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2004 Spring Skydiving Expo. EXIT SAFETY Spotting, Winds, and Separation John Kallend Department of Mechanical, Materials and Aerospace Engineering Illinois Institute of Technology. ISSUES Large jump planes with many groups Multiple planes on jump run - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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EXIT SAFETY
Spotting, Winds, and Separation
John KallendDepartment of Mechanical, Materials and Aerospace
Engineering
Illinois Institute of Technology
2004 Spring Skydiving Expo
ISSUES
Large jump planes with many groups
Multiple planes on jump run
Mixed disciplines with different fall rates
High exit altitudes (and higher winds, windshears)
GPS spotting
High performance canopies
RESOURCES
http://www.iit.edu/~kallend for download of the 2-d Freefall Separation program, relevant links and a copy of these slides.
AVOIDING THE BAD STUFF
Out-landings in snake filled swamps
Freefall collisions
Canopy collisions
Each DZ has unique circumstances.
There is no single solution that fits all DZs on all occasions.
THE MESSAGE WILL BE:
Check the spot and look for traffic below.
The “45 degree method” doesn’t work.
Belly fliers should go first.
Groundspeed methods are OK in most circumstances; learn the exception.
There’s no hurry
SPOTTING
Most DZs now use GPS for spotting.
It works very well, BUT
EACH SKYDIVER IS RESPONSIBLE
FOR HIS/HER OWN SAFETY.
Don’t be a “wind dummy”.
Look out the door!
Check that no planes etc. are below (GPS doesn’t see these). Other pilots are under no obligation to avoid DZs.
Do a visual check on groundspeed.
Be sure you can get back.
LZ
SPOTTING: NO WIND
On a no-wind day, canopies opening within the shaded area make it back to the LZ. Outside this area will land off.
The boundaries of the shaded area extend about a mile beyond the LZ (depends on opening altitude). OK
OK
OffOff
Off
OK
OK
OK
LZ
SPOTTING: STEADY WIND
On a windy day, the area from which a canopy can reach the LZ is shifted upwind, but its size stays the about the same.
If making low hop’n’pop from a helicopter or balloon, you want to exit over this area.
OK
OK
OffOff
Off
Wind
OK
OK
LZ
SPOTTING: STEADY WINDFrom altitude, freefall drift will displace the exit area from which you can make it back to the LZ. You will need to exit inside the red line to make it back. The exact displacement depends on jumprun airspeed, fall rate, upper winds, and direction of jump run. The SIZE of the safe area to exit is unchanged
Wind
Drift
SPOTTING: GREEN LIGHT
Consider an area for a safe exit and a satisfactory spot that is 2.5 miles across.
With 100kt true airspeed and 40kt uppers, jumprun will take:
Downwind, 56 seconds
Upwind, 2 mins 10 sec.
(no need to rush). That’s 11 2-ways with 13 second separation)
Crosswind, 1 min 22 sec.
wind
SPOTTING
LZ
X marks the spot. First group out cannot wait for the perfect spot, or the last out will be
HOSED.WIND
GETTING BACK FROM A BAD SPOT
Learn the “accuracy trick”
Get “small” to reduce drag.
If upwind of the DZ, use rear risers or brakes to flatten the glide.
If downwind of the DZ, rear risers may still help in light winds. Otherwise use full flight. Front risers only help in very strong headwinds.
GETTING BACK FROM A BAD SPOT
Forward speed depends mostly on wing loading. Risers and brakes mostly affect descent rate.
Have a safe landing spot selected while still above 1000’agl
It is better to walk a mile than to be carried a few yards.
Separation(Collisions are No Fun)
“Now lets talk about separation from other jumpers. First of all, anyone who counts on vertical separation for safety is out of touch with reality. I see people in freefall at 1,500 feet and lower routinely, so just because someone plans to open at 2,500 doesn't mean you should bet your life on it. Everyone needs to open in their own column of air. Horizontal separation is the only guarantee of security.”
Bryan Burke
Skydive Arizona
SEPARATION
HOW MUCH SEPARATION IS NEEDED?
A modern canopy flies at around 30mph = 44ft/sec
(some are notorious for off-heading openings)
It takes about 3 seconds to recognize a
collision hazard and take action
Two canopies on a head on course cover
around 300 feet in this time
Let’s take 300 feet as the absolute minimum acceptable separation.
