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External Analysis
Nelson Phillips
Professor of Strategy and Organizational Behaviour
Why are some industries more profitable than others over long periods of time?
The Objectives of Industry Analysis
• To understand how industry structure drives competition, which determines the level of industry profitability.
• To assess industry attractiveness• To use evidence on changes in industry structure to forecast
future profitability• To formulate strategies to change industry structure to
improve industry profitability• To identify Key Success Factors
From Environmental Analysis to Industry Analysis
THE INDUSTRY
ENVIRONMENT
• Suppliers• Competitors• Customers
Social structure
The national/ international
economy
Technology
Government& Politics
The natural environment
Demographic structure
Social structure
• The Industry Environment lies at the core of the Macro Environment. • The Macro Environment impacts the firm through its effect on the Industry Environment.
The Determinants of Industry Profitability
• 3 key influences:
1. The value of the product to customers
2. The intensity of competition
3. Relative bargaining power at different levels within the value chain.
SUPPLIERS
POTENTIAL
ENTRANTSSUBSTITUTES
BUYERS
INDUSTRY
COMPETITORS
Rivalry among
existing firms
Bargaining power of suppliers
Bargaining power of buyers
Threat of
new entrants
Threat of
substitutes
Porter’s Five Forces of Competition Framework
The Threat of Substitutes
Extent of competitive pressure from producers of
substitutes depends upon:
• Buyers’ propensity to substitute
• The price-performance characteristics of substitutes.
The Threat of Entry
• Entrants’ threat to industry profitability depends upon the height of barriers to entry. The principal sources of barriers to entry are:
• Capital requirements• Economies of scale• Absolute cost advantage• Product differentiation• Access to channels of distribution• Legal and regulatory barriers• Retaliation
Bargaining Power of Buyers
Buyer’s price sensitivity Relative bargaining power
• Cost of purchases as %
of buyer’s total costs. • How differentiated is
the
purchased item? • How intense is
competition between
buyers? • How important is the
item to quality of the
buyers’ own output?
• Size and concentration of
buyers relative to
sellers. • Buyer’s information . • Ability to backward
integrate.
Note: analysis of supplierpower is symmetric
Rivalry Between Established Competitors
• The extent to which industry profitability is depressed by aggressive price competition depends upon:
• Concentration (number and size distribution of firms)• Diversity of competitors (differences in goals, cost
structure, etc.)• Product differentiation• Excess capacity and exit barriers• Cost conditions
– Extent of scale economies– Ratio of fixed to variable costs
The Structural Determinants of Competition
THREAT OF ENTRY• Capital requirements• Economies of scale• Absolute cost advantage• Product differentiation• Access to distribution channels• Legal/ regulatory barriers• Retaliation
SUBSTITUTE
COMPETITION• Buyers’
propensity
to substitute• Relative prices &
performance of
substitutes
BUYER POWER• Buyers’ price
sensitivity • Relative bargaining
power
INDUSTRY RIVALRY• Concentration• Diversity of competitors• Product
differentiation• Excess capacity & exit barriers• Cost conditions
BUYER POWER• Buyers’ price
sensitivity • Relative bargaining
power
SWOT Exercise
Work in groups from the same business area within Veolia, analyse the industry conditions facing that business. Make sure to write down your thoughts.
PESTLE analysis
• PESTLE is an analytical tool which considers external factors and helps you to think about their impacts
PESTLE Analysis
• Is a useful tool for understanding the “big picture” of the environment in which you are operating
• By understanding your environment, you can take advantage of the opportunities and minimize the threats.
• This provides the context within which more detailed planning can take place to take full advantage of the opportunities that present themselves.
The factors in PESTLE analysis
• P – Political – The current and potential influences from political pressures
• E - Economic – The local, national and world economic impact
• S - Sociological – The ways in which changes in society affect the project
• T - Technological – How new and emerging technology affects our project / organization
• L - Legal – How local, national and global legislation affects the project
• E - Environmental – Local, national and global environmental issues
• Political:– Government type and stability – Freedom of the press, rule of law and levels of bureaucracy and corruption – Regulation and de-regulation trends – Social and employment legislation – Tax policy, and trade and tariff controls – Environmental and consumer-protection legislation – Likely changes in the political environment
• Economic:– Stage of a business cycle – Current and projected economic growth, inflation and interest rates – Unemployment and supply of labor– Labor costs – Levels of disposable income and income distribution – Impact of globalization – Likely impact of technological or other changes on the economy – Likely changes in the economic environment
PESTLE
PESTLE
• Sociological:– Cultural aspects, health consciousness, population growth rate, age distribution, – Organizational culture, attitudes to work, management style, staff attitudes– Education, occupations, earning capacity, living standards – Ethical issues, diversity, immigration/emigration, ethnic/religious factors– Media views, law changes affecting social factors, trends, advertisements,
publicity– Demographics: age, gender, race, family size
• Technological:– Maturity of technology, competing technological developments, research funding,
technology legislation, new discoveries– Information technology, internet, global and local communications – Technology access, licensing, patents, potential innovation, replacement
technology/solutions, inventions, research, intellectual property issues, advances in manufacturing
– Transportation, energy uses/sources/fuels, associated/dependent technologies, rates of obsolescence, waste removal/recycling
PESTLE
• Legal:– current home market legislation, future legislation– European/international legislation– regulatory bodies and processes– environmental regulations, employment law, consumer protection– industry-specific regulations, competitive regulations
• Environmental:– Ecological– environmental issues, environmental regulations– customer values, market values, stakeholder/ investor values– management style, staff attitudes, organizational culture, staff engagement
SWOT Exercise
Work in groups from the same business area within Veolia perform a PESTLE for that business. Make sure to write down your thoughts.
What is SWOT Analysis?
A technique that enables a group or individual to move from everyday problems and traditional strategies to a fresh perspective.
S – Strengths
W – Weaknesses
O – Opportunities
T – Threats
SWOT is an acronym for:
Internal Environment
External Environment
Strength
Any existing or potential resources or capability within the organisation that provides a competitive advantage in the market.
Example:
• Strong distribution network• Intense Staff commitment and loyalty• Strong support from funders
Weakness
Any existing or potential force which could serve as a barrier to maintaining or achieving a competitive advantage in the market.
Example:
• Lack of a clear organizational strategy• Lack of training opportunities for using a new
software
Opportunity
Any existing or potential force in the external environment that, if properly leveraged, could provide a competitive advantage.
Example:
• Organisation’s geographic location• New technology
Threat
Any existing or potential force in the external environment that could erode a competitive advantage.
Example:
• A new entrant• A recession, rising interest rates, or tight credit lines
Aim of SWOT Analysis
1. Take advantage of strengths and opportunities.
2. Minimise weaknesses and eliminate threats
A SWOT analysis is useful only when action plans and strategies are developed from the results
How to do SWOT Analysis?
Prepare Action Plans
Analyse Internal & External
Environment
Perform SWOT Analysis
Step 1 Step 2 Step 3
SWOT Exercise
Work in groups from the same business area within Veolia.
1. Combine the industry analysis you performed earlier with the results of your PESTLE and construct a SWOT diagram for your business
2. Be prepared to present back to the group