F8 Lecture 6 Audit Risk

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    Audit and assurance

    engagementsLecture 6 Audit Risk

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    Audit risk Take a look at this diagram!

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    AbsoluteAssurance

    Re

    asonable

    As

    surance

    Limited

    Assurance

    ZeroRisk

    HighLevelofAssurance

    Low

    Levelof

    Assurance

    LowRisk

    High

    Risk

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    Audit riskStatutory audits provide users with a reasonable or high level of assurance

    In order to achieve this objective the auditor must ensure that after he has

    performed his audit he can say that he has reduced audit risk to a low level!

    Only after an auditor has reduced audit risk to a low level can he provide users

    with a high level of assurance!

    Audit risk is defined as the risk that an auditor expresses in an inappropriate audit

    opinion on the financial statements

    This means that the auditor in his opinion is stating that the financial statements

    are free from material misstatements when in actual fact they are not!

    Dont worry about material misstatement we will study in this in detail in the

    next lecture! Right now just consider it as a mistake in the FS

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    Audit risk

    Inherentrisk Controlrisk Detectionrisk

    Audit riskcomponents of audit risk

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    Audit risk:inherent risk (IR)Definition: the susceptibility of a class of transaction, account balance or disclosure to a

    misstatement that could be material, either individually or in aggregate, before

    consideration of related controls

    Its easier to understand this definition by looking at a few examples:

    Poor reputation of client management (i.e. have been investigated or penalized by regulatory bodies)

    Complex organizational structure (i.e. a number of divisions & sub divisions) with accounting record

    dispersed

    Inexperienced management have failed to maintain proper books of account

    Complex transactions or account balances which require a high degree of estimation

    Client is exporting &/or importing & thus there are many foreign currency transactions

    Client operates in a very dynamic industry (e.g. fashion or digital tech) Directors bonuses are linked to annual profits

    Client intends to approach bank or investors in order to generate funds

    Clients business is geographically dispersed with record maintained at each office

    Clients business is of complex or specialized nature (e.g. pension provider) etc

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    Audit risk:Control risk (CR) Definition: the risk that a misstatement will not be prevented, detected & corrected on a

    timely basis by the entities internal controls

    Basically we are saying that the clients internal control system is ineffective or weak

    An effective system of internal control would mean fewer fraud & errors in the books ofaccount & consequently in the financial statements & vice versa

    Lets look at a few examples:

    No passwords on computers

    No anti virus software on computers

    No backups maintained on computer

    Inventory accessible by all

    Inventory lying in open area & thus exposed to weather

    Lack of supervision of junior staff

    No CCTV cameras used etc

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    Audit risk:Detection risk (DR)Definition: the risk that procedures performed by the

    auditor will not detect material misstatements either

    individually or in aggregate

    Lets look at a few examples:

    Auditor performs inappropriate audit procedures

    Auditor misinterprets the evidence he collects

    Evidence collected is misleading

    Auditor relies on management representations which turn out to

    be false (this could be an intentional or an unintentional act from

    management)

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    Audit risk:inherent risk (IR)

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    Audit risk:Sampling riskDefinition: sampling risk is the risk that the auditors conclusion based on a sample is

    different from the conclusion that would be reached in the whole population were

    tested

    Example:

    Suppose a bag contains 70 blue balls & 30 red balls

    Total population size is 100 & break up is 70% blue & 30% red

    Suppose the auditor reaches into the bag & pulls out 10 balls

    Thus auditor is taking a sample comprising of 10 balls (which is 10% of the total population)

    If 9 of these balls are red & 1 is blue (there is a chance!) then the auditor will conclude (based

    on the sample collected) that 90% of the balls in the bag are red & only 10% are blue

    Thus the auditor will make an incorrect assessment about the total population because the

    sample he collected was unrepresentative of the total population

    This is called a sample error

    Whenever an assessment is made about a population using a sample (as opposed to studying the

    entire population) then there will exist a sampling risk

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    Audit risk:non-sampling riskDefinition: non-sampling risk is the risk that the auditors

    conclusion is inappropriate because of any reason other than

    sampling error

    Example:

    Auditor performs inappropriate audit procedures

    Auditor misinterprets the evidence he collects

    Auditor relies on management representations which turn out to befalse (this could be an intentional or an unintentional act from

    management)

    Evidence collected is misleading sampling error/risk!

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    Audit risk:the relationship between IR & CR & DR AR = IR x CR x DR

    Note that both IR & CR are not under the auditors control

    The auditor merely assesses whether IR & CR are high, medium

    or low

    The auditor cannot reduce IR & CR from high to low they are

    not under his control rather they are under the control of clientmanagement (to some extent)

    However what is under the auditors control is DR!

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    Audit risk:the relationship between IR & CR & DR

    If the auditor assess IR & CR as high then the auditor

    must increase his audit procedures & gather sufficient

    appropriate audit evidence to be able to reduce DR &

    thus AR to low!