300 150
300 ft separation means each jumper has a “column of air” 150ft in radius, with himself or herself at the center. These columns of air should not overlap.
VIEW FROM ABOVE
SEPARATION WITHIN THE GROUP
TRACKINGA survival skill that is fun.
A breakoff track should be flat and fast.
Tony Hathaway
To obtain 300’ separation between jumpers in a 4-way, need to track 212 ft from the center so the individuals’ columns of air don’t overlap.
3 seconds after opening there could be canopies anywhere in an area 724 ft in diameter. Each group needs its own column of air.
The corresponding area for an 8-way is more than 1,000 ft. across. These numbers are minima.
724ft
How Far to Track, and What Size is the Group’s Air Column?Group Size Tracking Distance (ft) Radius of Group’s Space (ft)
1 0 150
2 150 300
3 173 323
4 212 362
6 300 450
*7 345 (300) 495 (450)
*8 391 (345) 541 (495)
*10 485 (438) 635 (588)
Note: this table gives the absolute minimum distance to track and the absolute minimum radius of the group’s space for 300’ separation, assuming efficient tracking and equally spaced tracks. In reality, more space will be needed.
* For groups larger than a 6-way, the smaller values in parentheses are for when one jumper deploys in place and the others track.
AND
Make sure the first wave doesn’t stop too soon.
A staged breakoff gives better separation for any group of 12 or more skydivers.
BUT
The “first wave” needs to go 300’ (or more) farther than the next wave.
SO
Make sure the second wave waits long enough before turning and tracking.
SEPARATION BETWEEN GROUPS
Centers of groups should be separated by > sum of their radii to minimize chance of collisions between groups.
Group 1 Group 2
R1 + R2
R1 R2
Example: Group 1 is 8-way, radius 541; group 2 is 4-way, radius 362. Separation should be > 541 + 362 (= 903ft).
Since these are absolute minima, you should space more conservatively. Plan on, say, 1,200ft to allow for long tracks, sliding, etc.
How much spacing is needed?Group Sizes
1 2 4 6 8 10
1 6-800 800 1000 1000 1000 1000
2 1000 1000 1000 1100 1100
4 1000 1200 1200 1300
6 1200 1350 1500
8 1450 1500
10 1600
HOW DO WE ACHIEVE THIS?
People do the strangest things
(like tracking up the line of flight)
SO
We won’t try to predict what they will do
Computer model will use virtual “Spaceballs” with fall rate adjusted for the discipline, to remove human factor. Freefly spaceball falls 11,000ft in 50 seconds.
RW spaceball takes 65 seconds to fall the same vertical distance. Spaceballs define the “perfect”
trajectory, no backsliding or tracking.
ACHIEVING SEPARATION
1. Watch angle from vertical to previous group.
2. Look down and watch until 1,200 ft have passed. (Skratch’s method).
3. Count to 5, then jump (Otter covers about 750 ft in this time on jump run at 13,000ft, no wind)
4. Wait for time taken to cover 1,200ft across ground (groundspeed method)
Question: Do these methods work?
First we’ll take a look at the “angle” method.
“Wait until the group in front of you makes an angle of 45 degrees behind
the plane, then exit.”
45o ?
1. Can you judge 45 degrees ?
2. If you can, does the method work anyway ?
Computer model Freefall does the math.
Uh-Oh
Conclusion 1
The angle made between the vertical and the previous group varies very little after the first two or three seconds. It does not depend on wind speed. It rarely reaches 45 degrees.
There is no physical or mathematical basis for this method. DON’T USE IT.
Video by Bill von Novak
From 13,000 feet, a 2.75 degree error in judging the vertical leads to a 1,200 foot
error on the ground!
How well can you judge the vertical from a moving
aircraft?
2. Look at the ground.
Ask the pilot the groundspeed and you do the math. 1 knot is roughly 1.5 ft/second, or 100kt = 150ft/sec
Example: groundspeed = 100ft/sec and you want 800ft separation. Then you wait 800/100= 8 seconds between exits. Does this work?
