp://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/these-maps-show-severe-impact-hurricane-katrina-new-orleans-180956364/?no-ist

New online tool helps reduce flood impacthttp://www.stawelltimes.com.au/story/3315674/new-online-tool-helps-reduce-flood-impact/

GIS Discussions:• Compute watershed grids in ArcGIS: fill, flow direction...

Discussion - https://www.linkedin.com/grp/post/49657-6043663053214490629

• Cities at Risk - New model says world cities face expected losses of $4.6 trillion in economic output over the next decade as a result of natural or man-made catastrophes. Article - http://www.cam.ac.uk/research/news/cities-at-riskDiscussion - https://www.linkedin.com/grp/post/95125-6046655399430488065

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Hazus Earthquake Seismic Risk Assessment for Cairo, Egypt ESRI International Users Conference, San Diego

July 23, 2015

Jesse Rozelle FEMA Region VIII GIS Coordinator FEMA

MOTF (Modeling Task Force) SMEJesse.rozelle@fema.dhs.gov

Outline• Hazus

• Background• International Methodology

• Cairo Risk Assessment Study• Hazard• Inventory• Vulnerability

• Results-Demo• 1992 Earthquake Calibration• Cairo Probabilistic Losses• Alternative Futures Scenarios

Hazus Risk Assessment Tool• Earthquake, flood and

hurricane wind modules• Developed in conjunction

with the National Instituteof Building Sciences

• Runs on ESRI ArcGIS 10 platform-free 60 day evaluations www.esri.com

• Largest extension of ArcGIS• Over 200 data layers – all open source

Hazus\GIS• Results identify specific and

general vulnerabilities• Visually displays impacts

to key decision makers and the public

• Calculates scientifically-defensible damages, economic losses, and mitigation benefits

• Facilitates a risk-based approach to prioritize mitigation strategies that maximizes the return on investment

Hazus MH – Features

Earthquake Flood Hurricane

Hazus is Multidisciplinary• Subject Matter Experts/User Groups

• GIS experience• Engineering expertise• Hazard information (seismologist, geologist,

meteorologists)• Social scientist (housing)• Emergency management community• Decision/policy makers

Brief HistoryBrief Histoisto• Project started back in 1992• Replace “black box”• Provide national capabilities• Earthquake model functional

since 1997• 1,000’s of HAZUS users

• Local, State, & Federal Agencies• Private Sector• Universities

QuakeQQuakuakee

WindWWinindd FloodFlFloodood

SurgeSuSurrggee HAZMATHHAZAZMMATAT

Built Environment

EEcconomonomiiccIImmpacpactt

BBususiinesnesssIIntntererrruptuptiionon

3r3rdd--parparttyy MModelodelss

BBuiuillttEEnvnviirronmonmentent

Hazard IdentificationHazazararddIIdentdentiiffiiccatatiionon

Vulnerability AssessmentVVululnernerabiabilliittyyAAssssesesssmmentent

Social ImpactSSocociialal IImmpacpactt

Economic Impact

Business Interruption

HAZUS

Quake Wind Flood Surge HAZMAT

3rd-party Models

Built Environment

Hazard Identification

Vulnerability Assessment

Social Impact

Economic Impact

Business Interruption

• Demographics – Population, Employment, Housing

• Building Stock – Residential, Commercial, Industrial

• Essential Facilities – Hospitals, Schools, Police Stations, Fire Stations

• Transportation – Highways, Bridges, Railways, Tunnels, Airports, Ports and Harbors, Ferry Facilities

• Utilities – Waste Water, Potable Water, Oil, Gas, Electric Power, Communication Facilities

• High Potential Loss Facilities – Dams and Levees, Nuclear Facilities, Hazardous Material Sites, Military Installations

Nationwide Databases

HAZUS Software-Hardware

HAZUS Applications

International Applications: GIS based method for exporting the Hazus

Earthquake Model for Global Applications

Concept• Utilize Hazus earthquake model outside the U.S.• Start with a Proxy Building Stock and replace

with local information.• Focus limited resources towards developing

inventories, engineering parameters and hazard data rather than new software.

• Prevents duplication of effort

Developing InternationalBuilding Inventories

• EERI’s World Housing Encyclopediahttp://www.world-housing.net/

• Hazus Advanced Engineering Building Module (AEBM), included with program

• Hazus New Building Type Wizard, included with program

• Hazus Comprehensive Data Management System (CDMS), lap top based data collection interface

• ROVER (Rapid Observation of Vulnerability and Estimation of Risk) data collection tool

Integration of Data SourcesInteg• LANDSCAN 2012 Global Population

Database for Egypt• 1 km grids (10 km and 100 km where pop

<1,000)• Oak Ridge National Labs

http://www.ornl.gov/landscan/• Demographics: Age and Male/Female provided

by City of Cairo

Egypt Study Region

Part 1 of 3: Inventory•In general, earthquake results are sensitive to four categories of inventory parameters (among others)

• Location (longitude & latitude, whether site-specific or census-tract (grid) based)

• Classification with respect to earthquake vulnerability (facility type, capacity, building type & other construction characteristics) that affect seismic performance

• Valuation (cost of repair and replacement, business parameters)

• Societal (number of occupants)

NRIAG Inventory: City of Cairo Parcel DataIncludes:

• Construction Type• Condition• Number of Stories• Year Built

Limitations:• Building Area Estimated from Lot Area and Zoning

Density• Building Value Estimated from Default Replacement• Building Counts = Parcel Counts (1 per Parcel)

NRIAG-City of Cairo Parcel Data

City of Cairo –InventorySummary

City of Cairo

Occupancy Parcel Count Replacement Value (USD)

Content Value (USD) BldgArea (meters)

AGR1 111 $ 224,911,029 $ 224,911,029 644,112COM1 137 $ 145,406,213 $ 145,406,213 404,378COM2 222 $ 285,882,495 $ 285,882,495 818,726COM3 310 $ 590,584,532 $ 590,584,532 1,392,729COM4 450 $ 1,494,492,916 $ 1,494,492,916 2,599,415COM5 106 $ 1,562,137,759 $ 1,562,137,759 1,875,008COM6 227 $ 1,891,639,392 $ 2,837,459,088 1,717,674COM7 121 $ 375,793,373 $ 563,690,060 474,667COM8 224 $ 1,469,589,019 $ 1,469,589,019 2,119,895COM9 46 $ 137,182,157 $ 137,182,157 248,917EDU1 1,446 $ 6,368,935,108 $ 6,368,935,108 11,164,317EDU2 32 $ 269,929,156 $ 404,893,733 503,884GOV1 367 $ 1,127,769,037 $ 1,127,769,037 2,830,936GOV2 150 $ 1,337,088,040 $ 2,005,632,060 1,743,133IND1 301 $ 1,651,734,647 $ 2,477,601,970 3,861,691IND2 28 $ 55,528,269 $ 83,292,404 159,025IND3 175 $ 4,924,440,761 $ 7,386,661,142 10,021,067IND4 671 $ 11,494,807,301 $ 17,242,210,951 16,946,973IND5 18 $ 563,401,486 $ 845,102,229 1,056,578REL1 2,070 $ 4,288,593,701 $ 4,288,593,701 7,420,606RES1 276 $ 13,822,336 $ 6,911,168 100,382RES3A 94 $ 21,331,943 $ 10,665,971 57,190RES3B 735 $ 246,808,548 $ 123,404,274 752,649RES3C 1,678 $ 1,975,665,298 $ 987,832,649 3,355,153RES3D 16,780 $ 31,976,259,938 $ 15,988,129,969 57,739,123RES3E 15,051 $ 63,722,532,475 $ 31,861,266,237 105,226,069RES3F 3,034 $ 30,150,697,609 $ 15,075,348,805 52,867,357RES4 213 $ 998,765,660 $ 499,382,830 1,909,473

TOTAL 45,073 $ 169,365,730,197 $ 116,094,969,506 290,011,128

Height SummaryLow Rise (1-3 floors) 19,914Med Rise (4-7 floors) 18,349High Rise (8+ floors) 6,810

45,073

LandScan (2012) City of Cairo

7,877,202

LandScan (2012) Asyut 5,007,368LandScan (2012) Greater Egypt

70,499,858

LandScan (2012) Egypt 83,384,428

Part 2 of 3: Vulnerability• Model earthquake building types for Cairo from

“Construction Type”• Seismic Code adoption history compared to year

built, construction type and condition

• Limitations:• Assumes enforcement• Condition not the same as material quality

Seismic Code History in Egypt• 1989-first code to consider seismic loading, crude

percentage• 1993-after 1992 event, offered more building specific

design levels• 2004-enhancements, follows UBC 1997 framework• Egyptian code practice (ECP-201)• ECP (1993) ECP (2008)

• Pre-Code < 1993 (no code)• Low Code 1993-2004 (UBC, Zone 1-2)• Moderate Code >2004 (UBC, Zone 3), Quality 1

only

Concrete C3 - L,M,H

•Concrete Frame with Unreinforced Masonry Infill Walls

• Non-ductile concrete frame carries vertical load

• Unreinforced masonry infillwalls provide lateral shearstrength

• C3L,M,H Pre-Code used extensively in Egypt

City of Cairo - Building Type MappingCITY OF CAIRO - SEISMIC BUILDING TYPE AND DESIGN LEVEL SUMMARY

Bldg_Type Design Count Replacement Value (USD)

Content Value (USD) Bldg Area (sqmeters)

Concrete Moment Frame

C1H LC 1,282 $ 8,668,856,757 $ 5,998,067,407 14,604,349C1H MC 21 $ 921,829,551 $ 1,247,405,285 1,423,818C1L LC 2,172 $ 4,868,350,870 $ 2,678,764,880 8,753,872C1L MC 1,065 $ 5,499,160,597 $ 6,855,587,029 11,913,205C1M LC 4,997 $ 19,857,842,834 $ 10,685,137,597 33,462,673C1M MC 42 $ 1,146,134,708 $ 1,357,204,013 1,951,012

Sub Total 9,579 $ 40,962,175,316 $ 28,822,166,211 72,108,928Concrete Frame wURM Infill

C3H PC 5,507 $ 37,039,405,295 $ 22,928,332,203 62,397,588C3L PC 9,245 $ 22,473,973,067 $ 15,718,728,719 39,236,676C3M PC 13,129 $ 50,928,540,287 $ 32,116,925,416 85,405,174

Sub Total 27,881 $ 110,441,918,649 $ 70,763,986,339 187,039,438Unreinforced Masonry

URML PC 7,200 $ 16,644,586,614 $ 15,671,556,589 28,688,383URMM PC 413 $ 1,317,049,616 $ 837,260,368 2,174,379

Sub Total 7,613 $ 17,961,636,231 $ 16,508,816,956 30,862,762TOTAL 45,073 $ 169,365,730,197 $ 116,094,969,506 290,011,128

Part 3 of 3: Hazard Data

NRIAG• Probabilistic Hazard

Mapping• Soils Amplification• Epicenters• FaultsUSGS• 1992 Cairo EQ

ShakeMap

1992 M5.8 Event CalibrationM. Degg (1993) Paper• Daytime event• 550+ fatalities• 10,000 injured• 1,087 schools closed• 300 bldgs total or partial collapse• 6,500 bldgs severe damage• 40,000 homeless• Severe damage at Barnasht and

Gerza• Heliopolis 14 story apartment collapse• 100 severe school injuries

USGS ShakeMap Atlas/PAGER

http://comcat.cr.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/centennial19921012130957#summary

Earthquake Scenarios

City of Cairo Preliminary Results-Casualties

City of Cairo Preliminary Results-Damage by Construction Type

City of Cairo PreliminaryResults-Economic Losses

Casualty Parameter Modifications-Collapse Rates for Completely Damaged StructuresRates fofof r C

• Collapse rates for complete damage state—drives much of the fatalities and severe injuries.

• U.S. collapse rates are between 3 and 15% for completely damaged structures.

Site Specific Level of Loss Estimation Detail Now Available for Cairo

HAZUS MH: AnkJune 21

ara Introduction and Applicationsst , 2010

Alternative Futures-Mitigation

Concrete Shear Walls Concrete Frame with URM Infill

Questions?

Jesse.rozelle@fema.dhs.gov

Hazus Data Preparation and Data Exporter Tool

Casey ZuzakCasey ZuzakFEMA Region VIII

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Losses Avoided Study

• Reducing Losses through Higher Regulatory Reducing Losses through Higher Regulatory Standards• Goal: to quantitatively analyze floodplain regulations Goal: to quantitatively analyze floodplain regulations Goal: to quantitatively analyze floodplain regulations

that are, or would be successful if implement.•

that are, or would be successful if implement.• Floodway and Floodplain Development •

Floodway and Floodplain Development Floodway and Floodplain Development • Freeboard•• Critical Facility Regulation•

Critical Facility RegulationCritical Facility Regulation• Erosion Setbacks Scenario: Floodplain Development

IN THE 2013 FLOOD EVENT

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Data Preparation Tool

• Create geospatial tool Create geospatial tool to prepare, analyze to prepare, analyze and export data•

and export dataData Preparation Tool

•

Data Preparation ToolData Export Tool

•

Data Export ToolData Analysis Tool

Data Preparation Tool: Data Preparation Tool: prepares the Data Preparation Tool: Data Preparation Tool: prepares the prepares the data for analysis and if structure data data for analysis and if structure data are incomplete, utilizes assumptions to are incomplete, utilizes assumptions to estimate values for foundation type estimate values for foundation type and building square footage

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Hazus UDF NeedsHazus UDF

InputsData

Source Secondary Source UDF

SQFT Imagery Perimeter * Number of Stories (required) NOYear Built Imagery (required) NOFirst FloorHeight (FFE) Foundation Type (built before or after NFIP Entry) YES

