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FERTILIZER STATISTICS OVERVIEW NIGERIA · • There was a restriction of fertilizers and ban on imported NPK 15 15 15 in Nigeria from Q4 of 2018, which is still affecting the importation

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  • FERTILIZER STATISTICS OVERVIEW

    NIGERIA2015 - 2019

    2020 Edition

  • Nigeria

    Outline Background Information▪ Overview of fertilizer statistics in Nigeria

    from 2015 – 2019.

    ▪ Emphasis on 2019, and each analysis is based on the products with higher quantities.

    ▪ Official trade data obtained from the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) for imports and Nigeria Ports Authority (NPA) for exports as well as production and exports data from private sector

    ▪ Validated by Fertilizer Technical Working Group – Nigeria (FTWG-NGA).

    ▪ 2019 data validated from 4th –5th March,2020.

    1. Production

    2. Imports

    3. Exports

    4. Origins

    5. Agric. and non-agric. use

    6. NPK import analysis

    7. Consumption (app)

    8. Summary

  • NIGERIAFertilizer Production

    Comments

    • There is primary production of granulated Urea fertilizer in Nigeria by Notore Chemical

    Industries PLC and Indorama Fertilizers & Chemical. Both are located at Onne, River

    state. Dangote Fertilizer will soon start production of Urea in addition to the two

    mentioned above.

    • Indorama started production in June 2016 which influenced increment in production

    from 2016 – 2019.

    • There is also production of SSP but it has been on hold since 2016.

    • There was an 8% decrease in Urea production in 2019 compared to 2018.

    • There are about 34 active blending plants across the country, most of which focus on

    blending of NPK 20 10 10 under the Presidential Fertilizer Initiative (PFI).

    HS Code Product 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    3102100000 Urea 281,750 695,000 1,420,325 1,595,935 1,473,858

    3103100000 SSP 611 -

    Total (mt) 282,361 695,000 1,420,325 1,595,935 1,473,858

    Fertilizer Plants in Nigeria

  • NIGERIAFertilizer Imports

    Comments• Official fertilizer imports to Nigeria decreased by 82% from 2018 to

    2019.• There was a restriction of fertilizers and ban on imported NPK 15 15 15

    in Nigeria from Q4 of 2018, which is still affecting the importation.• There was forex restriction on fertilizer importation in Q4 of 2018

    which also affected raw materials importation in 2019.• Some fertilizer companies participating in the 2019 PFI relied on

    government raw materials for production and didn’t import forthemselves.

    • 2018 carry over stock from government were released in 2019 to PFIblenders.

    • There was a restriction on importation of Urea from 2016 whichaccounts for the drop or nonexistence of Urea imports from 2017.Urea producers in the country currently produces more than what isconsumed locally.

    HS Code Fertilizer Name 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    3105300000 DAP 5,500 5,250 102,770 92,956 56,800

    3102210000 Ammonium sulphate 10,483 27,450 40,248 17,700 41,533

    3104200000 MOP 408 3,683 121,846 95,373 29,275

    3105200000 NPK 165,684 380,455 399,949 351,821 1,785

    3105510000 NP compounds 47,986 115,845 96,984 111,500 -

    3102100000 Urea 120,346 21,013 12 - -

    Others fertilizers 67,569 40,298 42,285 48,101 2,064

    Total (mt) 417,976 593,994 804,093 717,450 131,458

    DAP43%

    Ammonium sulphate

    32%

    MOP22%

    NPK1%

    Others fertilizers2%

    TOP 4 IMPORTED FERTILIZERS 2019

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    300,000

    350,000

    400,000

    450,000

    DAP Ammoniumsulphate

    MOP NPK NPcompounds

    Urea Othersfertilizers

    TOP FERTILIZER IMPORTS PER YEAR

    2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    MT

  • NIGERIAFertilizer Monthly Imports

    Comments• Most imports were recorded in the third quarter

    and the least imports were recorded in the first quarter of 2019.

    • In 2019, fertilizer import was at its peak in December, recording 42,104mt (32% of 2019 imports), all carried over to 2020.

    Source : FAO/GIEWS

    Crop Calendar

    SEASON CROPS Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    Cassava (South) u u u

    Maize (North main*) u u u

    Maize (South main*) u u u

    Millet u u

    Sorghum u u u

    Rice u u u

    Yams u u u

    Minor Season

    (Short Rains)

    Cassava, Maize, Millet,

    Sorghum, Rice, Yams u u u u

    Key: u Ferti l i zer Peak Demand Sowing Growing Harvesting

    Major Season

    (Long Rains)

    Quarter 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    Q1 62,761 27,966 191,629 204,513 6,486

    Q2 115,692 215,756 316,803 308,218 35,938

    Q3 146,067 205,087 196,992 183,020 45,284

    Q4 93,457 145,185 98,670 21,699 43,749

    Total (mt) 417,976 593,994 804,093 717,450 131,458

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    35,000

    40,000

    45,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2019 Monthly Fertilizer Imports to Nigeria

    MT

  • NIGERIAFertilizer Exports

    Comments

    • Decrease in production also affected exports as there was an 11% decrease in Urea exports.

    • Brazil continues to be the exports destination for Nigerian Urea as 84% of the Urea was exported there in 2018.

    Brazil, 84%

    Others, 16%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    2018 UREA DESTINATIONS (EXPORTS)

    Urea

    2015

    2016

    2017

    2018

    2019

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    600,000

    700,000

    800,000

    900,000

    Urea

    UREA EXPORTS PER YEAR

    MT

    HS Code Fertilizer Name 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    3102100000 Urea 82,440 329,630 659,603 837,436 743,707

  • NIGERIAFertilizer Origins

    Mo

    rocc

    o,

    50

    ,80

    0

    Ch

    ina,

    34

    ,57

    3

    Bel

    aru

    s, 2

    7,7

    23

    Net

    he

    rlan

    ds,

    13

    ,01

    1

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    MT

    TOP 4 COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN

    Countries of Origin Morocco China Belarus Netherlands Other Countries

    DAP 89% 11% - - -

    Ammonium Sulphate - 69% - 31% 0%

    MOP - - 95% - 5%

    Other fertilizers - 1% - 0% 99%

  • NIGERIAAgricultural and Non-agricultural Uses

    Comments

    • Some products can be used for both agricultural and industrial purposes depending on the importer.

    • Above is a table that shows the product usage of imports over the years.

    Usage 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    Volume (MT) % Volume (MT) % Volume (MT) % Volume (MT) % Volume (MT) %

    Agriculture 417,976 97% 593,994 99% 804,093 99% 717,450 99% 131,458 96%

    Industrial/Mines 11,365 3% 3,095 1% 4,588 1% 5,209 1% 5,188 4%

    Total (mt) 429,341 100% 597,089 100% 808,682 100% 722,659 100% 136,645 100%

    MOP89%

    Others11%

    2019 NON FERTILIZER USE

  • NIGERIANPK Imports Analysis

    Comments• Due to the import ban in 2018, NPK importation

    reduced in 2019.

    • There is local blending of NPK by the various blending plants, both for the open market and the PFI.

    • Popular NPK grades available in the country includes NPK 15 15 15, NPK 20 10 10, NPK 12 12 17 + 2MgO and NPK 27 13 13.

    NPK Blend

    MT

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    600,000

    2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    TOTAL NPK IMPORTS PER YEAR

    Total NPK Total NP Total PK

    MT

    Fertilizer 2019 NPK Imports

    NPK 1,368

    NPK 28 11 14 + TE 377

    NPK 18 10 20 + 1MgO + 0.1B 25

    NPK 20 20 20 + TE 16

    PK compounds 25

    Total (mt) 1,810

    Fertilizer Name 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    Total NPK 165,728 380,455 399,949 351,821 1,785

    Total NP 47,986 115,845 96,984 111,500 -

    Total NK - - - - -

    Total PK - - - 421 25

    Total (mt) 213,714 496,300 496,933 463,742 1,810

  • NIGERIAFertilizer Apparent Consumption

    Comments• There was a 42% decrease in apparent consumption from 2018

    to 2019.

    • There was sufficient production of PFI both in 2017 and 2018which resulted into carryover stock for 2019.

    • Over 400,000 mt was estimated to be carryover stock from 2018to 2019, mostly finished NPK.

    NB: Apparent consumption = Production + Imports –Exports – Non Fertilizer Use

    HS Code Fertilizer Name 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    3102100000 Urea 319,656 386,383 760,734 758,499 730,151

    3105300000 DAP 5,500 5,250 102,770 92,956 56,800

    3102210000 Ammonium sulphate 10,483 27,450 40,248 12,022 41,533

    3104200000 MOP 408 3,683 121,846 95,373 29,275

    3105200000 NPK 165,684 380,455 399,949 351,821 1,785

    3105510000 NP compounds 47,986 115,845 96,984 111,500 -

    Other Fertilizers 68,180 40,298 42,285 53,779 2,064

    Total (mt) 617,897 959,364 1,564,816 1,475,950 861,609

    0

    200,000

    400,000

    600,000

    800,000

    Urea DAP Ammoniumsulphate

    MOP NPK NPcompounds

    OtherFertilizers

    TOP FERTILIZER APPARENT CONSUMPTION PER YEAR (2015 - 2019)

    2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    MT

    0

    500,000

    1,000,000

    1,500,000

    2,000,000

    Nigeria Mali Ghana Cote d'IvoireBurkina Faso Senegal

    WA FERTILIZER APPARENT CONSUMPTION IN 2015 - 20192015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    MT

    Nigeria Mali Ghana Cote d'Ivoire Burkina Faso Senegal

    Arable land (ha) 34,000,000 6,411,000 4,700,000 3,500,000 6,000,000 3,200,000

    2018 apparent consumption (mt) / ha 0.04 0.13 0.07 0.07 0.04 0.05

    2019 apparent consumption (mt) / ha 0.03 0.09

    Assumption: Apparent consumption (mt) / Arable land (ha)

  • NIGERIASummary of 2019 Fertilizer Statistics

    New HS CodeProduct Production Total Imports ExportsNon Fertilizer

    Use

    Fertilizer

    Imports

    2019 Apparent

    Consumption

    3102100000 Urea 1,473,858 - 743,707 - 730,151

    3105300000 DAP 56,800 56,800 56,800

    3102210000 Ammonium sulphate 41,542 9 41,533 41,533

    3104200000 MOP 33,913 4,637 29,275 29,275

    3105200000 NPK 1,785 1,785 1,785

    3103100000 SSP 1,507 1,507 1,507

    3104300000 SOP 428 5 423 423

    2510100000 Phosphate rock 64 64 64

    3105600000 PK compounds 25 25 25

    2834210000 Potassium nitrate 24 24 24

    3101000000 Organic fertilizer 132 111 21 21

    3103900000 Other phosphate 12 12 -

    3102900000 Other nitrogen 113 113 -

    2814100000 Anhydrous ammonia 8 8 -

    3102800000 UAN 28 28 -

    3105510000 NP compounds 20 20 -

    3102500000 Sodium nitrate 246 246 -

    Total mt 1,473,858 136,645 743,707 5,188 131,458 861,609

    Comments• This is the lowest apparent consumption

    of fertilizer since 2016.

    • There was a restriction of fertilizers andban on imported NPK 15 15 15 in Nigeriafrom Q4 of 2018, which is still affectingthe importation.

    • There was forex restriction on fertilizerimportation in Q4 of 2018 .

    • Some fertilizer companies participating inthe 2019 PFI relied on government rawmaterials for production and didn’timport for themselves.

    • Over 400,000 mt was estimated to becarryover stock from 2018 to 2019,mostly finished NPK.

    • 42,000 mt of DAP was imported in Dec2019 and carried over to 2020.

    • 10% - 26.6% of Limestone granules areused as fillers for most NPK's producedlocally. Data on limestone is not capturedin the apparent consumption.

  • NIGERIAParticipants of 2020 FTWGName Organization Position Email

    Engr. Segun Falade Golden Fertilizer Managing Director [email protected]

    Ishaku Amapu Ahmadu Bello University Zaria Soil Scientist/Afsis representative [email protected]

    Prof. Chris Daudu NAERLS Assistant Director [email protected]

    Surendra Kumar Srivastava Indorama Fertilizers & Chemical Head of Marketing [email protected]

    Felix Nwoche Notore Fertilizers & Chemical Commercial Business Analyst [email protected]

    Adegbite Joseph Adewunmi Nigerian Ports Authority Cooperate and Strategic Division [email protected]

    Oyewo Yassar Planning Research and Statistics CountrySTAT Rep. [email protected]

    Adamu Sale FMARD / FISS Deputy Director [email protected];

    Sani Ahmad Nigeria Customs Service Tariff & Trade Unit [email protected]

    Babalola D. A National Bureau of Statistics Head, Agric Statistics [email protected];

    Bengum Hyelatakiri FEPSAN Agric Officer [email protected]

    Peter Amahwe OCP Nigeria Logistics Services Manager [email protected]

    Kazeem Ajape OCP Nigeria Marketing Manager [email protected]

    Seember Ali Development Gateway Senior Associate Consultant, VIFAA Project [email protected]

    Ada Nsitem WAFA Communications Officer [email protected]

    Innocent Okuku WAFA WAFA Vice President [email protected]

    Omitowoju Olaoluwa AFAP Intern [email protected]

    Scott Wallace Wallace and Associate CEO [email protected]

    William WU QED Director [email protected]

    David Guerena QED Soil Scientist/Computational agronomist [email protected]

    Dickson Onewo IFDC Ass. Fertilizer Market Analyst [email protected]

    Diyana Bawiena IFDC Bilingual Admin. Assistant [email protected]

    Christian Amedo IFDC MEL Specialist [email protected]

    Felix Deyegbe IFDC Communication Specialist [email protected]

    Samuel Ali IFDC Fertilizer Market Analyst [email protected]

    Fred Gyasi IFDC Fertilizer Statistics Specialist [email protected]

    Grace Chilande IFDC AFO Coordinator [email protected]

  • NIGERIAParticipants of 2020 FTWG