    AR = IR x CR x DR

    Low = High x High x Low

    By increasing work performed & reducing DR to L the

    auditor is able to achieve his objective of providing

    reasonable assurance/reducing AR to low

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    Audit risk:the relationship between IR & CR & DR If the auditor assesses IR & CR as low then the auditor may reduce the work he performs

    leaving DR as high & still achieve his objective of giving a reasonable level of

    assurance/low AR!

    AR= IR x CR x DR

    Low = Low x Low x High

    Essentially what we are saying is that if:

    Clients management have integrity

    Clients business is simple

    Client have installed a robust internal control system

    Then the auditors job is made easy!

    The auditor can take advantage of the above & reduce the amount of work he performs &

    still be able to collect sufficient appropriate audit evidence to provide a reasonable level

    of assurance!

    In the end how much work the auditor performs is a matter of professional judgment

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    Audit risk:audit approach In order for the auditor to decide

    Just how much work he needs to perform

    & which areas to focus on (i.e. spend more time & resources)

    the auditor must first assess IR & CR

    In this lecture we will focus on IR whereas CR will be

    looked at in later lectures (youll understand why later!)

    This is often referred to as a risk based approach to

    auditing or risk based audit methodology

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    Audit risk:benefits of a risk based audit methodologyHelps focus time & resources on high risk areas in the FS & less on low risk areas in the FS (and

    not vice versa)

    A preliminary assessment of audit risk will help in developing an effective audit strategy & audit

    plan (discussed in next lecture)

    Assists in deciding size & composition of audit team (high risk audits require bigger teams withmore experienced members)

    Assists in allocating staff (i.e. more experienced staff to the more high risk areas of the audit)

    Audit firms are private sector profit making entities & they like others want to minimize costs in

    order to maximize their profits (efficient audit)

    thus audit firms dont want to spend more time than is necessary & will reduce work done by placing relianceon an entities internal control system if it is evaluated as strong/effective/robust!

    Ultimately achieve their objective of providing reasonable assurance (an effective audit) & avoid

    litigation or damage to reputation

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    Audit risk:how to assess IR ISAs require that auditors gain an understanding of the

    entity & its environment in order to assess IR

    Standards require auditors gain knowledge of:

    1. Relevant industry, regulatory & other external factors

    2. Nature of the entity & selection of accounting policies

    3. Objectives & strategies & related business risks

    4. Review of entities financial performance

    5. Internal controls

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    Audit risk:relevant industry, regulatory & other external factors

    Industry conditions:

    Competitive environment

    Suppliers & customers

    Technological developments

    Regulatory environment

    Financial reporting framework

    Political environment

    Economic conditions

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    Audit risk:nature of the entityBusiness operations

    Ownership

    Corporate governance arrangements

    Organizational structure Capital structure

    Classes of transactions, account balances & disclosures

    Related party transactions

    Selection of accounting policies

    Are they appropriate for its business &

    Consistent with the applicable financial reporting framework &

    Consistent with policies used in the industry

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    Audit risk:objectives & strategies & related business risks

    Objectives

    Strategies developed to achieve objectives

    Business risks facing entity

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    Audit risk:review of entities financial performance

    External performance measures

    Analysts reports

    Credit ratings agencies

    Internal performance measures

    Budgets

    Segment or divisional information

    Departmental performance

    Benchmarking with industry competitors

    This information:

    May indicate pressure on management

    May indicate unexpected results

    May indicate unusual trends

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    Audit risk:internal control

    We will look at this section in detail in later

    lectures!

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    Audit risk:where does this information come from?

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    Audit risk: ir ISAs require auditors to perform the following procedures when assessing IR:

    Enquiries with client management & staff including:

    Those charged with governance

    Internal audit personnel

    Staff responsible for recording complex or unusual transactions

    In-house legal counsel Staff responsible for marketing & business strategies

    Perform analytical procedures

    Discussed in next slide

    Observation

    Observation of entity activities & operations

    Visit to entity premises & plant

    Inspection

    Inspection of documents (e.g. management reports, interim FS)

    Tracing transactions through the IS

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    Audit risk:analytical procedures (AP)Definition: the evaluation of financial information through the analysis of plausible relationships

    among both financial & non-financial data

    Analytical procedures (or analytical review) involves making comparisons:

    Example: comparing financial with non-financial data

    Power bill with units produced or Units produced with cost of production

    Example: comparing financial data with financial data

    Sales & delivery costs, sales returns & warranty claims

    Example: comparing client data & information with benchmarks

    Budget & actual output or Industry growth rate & client sales increase

    Example: comparing current with past trend

    Current year sales growth with that of past 5 years

    Example: comparing current with forecasts

    Actual with that of management forecast

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    Audit risk:analytical procedures (AP)Definition: the evaluation of financial information through the analysis of

    plausible relationships among both financial & non-financial data

    Analytical procedures (also referred to as analytical review) can be used at:

    Start of the audit: to assess IR & to develop audit plan

    During the audit: as an audit procedure designed to gather audit evidence

    End of audit: to review audit before forming opinion

    ISAs however state that APs must be used at the planning & review stage of an

    audit

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