Cost RS Means $/sqft by Occupancy Type * CPI Factor * County Mod Factor YES

Contents Cost Percent of Cost YESFoundation Type

Occupancy Type, within the SFHA, Built before or after NFIP Entry YES

Occupancy Type Google Earth/Google Streetview (required) YES

Num of Stories Occupancy Type and Square footage YESSFHA FEMA N/A (required) NONFIP Entery Hazus Local Flood Regulations (required) NODDFs Hazus USACE/FEMA Building Sciences OPT

City

or C

ount

y Pa

rcel

or

Bui

ldin

g Fo

otpr

int D

ata

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Data Export Tool

Data Export Tool: Data Export Tool: prepares the Data Export Tool: Data Export Tool: prepares the prepares the dataset to have the attributes dataset to have the attributes necessary for FEMA’s User necessary for FEMA’s User

Defined necessary for FEMA’s User necessary for FEMA’s User

Defined Defined Facility (UDF) necessary for FEMA’s User necessary for FEMA’s User

Facility (UDF) Facility (UDF) database

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Data Analysis Tool

Data Analysis Tool: Data Analysis Tool: runs Data Analysis Tool: scenarios using 100Data Analysis Tool: scenarios using 100scenarios using 100-

runs runs runs Data Analysis Tool: Data Analysis Tool: runs scenarios using 100scenarios using 100scenarios using 100--year flood scenarios using 100scenarios using 100scenarios using 100 year flood year flood year flood and 2013 flood event data plus and 2013 flood event data plus regulatory information to regulatory information to estimate regulatory losses estimate regulatory losses avoided

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Data Visualization

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Casey.Zuzak@fema.dhs.gov

Data Links• FEMA Region VIII FTP FEMA Region VIII FTP site: FEMA Region VIII FTP FEMA Region VIII FTP site: site:

https://data.femadata.com/Region8https://data.femadata.com/Region8https://data.femadata.com/Region8https://data.femadata.com/Region8/•

https://data.femadata.com/Region8Losses https://data.femadata.com/Region8https://data.femadata.com/Region8Losses Losses Avoided Studyhttps://data.femadata.com/Region8https://data.femadata.com/Region8

Avoided StudyAvoided Study: Losses httpsLosses Avoided StudyAvoided StudyAvoided Study: Losses Losses httpshttps://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2httpshttpshttpshttps://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2013/Losses_Avoided_Study013/Losses_Avoided_Study

://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2013/Losses_Avoided_Study013/Losses_Avoided_Study013/Losses_Avoided_Study/

•013/Losses_Avoided_StudyHazus013/Losses_Avoided_Study013/Losses_Avoided_StudyHazusHazus UDF013/Losses_Avoided_Study013/Losses_Avoided_Study

UDFUDF tool: HazusHazus UDFUDFUDF tool: tool: https://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2https://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2https://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2https://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Toolhttps://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2https://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2https://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2https://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2https://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2https://data.femadata.com/Region8/ColoradoFlooding_2013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool/

•013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_ToolFEMA 013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_ToolFEMA FEMA RVIII013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool

RVIIIRVIII Hazus013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool

HazusHazus Level 013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool013/Losses_Avoided_Study/Hazus_UDF_Tool

Level Level 2 SOP: FEMA https://

RVIIIRVIIIRVIII HazusHazusHazus Level Level Level 2 SOP: 2 SOP: FEMA FEMA RVIIIhttps://https://https://data.femadata.com/MOTF/SOPs/Hazus_Level_2https://https://https://https://https://data.femadata.com/MOTF/SOPs/Hazus_Level_2data.femadata.com/MOTF/SOPs/Hazus_Level_2data.femadata.com/MOTF/SOPs/Hazus_Level_2data.femadata.com/MOTF/SOPs/Hazus_Level_2data.femadata.com/MOTF/SOPs/Hazus_Level_2data.femadata.com/MOTF/SOPs/Hazus_Level_2data.femadata.com/MOTF/SOPs/Hazus_Level_2_Site_Specific_Flood_Analysis.pdf_Site_Specific_Flood_Analysis.pdf_Site_Specific_Flood_Analysis.pdf

How do you want to improve our monthly user group calls?

• The current format is minimally interactive.• Please provide your ideas on how to increase participation and discussion.

Suggestions:• Provide a Q & A on a specific topic• Include an open discussion about recent project, study, article, etc. related to risk

assessment• Include an open discussion about the use of Hazus and other tools to visually

communicate risk• Other ideas?

New Call Format!

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Thursday October 29, 2015 at 10:00 AM EST

Use the same number and conference code for each call:Call 1-302-202-1110 and enter this conference code # 697620

**Request volunteer for next month’s presentation• HAZUS / Risk Assessment project• HAZUS “How to” presentation

Meeting notes and an updated presentation with audio will be sent out after this call

Adjourn

Next Call

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