3. GROUNDSPEED METHOD
Case 1. Groundspeed = 40ktWind at 3000ft = 30ktExit delay = 8 seconds
How Groundspeed Can Mislead
(Unless you deploy on the ground)
Click on the link Freefall Simulation
Case 2: Same groundspeed = 40kt
Wind at 3000ft = 30 kt tailwind
Exit delay same (8 seconds)
Use Freefall Simulation again
Observations:
1. Groundspeed calculation works if winds are in same direction at all altitudes
2. Separation also depends on wind at opening altitude, if in opposite direction to uppers, BEWARE.
CONCLUSION 2It’s not the speed over the ground
that counts.
It’s the speed relative to the air at opening altitude.
Usually groundspeed methods work because the winds at 2,500’ are light
and/or in the same direction as the upper winds.
CONCLUSION 2 (cont.)
To achieve separation between groups that have the same fall rate, methods based on groundspeed work and have margin for error
UNLESS
the lower winds are opposite the uppers,
IF THAT IS THE CASE THEN
extra spacing is needed. ADD the lower wind speed to the jumprun headwind, or SUBTRACT the lower wind speed from the groundspeed.
HOW TO GET WINDS ALOFT
Ask the pilot, or
Call 1-800-WX BRIEF, or
Point your browser at:
aviationweather.gov/products/nws/fdwinds/
TO GET 1000FT OF SEPARATIONJumprun indicated airspeed= 80kt
Headwind(kt)
Delay between exits (sec).
0 6
10 6.5
20 7.5
30 8.5
40 10
50 12
This assumes lower winds are light and/or in same direction as uppers.
Next we’ll look at:
Fall Rate Differences
Forward throw
Freefall drift due to upper winds
For Forward Throw
Click on Freefall.exe
CONCLUSION 3
In no-wind conditions, a freeflier will have a forward throw down the line of flight of about 1,800 ft.
A belly flier will have a forward throw of around 1,200 ft.
CONCLUSION 3 (cont) For any jumprun airspeed, Freefliers will have a forward throw down the line of flight that is greater than that of belly fliers by a distance approximately equal to the distance covered by the jump plane in 4 seconds. For 80kts IAS this is around 600 feet.
What About Winds?
WIND DRIFT
Even in freefall you “blow along” with the winds, which may be quite strong at altitude. Freefliers spend less time in the upper winds.
Compare wind drift for freefliers and bellyfliers: Freefall.exe for winds.
CONCLUSION 4In headwind, freefliers have a steeper trajectory than belly fliers.
For each knot of average upper wind, a belly flier will drift 20 feet farther than a freeflier (so a 40kt average wind will result in 800 feet more drift for the slow faller).
This adds to the forward throw difference if the jumprun is into the wind
CROSSWIND AND DOWNWIND JUMPRUNS
Forward throw is unaffected.
Wind drift effects on separation go away on crosswind jumpruns
Wind drift effects are reversed on downwind jump runs.
CONCLUSION 5
Separation can be achieved with any exit order.
BUT
If the freefliers go first, adjacent groups CONVERGE. This is not fail-safe!
If RW groups go first, groups DIVERGE, a fail-safe situation. It is easier and takes less thought to achieve horizontal separation if freefliers exit after RW groups.
IF FREEFLIERS EXIT BEFORE RW GROUPS
extra spacing is needed to achieve adequate horizontal separation, maybe tens of seconds.
For example, if a freefly 2-way is followed by a large RW group (like a 16-way) that will take a lot of time to climb out, it may
be easy to get the required separation.
But it is not always a bad idea…
IF FREEFLIERS EXIT FIRSTUse your usual method to calculate spacing.
Add 4 seconds to account for extra forward throw.
Add 2 seconds for every 10kt of upper winds
Example: Want 1000ft spacing, no anomalous winds, groundspeed =70kts, uppers=30kts. Normal spacing = 9 seconds.
Now require 9 + 4 + (3 x 2) = 19 seconds between exits.
THE MESSAGE WAS:
Check the spot and look for traffic below.
The “45 degree method” doesn’t work.
Belly fliers should go first.
Groundspeed based methods are OK in most circumstances; learn the exception.
There’s no hurry
Discussions with:
Winsor Naugler III
Skratch Garrison
Tamara Koyn
Tim Wagner
Articles:
Bryan Burke
Bill von Novak
Video: Bill von Novak
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS